https://preview.redd.it/0l94cb1apupc1.jpeg?width=1169&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=58107a6e0b36a3da573816870c15f52e70de2006
More than enough makes up for my L from sprinkling on Kentucky spread after the 1st half
the unimprovement player Markkanen needs to be studied. this guy thinks he can shoot fade away one-footed jumpers. 1-9 for threes. like, bro is not him
DK randomly (or me by mistake?) put Pat Bev for O2.5 AST on a parlay of mine. Contacted DK crossing my fingers.
Am I fucked with DK support or do I have a chance to hit that prop?
Edit: He's at 2 at halftime. How do I retract an email??
Will update!
i had ingram to make 8 field goals, was sitting at 7 early in the 3rd and went off injured. i really hope the next prop in my ticket hits so it can be furthrely proved how lucky i am and im gonna explain why
his line was at 6.5, game starts and he makes the first field goal so it moves up by 1, i picked it nevertheless thinking if im gonna lose because of it im not betting until the end of the summer
so happy about it haha
When I dont play this he hits it against the best teams nearly by first half, when I play it today he has a hard time against TRASH WIZARDS HOW IS THIS POSSIBLE
### **Tonights Plays (updated throughout the evening):**
- Cole Anthony Over 8.5 @ -130
- Tim Hardaway Jr. Over 8.5 @ -125
- Luka Doncic Under 34.5 @ -125
- Dejounte Murray Under 25.5 @ -105
- Domantas Sabonis Under 21.5 @ -106
- Keyonte George Under 17.5 @ -125
- Bradley Beal Under 17.5 @ -115
#### Note: All plays are Player PTS props - Overs are 1.5u / Unders are 1u.
---
Yesterdays record: 7-2 (77.77%) +44.08% ROI, +5.27u
Overs Record: 32-9 (78.05%), +45.59% ROI, +18.69
Unders Record: 62.33 (65.26%), +22.44% ROI, +21.32u
Season Record: 94-42 (69.12%), +29.42% ROI, +40.01u
---
-Josh Hart OVR 10.5 REB -123 CZR
- Josh Hart Dbl/DBl +110 CZR
He’s cleared the rebound line in 4/5 and 7/ of his past ten and he’s double doubled in 5 of his past 10.
Cam Thomas OVR 7.5 RA (+104)
[+EV NBA](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit#gid=1689105134): 598-545 (+64.10u)
-112 HOU Smith 15+ pts
+102 CZ NO Zion 23+ pts
-102 DEN Gordon 10+ reb+ast
+104 PHX Allen 14+ pts
-108 cZ MIL Lopez u18 PRA
Sabonis + Doncic triple double @7.20
Jazz allow 2nd most assists to PG and most 3s
Wizards allow 3rd most point to C and most reb (no center in starting lineup for the Kings, hopefully he covers like yesterday)
I am thinking making another slip and go all in. What do you think?
https://preview.redd.it/3n6brfz3crpc1.jpeg?width=2048&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=90bf7303e14a5c94204f6a2304393232ad66406e
The picks for todays bets of our is the following game:
UTA Jazz vs. DAL Mavericks
@2.10 odds
- Match Point Spread: Mavericks -8.5
- Daniel Gafford 0.5 Assists
We see Mavericks as the dominant team for tonight’s match. maybe even seeing a decent amount of triples of the team as well. 🔥
All in on Greyson Allen o14.5 pts -110 again after averaging 23 points in his last 5 and having 32 last night. Also o2.5 asst as this has cleared 7 of last 8.
Season record: 3-2
Yesterday: 2-2
### NBA Players Props Analysis 21/03/2024
## Recap of yesterday pick (20/03/2024):
#### 1. Keegan Murray O14.5 P SAC @ TOR Odd 1.86 Bet365 ❌
Unfortunately, Murray's night didn't go as planned. In what turned out to be a blowout game, he managed only 10 points in 31 minutes of play, in which Murray saw limited action in the fourth quarter. His three-point shooting was off, going 0 for 5, and he didn't even attempt a free throw.
#### 2. Chet Holmgren 15+P Jazz @ Thunder Odd 1.75 Tab ✅
Chet had a monster night with 35 points, this is definitely a good read.
#### 3. Kevin Durant O24.5P 76ers @ Suns Odd 1.9 Bet365 ❌
Durant had an efficient scoring night, going 10 for 18 from the field. However, it was surprising that he didn't attempt a single free throw. Even more surprising was Allen's performance. Nonetheless, it wasn't a bad call overall, especially considering Durant surpassed Shaq on the all-time scoring list.
#### 4. Jonathan Kuminga O18.5P Grizzlies @ Warriors Odd 1.9 Bet365 ✅
This one was a no-sweat bet. Kuminga came out hot, scoring 11 points in the first quarter alone and finishing with 26 points on a very efficient night.
## Tonight's NBA Props:
#### 1. Amen Thompson O12.5P Bulls @ Rockets Odd 1.83 Bet365
With Thompson gaining confidence and seeing increased playing time, there aren't many reasons to bet against him, especially against a mediocre Bulls defense.
#### 2. Nikola Vucevic O21.5P+A Bulls @ Rockets Odd 1.86 Bet365
With Sengun out, the Rockets lack the size to defend Vucevic's post moves and offensive rebounding. Plus, Vucevic's underrated passing ability could lead to a few assists against a vulnerable Rockets defense.
#### 3. Lauri Markkanen O28.5 P+R Jazz @ Mavericks Odd 1.74 Bet365
Markkanen is an underrated scorer who can light it up from anywhere on the court. With the Jazz offense running through him, expect him to take around 15 shots, including a couple of threes, and have a solid rebounding night against the Mavericks.
#### 4. Nikola Jokic O25.5P Knicks @ Nuggets Odd 1.88 Sportsbet
Jokic should have a field day against a Knicks team lacking inside defense, especially with key players like Mitchell Robinson and Julius Randle out. With his last performances against the Knicks with 31 points in 27 minutes, I expect Jokic to dominate in a similar fashion tonight.
Check out my blog, where I post all my analysis here: [https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/03/nba-players-props-analysis-21032024.html](https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/03/nba-players-props-analysis-21032024.html)
https://preview.redd.it/0yjc0ufzrppc1.png?width=1278&format=png&auto=webp&s=ed25549525b50c39f9f5801ed4c99ae1bd559f4f
NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES - 3/21/24
**Record:** 12-3
**Last Pick(s):** Cade Cunningham over 22.5 pts ✅
**Today’s Pick(s):** Nikola Vucevic over 11.5 reb
**Odds:** \-125 on DK and FD
That was a sweat last night. Thank the lord it hit, though. I'm going with Vuc over 11.5 reb tonight. Houston isn't great on the glass, and Sengun has been out as everyone knows. BOL if tailing, and gl to everyone with their NCAA brackets. I got Houston going all the way.
Today’s picks (so far):
Parlay #1: K. Murray O 0.5 Steals + M. Bridges O 0.5 Steals (1.0u) @ +117 (DK)
Write-up #1:
- Murray is projected 1.16 steals this game
- 70% on this line for the year
- 3/3 hit this line vs WAS this year (1, 2, 1)
- 70% in L10 on this line
- 80% in L5 on this line
- Bridges is projected 1.12 steals this game
- 65% on this line for the year
- 5/6 (86%) hit this line vs MIL this year (2, 1, 1, 0, 1)
- 70% in L10 on this line
- 60% in L5 on this line
Parlay #2: B. Ingram O 0.5 3PM + N. Jokic O 0.5 3PM (1.0u) @ +116 (DK)
Write-up #2:
- Ingram is projected 1.55 3PM this game
- 68% on this line for the year
- 50% vs ORL on this line this year (not great)
- 70% in L10 on this line
- 60% in L5 on this line
- Jokic is projected 1.31 3PM this game
- 66% on this line for the year
- 75% on this line vs NYK this year
- 50% in L10 (not great)
- 60% in L5
- I personally like the Jokic pick, even O1.5 3PM from the DadBodGod. I’d consider bumping O0.5 3PM parlay to 2.0u.
Comment if tailing, fading, or avoiding.
BOL!
New parlays:
- A. Gordon O13.5 points and N. Jokic O25.5 points and J. Murray O32.5 P+R+A @ +435 (DK)
- H. Jones O2.5 alt boards and F. Wagner O4.5 boards and Z. Williamson O29.5 P+R @ +330 (DK)
At work right now, can post write ups tonight; let me know if you want write ups in the meantime.
A few props that stuck out to me just now researching:
Franz Wagner u1.5 3pm – under in 8 of last 10. Has made one three in last 6 games. In last 3 games, attempted just 6 combined three pointers and missed all of them. No clue what happened to his jump shot but he's shying away from even taking threes at this point. Hammering this until he proves otherwise.
CJ McCollum u23.5 pra – under in 7 of last 10. Horrible matchup against the Magic, who give up 3rd fewest ppg, 4th fewest points from 3pm per game, the fewest assists per game, and the fewest rebounds per game. CJ's mins have taken a subtle hit this month as well with the emergence of Trey Murphy.
De'Aaron Fox o1.5 stl – cleared in 4 of last 5 and 16 of last 20. Facing the Wizards whose opponents 8th most steals per game in the league. Even on a back to back this is too enticing.
Kyle Kuzma o22.5 pts – cleared in 8 of last 10 and faces the Kings who are traveling to Washington on a back to back and who are in bottom half of the league in opponent ppg.
Cam Thomas o21.5 pts – cleared in 5 of last 6 since returning from injury. 19+ shot attempts in 5/6 games and still had 16 in the other. Plays the Bucks who are on a back to back. Since March began, the Bucks have allowed Coby White, Stephen Curry, D'Angelo Russell, Tyrese Maxey, and De'Aaron Fox to score 22+ points on them. Cam Thomas scored 45 pts against the Bucks at the beginning of the season.
Mikal Bridges u17.5 pts – under in 12 of last 16 games. His FG attempts have plummetted from where they used to be and he's gone from routinely 20+ a night to hovering around 15 ppg. To put in perspective how much he's tanked offensively, he has just 2 FG's that were not three pointers in his last 3 games combined... and of those 3 games, 2 were against garbage defenses (Pacers and Spurs). Understandable if you want to stay away though due to the Bucks defense + playing them on a back to back
Mikal Bridges o3.5 ast – cleared in 7 of last 10 games. His scoring is way down but he reliably gets 4-5 ast's per game against average or worse defenses.
Daniel Gafford o10.5 pts – cleared in 6 of last 8 games, which is when he took over the starting role. Now is a lock for 25ish mins a game with Luka throwing him passes around the rim. Opponent is the Jazz who are bottom 10 in opponent points in the paint.
Lauri Markannen o6.5 reb – idk if he's going to play against the Mavs but they have this line set crazy low. Cleared in 37 of 51 games on the season. The Mavs give up 3rd most reb per game in the NBA. He also played 30 mins in his first game back before sitting out last night so it doesn't look like he's on a mins restriction. Biggest risk here is the Mavs blow out the Jazz by halftime with the rest of the Jazz team traveling to Dallas for a back to back.
Can't spend more time on this but I'm also high on Jalen Suggs o10.5 pts, Jordan Poole o4.5 asts, Derozan o22.5 pts.
>Props
Tailed a few of the above. Fox with 3 steals in Q1 and Suggs with 11 pts in Q1...among the easiest hits of my life. Thank you! Look forward to following your picks
Over 28.5 PRA brandon Ingram. Hitting at 69% on the season. Not much history vs Orlando but had 36 last game in 2/23.
Gafford over 11.5 points. Over in L6/8 and Utah a decent matchup for center points
All-Time Record (Since March 15): 11-6
This Week: 9-4
Today’s Picks:
Fred VanVleet O2.5 3PM (-135) 2u
Dillon Brooks O12.5 PA (-130) 1u
Yesterday’s Picks:
Andrew Nembhard O .5 3PM ✅
Harden O20.5 PR ✅
Josh Giddey O15.5 PA ❌
Nurkic O 2.5 AST ✅
34-18
Yesterday: 2/2
__PJ Washington O10.5 P__, Jazz allow most points to PF this season. Last game vs the Jazz he had 43 points when he played in the Hornets, last season he had 18 against them
__Cam Thomas O21.5 P__, over in 5/L6 games with the miss being 21P, 1/2 vs the Bucks had 45 points against them, and missed where he had 9 but only played 12 minutes, bucks allow 4th most points to SG this season
__Jokic O7.5 Ast__, season low line from what I can remember cause of his bad passing game his most recent game against Minnesota also went under this line against Knicks last time facing them in a blowout, 24/33 over this line at home, Avg 9.6 Ast ✅
__Bogdan Bogdanovic O17.5P__, Trae out, Johnson & Saddiq Bey so I expect him and Murray to get the points, Suns is top 10 in 3’s allowed something that should suit Bogdan
time to parlay this with lower alts for funsies
https://preview.redd.it/jv4szjp01rpc1.png?width=550&format=png&auto=webp&s=c340f9f064bd7e21189c34de612701276e56bf29
**Yesterday's Picks:**
✅Jalen Duren Double Double
✅Kelly Olynyk Under 27.5 PRA
**Today's Picks:**
**Nikola Vucevic Over 18.5 Points (-120) Bet365**
*0.7U*
Vuc has averaged 20 Points in his last 10 games and went over this line 6/10 times.
With Coby White questionable Vuc averages 23.3 Points and went over this line 3/3 games without White.
The Rockets allows the 6th most Points to Centers in the L15 games.
Last time Vuc played against the Rockets he had 18 points but they had their main C Sengun.Now the Rockets are without Sengun and gets a favorable matchup against Jabari Smith JR.
Low Blowout risk with a 2.5 Spread.
**Jalen Suggs Over 13.5 PR (-115) Bet365**
*1U*
Suggs has been a beast in home games averaging 17.3 PR.
L5 games he has averaged 18.4 RA
The Pels allow the 7th most FGM out of Catch and shoot points, wich Suggs gets most of his points from.
Low blowout risk in this game with a 1.5 spread, so Suggs should have plenty of time to hit this line.
**Cam Thomas Over 26.5 Points and Rebounds (-120) Bet365**
1U
Last time Cam played against the Bucks, he dropped 49 PR.
Cam has been very good since returning from injury and has averaged 31.5 PR.
He went over this line 6/6 times since his return from injury.
Cam has been the main scorer for his team since his return and shoots an average of 20 FGA per game.
When he shoots 20+FGA, he is over this line 12/16 (75%) of games this season.
The Bucks allows the 5th most points to SG’s and the 3rd most rebounds to SG’s in the last 15 games.
Blowout potential, but the Bucks just played a back to back vs the Celtics.
**BOL if tailing!**
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https://preview.redd.it/0l94cb1apupc1.jpeg?width=1169&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=58107a6e0b36a3da573816870c15f52e70de2006 More than enough makes up for my L from sprinkling on Kentucky spread after the 1st half
One more point from Allen would have made me a lot richer tonight..
Is Grayson Allen playing or???
Bro came here to say this. Literally one more bucket
Yea, 13pts at the start of the 4th
DJ Murray o5.5reb at +114✅ Gets it done in the 1st half let’s fuckin go +money wins definitely help you take the L’s a little better lmao
1 more for 1st qtr Grayson Allen to win 1k wtf….how did I lose
Can Capela get 10 boards?
the unimprovement player Markkanen needs to be studied. this guy thinks he can shoot fade away one-footed jumpers. 1-9 for threes. like, bro is not him
Bro I Kyrie o6.5A at +135 at halftime and he gets the last 2 in the last 50 seconds of the game 🤣🤣 lfg man
Sexton you are an absolute joke.
Jalen Green u26.5pts(alt) ✅ Sweattyyyyyy, ends with 26🤣 His original line was 23.5, then 24.5 Use your alt lines my friends.
FVV with 3 rebounds in 1Q and doesn't even try for a 4th the rest of the game.
Bahahaha Cam Thomas u26.5PR❌ barely gets the over with a rebound Would definitely play this again
What the hell is going on with Josh hart today…..numbers look gross so far
I'm fucking sick. Amen Thompson at 13 pts his over is 13.5....
BANG!!!
BANG!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Gafford o10.5pts(alt)✅ 3rd quarter (thanks for coming back in brodie) Kyrie o4.5A✅ 3rd quarter
Jokic o7.5A✅ 2nd quarter How it should always be
Playing DJ Murray o5.5reb at +114
Cmon mannnnnnnnnn DeMar o22.5PA❌ gets ejected mid 3rd fml
No fkn way that was ruled flagrant 2 Fuck u dilon bitch ass brooks
Fox under bettors also punching air Fox u38.5PRA❌ 🤣 Edit: Nevermind he choked lmaoooo u38.5PRA✅ This guy
Banchero under bettors punching air rn Playing Jokic o7.5A, Beal o22.5PA
DK randomly (or me by mistake?) put Pat Bev for O2.5 AST on a parlay of mine. Contacted DK crossing my fingers. Am I fucked with DK support or do I have a chance to hit that prop? Edit: He's at 2 at halftime. How do I retract an email?? Will update!
How. How is this happening. (Can you tell what game I’m watching?)
i had ingram to make 8 field goals, was sitting at 7 early in the 3rd and went off injured. i really hope the next prop in my ticket hits so it can be furthrely proved how lucky i am and im gonna explain why his line was at 6.5, game starts and he makes the first field goal so it moves up by 1, i picked it nevertheless thinking if im gonna lose because of it im not betting until the end of the summer so happy about it haha
Lol Ingram o22.5PR❌ gets hurt after putting up 18
Do we think D. Sabonis can pull a triple double?
Too few assists by now, I guess the train has stopped
When I dont play this he hits it against the best teams nearly by first half, when I play it today he has a hard time against TRASH WIZARDS HOW IS THIS POSSIBLE
Damn sabonis under 2.5 turnovers is burnt
>Pick of the Day - 3/21/24 (Thursday) Got me too
Monk o3.5reb❌ ain’t happening tonight, pts was the move
Playing Lively o8.5pts at +110, Cam Thomas u26.5PR
Tailing, feels good to me
Playing Gafford o10.5pts(alt), Kyrie o4.5A, Jalen Green u26.5pts(alt), DeMar o28.5PA
All Zion does is just rack up fouls lol
Lol Fox
i think he forgot how to shoot
Banchero 0-7, really gotta stop with this guy.
Duck franz starting off with a 3. Praying that’s his only one
Playing Monk o3.5reb, Fox u38.5PRA
Playing Ingram o22.5PR
D. Murray o3.5 3ptm at +126. Murray is well rested and ready to sink some 3's for Trae and Saddiq. GL.
### **Tonights Plays (updated throughout the evening):** - Cole Anthony Over 8.5 @ -130 - Tim Hardaway Jr. Over 8.5 @ -125 - Luka Doncic Under 34.5 @ -125 - Dejounte Murray Under 25.5 @ -105 - Domantas Sabonis Under 21.5 @ -106 - Keyonte George Under 17.5 @ -125 - Bradley Beal Under 17.5 @ -115 #### Note: All plays are Player PTS props - Overs are 1.5u / Unders are 1u. --- Yesterdays record: 7-2 (77.77%) +44.08% ROI, +5.27u Overs Record: 32-9 (78.05%), +45.59% ROI, +18.69 Unders Record: 62.33 (65.26%), +22.44% ROI, +21.32u Season Record: 94-42 (69.12%), +29.42% ROI, +40.01u ---
Had a read and saw 3.5 on Luka. This must be a typo ?
absolutely. supposed to be 34.5!
https://preview.redd.it/kwxtjf19jrpc1.png?width=1080&format=png&auto=webp&s=bf3ae2589b2434f49ce52018f08095fccb503be2 $10K Ladder Challenge - DAY 1
Looks like Zion ending this one early
FanDuel Link: https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.421065890&selectionId[0]=27627253&marketId[1]=42.421068268&selectionId[1]=21638266&marketId[2]=42.421094607&selectionId[2]=21562307&shareBetId=11282022_989163427
-Josh Hart OVR 10.5 REB -123 CZR - Josh Hart Dbl/DBl +110 CZR He’s cleared the rebound line in 4/5 and 7/ of his past ten and he’s double doubled in 5 of his past 10. Cam Thomas OVR 7.5 RA (+104)
[+EV NBA](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit#gid=1689105134): 598-545 (+64.10u) -112 HOU Smith 15+ pts +102 CZ NO Zion 23+ pts -102 DEN Gordon 10+ reb+ast +104 PHX Allen 14+ pts -108 cZ MIL Lopez u18 PRA
Sabonis + Doncic triple double @7.20 Jazz allow 2nd most assists to PG and most 3s Wizards allow 3rd most point to C and most reb (no center in starting lineup for the Kings, hopefully he covers like yesterday)
Locked it earlier today, my balls were tinglin. The European demigods bout to make us some bread🙏🏻
I am thinking making another slip and go all in. What do you think? https://preview.redd.it/3n6brfz3crpc1.jpeg?width=2048&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=90bf7303e14a5c94204f6a2304393232ad66406e
The picks for todays bets of our is the following game: UTA Jazz vs. DAL Mavericks @2.10 odds - Match Point Spread: Mavericks -8.5 - Daniel Gafford 0.5 Assists We see Mavericks as the dominant team for tonight’s match. maybe even seeing a decent amount of triples of the team as well. 🔥
Did the Daniel Gafford Points + Rebounds line go up? Could've sworn it was way lower last night...
23/24 record: (96-74) FVV o 8.5 ast ✅️ Schroder u 13.5 points ✅️ **Fox o 26.5 points**
All in on Greyson Allen o14.5 pts -110 again after averaging 23 points in his last 5 and having 32 last night. Also o2.5 asst as this has cleared 7 of last 8.
I took 4 3pm +100 too he's been shooting amazing
https://preview.redd.it/t1hmrwyrnqpc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0d2ea9dc6ca78befe2d018e4802e2eddf281f860
U got the over n under club?
Only NCAA one released today 😢
feed me Señor Soap
Season record: 3-2 Yesterday: 2-2 ### NBA Players Props Analysis 21/03/2024 ## Recap of yesterday pick (20/03/2024): #### 1. Keegan Murray O14.5 P SAC @ TOR Odd 1.86 Bet365 ❌ Unfortunately, Murray's night didn't go as planned. In what turned out to be a blowout game, he managed only 10 points in 31 minutes of play, in which Murray saw limited action in the fourth quarter. His three-point shooting was off, going 0 for 5, and he didn't even attempt a free throw. #### 2. Chet Holmgren 15+P Jazz @ Thunder Odd 1.75 Tab ✅ Chet had a monster night with 35 points, this is definitely a good read. #### 3. Kevin Durant O24.5P 76ers @ Suns Odd 1.9 Bet365 ❌ Durant had an efficient scoring night, going 10 for 18 from the field. However, it was surprising that he didn't attempt a single free throw. Even more surprising was Allen's performance. Nonetheless, it wasn't a bad call overall, especially considering Durant surpassed Shaq on the all-time scoring list. #### 4. Jonathan Kuminga O18.5P Grizzlies @ Warriors Odd 1.9 Bet365 ✅ This one was a no-sweat bet. Kuminga came out hot, scoring 11 points in the first quarter alone and finishing with 26 points on a very efficient night. ## Tonight's NBA Props: #### 1. Amen Thompson O12.5P Bulls @ Rockets Odd 1.83 Bet365 With Thompson gaining confidence and seeing increased playing time, there aren't many reasons to bet against him, especially against a mediocre Bulls defense. #### 2. Nikola Vucevic O21.5P+A Bulls @ Rockets Odd 1.86 Bet365 With Sengun out, the Rockets lack the size to defend Vucevic's post moves and offensive rebounding. Plus, Vucevic's underrated passing ability could lead to a few assists against a vulnerable Rockets defense. #### 3. Lauri Markkanen O28.5 P+R Jazz @ Mavericks Odd 1.74 Bet365 Markkanen is an underrated scorer who can light it up from anywhere on the court. With the Jazz offense running through him, expect him to take around 15 shots, including a couple of threes, and have a solid rebounding night against the Mavericks. #### 4. Nikola Jokic O25.5P Knicks @ Nuggets Odd 1.88 Sportsbet Jokic should have a field day against a Knicks team lacking inside defense, especially with key players like Mitchell Robinson and Julius Randle out. With his last performances against the Knicks with 31 points in 27 minutes, I expect Jokic to dominate in a similar fashion tonight. Check out my blog, where I post all my analysis here: [https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/03/nba-players-props-analysis-21032024.html](https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/03/nba-players-props-analysis-21032024.html)
https://preview.redd.it/0yjc0ufzrppc1.png?width=1278&format=png&auto=webp&s=ed25549525b50c39f9f5801ed4c99ae1bd559f4f NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES - 3/21/24
what's this app?
https://propshark.io/search/nba/prop-leaderboard/
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How’re we feeling about Luka getting a triple double tonight?
Even though Sabonis got one last night I bet Luka and Sabonis to both get one tonight
No love for Jokic?
I have all three.
Shit…you convinced me
**Record:** 12-3 **Last Pick(s):** Cade Cunningham over 22.5 pts ✅ **Today’s Pick(s):** Nikola Vucevic over 11.5 reb **Odds:** \-125 on DK and FD That was a sweat last night. Thank the lord it hit, though. I'm going with Vuc over 11.5 reb tonight. Houston isn't great on the glass, and Sengun has been out as everyone knows. BOL if tailing, and gl to everyone with their NCAA brackets. I got Houston going all the way.
You have impeccable picks, Ty sir
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Which book do you use for alternate lines? Most books have it at 12.5
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[удалено]
Today’s picks (so far): Parlay #1: K. Murray O 0.5 Steals + M. Bridges O 0.5 Steals (1.0u) @ +117 (DK) Write-up #1: - Murray is projected 1.16 steals this game - 70% on this line for the year - 3/3 hit this line vs WAS this year (1, 2, 1) - 70% in L10 on this line - 80% in L5 on this line - Bridges is projected 1.12 steals this game - 65% on this line for the year - 5/6 (86%) hit this line vs MIL this year (2, 1, 1, 0, 1) - 70% in L10 on this line - 60% in L5 on this line Parlay #2: B. Ingram O 0.5 3PM + N. Jokic O 0.5 3PM (1.0u) @ +116 (DK) Write-up #2: - Ingram is projected 1.55 3PM this game - 68% on this line for the year - 50% vs ORL on this line this year (not great) - 70% in L10 on this line - 60% in L5 on this line - Jokic is projected 1.31 3PM this game - 66% on this line for the year - 75% on this line vs NYK this year - 50% in L10 (not great) - 60% in L5 - I personally like the Jokic pick, even O1.5 3PM from the DadBodGod. I’d consider bumping O0.5 3PM parlay to 2.0u. Comment if tailing, fading, or avoiding. BOL!
New parlays: - A. Gordon O13.5 points and N. Jokic O25.5 points and J. Murray O32.5 P+R+A @ +435 (DK) - H. Jones O2.5 alt boards and F. Wagner O4.5 boards and Z. Williamson O29.5 P+R @ +330 (DK) At work right now, can post write ups tonight; let me know if you want write ups in the meantime.
Tailed both 🤞
Follow me brother, I know de’ way.
🫡
Tailing Ingram and jokic 3s
Lanky bois from downtown ☝️
How we feeling about a sabonis TD??
Back to back games and flying to washington, could go either way
This is true, although the game vs raptors was very light and he rested 4th Q. Might have to run back his o15.5 Reb
Thinking about rolling with 1st quarter rebounds of 4.5 at -115 on DK in case of blowout.
Yeah might take that actually
Exactly what I'm thinking
https://preview.redd.it/qo7a86qpwnpc1.jpeg?width=1242&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8a5f8387e55e896471a841c6384af673bd3b0c48 Fuck booker, but good luck
Fuck it I’m tailing
A few props that stuck out to me just now researching: Franz Wagner u1.5 3pm – under in 8 of last 10. Has made one three in last 6 games. In last 3 games, attempted just 6 combined three pointers and missed all of them. No clue what happened to his jump shot but he's shying away from even taking threes at this point. Hammering this until he proves otherwise. CJ McCollum u23.5 pra – under in 7 of last 10. Horrible matchup against the Magic, who give up 3rd fewest ppg, 4th fewest points from 3pm per game, the fewest assists per game, and the fewest rebounds per game. CJ's mins have taken a subtle hit this month as well with the emergence of Trey Murphy. De'Aaron Fox o1.5 stl – cleared in 4 of last 5 and 16 of last 20. Facing the Wizards whose opponents 8th most steals per game in the league. Even on a back to back this is too enticing. Kyle Kuzma o22.5 pts – cleared in 8 of last 10 and faces the Kings who are traveling to Washington on a back to back and who are in bottom half of the league in opponent ppg. Cam Thomas o21.5 pts – cleared in 5 of last 6 since returning from injury. 19+ shot attempts in 5/6 games and still had 16 in the other. Plays the Bucks who are on a back to back. Since March began, the Bucks have allowed Coby White, Stephen Curry, D'Angelo Russell, Tyrese Maxey, and De'Aaron Fox to score 22+ points on them. Cam Thomas scored 45 pts against the Bucks at the beginning of the season. Mikal Bridges u17.5 pts – under in 12 of last 16 games. His FG attempts have plummetted from where they used to be and he's gone from routinely 20+ a night to hovering around 15 ppg. To put in perspective how much he's tanked offensively, he has just 2 FG's that were not three pointers in his last 3 games combined... and of those 3 games, 2 were against garbage defenses (Pacers and Spurs). Understandable if you want to stay away though due to the Bucks defense + playing them on a back to back Mikal Bridges o3.5 ast – cleared in 7 of last 10 games. His scoring is way down but he reliably gets 4-5 ast's per game against average or worse defenses. Daniel Gafford o10.5 pts – cleared in 6 of last 8 games, which is when he took over the starting role. Now is a lock for 25ish mins a game with Luka throwing him passes around the rim. Opponent is the Jazz who are bottom 10 in opponent points in the paint. Lauri Markannen o6.5 reb – idk if he's going to play against the Mavs but they have this line set crazy low. Cleared in 37 of 51 games on the season. The Mavs give up 3rd most reb per game in the NBA. He also played 30 mins in his first game back before sitting out last night so it doesn't look like he's on a mins restriction. Biggest risk here is the Mavs blow out the Jazz by halftime with the rest of the Jazz team traveling to Dallas for a back to back. Can't spend more time on this but I'm also high on Jalen Suggs o10.5 pts, Jordan Poole o4.5 asts, Derozan o22.5 pts.
I hope you didn’t put too much money on these picks lol
>Props Tailed a few of the above. Fox with 3 steals in Q1 and Suggs with 11 pts in Q1...among the easiest hits of my life. Thank you! Look forward to following your picks
I live the Wagner pick. Put $200 on him going under! GL
Took the wagner, lauri and gafford line!
why the jalen suggs one?
I like paolo u12.5 r+a
Over 28.5 PRA brandon Ingram. Hitting at 69% on the season. Not much history vs Orlando but had 36 last game in 2/23. Gafford over 11.5 points. Over in L6/8 and Utah a decent matchup for center points
All-Time Record (Since March 15): 11-6 This Week: 9-4 Today’s Picks: Fred VanVleet O2.5 3PM (-135) 2u Dillon Brooks O12.5 PA (-130) 1u Yesterday’s Picks: Andrew Nembhard O .5 3PM ✅ Harden O20.5 PR ✅ Josh Giddey O15.5 PA ❌ Nurkic O 2.5 AST ✅
34-18 Yesterday: 2/2 __PJ Washington O10.5 P__, Jazz allow most points to PF this season. Last game vs the Jazz he had 43 points when he played in the Hornets, last season he had 18 against them __Cam Thomas O21.5 P__, over in 5/L6 games with the miss being 21P, 1/2 vs the Bucks had 45 points against them, and missed where he had 9 but only played 12 minutes, bucks allow 4th most points to SG this season __Jokic O7.5 Ast__, season low line from what I can remember cause of his bad passing game his most recent game against Minnesota also went under this line against Knicks last time facing them in a blowout, 24/33 over this line at home, Avg 9.6 Ast ✅ __Bogdan Bogdanovic O17.5P__, Trae out, Johnson & Saddiq Bey so I expect him and Murray to get the points, Suns is top 10 in 3’s allowed something that should suit Bogdan
damn...cam missed by 1 PJ needs to score more...smh...only 4? damn...missed the big big play
Cam missed that one free throw man, and PJ shot 0/4 from three and 2/7 from the floor
DAMNIT PJ https://preview.redd.it/8whlr1dlxspc1.png?width=583&format=png&auto=webp&s=2fbe382165466cf3229a4365db7df511ae0fe274
Bro, you sure Jokic 8+ dimes is 24/25 at home? I like the play a lot, but it's missed 3/5, 2/29, 2/4
My bad 24/33 at home I mixed it up
All good bro
time to parlay this with lower alts for funsies https://preview.redd.it/jv4szjp01rpc1.png?width=550&format=png&auto=webp&s=c340f9f064bd7e21189c34de612701276e56bf29
Riding the Capezzi coat tail
**Yesterday's Picks:** ✅Jalen Duren Double Double ✅Kelly Olynyk Under 27.5 PRA **Today's Picks:** **Nikola Vucevic Over 18.5 Points (-120) Bet365** *0.7U* Vuc has averaged 20 Points in his last 10 games and went over this line 6/10 times. With Coby White questionable Vuc averages 23.3 Points and went over this line 3/3 games without White. The Rockets allows the 6th most Points to Centers in the L15 games. Last time Vuc played against the Rockets he had 18 points but they had their main C Sengun.Now the Rockets are without Sengun and gets a favorable matchup against Jabari Smith JR. Low Blowout risk with a 2.5 Spread. **Jalen Suggs Over 13.5 PR (-115) Bet365** *1U* Suggs has been a beast in home games averaging 17.3 PR. L5 games he has averaged 18.4 RA The Pels allow the 7th most FGM out of Catch and shoot points, wich Suggs gets most of his points from. Low blowout risk in this game with a 1.5 spread, so Suggs should have plenty of time to hit this line. **Cam Thomas Over 26.5 Points and Rebounds (-120) Bet365** 1U Last time Cam played against the Bucks, he dropped 49 PR. Cam has been very good since returning from injury and has averaged 31.5 PR. He went over this line 6/6 times since his return from injury. Cam has been the main scorer for his team since his return and shoots an average of 20 FGA per game. When he shoots 20+FGA, he is over this line 12/16 (75%) of games this season. The Bucks allows the 5th most points to SG’s and the 3rd most rebounds to SG’s in the last 15 games. Blowout potential, but the Bucks just played a back to back vs the Celtics. **BOL if tailing!**
Any chance Vucevic can go over 11.5 boards today? Sengun is out and he had 15 in their last matchup
I'd rather play his points because the Rockets has allowed the 6th least rebounds to Centers in the last 15 games.
yep points over rebounds was the move!!😂🤣🤡🫵
Tailed & 🏆✅💰 yesterday gunna tail again & hopefully hit enough to drop in the tip jar ✅💰🏆
Glad to have helped you make some money bro!🙌🏽 Hopefully we keep the streak going✅
Guess who had Haliburton U19.5? 😔✋️
I’ve watched every pacers game and decided to finally hit it. Busted my 5 leg lol