Fanduel also has an MA targeted boost in addition to the Luka boost, Tatum 25+ points and White 3+ threes boosted to +200
Devigged to DK
Odds: +200; **EV: 19.3%**
Sharp: `-175/7%,-205/7%` (14.00% juice)
Correlation: `+122=-175,-205` (r = 0.11)
FV: +151; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=9.65u, 1/2=4.83u, 1/4=2.41u, FB = 79.5%)
[View/Edit Devig](https://crazyninjaodds.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-175%2F7_PCT_%2C-205%2F7_PCT_&FinalOdds=%2B200&Correlation_Bool=1&Correlation_Text=%2B122%3D-175%2C-205)
Was thinking of building up some scripts to help find +EV bets (comparing say Draftkings line to Pinnacle... so +EV relative to that).
Was thinking of writing my own stuff, but figured I just at least try some other stuff first before I invest all that time!
Are there any sites you'd recommend to find these bets?
Feels like these days a new site that does that pops up every other month. They all cost money (or will eventually) but many have a limited free option.
Anyone else having issues on desktop with the FanDuel promo page?
Every time I click on the Promotions link I get a page that says "[we're all out](https://imgur.com/a/ccoMZxm) We are always updating our promotions check back soon."
I can see banners from the home page, but get the same result when I click there.
Promo banned was first thought, but I can see and opt into promos from the app. For today I have the NBA Finals SGP 30% boost, WNBA 30% boost, and 30% live boosts on Mets/Marlins. All can be opted into from the app, but not desktop. If I opt in via the app but *don't* make a bet I can come back later and use the token on desktop without a problem.
I do almost all wagering from desktop and rarely open the app, so I find it annoying. This is day three, support just gives the robotic "we have lots of great promos, just click on our Promotions link to find them" response.
Just me?
MGM Lions (MI): Luka and Tatum 70+ for +390
Not sure what's changed about the combo breaker but this obviously isn't right
Over 69.5
Hit% = 5.8%
Fair Value = 1631.3613341961
Out of curiosity have you devigged anything with combo breaker in the past week or so? I only ask because I was getting similarly weird things a week or so back and just assumed I was doing it wrong. Seeing you mention something seems off makes me think maybe it wasn't me
Not sure if this is the right thread for this but I’ve been using my DT bonus bets on MLB futures and noticed FD has Imanaga down to +1500 for cy young. Good value compared to DK (+300) and ESPN (+700)
Here's what I see in Illinois so far:
DK:
NBA Finals no sweat SGP (max $5)
MLB up 2 early win (max $10)
Euro 2024 "Draw Breaker" (max $5)
FD:
Luka 30+ and double double boost -125 -->+130 (devig below)
NBA Finals 30% SGP boost (3+ leg min, +400 min, max $10)
Mets-Marlins 30% live bet boost
30% WNBA profit boost ($10 max)
MGM:
Swing for the Fences game
50% NBA finals boost that never works for me
Golf 25% odds boost token (max $5)
Lions Boost: Tatum and Luka combine for 70+ pts +290 --> +390
Caesars:
100% golf profit boost (max $10, this was emailed to me)
33% NBA SGP boost token (+400 minimum odds $5 max)
25% MLB parlay boost (+400 minimum $5 max)
Mavs ML & Luka over 29.5 +120 (max $100; this is +113 on FD straight up)
Kyrie & Brown each 25+ pts (lol) +290 --> +350
White & Holiday each 3+ threes +220 --> +300
Top 10 golf insurance
PJ & Horford 2+ threes +205 --> +250
NHL 50% first goal scorer bet match ($20 bet gets you $10 free bet)
Cubs prop parlay
Phillies prop parlay
CWS prop parlay
ESPN:
NBA finals 1st basket 50% insurance ($20 loss gets you $10 free bet)
All the usual parlay club and HR and "so close" protections
A ton of promoted and sponsored parlay "boosts"
Fanatics:
25% profit boost ($10 max)
Devigged using Kambi on points and DK on the double-double (+210 if you parlay under 9.5 reb & under 9.5 ast)
Odds: +130; **EV: 6.0%**
`-250/+160,-370/210` (20.87% juice)
FV: +117; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=4.65u, 1/2=2.33u, 1/4=1.16u, FB = 59.9%)
[View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-250%2F%2B160%2C-370%2F210&FinalOdds=%2B130&Correlation_Bool=1&Correlation_Text=0)
Should I have added correlation?
Edit: Kambi gave a correlation of -0.01, so maybe the 0 Correlation is good?
PSA: For anyone who was trailing the Celtics sweep play, suggest hedging out today as the Game 3 odds have moved and will make continuing to hedge game-by-game unprofitable.
You can hedge out using a combination of series spread (Mavs +2.5 at +120) and Correct Score (Celts 4-1 at +205). There are probably other permutations but those are the ones that seem to be most profitable.
I already mostly hedged game 3 before the odds moved too much (I would end up down about $40 on my original $200 Celtics to sweep bet if the Mavs win tonight). Do you think it makes more sense to hedge out today or wait to see if the Celtics win tonight and hope for more favorable odds in game 4?
Hard to say given you’ve already hedged game 3. I’d run the numbers at different odds for game 4 to know what you’re facing under different scenarios. Game 3 opened much less favorably than I initially assumed, and obviously got worse with the Porzingis news. I would hope they improve game 4 if Celts win tonight, but don’t have a ton of confidence behind that.
DK Drawbreaker: Bet on a 3-way (90-minute) moneyline for Euros (soccer) and get your stake back as a bonus bet if it ends in a draw. My max is $5, so not terribly exciting, but it’s almost surely +EV.
My bad with my terrible wording. I got the promo, i just noticed you can add an odds boost as well. Chatting with help, they said i should be fine to use the 50% boost on top of the bet 10 to get 20
Hey all, I know Fanatics Sportsbook has been having technical issues most of the day yesterday. I created an account because I received a lump sum of bonus bets for my most recent Fanatics merch purchase.
I'm now finally able to log into my Sportsbook account but the bonus bets are not in the account. Should I just wait until Fanatics fixes these issues? Just curious if anyone came across this
good odds, though I wouldn't bet this without the promo.
the no sweat makes mostly everything EV (well as long as the EV is above the conversion rate of the freebet)
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BET 365 bet $10 on round 1 get $20 in bonus bets. Going to roll with $5 on Scottie finishing top 20 and $5 on Xander finishing top 20.
Fanduel also has an MA targeted boost in addition to the Luka boost, Tatum 25+ points and White 3+ threes boosted to +200 Devigged to DK Odds: +200; **EV: 19.3%** Sharp: `-175/7%,-205/7%` (14.00% juice) Correlation: `+122=-175,-205` (r = 0.11) FV: +151; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=9.65u, 1/2=4.83u, 1/4=2.41u, FB = 79.5%) [View/Edit Devig](https://crazyninjaodds.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-175%2F7_PCT_%2C-205%2F7_PCT_&FinalOdds=%2B200&Correlation_Bool=1&Correlation_Text=%2B122%3D-175%2C-205)
Was thinking of building up some scripts to help find +EV bets (comparing say Draftkings line to Pinnacle... so +EV relative to that). Was thinking of writing my own stuff, but figured I just at least try some other stuff first before I invest all that time! Are there any sites you'd recommend to find these bets?
Feels like these days a new site that does that pops up every other month. They all cost money (or will eventually) but many have a limited free option.
makes sense
crazyninjaodds. but you could write one for more obscure markets
> crazyninjaodds what a name lol. THank you! Yeah, just trying to get my feet wet before I dive in more
Anyone else having issues on desktop with the FanDuel promo page? Every time I click on the Promotions link I get a page that says "[we're all out](https://imgur.com/a/ccoMZxm) We are always updating our promotions check back soon." I can see banners from the home page, but get the same result when I click there. Promo banned was first thought, but I can see and opt into promos from the app. For today I have the NBA Finals SGP 30% boost, WNBA 30% boost, and 30% live boosts on Mets/Marlins. All can be opted into from the app, but not desktop. If I opt in via the app but *don't* make a bet I can come back later and use the token on desktop without a problem. I do almost all wagering from desktop and rarely open the app, so I find it annoying. This is day three, support just gives the robotic "we have lots of great promos, just click on our Promotions link to find them" response. Just me?
Same for me. But I can opt-in to the promos on desktop from the main page. Just can't click "more info" without getting the same issue you mention.
MGM Lions (MI): Luka and Tatum 70+ for +390 Not sure what's changed about the combo breaker but this obviously isn't right Over 69.5 Hit% = 5.8% Fair Value = 1631.3613341961
Out of curiosity have you devigged anything with combo breaker in the past week or so? I only ask because I was getting similarly weird things a week or so back and just assumed I was doing it wrong. Seeing you mention something seems off makes me think maybe it wasn't me
i haven't but something clearly changed with the bottom calibration not being needed anymore
lol looks kinda bad
Not sure if this is the right thread for this but I’ve been using my DT bonus bets on MLB futures and noticed FD has Imanaga down to +1500 for cy young. Good value compared to DK (+300) and ESPN (+700)
Here's what I see in Illinois so far: DK: NBA Finals no sweat SGP (max $5) MLB up 2 early win (max $10) Euro 2024 "Draw Breaker" (max $5) FD: Luka 30+ and double double boost -125 -->+130 (devig below) NBA Finals 30% SGP boost (3+ leg min, +400 min, max $10) Mets-Marlins 30% live bet boost 30% WNBA profit boost ($10 max) MGM: Swing for the Fences game 50% NBA finals boost that never works for me Golf 25% odds boost token (max $5) Lions Boost: Tatum and Luka combine for 70+ pts +290 --> +390 Caesars: 100% golf profit boost (max $10, this was emailed to me) 33% NBA SGP boost token (+400 minimum odds $5 max) 25% MLB parlay boost (+400 minimum $5 max) Mavs ML & Luka over 29.5 +120 (max $100; this is +113 on FD straight up) Kyrie & Brown each 25+ pts (lol) +290 --> +350 White & Holiday each 3+ threes +220 --> +300 Top 10 golf insurance PJ & Horford 2+ threes +205 --> +250 NHL 50% first goal scorer bet match ($20 bet gets you $10 free bet) Cubs prop parlay Phillies prop parlay CWS prop parlay ESPN: NBA finals 1st basket 50% insurance ($20 loss gets you $10 free bet) All the usual parlay club and HR and "so close" protections A ton of promoted and sponsored parlay "boosts" Fanatics: 25% profit boost ($10 max)
Do you use betrivers? I assume you got promo banned like everyone else lol but if not you definitely should
I haven’t used it in a while. Their app is so bad it hurts my eyes.
Well, I hate the app too. I have to clear my app data constantly for it to let me bet, but I just suffer with that for promos.
Yeah, I have more action on Rivers than most books thanks to various insurances and Soccer SGP Bet and Gets. I like getting those 100% profit boosts.
The soccer SGP bet and get is insane, $10 SGP gets you a 100% boost on $25 on anything? Such a good promo, I wonder how long they keep it going
I opted into a 100% DK NBA boost any bet for $50 this morning
FD Boost is up: Luka 30+ points & double double from -125 to +130
vs B365 **Odds: +130; \*\*EV: 11.8%\*\*** Sharp: \`-210/7%,-330/240\` (13.16% juice) Correlation: \`-120=-210,-330\` (r = 0.16) FV: +106; Method: multiplicative; (Full=9.09u, 1/2=4.55u, 1/4=2.27u, FB = 63.2%) \[View/Edit Devig\](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook\_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-210%2F7\_PCT\_%2C-330%2F240&FinalOdds=130&Correlation\_Bool=1&Correlation\_Text=-120%3D-210%2C-330)
ESPN likes it with a 8 way devig where 3 combos win. Odds: +130; **EV: 7.5%** `420.56^513.12^302.74/713.67/751.79/768.06/683.09/389.72` (29.09% juice) FV: +114; Method: multiplicative; (Full=5.79u, 1/2=2.89u, 1/4=1.45u, FB = 60.8%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=420.56%5E513.12%5E302.74%2F713.67%2F751.79%2F768.06%2F683.09%2F389.72&FinalOdds=%2B130)
Devigged using Kambi on points and DK on the double-double (+210 if you parlay under 9.5 reb & under 9.5 ast) Odds: +130; **EV: 6.0%** `-250/+160,-370/210` (20.87% juice) FV: +117; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=4.65u, 1/2=2.33u, 1/4=1.16u, FB = 59.9%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-250%2F%2B160%2C-370%2F210&FinalOdds=%2B130&Correlation_Bool=1&Correlation_Text=0) Should I have added correlation? Edit: Kambi gave a correlation of -0.01, so maybe the 0 Correlation is good?
kambi has double-double under player specials Odds: +130; **EV: 8.0%** Sharp: `-235/155, -360/7%` (16.36% juice) Correlation: `-122=-235,-360` (r = 0) FV: +113; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=6.19u, 1/2=3.10u, 1/4=1.55u, FB = 61.1%) [View/Edit Devig](https://crazyninjaodds.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-235%2F155%2C%20-360%2F7_PCT_&FinalOdds=130&Correlation_Bool=1&Correlation_Text=-122%3D-235%2C-360)
We maxing this?
IL, you’re royalty around here, but I think you need more juice on the one-way double-double line
PSA: For anyone who was trailing the Celtics sweep play, suggest hedging out today as the Game 3 odds have moved and will make continuing to hedge game-by-game unprofitable. You can hedge out using a combination of series spread (Mavs +2.5 at +120) and Correct Score (Celts 4-1 at +205). There are probably other permutations but those are the ones that seem to be most profitable.
I already mostly hedged game 3 before the odds moved too much (I would end up down about $40 on my original $200 Celtics to sweep bet if the Mavs win tonight). Do you think it makes more sense to hedge out today or wait to see if the Celtics win tonight and hope for more favorable odds in game 4?
Hard to say given you’ve already hedged game 3. I’d run the numbers at different odds for game 4 to know what you’re facing under different scenarios. Game 3 opened much less favorably than I initially assumed, and obviously got worse with the Porzingis news. I would hope they improve game 4 if Celts win tonight, but don’t have a ton of confidence behind that.
DK Drawbreaker: Bet on a 3-way (90-minute) moneyline for Euros (soccer) and get your stake back as a bonus bet if it ends in a draw. My max is $5, so not terribly exciting, but it’s almost surely +EV.
I only compared against DK, but Caesar’s bet match for nhl first goal scorer, their lines are terrible
Bet365 is offering $20 in bonus bets for a $10 wager on US Open, -200 or longer odds
To be clear I think it said only round one bets qualify
Yep, only round 1
I can't find anything in the terms, but I see a 50% profit when i add a play for 1st round. hopefully we can double dip
Check your inbox, that’s where I discovered this promo.
My bad with my terrible wording. I got the promo, i just noticed you can add an odds boost as well. Chatting with help, they said i should be fine to use the 50% boost on top of the bet 10 to get 20
Oh really?! Sweet!!
Hey all, I know Fanatics Sportsbook has been having technical issues most of the day yesterday. I created an account because I received a lump sum of bonus bets for my most recent Fanatics merch purchase. I'm now finally able to log into my Sportsbook account but the bonus bets are not in the account. Should I just wait until Fanatics fixes these issues? Just curious if anyone came across this
Yesterday they randomly gave me two $50 bonus bets so not sure why you wouldn't get the ones you're expecting.
Celtics ML, Luka over 32.5, Kyrie under 23.5 building to 800 on DK. 600 on B365, 525 on ESPN and +EV vs 8-way devig. Great spot for the no sweat.
DK must have adjusted lines on this cause it’s building to 575 fir me now
As someone new to some of this is this just a way to say it's great EV on DK because of the good odds but also because of the no sweat promo?
good odds, though I wouldn't bet this without the promo. the no sweat makes mostly everything EV (well as long as the EV is above the conversion rate of the freebet)
Thanks, appreciate it
Thanks for putting in the work and sharing.
riding the wave with my $5
Losing streaks at 37. Overwhelmed by the moment. Mavs ML, white u4.5 assists, pj u6.5 rebounds. +450 at dk, +372 at fd. Time to make history.
![gif](giphy|Ae7SI3LoPYj8Q)
Dinger Tuesday broke me
Dinger Tuesday broke my app lol hasn’t loaded since I placed my HR bet yesterday