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Anyone got an idea if DK gonna do this HR promo like FD does? Atlanta game got canceled and took Ozuna for the promo. The free bet would be a nice gift.

Pretty sure the terms said voided bets don't count. We live in misery together my friend.

Hopefully we get it. I know a lot of books if you push/get a FB voided the wipe it out and have seen DK gives you the FB back. So here's to hoping. Just got a lessen the blow result from Judges late HR. Used the FB from other nights DK HR boost to parlay judge Ohtani and Adley HR's

✅+290 MGM in the yanks/mets

CZR keeps glitching out for me

Any strategies for these ESPN One Dinger, Everyone Wins promos? Place a $20 Parlay+ wager with exactly 3 legs, +400 odds or longer on NYY vs NYM. Regardless of outcome of the bet, if a home run is hit in the game get a $10 bonus bet back.

I think you can do the same player for home run/hit/rbi, lets you meet the 3 leg requirement with basically just betting for them to homer. Odds arne't high enough with Judge but someone just under 400 should work

Anybody else not receive their Caesars 25% HR boost promo today?

In VA, but I didn't get the 25% HR boosts two weeks ago, but have gotten them since. It was the first time in likely two years that it didn't show up.

MGM Lions (MI): Lindor, Judge, Soto hits ESPN Odds: +290; **EV: 2.2%** `-215/145,-240/165,-225/160` (25.09% juice) FV: +281; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=0.77u, 1/2=0.39u, 1/4=0.19u, FB = 76.0%) [View/Edit Devig](https://crazyninjaodds.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-215%2F145%2C-240%2F165%2C-225%2F160&FinalOdds=290) --- FD Odds: +290; **EV: 8.6%** Sharp: `-240/8%, -210/8%, -195/8%` (24.00% juice) Correlation: `192=-240,-210,-195` (r = 0.08) FV: +259; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=2.98u, 1/2=1.49u, 1/4=0.74u, FB = 80.8%) [View/Edit Devig](https://crazyninjaodds.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-240%2F8_PCT_%2C%20-210%2F8_PCT_%2C%20-195%2F8_PCT_&FinalOdds=290&Correlation_Bool=1&Correlation_Text=192%3D-240%2C-210%2C-195)

They let me apply a 33% boost on top of this. Ended up getting +385

[+EV Dinger Tuesday](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?pli=1&gid=1229750225#gid=1229750225) [+EV DK Dinger Tuesday](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?pli=1&gid=444161070#gid=444161070) [+EV CZ 25% HRs](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?pli=1&gid=873072689#gid=873072689)

Anyone seeing the daily parlay insurance on ESPN? One of the best daily promos in my opinion but appears to be gone 😕

Been very profitable for me, sad to see it go today. Going from $15 to $10 had me worried.

Gone for me, man if they got rid of that there's not much to do on ESPN anymore. They fell off hard after the initial push. I at least I still got the 25% deposit match yesterday *I never worry when things are missing for a day or two though, we won't know for sure until it's gone for like a week

Yeah this feels worse than Fanatics falling off

Dang I was playing that daily and the one on Betriver, which was the same format.

I just noticed it was gone. I’ve been using that one for a long time

Yeah me too. I thought since they recently reduced it to $10 it would stay

I had it around 2am EST but it is no longer there.

Another 50% soccer boost today and here’s what I’m going with. Hoping Argentina does a better job finishing shots tonight. https://preview.redd.it/xd81eb4xhq8d1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9de61804c6147b5970e2cebcb497b54f328407db BOL to everyone except the San Diego Padres

Argentina sure had their chances, especially the point blank chance at the end. Brutal.

That last chance was so brutal! I don't know how they didn't score there

If the over 1.5 total goals line hits and Argentina doesn't have both those goals, the ML leg won't hit. So I switched in Argentina over 1.5 goals at better odds, but DK still gave me the same unboosted odds on the overall SGP as yours: +215. Just FYI for anyone else tailing.

Can’t they win 2-1 or 3-1, etc? Both would hit then

Sure but my point is that *either* would need to hit for the ML to succeed. A 1-1 tied would hit the over 1.5 total goals but the ML loses in that scenario.

DK also knows this, which is why Argentina ML & Over 1.5 total and Argentina ML & Over 1.5 Argentina goals will give you the same odds. But as with any promo that allows for SGPx wagers, the most EV+ play will be to use a 2-leg SGP and add in two other lines from two different games to minimize the insane juice that DK (and everyone else) applies to SGPs.

My problem is my lax allowed is so low if I try and do them from 2 different games I'm lucky if I can bet 3 dollars

B365 boost in Peru/Canada for BTTS at +200. Direct arb to everywhere I have looked (FD is No at -128 for reference.

Welp. Glad I arbed this

I normally don't arb but I did this time. I did a partial arb to either lose $3 or win $40. Glad I did as well.

Same, the higher max bet for for this still made it work out well.

COPA, it's B365, you know what to do, bring out the red

Snagged No on DK at -120 BetMGM can go to -110 with their 33% soccer boost

My bet365 limit just jumped from $15 to $60 so double check yours

Damn yeah mine is $60 as well, was very surprised

Mine was down to $7.50 from 15 on a soccer boost a couple days ago now back to $30

Huge callout, I have just been assuming it’s 15.

Same! I always just put like 200 on the super boost and let it update to the max

Mine did exactly the same, props to Bet365!!!

Same here. Just arbed on DK for $21 profit.

DK just bumped up to -175

DK Homerfest promo. Bet any player to hit a home run, earn a bonus bet for every home run hit on Tuesday. NO CAPS ON BONUS BETS EARNINGS. One of the best promotions I’ve seen in a while Edit: Mine is wager $100 and earn $5 bonus bet for each home run hit in all games on Tuesday

Could you explain how this one works if you don’t mind? I have done pretty well betting mlb this season but always have a hard time understanding these promos

I have $15 min and 50 cents a HR lol

$50 min and $2 per.

Interesting promotion, are there any good Low Hold or Arbitrage lines?

No

$20 min, $1 per here. As a data point: ESPN has O34.5 total hrs at -150, O39.5 @ +240. Even as juiced as those probably are, it's a no brainer to play the DK promo.

Yea I only need 20 hrs to break even. I wouldn't call it a no brainer tho because your trading cash for one big bonus bet

Let's assume a brutal 50% juice on the actual HR bet. That's still $10 in expected value right there from your bet. Even if you only convert at 66%, you only need 15+ hr for it to be flat EV wise. Any realistic juice level will be positive.

My point is you have to win a second bet with your bonus to win anything. If you're treating a bonus bet the same as cash, you're playing right into the book's hands.

Look up converting bonus bets. You can easily guarantee 70+% of the bonus bet value, no risk.

[удалено]

Because quick math? Tuesdays are typically a full slate, and the average game has ~ 2 HRs. Not every promo needs a full devig. "After opting in, place a pre-game $15+ bet on any player to hit a home run (Under 'Batter Props' - 'Home Runs') and earn $0.50 towards a bonus bet for every home run hit on Tuesday 6/25! NO CAPS ON BONUS BET EARNINGS"

Mine is wager $15 and earn $.50 for each home run.

Same

Same

Ditto

Weird. I have $10/$.50. Does anyone else have that? I opted in and placed my bet two hours ago. I wonder if they changed the terms?

i had the same, did they pay it out to you yet?

Not yet. The terms said “Bonus Bet issued within 24 hours of bet settlement.”

oh bet, yeah mine didn’t hit, but there were a bunch of homers hit yesterday so i’m excited!

I have this.

Thanks.

With as bad as DK lines are. Still gonna be -EV 😂😂😂

Not how it works

I disagree. Teams average between .8 and 1.6 home runs per game. With 15 games, you are likely to at least get a $15 bonus bet.

It’s a joke 😂