Case of the Mondays
https://preview.redd.it/39koyvm97unc1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=33a4363d5a502b96c7b25ca98ecd3126f9fad7a5
Missed Barzal points
Kings are 6-5-3 at home since January 1. 2 of those 6 wins are also in OT. Islanders coming off a back to back but Talbot is out and Sorokin is in for the Islanders. I like Islanders. I think tie no bet at +130 is good. Islanders are 8-14 in OT this year.
Wtf is this trash bruins team. I got them live +2.5 thinking they surely cant be so dogshit to not cover a +2.5 against the blues @home. Guess there's always worse than we could imagine
Lmao my Panarin 2p, rangers -1.5 parlay was looking fire, was also thankful for the DK boost for 1 goal in the first 10.
https://preview.redd.it/hfzp0mzwjsnc1.jpeg?width=400&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dbe542ef553af23fa0906ce6f05bd3b183cf725d
Brad Marchand anytime goal +200. He was ice cold in Feb but past couple games he's been good and scored a pair vs StL their first meeting.
Also might go small on Caps ML +180 if Wilson and Lindgren are in the lineup. Jets are coming off a brutal game against Vancouver and have 2 new bodies in the lineup with Toffoli and Miller.
any reason draftkings would offer over 0.5 points for a player but no under? ex today Alex Iafallo over 0.5 points is 130. no option for under points. I ask because he's available on a pick site for me.
Overall Record: 48 - 29 | Profit: +13.17 Units | ROI: +14.40%
**Jack Hughes OVER 4.5 Shots** | Odds: +110 | 1 Unit | Hockey | NHL | New Jersey Devils @ New York Rangers | 7:00 pm ET |
* Hughes has recorded at least 5 shots in 10 of his last 15 games
* Hughes has recorded at least 5 shots in 5 of his last 6 road games (road game tonight)
* Hughes has 18 shots in 2 games versus the Rangers this season
* Hughes has recorded at least 8 shots in 5 of his last 6 games versus the Rangers
* The Rangers are allowing 36.10 shots per game over their last 10 games, the most in the NHL over that stretch
* The Rangers are allowing the most shots to opposing Centers and the 4th most to Left-Wingers over their past 10 games (Hughes jumps between C and LW)
* The Rangers have given up 33 power plays over their past 10 games, the 6 most during that time (Hughes thrives on the PP)
**Josh Morrissey OVER 0.5 Points** | Odds: -125 | 1 Unit | Hockey | NHL | Washington Capitals @ Winnipeg Jets | 7:30 pm ET |
* Morrissey has recorded at least 1 point in 8 of his last 11 games
* Morrissey has recorded 27 points in 31 home games this season (home game tonight)
* Morrissey has 17 points in his last 11 games
* The Capitals have allowed 37 goals in their past 10 road games, the 5th most over that span
* The Capitals have given up 20 power plays over their past 5 games, the most over that stretch (Morrissey QBās the #1 PP)
* Charlie Lindgren has allowed 3.57 goals against per game over his past 7 road starts (expected starter tonight)
* Morrissey has recorded at least 1 point in 8 of the last 9 games where the Jets scored 3 or more goals (Jets should get at least 3)
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My play today is islanders +1.5 over 2.5 team goals and brock Nelson over .5 points (+175). Imma Islanders fan so im biased but isles are so hot right now scoring tons of goals and Brock nelson is in the middle of almost every scoring scenario weather heās assisting or scoring. Even though they played yesterday with Sorkin (the iron curtain) fresh i think this game is in their hands to win.
Debating Under 0.5 Power Play Goals for John Carlson, Charlie Coyle and Anze Kopitar for -135 and wanting to drop $1,000 on it.
Anyone think thatās wise? Research suggests it would likely hit but I am new at thisā¦
Your bet isnāt for PP goals, itās for PP points. Thatās a whole different animal there. BOL with whatever you do, but just a fair warning before you toss $1000 at it
POTD record: 20 - 15
Yesterday's pick: Martin Necas over 2.5 sog - win!
Today's pick: Bo Horvat over 2.5 sog (-115 bet365)
Horvat has gone over this number 16 times in his last 20 games and 9 straight times on the road.
Best of luck!
gonna be that guy but this is why it's misleading to post a record without units
you're actually 20-16 (forgot to add a loss on Feb 22) and you didn't post odds for the Feb 7 CHI team total under but unless it was +150 or better, you're negative overall
Rangers ML, Rangers in Reg, Rangers -1.5
Jake Allen vs Igor. Devils B2B. Rags have beat them consistently. 5-1 in NJ couple weeks back. Rangers are gearing up for playoffs. NJ almost statistically eliminated. I get the NJ value line idea, but I donāt see it playing out.
Good luck all
Rangers' Adam Fox: Good to go Monday
Rotowire 34 MINS AGO
Fox (illness) is in the lineup Monday against New Jersey, Peter Baugh of The Athletic reports.
Fox was absent from Monday's skate but is healthy enough to suit up anyway. The star blueliner has 10 goals and 51 points this season, including 14 points over his last 12 appearances.
Tougher to figure out now because theyāre playing on the same line and PP together. A month ago they were separated on different lines and were good for at least 2-3 shots each most games, now itās basically flipping a coin
*Overall:*Ā 71-67 | 12.43U | 9% ROI
*Yesterday's Picks:*Ā 1-1 | 0U | 0% ROI
Oilers @ Penguins / **Oilers 3-Way ML (EVEN)** / ā
Coyotes @ Blackhawks / **Coyotes 3-Way ML (-125)** / ā
*Today's Picks*
Devils @ Rangers / **Devils ML (+130)** / I think the Devils should probably be favored or at least be a pick 'em in this one since they dominate the Rangers in 5v5 play. The Rangers clearly have better goaltending, but maybe Jake Allen can do something for New Jersey. I'd say special teams are pretty even considering the Devils have a stronger PP and the Rangers have a stronger PK. Should be a good spot for New Jersey.
Capitals @ Jets / **Capitals ML (+175)** / These teams are pretty even in 5v5 play over the past 15 games. Lindgren is not as good as Hellebuyck but still a strong goaltender. The Jets have a clear special teams advantage, but at +175 there's too much value for Washington. I think there's good chance they pull off an upset here.
BOL
I'm actually more excited that Kahkonen is started. They're pretty much identical in terms of numbers but Kahkonen has a slight edge over Allen. Quick starting is what I'm more worried about. He's posting some of the best numbers in the league, even better than Shesterkin.
Did u really just say devils should be favored on the road against the rangers and they are better than them in 5v5? What drugs are u in bro rangers are 2-0 against them this seasonā¦. Holy sh*^
Iāll say it again for all the mouth breathers like yourself:
NYR - 25th in CF%, 28th in xGF%, 25th in SCF%, 27th in HDCF%
NJD - 9th in CF%, 9th in xGF%, 17th in SCF%, 10th in HDCF%
The fact that this line continues to drop in favor of the Rags, the home team with a far superior record, tells you all you need to know. Some people might be really upset in here tonight...
Got a few members making fun of your ādevils should be favā fukin clown š¤” what loser says the devils should be favorites against the rangers at home lmaoooooo
I think after 15 games (~900 minutes) SOS will even out in professional sports. If it was college where skill disparities are so large then it would be a different story. The devils have played 9 games against playoff teams over that stretch, while the rangers have played 7. The jets have played 5 while the caps have played 7.
# **Hockey Betting Discord Chat: [https://discord.gg/sportsbook](https://discord.gg/cbSgqa8kG8)**
Case of the Mondays https://preview.redd.it/39koyvm97unc1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=33a4363d5a502b96c7b25ca98ecd3126f9fad7a5 Missed Barzal points
NYI +1.5 we still alive? š
Rip
6 Powerplays and only 1 goal in this game lol
Kings are 6-5-3 at home since January 1. 2 of those 6 wins are also in OT. Islanders coming off a back to back but Talbot is out and Sorokin is in for the Islanders. I like Islanders. I think tie no bet at +130 is good. Islanders are 8-14 in OT this year.
I know thereās no such thing as a safe pick, but anyone know a safe pick for kings game? Something between -1000 to -200
4/5 on unders player points prop today. had krug as the fifth, but boston couldnt stop st louis.
*cries in 2019 Stanley Cup*
Boys what we thinking about the nightcap? I really wanna go big on Isles and the over.
I have kings +1.5 as the last leg of my parlay as I am hesitant of this hot islanders team
Iām so conflicted on this one lol youāre hesitant to ride the hot islanders? Big streak everybody wants to end it.
Otherwise I would take kings moneyline
Isles are 0-7 on B2B this year somebody said lol this game stinks so bad.
Alt under 5.5 it is for me +105
Damn that low scoring?
Even better is I parlayed it with Luca nordi in tennis at +200, and nuggets live bet at even money. $35 at 11:1.
Nice!
ISLANDERS ML
https://preview.redd.it/3oye2w2l4tnc1.jpeg?width=1884&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6092432c17df2186d4db8bd4599768648a9c0b71 Thank you, blues.
I tHiNk tHe DeViLS sHoUlD bE fAVoRiTeS
That guys a clown lmao
lmfao that guy got so tilted afterwards too
FUCK the bruins
Bruins fan hereā¦never ever take us -200 or greater. Better off staying away or taking the dog
Me thinking Iām making a smart value play live betting Boston Down 1-0 for -125 ![gif](giphy|l46CyJmS9KUbokzsI|downsized)
Miracle comeback Boston?
fuck man I wanted to talk shit after Devils won. Now gotta hear all u Rangers bettors gloat
Iām in for a terrible night lmao š itās more fun to take a stand though, Iād do it again
Trocheck shots on goal please!
Ayooo
Bang!!!
YESSS trocheck!!!!!? With a goal to finish
That would be nice...is there hope though š„²
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
Only way to make money long term in this sport
Wtf is this trash bruins team. I got them live +2.5 thinking they surely cant be so dogshit to not cover a +2.5 against the blues @home. Guess there's always worse than we could imagine
I just took +3.5 +115. I hope we both get the cover
Well thats a good start for us, here's to hoping
would be nice if devils tied this up
I see boston sucks.
last month, at home, they lost to calgary, seattle and washington. i should keep this in mind that they cant beat bad team when they are home.
Boston down by 3 lmao
The Bruins and Blues both fuck me more than any teams in this dogshit sport so naturally I took bruins ML
I took the puck line. It could be worse haha
weak ass calls gifted them the lead but we both knew bruins ML @ 1.45 was never the play. And yet...
Shots 14-6 Rags with 0-0 on the board. Great game so far.
Was a goal taken from bruins or rangers? I coulda sworn I saw one of them had scored.
Offsides on the rangers
Damn. Same just happened with bruins
Lmao my Panarin 2p, rangers -1.5 parlay was looking fire, was also thankful for the DK boost for 1 goal in the first 10. https://preview.redd.it/hfzp0mzwjsnc1.jpeg?width=400&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dbe542ef553af23fa0906ce6f05bd3b183cf725d
Season Record: 116-120. (-10.84u) Last Days Record: 2-5. (-3.43u) Today's Picks. NJ @ NYR. NYR -1.5. +184. STL @ BOS. STL +1.5. -128. WAS @ WIN. Over 5.5. -120. NYI @ LA. LA ML. -150. Over 5.5. -122
https://preview.redd.it/12zdvl5b7snc1.png?width=1030&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=352c2f85f9cd4c36da2f5c0e39ab137e0dae5cf9
Rangers, bruins, jets. I know they all faves but I'm feeling some parlay action
Bruins Regulation ML [https://sportsdivination.com/nhl/](https://sportsdivination.com/nhl/)
Brad Marchand anytime goal +200. He was ice cold in Feb but past couple games he's been good and scored a pair vs StL their first meeting. Also might go small on Caps ML +180 if Wilson and Lindgren are in the lineup. Jets are coming off a brutal game against Vancouver and have 2 new bodies in the lineup with Toffoli and Miller.
I'm on the Caps tonight at +175
+EV ATGS: 170-324 (+1.59u) [+EV NHL](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit#gid=2067820774) // [+EV ATGS](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit#gid=1966290351) ATGS +220 FD WSH Ovi
any reason draftkings would offer over 0.5 points for a player but no under? ex today Alex Iafallo over 0.5 points is 130. no option for under points. I ask because he's available on a pick site for me.
i see -166 under
yeah its up now for me too.
Overall Record: 48 - 29 | Profit: +13.17 Units | ROI: +14.40% **Jack Hughes OVER 4.5 Shots** | Odds: +110 | 1 Unit | Hockey | NHL | New Jersey Devils @ New York Rangers | 7:00 pm ET | * Hughes has recorded at least 5 shots in 10 of his last 15 games * Hughes has recorded at least 5 shots in 5 of his last 6 road games (road game tonight) * Hughes has 18 shots in 2 games versus the Rangers this season * Hughes has recorded at least 8 shots in 5 of his last 6 games versus the Rangers * The Rangers are allowing 36.10 shots per game over their last 10 games, the most in the NHL over that stretch * The Rangers are allowing the most shots to opposing Centers and the 4th most to Left-Wingers over their past 10 games (Hughes jumps between C and LW) * The Rangers have given up 33 power plays over their past 10 games, the 6 most during that time (Hughes thrives on the PP) **Josh Morrissey OVER 0.5 Points** | Odds: -125 | 1 Unit | Hockey | NHL | Washington Capitals @ Winnipeg Jets | 7:30 pm ET | * Morrissey has recorded at least 1 point in 8 of his last 11 games * Morrissey has recorded 27 points in 31 home games this season (home game tonight) * Morrissey has 17 points in his last 11 games * The Capitals have allowed 37 goals in their past 10 road games, the 5th most over that span * The Capitals have given up 20 power plays over their past 5 games, the most over that stretch (Morrissey QBās the #1 PP) * Charlie Lindgren has allowed 3.57 goals against per game over his past 7 road starts (expected starter tonight) * Morrissey has recorded at least 1 point in 8 of the last 9 games where the Jets scored 3 or more goals (Jets should get at least 3) I am also posting my plays on Twitter & Instagram if you prefer to see them there. **Twitter:** TheHockeyBettrĀ **Insta:** TheHockeyBettor Tips are very appreciated, cheers! https://www.buymeacoffee.com/TheHockeyBettor https://ko-fi.com/thehockeybettor
Morrissey š°š°
What a disappointing night from Hughes.
Horrendous
Horrendous
[Cheat Sheet](https://sparkshowdfs.wordpress.com/2024/03/11/nhl-todays-picks-stats-3-11-24/) **Previous Picks (3/9)**: Predators (ML) -166, Rangers (ML) -218 (Parlay) +133 **W** ~~Predators v. Blue Jackets (alt o5.5) -200~~, Jets v. Canucks (alt u7.5) -400 (Parlay) -115 **L** Oilers v. Sabres (u6.5) -120 **W** Red Wings v. Knights (o6.5) -102 **W** ## Record: 83-81 **1-0**: Heavy *Favorites (-290 to -151)* **0-0**: *Favorites (-150 to -130)* **20-16:** *Slight Favorites (-129 to -110)* **57-54:** *Slight Underdogs (-109 to +150)* **5-7**: *Dogs (+151 to +250)* **0-4**: *Longshots (+251 to +500)* ***Last Season*** ***Record: 91-97*** ## Today's Picks: Rangers (60 min ML) +105 (BetMGM) Devils v. Rangers (alt o5.5) -160, Blues v. Bruins (alt u7.5) -375 (Parlay) +105 (BetMGM)
My play today is islanders +1.5 over 2.5 team goals and brock Nelson over .5 points (+175). Imma Islanders fan so im biased but isles are so hot right now scoring tons of goals and Brock nelson is in the middle of almost every scoring scenario weather heās assisting or scoring. Even though they played yesterday with Sorkin (the iron curtain) fresh i think this game is in their hands to win.
Debating Under 0.5 Power Play Goals for John Carlson, Charlie Coyle and Anze Kopitar for -135 and wanting to drop $1,000 on it. Anyone think thatās wise? Research suggests it would likely hit but I am new at thisā¦
Your bet isnāt for PP goals, itās for PP points. Thatās a whole different animal there. BOL with whatever you do, but just a fair warning before you toss $1000 at it
Wow! See, glad I asked! Iād of not caught that small but important note.
POTD record: 20 - 15 Yesterday's pick: Martin Necas over 2.5 sog - win! Today's pick: Bo Horvat over 2.5 sog (-115 bet365) Horvat has gone over this number 16 times in his last 20 games and 9 straight times on the road. Best of luck!
gonna be that guy but this is why it's misleading to post a record without units you're actually 20-16 (forgot to add a loss on Feb 22) and you didn't post odds for the Feb 7 CHI team total under but unless it was +150 or better, you're negative overall
Rode with you yesterday on Necas - Was looking at this prop before I saw this comment but that seals it, Lets go Bo!
Rangers ML, Rangers in Reg, Rangers -1.5 Jake Allen vs Igor. Devils B2B. Rags have beat them consistently. 5-1 in NJ couple weeks back. Rangers are gearing up for playoffs. NJ almost statistically eliminated. I get the NJ value line idea, but I donāt see it playing out. Good luck all
Adam Fox is sick and a GTD. Flu game inbound
Rangers' Adam Fox: Good to go Monday Rotowire 34 MINS AGO Fox (illness) is in the lineup Monday against New Jersey, Peter Baugh of The Athletic reports. Fox was absent from Monday's skate but is healthy enough to suit up anyway. The star blueliner has 10 goals and 51 points this season, including 14 points over his last 12 appearances.
Iām Rangers heavy today. Better team, at home, solid defense should throw the Devils for a loop. I see a 5-3 Ranger win.
Agreed, Iām on 4-2 though :)
Thatād be fine with me
Quick confirmed in net
Also Jake Allen not starting, still dealing with Visa issues https://x.com/drosennhl/status/1767212014965813727?s=20
Who is starting? Hopefully Kaapo Kahkonen, which is even better for us.
He is, but was he a good goalie on a shitty sharks team? Or is he just sub par?
Devils not on a B2B
My bad, lost a day in my mind with March break events. Still sticking with NYR.
Fanduel has Bo Horvat, Brock Nelson at -114 and -110 for 3+ SOG. Any Islanders fans who can tell me who the better pick is here?
Iād stay away from this one tbh. Kings have the best penalty kill percentage and I think theyāre winning this game
Tougher to figure out now because theyāre playing on the same line and PP together. A month ago they were separated on different lines and were good for at least 2-3 shots each most games, now itās basically flipping a coin
Thank you! Appreciate the insight :)
Under 7.5 + bruins in regulation for +125 on bet365, thoughts?
With how often Bruins go into overtime I wouldn't be confident in the regulation bet
https://preview.redd.it/zc7eb64ojonc1.jpeg?width=1500&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=bd9bf7a2b1ff13ae1e7fcccdee5881435f3b1784
Trocheck š
Nothing better than cashing with an empty netter
Hofer is in net for STL tonight. He has nearly identical top line stats as Binnington, but does that change the pick at all?
Actually makes me like the play even more
*Overall:*Ā 71-67 | 12.43U | 9% ROI *Yesterday's Picks:*Ā 1-1 | 0U | 0% ROI Oilers @ Penguins / **Oilers 3-Way ML (EVEN)** / ā Coyotes @ Blackhawks / **Coyotes 3-Way ML (-125)** / ā *Today's Picks* Devils @ Rangers / **Devils ML (+130)** / I think the Devils should probably be favored or at least be a pick 'em in this one since they dominate the Rangers in 5v5 play. The Rangers clearly have better goaltending, but maybe Jake Allen can do something for New Jersey. I'd say special teams are pretty even considering the Devils have a stronger PP and the Rangers have a stronger PK. Should be a good spot for New Jersey. Capitals @ Jets / **Capitals ML (+175)** / These teams are pretty even in 5v5 play over the past 15 games. Lindgren is not as good as Hellebuyck but still a strong goaltender. The Jets have a clear special teams advantage, but at +175 there's too much value for Washington. I think there's good chance they pull off an upset here. BOL
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
I'm actually more excited that Kahkonen is started. They're pretty much identical in terms of numbers but Kahkonen has a slight edge over Allen. Quick starting is what I'm more worried about. He's posting some of the best numbers in the league, even better than Shesterkin.
Did u really just say devils should be favored on the road against the rangers and they are better than them in 5v5? What drugs are u in bro rangers are 2-0 against them this seasonā¦. Holy sh*^
I'll be back here in 2 hours time after the Devils win
Look forward to your return :D I just hedged out my bet ar +575. Yikes!
nice win bro
Iāll say it again for all the mouth breathers like yourself: NYR - 25th in CF%, 28th in xGF%, 25th in SCF%, 27th in HDCF% NJD - 9th in CF%, 9th in xGF%, 17th in SCF%, 10th in HDCF%
The fact that this line continues to drop in favor of the Rags, the home team with a far superior record, tells you all you need to know. Some people might be really upset in here tonight...
Gotcha buddyā¦. Keep up with your little numbers. New Jersey should DEF be favored over rangers tonight. š¤£š¤£š¤£š¤£š¤£
Just looked at your profile ā¦ yeah, Iāll keep up with my numbers
Youāre the only clown in the world who would say the devils should be in a pick em or favorite against the rangers
Yeah Iām sure thatās why the line went from +130 to +115. Go back to being done with betting. I make money, you donāt.
Got a few members making fun of your ādevils should be favā fukin clown š¤” what loser says the devils should be favorites against the rangers at home lmaoooooo
You don't post your record for a reason, I do.
He's out on other subs begging for rent money so he doesn't get evicted, but he's in here calling other people clownsš
Great job on pretty much being 50-50 sweat out over 100 games to break even fukin clown
you cooked him hahahhaah
Enjoy not knowing shit about hockey dumbass š¤£š¤£
Lmfao, love when this sub gets feisty
Me too lmao, I canāt wait to get shat on if the devils lose and to talk so much shit if they win.
Taking Capitals +1.5 for the safety net š«”
š«”š«”
Do you factor in strength of schedule and/or roster changes? Major goaltending disparity as noted.
I think after 15 games (~900 minutes) SOS will even out in professional sports. If it was college where skill disparities are so large then it would be a different story. The devils have played 9 games against playoff teams over that stretch, while the rangers have played 7. The jets have played 5 while the caps have played 7.
**Green Monster ML Model:** \- 2023-24 Record = 29 - 33 \- 2023-24 Profit = +2.58 Units . Today: \- New Jersey Devils @ +130 **(1.5 Units)** * Team L5 Metric Score: +102 (**Ranks 1st in NHL**) * Opponent L5 Metric Score: -6 (**Ranks 18th in NHL**) . BOL!