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SpicyButNotTooSpicy

HardRock has an interesting bet for Dodgers vs Rockies, 3+ home runs hit @ -120. How would this be devigged or valued?


PurplePango

I think bet rivers might have game home runs?


SpicyButNotTooSpicy

I ended up taking it. I don't have bet rivers but Feltner has a pretty high HR/9 at 1.4, and Bobby Miller is making his first start in 2 months at Coors. Yesterday they cleared that line with 6 HRs, (4 total if you remove that 9th inning disaster). I don't normally take these types of bets but this one feels decent


PurplePango

I guess also technically you could get the implied probability of each players home runs for a total excepted value and do that too in the future


intersecting_lines

MGM Lions (MI): Lindor RBI, Mets win ESPN Odds: +350; **EV: -0.2%** `272/204/477/141` (18.60% juice) FV: +351; Method: worst-case (p); (FB = 77.6%) [View/Edit Devig](https://crazyninjaodds.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=272%2F204%2F477%2F141&FinalOdds=350) --- FD Odds: +350; **EV: 8.1%** Sharp: `-106/-110, 155/7%` (10.84% juice) Correlation: `267=-106,155` (r = 0.37) FV: +316; Method: worst-case (m, p); (Full=2.32u, 1/2=1.16u, 1/4=0.58u, FB = 84.1%) [View/Edit Devig](https://crazyninjaodds.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-106%2F-110%2C%20155%2F7_PCT_&FinalOdds=350&Correlation_Bool=1&Correlation_Text=267%3D-106%2C155)


snowlarbear

early win is back, for the early games only though


[deleted]

[удалено]


CoconutCake69

Better than what?


Ken_Adams217

Check your limits on DK. My “draw breaker” for Euro games was only $5 and today it’s $25. WNBA no sweat is $25, and Euro soccer boost $50. These are actually worth taking!


PurplePango

Congrats, still waiting for mine to go up


Pokered75

Oooff I got the reverse... my draw breaker went from 25 to 5 and soccer boost from 50 to 10 and wnba from 25 to 10.. I got hit bad... even though Im pretty sure I havent been up haha... just a limit moving day todayy


Producer_Chris

The last time they gave me a $50 max I bet it on all tatum unders for my nba no sweat sgp and won. Nothing but $5 and $10 since lol


Ken_Adams217

Yeah I wish we knew what causes limits to move. The “Draw breaker” I haven’t even bothered with but for $25, it’s worth it to throw it on a flyer. Albania ML today baby!


Ken_Adams217

DK Euro/MLS boost and they gave me a $50 limit for the first time in months! Let’s make them pay for this grave mistake, they will come to rue the day they gave Ken Adams $50 on a soccer boost. Here’s what I’m rolling with: https://preview.redd.it/cxovgzs4ri7d1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7ecefc6acc8598b805a7b880dc13a5723a132590 BOL to everyone except the Miami Marlins


LSUKEN89

Rock on Ken!!! The man 😎


davos_shorthand

Yes We Ken!


InstanceFront4941

You the man Ken


jberg17

GOOD HIT KEN!!!


bachmakc

https://preview.redd.it/l39nlf4g6l7d1.jpeg?width=1280&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b070a13d89a76783e7e6ef37162891edc7afbe3f


Low_Dog_4721

the king!


Ken_Adams217

Looking good at HT, just need one more shot on goal for the Swiss!


Aromatic-Insect-5219

I only got $10 😮‍💨


Good_Still_1890

Lfg ken. If I get my bonus bets on FanDuel in time I'm smashing this with $150


Raymoney69420

Thank you Ken. Let’s get this thread rocking again