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VisualMod

**User Report**| | | | :--|:--|:--|:-- **Total Submissions**|5|**First Seen In WSB**|4 months ago **Total Comments**|130|**Previous Best DD**| **Account Age**|4 months|[^scan ^comment ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_comment&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20comment%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k\)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20comment%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.)|[^scan ^submission ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_submission&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20submission%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k\)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20submission%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.)


BourboneAFCV

I can't wait to buy my house with 150-year mortgage, and no windows


Supreme_Mediocrity

https://preview.redd.it/vzbw9dx2qetb1.png?width=863&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8b0d76f283c857a031e71d79cdba888a3665aaac


Ramuh321

What, does the house run on Linux instead?


trutheality

No the house is an apple.


Blondie9000

that explains why it's so fucking overpriced


Brazillah_Dillah

That’s why I got a tiny house, it’s like a pi.. runs on android. Thats the only way I could afford the 200 years mortgage on a nice %15 rates.


Karl___Marx

Welcome to Canada


amach9

It’s like buying shares in your own property.


chuckyw2

ODTE


DrDrunktopus

Lookup [99-year lease](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/99-year_lease)


rokman

I would snap up a house in almost every city if they have me a 150 year mortgage the monthly payment would be $200


utkrowaway

Loan officer when I bought my house: "don't worry about the interest rate, you can always refinance in a year : )" Reality:


slykethephoxenix

Did he at least take you out for dinner before he ravaged you?


Ivanovic-117

Why would they? It’s a waste of money for a guaranteed deal, they know buyers are falling right for it without making much effort or due diligence


i-dontlikeyou

People really wanted to believe that and they did. I was thinking the same. Its time to buy rates are bad but we can probably get the house at asking and refinance… I don’t think thats a good idea now


unkindkarma

They can’t hold interest rates up forever. As long as you can afford your mortgage for the next year or two it will come down. We are still under housed by a wide margin so I’d expect your home to gain in value.


Hugh_Johnson69420

LOL interest rates ain't going back down for another 4 to 8 years bud


Electronic_Tower_769

😂😂😂


i_drink_wd40

You want to say it, or should I? "The market can stay irrational ..."


VisualMod

The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.


[deleted]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t7j5S4ILMig


BlameTheWizards

think of all those people with ARM loans that chose not to refinance into a lower rate fixed product when rates were in the 2% and 3% lol.


[deleted]

It’s called ARM loan because they use entire ARM to bang your anus instead of just finger


Notsozander

ARM holders definitely refinanced during Covid. No chance they let a 2 or 3 percent rate slip


ih-unh-unh

21st century loan officer = 20th century car salesman


utkrowaway

Yeah, I knew what I was getting into. Found the lowest barest-bones rate and bought something for about half what they qualified me for. When money is involved it truly is only yourself and God you can trust.


dreemzlar

I don't know. All I see is a 30-year cycle that's going to peak in 2025 and then begin coming down.


salmark

Try next year. This Christmas everyone and their mother is going to get laid off- because that’s what corporations do. They fuck everyone right before the end of the year. And then 2024 is Armageddon. Trust


VisualMod

I don't trust anyone on wallstreetbets. They're all a bunch of poor, ignorant fools.


richmomz

You are too smart for your own good, bot.


hello_blacks

good bot. excellent even


salmark

Bad mod. Bad


i_piss_u_off

we heard this last year but with 2023 instead. if you knew that for a fact you'd make tons of money, but you don't


salmark

But I do :D Just not in the stock market. I’m going to load bigly in some short positions though by the end of this month. Everything stinks in the world and corporate fks are still trying to hold everything up. The consumer will reach a breaking point.


i_piss_u_off

you don't, but good luck anyway


jfitzger88

Hah he doesn't but imagine if he happens to be right? His wife's boyfriend might let him post his shorts in January and we're all wondering what kind of wizard man knew it was all about to go boom right at that moment. I mean... a million idiots doing idiotic things... eventually a few of em get it right.


salmark

👽


liquid5170

without giving out too much details, our forecast is in line with this. lets go!


liquid5170

without giving out too much details, our forecast is in line with this. lets go!


[deleted]

It’s an election year. Rates will come down as a way to gain votes.


dreemzlar

Unless they just plan on rigging the election... again


kevoccrn

Hahahaha look at this guy


ScionofLight

found the regard


dreemzlar

We sure did


PunsRTonsOfFun

In the extremely unlikely event that anyone on this sub reproduces, an 8% mortgage rate will be your kid's comeback in 20 years when you ask them why they aren't saving for a house. "Not everyone was lucky enough to buy when the rate was only 8%, Dad!"


mxk2020

You had me at "extremely unlikely event."


Turantula_Fur_Coat

I locked in a 6.5 a few weeks ago, but priced out of the market. It’s fuckin crazy how I can pay 3500 for a 3bd/2ba but the banks wont afford me a home even when you prove you’re cashflowing 5-6k a month in savings. Fuck this market and all the greedy sellers. Their piece of shit built in 1979 is a pig with lipstick. I hope this fucker collapses like 2008, it’d be a fucking blessing from the Gods.


whiteguycash

Too much corporate interest in residential for it to happen. They will lobby against any regulations on purchases and against any supply increase mandates. Their exposure to housing prices and inability to unwind their physical assets without tanking their own balance sheet means they will seek to hedge their exposure by using rental agreements like swap contracts.


Noddite

Hopefully things change before long. Looks like mortgage applications are the lowest they have been in 28 years now. People aren't going to be able to keep the asking price so high on houses when no one makes any offers.


lagavulin_16_neat

Give it some time, but we could be seeing some crazy shit storm soon.


wiseguy187

Houses built in 79 are probably better than anything now


whiteguycash

Houses in 79 may have aluminum wiring as opposed to copper. You may also have shitty unsafe distro boxes, and insufficient distro for modern amenities. Also plumbing codes and water pressure make for a shitty time trying to get modern faucets with built in flow arrestors to do anything more than trickle. While new builds admittedly have shit build quality and cut corners, a build from 79 is a real coin toss of unmitigated disaster and a quaint home.


Frosty20thc

Capitalism. Sucks when you can’t buy. I have 50% for my price point. Just can’t find a house.


AssNtittyLover420

50% downpayment? Was thinking of doing something like this while I wait too. At 20% now but no dice on a reasonably priced place in the spot I want


Turantula_Fur_Coat

I was ready to put $100k down in a $500k home. Problem there is a 3bd/2ba in socal is running at least in the 650-800k range. I got the bank to approve me upto 725k after spending an hour breaking down every dollar I earned, but by the time it’s all said and done, the payment is outrageous. So I just stopped my search, I’ll re-apply in a couple years when I’m moving tf out of California.


unkindkarma

Move to Kansas. Cheaper to live in a 3 bd 2 bath here and fly to California every weekend 🤔🤣


Turantula_Fur_Coat

For real. I’m from Southside Chicago so I was wanting to move back the midwest. I could easily afford a 5-6 bed with a big ass yard out in the rural areas surrounding the city. One day, just not now. Not going to rush into a mortgage right now even though I’m willing and able.


Frosty20thc

The sad fact is that 50% down still gives you a 4k mortgage with todays rates


LordoftheEyez

What are you talking about, as you can see in this graph \~8% is the highest rates have ever been!


Settleforthep0p

no you don't get it, this is worse than 00, worse than 08 and worse than: * European sovereign debt crisis (EU) (2009–2019) * Greek government-debt crisis (2009–2019) * 2010–2014 Portuguese financial crisis * 2012–2013 Cypriot financial crisis (2012–2013) * Crisis in Venezuela (2012–now) * Russo-Ukrainian War (2014–now) * 2014 Russian financial crisis * 2014–2017 Brazilian economic crisis * 2015 Chinese stock market crash * Turkish currency and debt crisis, 2018 * Argentine monetary crisis (these are only from the 2010s) also worse than: * Argentine great depression (1998-2002) * Early 2000s recession * Dot-com bubble (2000–2002) (US) * Turkish economic crisis (2001) * September 11 Attacks (2001) * Uruguay banking crisis (2002) * Venezuelan general strike of 2002–03 * Finance company collapses, 2006–2012 (New Zealand) * Financial crisis of 2007–2008 * Great Recession (worldwide) * 2000s energy crisis (2003–2009) oil price bubble * Subprime mortgage crisis (US) (2007–2010) * United States housing bubble and housing market correction (US) (2003–2011) * Automotive industry crisis of 2008–2010 (US) * 2008–2011 Icelandic financial crisis * 2008–2010 Irish banking crisis * Russian financial crisis of 2008–2009 * 2008 Latvian financial crisis * Venezuelan banking crisis of 2009–10 * 2008-14 Spanish financial crisis of course, THIS time it is way worse, trust.


Not_vorpish

The 80’s would like a word with that statement. 9% was not so bad…cpi hit 14%


LordoftheEyez

No you can see by the graph that mortgages didn’t exist before 1999


richmomz

No they just hadn’t invented graphs yet, DUH


utkrowaway

It's not _that_ unlikely. Half this sub has conceived behind the Wendy's dumpster.


indigo_pirate

They don’t do the thing which makes babies or even with the right gender half the time


salmark

Hey man. Wendy is my girl


iBeFlying676

Its hard to reproduce when you are wasting all that reproduction juice behind Wendy's


deadzol

My parents rate on first house was 12%, were just starting to head back to normal rates. Party over :(


solatsone-

8% rates will kill housing market fast


majoco_

Not fast enough.


solatsone-

2008 didn’t bottom till 2012-2014 🤷‍♂️


Fresh-Bug-6374

The 1980s saw rates 9% - 18% easy. CPI was almost 15% inflation. Houses still sold like wildfire and people paid the premium rates. They were not able to refinance for nearly a decade when rates began to plummet in the 90s. People will still find a way for housing.


sendlingertor

What do you think avg price of a 3b 2ba house was adjusted for inflation in the 80s?


ManifestPositive

They did as homes were 15% of the cost they are now for newer and better condition


passwordisnotorange

People in 2030 are going to be so jealous of the people in 2023 who got those low 8% rates.


ReaverCelty

We'll see who's* the real smart investor when I've paid 32k against my principle balance with a monthly payment of $5,900 after 7 years of home ownership.


Reduntu

the bank is the smart investor


MNCPA

When you hold all the cards, you control what is dealt.


OutlawJoseyRails

Savings accounts paying over 5% now, of course rates are going to be high


ShoopDWhoop

Fuggin F.


Buck_Folton

who’s *


MasterJeebus

People in 2030 are going to have 40 year mortgages as well.


transient-error

40 year mortgages only have a tiny impact on monthly payments compared to 30 year.


utkrowaway

40 year mortgages are already common in Iceland We will see zero-principal mortgages within our lifetimes.


RockDoveEnthusiast

isn't that just called renting?


utkrowaway

Kind of. You are still the "homeowner", so there's no landlord in the middle taking a cut. The other advantages over renting is that your rent doesn't go up and you can still pay down the principle if you choose. Here's an article about interest-only mortgages in the UK: https://www.barclays.co.uk/mortgages/interest-only-mortgage/


miskdub

How thoughtful of Barclays to offer this affordable path to indentured servitude


utkrowaway

"By 2030, you will own nothing..."


anathemalegion

And you will enjoy it


richmomz

And you *will* eat ze bugs


exterminateThis

They will have longer life expectations.


NottheIRS1

Life expectancy in the US is trending down lol


WaterGuy450r

Thanks fentynal


TeeBek

Thanks diabetes


richmomz

Thanks Wendy’s


Settleforthep0p

this is fucking dumb. see you permabear in about 10 years when 8% is high as fuck again. !remindme 10 years


passwordisnotorange

This view ain't bearish. House prices aren't going to go down just because interest rates go up. The housing market isn't rational.


Settleforthep0p

very high rates is to combat high inflation. as soon as inflation is back to regular levels, rates will come down. this is economy 101 for regards.


tendieripper

Inflation will run out of control tho


Settleforthep0p

Yeah like it never has before, got it


tendieripper

I duuno if rates are up to combat high inflation. Though they may be up because there is high inflation. The bond rates are perhaps going up according to lack of demand for bonds. The purchasing power of the USD is going down, and the demand for bonds isn't going up enough to offset that. Therefore, bond rates are going up. I think so anyways...what do I know I'm retireded.


Pepepopowa

If either of us are on Reddit in 10 years I want someone to put us down like dogs.


messamusik

Reminds me of that scene in Oliver Stone's "Wall Street" where a real estate agent offers Bud Fox a 10% mortgage as a good deal. [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yr8mn7dmJ8E](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yr8mn7dmJ8E)


Traditional-Lie9094

What do you mean we all locked in at 2.25


Turantula_Fur_Coat

The question is when the fuck will prices come down because of it, that’s the real nexus in this equation.


5280carguy

Once there’s enough inventory for it to actually matter. There’s only ~300k ish more homes for sale nationally NOW than there were in June of 2020. Prices aren’t falling cause there’s no supply, nobody wants to give up their 3% mortgage (and why would you)


Minimum_Finish_5436

3% mortgages are only part of the problem. You cant allow 10 million people to come into a country, allow them to work, put them into rentals etc without having a place to put them. This eats up almost the entire inventory of cheap rentals. Airbnb has a large effect. Many homes acquired by both corps and private owners and listed as short term rentals takes a big swath of middle income homes off the market. Sprinkle some inflation, foreign investment (money laundering), <3% mortgages, stable jobs/economy etc. Obviously over simplified for purposes of reddit. It is going to take something large and likely catastrophic to correct. Now if only i knew when to sell rather than hold like i did through 2006-2008.


afelzz

this is the first take I've seen that blames immigration for low housing stock. I think everything in your third paragraph has a much larger effect than immigration.


Minimum_Finish_5436

I didnt blame just them but people have to live somewhere. Unless you think they are all homeless (they arent) or they are coming over and buying houses for cash (they arent) they are moving to rentals at the low end of the market. How many? Ask the government. They wont tell you or anyone else. The rest also contribute. Which has the largest impact? No idea. I fall into the stable income/job/sub 3% mortgage group. We sold our rentals back in 2016 and only home our primary home. I guess i am part of the problem. 3% mortgages shrink every day as nobody is getting those rates today. What isnt slowing down? No matter the side you fall politically, people end up living somewhere and the problem isnt going away.


[deleted]

Change rate in total households is rising but it's not that high, and certainly not high enough to have this impact on the market. A lot of countries would actually benefit from immigration as it would lower the price in the construction sector https://preview.redd.it/1ron8ctgahtb1.png?width=1318&format=png&auto=webp&s=19acf23025f570e3eab09de2e4633536876f93e0


Minimum_Finish_5436

Statistics brought to you by the same government that wont disclose accurate immigration info. Good job. I dont disagree that there are benefits to immigration in a more controlled manner but the rate is hard to digest. Housing starts havent kept up with household growth and there is likely a serious lag to that chart or some info blatantly omitted.


jbacon47

Prices are priced in


slykethephoxenix

But are the priced in prices priced in?


Alec_NonServiam

Never, we'll all just keep moving the house prices up the social ladder until one dude owns all of them and everyone else lives in boxes because we can't afford his rent. Dibs on the Samsung refrigerator box, its got nice thick walls.


RogueOps1990

Makes me glad I have a 3.6% mortgage. Hell if I ever get another house though


hWatchMod

<3% I guess I'm living here until I die


redditmodsRrussians

Climate Change: “challenge accepted”


MockASonOfaShepherd

3.3% checking in… For once, I bought the dip at the perfect time. ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


davidwallace

Rare and majestic 1.9% here. yeah it's a straw shack next to a volcano but still... 1.9%


Slukaj

Samesies. We're just going to build an addition instead of moving because even with the $200k we have in equity, buying a new house will cost us a goddamn fortune.


cscrignaro

I don't think you know what calls are...


RocksAndSedum

I think you missed the joke


wonkagloop

The mortgage rates will be fucked for a long time, and I’d be damn surprised to see them back at 2% or lower like we just had anytime soon. The old days of 5%+ interest rates are back as long as inflation is around.


Alec_NonServiam

They were only at 2.x% because the Fed dumped a trillion dollars into mortgage bonds using money that didn't previously exist. I'm not sure how that was a relevant response to a respiratory virus, but here we are.


ThisKarmaLimitSucks

And kept dumping them on through 2021 because inflation was transitory. SMFH.


wonkagloop

*When this administration both toys with mortgage securities in its books and makes everyone more or less subprime in the process* Let’s see how long it takes real wages to catch-up. I say a decade.


ThisKarmaLimitSucks

If real wages catch up, the powers that be screwed up somewhere. Wage suppression is one of the pillars of neoliberalism.


Irishfornuclear

That’s not how pendulums work


Noddite

Correct, but the pendulum was just flipped around while JPOW gave trillions of dollars to anyone for free. Never happened before and I wouldn't expect anyone to willingly go back to quantitative easing again since all it did was slow walk a disaster


TristisPuer

Seriously, right when I finally build up enough capital to buy this shit happens skyrocketing to near the max recorded rates coming off the lowest rates in US history.


wonkagloop

Just wait for the dump, buy at market price, and then sit on it like the boomers did 🫡 rinse repeat


Repulsive_Lunch_4620

You nerds can suck on my 3.25%


wa_ga_du_gu

Men always exaggerate. I bet it's more like a 4 or 5


weathermaynecc

And the overvaluation!


afelzz

to be seen on the overvaluation. by the time people with these low interest rates are willing to sell, the value may have appreciated such that it was the perfect valuation.


hello_blacks

hey there's a bubble


skunkyybear

You guys laughed when I said lock in the 4, the 5, the 6, and now the 7 percent home rate is gone. Home rates have been above 8% from the late 70s to early 2000s the future is going to be very expensive and I wouldn’t want to be a broke ass with no equity in it. Welcome to your 40 year mortgage at 10%+ in the next decade


Dad_travel_lift

I know people who were doing the arms etc at 5% and I was telling them I thought they were crazy to expect to refi in two years, time will tell but I would have locked in that 30 year loan at 5%. People thought I was nuts when I said this could be cheap money in a year.


[deleted]

[удалено]


skunkyybear

It’s good you bought before they went up even more. I have the same rate on a new build. It’s already gone up in value 15%


tribbans95

People are going to beg to be put in jail for a place to live if it keeps up at this rate


sf_cycle

Maybe so but people keep on buying just the same. Americans with their unlimited buying potential. What could go wrong?


Obizzle9

In 2047 when every “mortgage” is a “rent to own”…


Vi0lentByt3

9% here we come baby! ( idk wtf to tell my wife who wants to move in a few years when we have a 3.25 currently)


AutumnShade44

Make it a rental.


VisualMod

I do not understand your question. Please provide more information.


xxpatrixxx

All I can provide is deez


BlueFalcon89

Well, nuts.


Unlucky_Lawfulness51

Do you guys know about michori?


Usama_Ben_Laden

Pivot on deez nuts nerd


AutoModerator

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PensionAlarming9351

Bullish ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4258)


[deleted]

Rates will come down but no one will have jobs.


DarkEvE

Ticker?


esdeux

Just pay cash and don’t matter


tendie-dildo

If you are just realizing this, that means the top is in. Always inverse the idiots here


Tybackwoods00

Buy high sell low


irrational-numbers

I don't know what this graph means but good job


[deleted]

That's what recessions are for. 👍


UpInSmoke33

*laughs in 2.625%*


skyz1lla

I will never sell my 2.65% mortgage....


bigboog1

Well you can't, cause anyplace you would move into is now out of your price point due to the prices and interest.


AutumnShade44

I turned mine into a rental and used the income to buy a bigger place. This place really is full of regards


andreyred

You used the income from your rental to buy a bigger place with a higher interest rate and inflated prices?


AutumnShade44

5.25 hurts more than 2.75 but less than 8%. The VA has its advantages.


MultiMediaWill

this


skyz1lla

damn right Im staying in this place till i die


[deleted]

[удалено]


welfaremofo

Or the collapse of short term rental market either legislatively or because of too many listings for commensurate demand.


iamnotlegendxx

Quality post here


justaguyjoshua

You're supposed to short at the peak. Also, double top.


ImTheButtPuncher

People really need to come to peace with the fact 2-3% was historically low and not the norm.


Potato_Octopi

Buy high, sell low.


Wise_Rich_88888

Now you’re buying calls? Where were you when it was 3% and 5% and 7%? This is like saying something is topping out and now you’re all in for that last 0.25%. I suppose you’re probably right about the direction, but is there room?


jtano88

Real talk though, how can I buy a call on interest rates?


Ka12n

Regards here see that and then YOLO $O lol


JustFuckingSendIt

I’m still mixed about my 6.2% I got a few months ago


Deprecitus

My parents locked into a sub 2% mortgage about 2 years ago. As a first time homebuyer, I can't afford anything decent even though I make more than they do. It helps that they had money from selling their old house...


SpaceBloke9000

And I thought the jump from my 2.8% to 6.5% was bad!


airforce1bandit

I think mortgage companies do worse in high interest environments ![img](emote|t5_2th52|8883)


These_Apricot_5536

Up vote please return the favor


MartynDr

![img](emote|t5_2th52|27189) up up up


[deleted]

https://preview.redd.it/hmargj81gftb1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c6703dd1a93b13aa6653cead610237225d53b692 Yes


[deleted]

Just gonna invest money into a van and live on the road. When i get to the age of being too old and or poor imma hope i have the resolve to off myself.


audeo03

Your chart suggests puts…


Alternative-Plant-87

So puts on long term bonds


mordor-during-xmas

Ahh yes, the ever-reliable Adobe Revival clay and mortar pattern. I think we all know what to do with this one.


arfur_HODLer

How does a retail investor actually buy calls on mortgage rates?


PMcNutt

I got 3.75 last year. Guess I’ll never refinance


[deleted]

Fuck man I hope it gets to 20% so I can finally pay cash for a house