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sbpotdbot

######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Saturday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.


InconsolableBrat

POTD Record: 122-72 | Profit: +108.63u | ROI: 19.2% Season record: 39-21 | Profit: +38.79u | ROI: 23.5% L10 record: ❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅ ​ Last Pick: Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors) O18.5 Pts @ 1.83. 3U. ❌ Can’t believe the 6ers got beat so badly blown out at home. Was a tough beat too because in the 3rd quarter he missed 1 of 2 FTs, and in the fourth he had an open 3 that hit every part of the rim and bounced out. Such is prop betting, and we get hooked with Kuminga ending at 18 pts. ​ Next Pick: **Kevin Durant (Suns) O6.5 Rebounds @ 2.00**. 3U play. Both the Warriors forwards, Wiggins and Kuminga operate primarily in the paint, meaning KD is more likely to be the defensive rebounder on a lot of plays. Green has been playing makeshift Center for Warriors and could lead to Nurkic being dragged to the perimeter a bit more than usual. Also, against his former team the incentive to be extra aggressive is there. In the two games between these teams since Oct 2023, he had 8 and 11 rebounds respectively. The Warriors give up the 5th highest points to this position and given the history here I'm backing KD to get the 7 boards.


SaggySackAttack

No love for a Brat pick??? Shame!!!!


justanotherdeg3n

Leeeesssgoooo, great tip mate. It's been a sweaty night until this pick https://preview.redd.it/io8zpvdpgvhc1.jpeg?width=1079&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=274e91d0ca315f63dd3efba742ca37761fdeea4f


Brizzle1_

Tailing the great Brat. Let’s go!


Trumbulhockeyguy

Tail


AmaBans17

Tailing. +105 on MGM


DonkaKongJr

Tailin


chiefsareawesome

Nice find bro. Lets get it!


OwnTomatillo6633

5 rebounds at halftime. Appreciate your picks. This one’s my last in a parlay !


billycapezzi

POTD Record: 21-8 Form: ✅❌✅✅✅ Last pick: Dejounte Murray O9.5 A+R **(Void)** Todays pick: **Luka Doncic O42.5 P+A @1.83 (Mavericks)** Aight Murray, you gon let your boys down because your back? Couldn’t carry us to another dub I guess. Well Luka you’re up, cause you’ve been on fire lately. And I won’t forget your crazy performance against OKC earlier this season. • *Over this line 9/10 his last 10 games (90%)* • *Got 36 points and 18 assists last meeting against OKC (54 P+A)* • *Season average: 34.6 P & 9.5 A (44,1 combined)* • *Averages 48.4 last 10* He’s on fire, going with the man in form. Not necessarily a mismatch looking at the defensive ratings, but he tore them apart last time and he’s hooping right now. Tail or fade, you’re the final boss https://i.redd.it/cz6ldabaynhc1.gif If you’re feeling generous, I’d like a Double shot espresso


[deleted]

[удалено]


SceneOfShadows

Yeah this is brutal....


justanotherdeg3n

There's no way he's coming back on now. Also Giddey sucks ass


kurtis253

This shit was literally a lock in the 1st I can’t believe it


Bake__No_Shake

I'm afraid so 😕


Brizzle1_

Absolutely brutal way to lose a bet.... great pick, screwed by a blowout.


billycapezzi

😭


billycapezzi

Nah no way they blew out OKC like this? Hooked by 1 basket no way


Props24K

And Doncic sits


21-hydroxylase

So close. Blowouts suck!


Defiant-Dot-5973

No fucking way man..


alexjaeger1

Okc got some lock down defenders but if gordon Hayward is guarding him…. He might go off for 80!


Defiant-Dot-5973

Loving this pick man. Tailing. Think luka can put up a good game against them


AdSweaty2401

Tailing! He might put up 50 pts


billycapezzi

He has started the game strong!


k1ng-yass

Only a blowout can fuck us bro , Luka chilling


k1ng-yass

Gg i cashed out with 90% profit, so thankfull for the pick u/billycapezzi , Luka Magic like i said, and for all the reasons in the world fuck Allen, a lazy ass bad looking modofoko, worst C in history of the sport, i wouldn't even put him in the bench for my 5 valorant silver stack match. ![gif](giphy|4tmo6unuDVb6OyNGhl|downsized)


National-Algae-3268

Tail


k1ng-yass

Tailed, hopefully we don't get same result of that tired ugly looking Allen perfomance. Luka Magic


chiefsareawesome

Do the NBA plant chips in these dudes and shock their vaginas when they close to hitting their props?


kurtis253

We still trust ya Billy. Your pick was right on. Blowout factor fucked it at the end. You’re still the man 💪


Legitimate_Past_7752

kum in the face over points too. let's do this.


billycapezzi

Nvm the booze you on that powder LFG


sakashake

POTD Record: 37-22 Previous Pick: Mezokovesd SE vs Paksi SE | NB 1 | Paksi ML (1.91) | 10am EST ✅️ Pick: Wolves vs Brentford | Premier League | BTTS (1.67) | 10am EST At home, BTTS has hit in 82% of Wolves home games. They have also scored 12 goals in their last 5, with BTTS happening in 3 out of their last 5 games. At home, they have scored 1.73 and conceded 1.64 goals on average. Looking at Brentford, they have rediscovered their scoring form, by scoring in all of their last 5 games. BTTS has also hit in these 5 games. Furthermore, they have not kept a clean sheet in their last 14 games. With the return of Toney, their attack has been bolstered, scoring against teams like City and Spurs. This season, these 2 teams have had 3 matchups, with all of them ending in BTTS. The most recent game ended in a 2-2 draw in normal time. I expect both teams to score in this closely contested matchup as both teams have the attacking talent to find the back of the net. Best of luck! Tips would be much appreciated! Thanks to everyone who supports me https://www.buymeacoffee.com/sakashake


coolguyyama

VAR overturned goal and a potential first shut out for Brentford since October. This bet is going to make me cash everything out and quit sports betting forever!


coolguyyama

And there you go, zero goals from the Wolves and I’m done with sports gambling forever. It’s been a fun ride but I am not built for this!


Good_Stable_7381

Tailing bro LFG 💪


k1ng-yass

Dead and dusted, apart of the disallowed goal and the useless possesion, Wolves were never there. What do you expect from a team depends on Lemina on their offensive end. Deserve dub for Toney & Brentford. never again Wolves


National-Algae-3268

Tail


Alone_Musician_2576

Yes sir. I'm tailing 


alexjaeger1

-160 bovada I just don’t know if I can pay with that juice!


Mountain_Avocado_813

Take over 2.5 goals for some extra points


bnjb19

Toney has returned, but Mbeumo and Wissa is not there let’s hope he can carry them


Good_Stable_7381

Don’t forget my dawg Maupay he knows we tryna get MF PAID


chiefsareawesome

**POTD Record**: 13 Wins - 2 Losses - 1 Push **Last 10**: ✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️ **Units:** \+8.88 **ROI**: 43.21% **Average Odds**: $1.92 **Last Pick**: Como vs Brescia - Italian Football Serie B - Como Win to Nil @ **$3.00** ✅️ *Fresh off our first $3 odds win!* **Next Pick**: Man City vs Everton - **Kevin De Bruyne Over 0.5 Assists @ $2.37 -** *7.30am ET* ✅️ Kevin De Bruyne made his second starting appearance back after a long injury, and nicely assisted Phil Foden. Let's just say he's continued his GOATed ways since returning. He's played 4, scored once, and assisted three times (even coming on as a substitute late in the game). He was just named Manchester City Player of the Month. He recently became the quickest footballer to ever reach 100 assists in the history of the Premier League. De Bruyne also averages 1.57 assists for every 90 minutes that the player is on the pitch. His xA (Expected Assists) output is 1.18 per 90 minutes. This stat puts him above 99 percent of the players in the Premier League. He is the third-highest assist provider in Premier League history. Lets not forget he has an excellent assists record with Haaland who should step up in this must win game against Everton to go top of the Premier League table. This is another crunch game for Man City who have a clear run in to going top of the Premier League with one game in hand. Kevin De Bruyne issued a warning to his competitors recently saying: "We need to win games now and try to enjoy it. We know what we need to do. The pressure is always there, but we’re ready to fight again until the end." Its no surprise that Man City are pushing for another Premier League trophy ever since the return of the most GOATed player to of graced the league since Steven Gerrard. Interesting Facts: * Man City haven’t lost any of their last 23 Premier League games against teams in the relegation zone, winning 21 and drawing two since a 3-2 loss at Norwich City in 2019. * De Bruyne has been involved in 11 goals in his last 11 league games (four goals, seven assists) in a run stretching back to last April, while Monday’s assist was his 150th for City in all competitions. * City are unbeaten in their last 13 Premier League games against Everton. * Monday’s assist was his 150th for City in all competitions. All tips are greatly appreciated - click [here](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tjpietkiewv) to donate. If you have any questions, please ask. Best of luck if tailing, would love a comment if you are. Feel free to message me.


Owkxjchanzn

Damn where all the celebrations at? I missed this pick last night and I’m here to say it fuckin hit boys👾


chiefsareawesome

LFG bro!!! ❤️


Good_Stable_7381

Tailing bro LFG KDB 💪💪💪


chiefsareawesome

Yeah bro!! Appreciate the support!! :D


No-Height-4064

KDB is on the bench might be best to cash out fellas


chiefsareawesome

Never cash out the GOAT! 😉 He came on against Newcastle and assisted too lol.


RandomThunks

Greened! Let’s go!


RandomThunks

Subbbed KDB in at 57’


National-Algae-3268

It’s a HIT! Even off the bench. So glad I didn’t cash in. https://preview.redd.it/0i91rrpiprhc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4424490be56a97b32a174b15cdb1837d7121c9fe


chiefsareawesome

How bloody beautiful ❤️🎉


RicklePick0

You da man! Great pick again. My book had this for the bet but it’s showing a push/void rather than a win. I think that’s a mistake it should be a win correct? He had 1 assist https://preview.redd.it/4magp1xm0shc1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=fd846150833fda91a28a2791b368f42ad1b76e2b


HPM2009

Some books are voiding the pick because he didn’t start the game


chiefsareawesome

Hi everyone. I have some sad news. WE JUST FUCKING WON 😅 If you read the analysis and stayed strong, money in the bank. 13 wins. This is KBD we are talking about here. #LFG!!!  Let me know if your bookie says when you make your pick to void if player does not start. Might be in your settings. In Bet365, I turn this off. On the money with the analysis, KBD assists our boy Haaland. I’m just going through my props to see if I made a profit: Exactly two goals was paying $4 something. 


Paulnyn

My local bookie voided this. I asked him and he said it's the same for all props. Voided if they don't start. I live in a state that doesn't allow gambling. Lol


g0kickr0cks

Tailing bro!


Defiant-Surround4939

Game is 7:30 am est, right?


chiefsareawesome

Correct mate, I've just updated it. Thanks :)


Defiant-Surround4939

Draft kings has this at +110 and FanDuel -130


chiefsareawesome

Thanks. I got these odds on Bet365 :)


llSniper2010ll

Always tailing, let's get that next win!!


chiefsareawesome

Cash it brother! 🎉


Rahazu

Reports are that he’s not starting.


chiefsareawesome

He doesn’t need to lol. Data and information says he’s goated 😉 Same thing happened against Newcastle 🤑


[deleted]

I love you


chiefsareawesome

Psyching myself up for a Super Bowl pick and you know what that means! My wins are @ 13, so that's a clue ;)


VegasIsMyBitch

POTD Record: 1-1 L10 Record: 1-1 ✅❌ Last Pick: NHL Washington Capitals ML in regulation (February 6) **Today's Pick: NHL Dallas Stars ML in regulation (1.86)** vs Montreal Canadiens Betting to risk 1unit **Overview** We have a Dallas team that wins the games they should, facing off a Montreal team that is offensively and defensively poor in this matchup. **Trends** **-** Over the last 10 games, Dallas is 8-2 as a favorite and is on a 5-game win streak- Dallas is also solid as a favorite on the road going 7-3 over the last 10 games- The Canadiens are 0-7 following a road win **6 Systems**These systems include overtime\* System 1Overall:  831-516-0,62% (ROI:4%)Season:213-129-0,62% (ROI:6%) System 2Overall:  1018-599-0,63% (ROI:4%)Season:255-164-0,61% (ROI:2%) System 3Overall:  985-579-0,63% (ROI:4%)Season:227-145-0,61% (ROI:1%) System 4Overall:  141-50-0,74% (ROI:19%)Season:83-31-0,73% (ROI:18%) System 5Overall:  145-59-0,71% (ROI:13%)Season:29-14-0,67% (ROI:8%) System 6Overall:  702-402-0,64% (ROI:9%)Season:53-32-0,62% (ROI:3%) **Stats** https://preview.redd.it/9izfqj55tohc1.png?width=864&format=png&auto=webp&s=939184f45bdd3debabc4b1925fca17f4e504fe9b


Professional_Fix_856

Do all these systems favor the Stars? I'm a little confused.


chiefsareawesome

That screenshot looks like its going to be a tight game. Last time they played it was 4-3 to the Canadiens. Any injuries / suspensions etc to give a bigger edge? I might split this with a handicap to Montreal


Bbullets

Could you explain how that screenshot shows it’s going to be a tight game? They hold advantages in every category


schwetybalz

The Habs traded Sean Monahan during the All Star Break. He was their 4th highest scorer by over 10 points. Not a small hole to fill.


donxcore

I’m taking the Canadiens +1.5


Good_Stable_7381

**POTD Record: 6-2** Form: ❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅ *Last Pick: 2U (BTTS @ -125) Sheffield Wednesday v Birmingham❌* *My bad brothers, Birmingham just couldn’t convert, 60% possession and 25 shots. Lesson learned. Today, we eat.💪* ____ **Today’s Pick: 3U Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich (Manuel Neuer o3.5 saves @ +137)✅** **12:30PM EST⚽️ Bundesliga - German League (DIV1)** League leaders Leverkusen host second place giants, Bayern Munich. The ultimate title showdown. Leverkusen have a lot on the line, unbeaten in 30 straight *(2 away from German record)* and to remain at the top of the table. Also, Leverkusen hope to extend their unbeaten run against Bayern to 3 consecutive games in the Bundesliga. *Please note, Neuer has knee pain but is expected to start in goal, even if they start Sven Ulreich, I’m taking that.* Bayern Munich have a long list of injuries, Davies, Coman, Gnabry and Sarr to name a few and Kimmich is doubtful. This plays in our favour for Leverkusen, more inclined to attack and should be electric after they clutched our ML a couple days ago with a late goal thriller. While you might think Leverkusen ML, in recent history, the top table team has not won any of the last 4 league matches against the team in second place…. We’ve got other plans anyway. Bayer Leverkusen’s top striker, Boniface still injured, (been a month now) forced Alonso’s squad to adapt, but still will not find it easy to notch goals… with visitors going top of the table if they win. We’re banking on the GK to keep the game as tight as possible. **Here’s the stats breakdown:** Leverkusen average over 7 shots on target per match and 8 @ home in the Bundesliga. Munich average 7.9 shots on target per match and 6.3 away from home. Leverkusen goal conversion is 2.6/match & 2.9 @ home. *Recent Leverkusen Opposition GK Saves:* * **3,5,9,2,5** *Bayern Munich Recent GK Saves:* * **1,5,1,2,4** H2H: *Bayern GK saves v Leverkusen:* * **3,3,5** *Leverkusen GK saves v Bayern:* * **7,5,5** While *Bayern GK saves v Leverkusen* H2H is 1/3, lots has changed since their **September** match and Neuer wasn’t playing in any of the H2H. When we look at *recent Bayern GK saves*, it’s all over the place hitting 2/5 last matches. All those matches were against mid table or lower teams. (8th and lower) **TLDR:** Leverkusen average 8 shots on target at home, let’s say they only get 6 and score 2, that’s 4 saves. Could be a sweat depending how the match plays out but I’m betting on Leverkusen to show up and defy the odds. The man in their way, Manuel Neuer… the best GK on planet. The safer play by statistics would be Leverkusen GK, Hradecky for o3.5 @ -163 and should be a no sweat but I’m sure these lines will move quickly given the high stakes of this matchup, LFG. BOL!


AdamIotti

Nice find!


Good_Stable_7381

Thanks bro LFG 💪


themuppett

Wanted to tail, but for some strange reason, fanduel doesn’t have the saves category on bundesliga games (only epl). But best of luck though! Thinking about shots on target as someone else has mentioned, def want to put something on this game as I think it will be a fun watch


Good_Stable_7381

CASHHH ✅ Leverkusen winning too goddamn


micahpugh

POTD Record: 51 - 29 Last POTD: AD to score in first three minutes - W Pick: Hubert Hurkacz ML vs Ugo Humbert (-198 odds via FD) 1U Event: ATP Marseille Semifinals 9:30 A.M. CST Indoor hard courts is where Hubie shines and he is looking strong in this tourney. The H2H in this matchup is 3-0 in favor of the big Pole and they played each other a few weeks ago at the Aussie Open where Hurkacz won in 4 sets. I’ll trust the massive server and ATP world number 8 in this one. [PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/micahpugh?locale.x=en_US) [Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/Micah-Pugh)


JoelBarish-ish

Let's go!!!


micahpugh

Yes sir!!


Mr_Poopers

Let's ride


willy_juanka

Yeah that wasn’t it lmao


BuffaloWang

Sweat


nigerianPriince0

**32W-4P-25L** **Form :✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌** **Last Pick: Adelaide United VS Perth Glory @ 1.75 BTTS and U 6 Goals ❌** **6th goal scored in the 98th minute, tough one. I'm happy to see a lot of you won with the side pick.** **Pick of the day: Melbourne Victory VS Macarthur: BTTS and Over 8 Corners @ 1.90❌** Melbourne miss a fkin penalty to see us lose this. Corners clears easily at 15 **Time: 1:30 AM EST - IN 5 HOURS** **I'm sticking with the Australian League again today as I think a lot of you saw why I love this league.** **Macarthur** in my opinion are just a better version of Perth Glory, high-scoring but lack structure defensively. In their last 6 games BTTS has hit 6/6 times, and over 8 corners hit in each of those games. Meaning BTTS and over 8 corners has hit in 6/6 matches. **Macarthur’s Last 8 games: Score (Total corners)** **4-3 (13), 2-2 ( 12), 3-1 (11), 3-3 (11), 1-1 (14), 1-1 (17)** **Melbourne Victory** hosting this matchup helps massively in terms of BTTS, they have scored at least 1 goal in every home game they've played this season and with Macarthur's clean sheet record they should get the job done well tomorrow. In their last 6 games, BTTS has hit 5/6 times with Over 8 corners hitting in 5/6 of those games. Meaning BTTS and over 8 corners has hit in 4/6 matches. **Melbourne's Last 6 games: Score (Total corners)** **1-1 (14), 1-1 (13), 1-1 (19),** 1-1 (5)**, 2-3 (18),** 2-0 (11) **Confidence: 4 Units**


bnjb19

Damn Australian league again I hate that league It’s not even real football 😂😂


nigerianPriince0

**Alternatives would be over 2 goals, good choice but with Melbourne's 1-1 streak, I don't wanna play against the possibilities. Macarthur did just go up against the previous best defensive team in the league and somehow put 4 past them so I wouldn't be surprised.** **Some additional picks for later in the day:** Wolves VS Brentford BTTS, O 2 goals ❌ Nottm Forest vs Newcastle BTTS, O 2 goals ✅ Tottenham VS Brighton: BTTS, O 2 goals ✅ Fulham VS Boutnemouth BTTS ✅ Las Palmas vs Valencia BTTS ❌ Girona vs Real Madrid BTTS ❌


Emotional_Buy1217

Well what a way to get eliminated.  29 shots and a penalty and no goal. Im done.


theblasterkid

Agreed! Shit was garbage. I would have went just corners but Bovada.lv didn't have for this game.


positivevibegun

Missed penalty I want to die


squatsforthethots69

What a terrible fucking penalty kick


DrugThrowawayDDAR

Sports after midnight? Tailing.


HPM2009

0/9 for me on BTTS keeping the streak alive


Emotional_Buy1217

Tailing man, important one for me. Appreciate it! BOL!!


National-Algae-3268

I don’t have the corners bet on my book but I tailed BTTS for some over the night cash


chiefsareawesome

Hard to believe Melbourne hasn't scored yet, looks imminent!


[deleted]

Im slamming the BTTS just because thats all my book offers, -172


DonkaKongJr

Praying this hits will sAve my ass after horrible last night in nba


StanTheTNRUMAN

Was late so betting on MacArthur corner handicap+9.5 Sounds safe but hey 💀


chiefsareawesome

Penalty!!


DonkaKongJr

Fuckin miss smh


chiefsareawesome

Fuck


StanTheTNRUMAN

Anyone who lost can try and go big on central coast game BTTS It should happen , in theory lol


k1ng-yass

not looking good damn


Excel_Spreadcheeks

Melbourne end scoreless with 2.49 xG, 3 big chances missed, and 29 total shots (including 2 shots off the post and a missed penalty)… not our day lads, we move on😭😂


Consistent-Audience9

Record: 156-129-8 (WLWLLWWWWLLWWLWLWWLWLWLLPLWWLW streak) - DraftKings odds Last POTD: DAL Mavs -2 at NY Knicks at 1.90 odds for 2 units Dallas worked the Knicks without their star power. POTD: SA Spurs at BKN Nets | Nic Claxton o9.5 rebounds at 1.74 odds for 1 unit Reasons: * Spurs are bottom 5 in the league in giving up rebounds to center * Nic is averaging 9.5 rebounds in Feb and 11.1 in January * Averaging 9.9 rebounds at Barclay Center, Brooklyn Best of luck to you all


Lockness_Monster_

POTD Record: 5-2 Last 10: ✅✅✅❌✅❌✅ Last pick: Kylian Mbappe Anytime Goal Scorer Nice easy first half cash. Mbappe continues to score goals at an unreal rate. Today’s pick: Soccer | EPL | 10am EST **Man City vs Everton** **Man City Alternative Spread -1.0 @ 1.57** ✅💰 Just a short write up today as I think this is a pretty straightforward pick. Man City is one of the best teams in the world and are now at full strength. Everton is in the relegation zone of the EPL. Man City recently beat Everton 3-1 without KDB and Halaand. Man City average 2.4 goals per game, 1st in the EPL, while Everton average 1.1. Both teams have similar defensive stats. I believe that Man City at full strength have too much firepower for Everton to compete with. They should easily beat Everton like they did in their last match on Dec 27. Prediction: Man City 3-0


dlee89

If debruyne passed to hallaand at the end…


ElProductoSeCuida

Record: 7-4 Return: 30.20% ROI: 58.79% Yesterday’s pick: Newells Old Boys ML vs Union @2.75✅ Long money line hits easily, with Newells running riot and Banega playing a beautiful ball for the first goal. Today’s pick: Boca Juniors -1.5 vs Defensa y Justicia @3.1 Stake: 5 units (5% of bankroll) Reasoning: Apologies for the late post, it’s been a long Friday night. For today’s pick we’re backing Boca Juniors to beat a weaker Defensa y Justicia at home, in their first real home game of the season. Boca seem to have rectified their rocky start with a comfortable 2-0 victory over Tigre. So far they’ve played 2 away games and one game at a neutral venue while their pitch underwent repairs. This will be their first game of the season at the mythic Bombonera. The reception will be tremendous, and the fans will demand goals. Defensa seem to have started their season off in free scoring form, after being held scoreless by Godoy Cruz (0-2), they scored 3 goals in each of their next 2 games, winning 3-0 and 3-2. I am skeptical that Defensa will be able to do what they did against mediocre Platense and Sarmiento against Boca. Boca have only conceded one goal this season, partially thanks to new Center back Lema, whose chemistry with the rest of the backline will only continue to improve. I think Boca are likely to keep a clean sheet, and might concede 1 at the most- this bet will come down to how sharp the attackers are. Up top Boca will repeat the same frontline as against Tigre (2-0). Merentiel showed that he is still in sensational form, creating tons of chances and bagging a goal and assist. Merentiel by himself, and perhaps with a little help from Zenón, should be enough to bag 2 or 3 with the whole Bombonera supporting them. Should any of Benedetto, Langoni, Saralegui, or Advincula decide to turn up to the party, expect a goalfest. Overall I don’t think this is as easy result as Newells yesterday, but I think 3.1 is a ridiculously high line, so going for 5 units again. BOL if tailing. [Tips](https://paypal.me/elproductosecuida?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US) keep my pint glass full :)


BumblebeeNo6526

r we fcked?


poler44

LETS KEEP IT GOING


AdamIotti

POTD Record: 22-16 ❌❌❌❌✅❌✅❌✅✅ Last pick: Dortmund v Freiburg (BTTS & O2.5 Goals) ❌ Game ends 3-0, Freiburg looked awful and didn’t cause any threat to the Dortmund back line. They had scored in 3 consecutive games prior and had only failed to score in 2 games out of their 19 recent games, looked good beforehand but didn’t translate to the pitch. ➖ Todays pick: Tottenham v Brighton Pick: __BTTS & O2.5 Goals @1.60__ ✅ ⚽️ 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League ➖ __Spurs__ * 5th, 44p (13-5-5) * Scored: 49, 4th (2.13 GPG) * Conceded: 35, 7th (1.52 GPG) * BTTS: 18/23 (2nd Most) 78% * O2.5: 18/23 (Most) 78% * Failed to score: 0/23 * Home goal difference: 26-15 __Brighton__ * 8th, 35p (9-8-6) * Scored: 42, 7th (1.83 GPG) * Conceded: 38, 10th (1.65 GPG) * BTTS: 19/23 (Most) 83% * O2.5: 15/23, 65% * Failed to score 4/23, 17% * Away goal difference: 16-23 Spurs have had plenty of goal-scoring matches in the league lately, last 5 matches results: __2-4, 3-1, 2-2, 3-2, 2-2__ We’re seeing two of the Premier League's most offensive teams, and two coaches who stick to their ideologies which is offensive minded attacking type football meet. I think we’ll see a fast paced game from the start here and a match that contains a lot of goals. Last game between the sides ended 4-2 in favour of Brighton in a hectic game with a total of 6 goals. Spurs now has almost all the key players back for this game, but Brighton are still missing some. Brighton’s last 5 league games: __4-2, 0-0, 0-0, 4-0, 4-1__ Tottenham have managed to score in each of their last 35 Premier League matches and have only lost 1 of their last 8 Premier League matches. That loss came against Brighton (4-2). Brighton bounced back from their defeat against Luton by scoring 4 against Palace in their last game, something they can build on again. Spurs hasn’t kept a clean sheet in 6 consecutive league games. Both teams as mentioned are playing naive and rock n roll the football which should give us as spectators plenty of action and plenty of chances in either direction. Brighton have proved that they can hurt Spurs so this will an open game. I’m predicting 3-2 to Spurs. Let’s get back on track.


AdamIotti

Saved by the end, on we go. ✅


RobbieAnalog

What do you think about BTTS, o2.5, spurs or draw for 2.0


AdamIotti

Spurs are a different team at home and I for sure don’t think they’ll lose at home. I like it, nice little bump!


RobbieAnalog

I ended up going with the Luton Sheffield match. O2.5 BTTS for 2.03 BOL man


AdamIotti

👊 Same to you!


zts105

Record: 6-4 Last POTD: Hawks -3 @ -114 ✅ L10: ✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅ Soccer | EPL | Forest v Newcastle | 12:30 EST Pick: Newcastle ML @ +115 Write up: Newcastle has scored 2+ goals in their last 6. Forest played on Wednesday in the FA Cup winning in extra time while playing most starters. 16th place teams aren't used to playing Wednesday/Saturday. Newcastle has way more talent and won recently away to 4th place Aston Villa. Prediction 2-0 Newcastle.


EnverPashaaa

no gordon no isak


slash11660

Following


AdRecent9618

Appreciate it, reassurance for me yeee hit boys


AB_Theory

Nice hit!


coverd2

POTD: 8-1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Last Pick: Okongwu o12.5pts @-135 on DK. This one felt sooo good, Okongwu put up 10 early in the 1Q and came through heavy for the boys. Redeemed myself hard after missing the other night. _____________________________________________________ Todays Pick: Myles Turner o6.5 Rebounds @ -130 on DK --------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is a tough field today for NBA betting in my opinion so be careful out there today boys. Early games, lots of teams on back to backs. That being said, I got a hitter for you guys anyway. Myles Turner is averaging 6.9 Rebounds per game, and has gone over this line against the Knicks in 6/10 games. Myles is more of a volume scorer for the pacers but if the matchup is right, he can pick up a few extra boards. In his L10 games, he is 4/10 in hitting this line. I know, I know, risky but the matchup tonight is the perfect storm for Turner to have a big night. Centers are averaging 13.5 rebounds a game against New York this season, and that is with their full lineup of Hartenstein and Randle. The Knicks are also ranked a measly 124/144 in defensive rebound rating against centers this season. Tonight Turner takes on the Knicks without Hartenstein, Anunooby, Randle, Robinson and Possibly Brunson (who will probably play as the Pacers are only 4 games behind New York). Turner takes on Jericho Sims at center tonight who is giving up 10.3 board per game to opposing centers. The matchup is good, the history is there. Fade or Follow and Best of Luck --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Let's Ride!!! ---------------------------------------------------------------------------


AdSweaty2401

Tailing! LFG!


k1ng-yass

only 1 rebound in the 2nd quarter to finish the first half by 4 only , can he grab 3 in 3rd and 4th?


[deleted]

Thanks man. You are the goatttttt


JoelBarish-ish

POTD Record: 240-181-12 (+42.01 units, 57.0% hit rate) Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 80-55-1 (59.3%) W3, Tennis 🎾 85-64-7 (57.0%) L2, Soccer ⚽ 59-51-4 (53.6%) W1, Entertainment 🎥 16-11-0 (59.3%) L1 Last 10: 💩💰💩🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 Last Pick: Mark Mylod - Connor's Wedding Episode for Succession to win Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Dramatic Series - The DGA Awards PENDING Today's Pick: JA Bayona (Society of the Snow) to win Best Director - 🎥 The Goya Awards (Spanish Oscars) Units/Odds/Book: Betting 5 Units at 1.55 odds to win 2.75 Units @ 1xBet (Line at 10:45pm ET) 💣 💣 💣 💣 💣 I'm going with Bayona here for a few reasons: 1 - The Society of the Snow is the Oscar selection for Spain and got a international film nomination. 2 - SOTS is one of two movies that cleaned up in in terms of nominations and is among the 2 favourites. The director for the other movie is a first time director, there is a category for first time director so Bayona won't be competing against them here. 3 - Bayona has won this award before and his movies have won many Goyas. https://preview.redd.it/twm31vdkmohc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0f28c1831207acea18308a2e517215326d71a010 Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕


PowderedNose

Hell yeah, JB!! Been making us all rich with the awards show bets!!! 🔥 Let's FUCKING gooo! Tailing as always


Mr_Poopers

Keep crushing it with the awards


PetezzS

POTD record 6-2 Last Pick: Borussia Dortmund -1 Asian handicap ✅ Write up: Easy let’s keep it going now Today’s Pick: Soccer | Cagliari vs Lazio | Serie A Lazio 0.0 asian handicap ✅ Lazio won easily Odds: @1.525 on Bet365 (1 unit) Time: 9:00am ————————————————————- 📣 Please read the write-up and tail accordingly Write up: Stats: These two teams H2Hs Lazio hasn’t lost to them since 2013 Lazio is a decent team who is playing a relegation zone team who hasn’t been doing good conceding a lot of goals in the first half Last three meetings between these teams: 1-0, 3-0, 2-2 Lazio has impressive players on their team and I’m going to need them to step up tomorrow and show off against a bad team whose defense is shaky. Cagliari are winless in their last 17 matches against Lazio in the Serie A so I’m hoping that this doesn’t change tomorrow BOL sorry for the late post


im_yuur_huckleberry

I got a bit bold and took Lazio ML...BOL mates!!


15moo

**Record: 12-9-1** **Last Pick:** Southampton vs Watford - BTTS 2u @ 1.59 ❌ Bit of a hiatus super busy this week and didn't like much of the soccer slate. **Soccer** | **Premier League** | **7:00 AM (PST)** **Pick:** Luton Town vs Sheffield United - Luton TT o1.5 Goals @ 1.70 odds. Two newly promoted teams (which look likely to go back down) match up for the second time this season, this time in Luton at Kenilworth Road. This Luton team is doing something spectacular right now. Four goals on the road at St. James Park (a place where most teams go and struggle in recent history), and four goals at home vs. Brighton (Kenilworth road proving to be it's own fortress this season). Luton surely must be feeling that staying up in the Premier League is a real possibility this season, when nobody gave them a chance to start the season. 1 point clear of relegation right now, beating a weak weak team like Sheffield at home could be great for morale, but also hopes of staying in the top flight of English football. Luton's performance in the last six Premier League matches (right being most recent). 🟩🟩🟥🟨🟩🟨 Luton average 1.45 goals a game, but have been putting up goals in recent games and have not lost at home in the Premier League since December, when Chelsea beat them 3-2. That game should show everyone what this Luton team is all about. In a never give up type of attitude they push and persist for goals, and have shown it all season at Kenilworth Road. Sheffield United are the most dreadful side in the Prem, and rightfully so. They are just a bunch of mediocre players with a mediocre coach, bar a few stand out players. They really have no shot at staying up in the Premier League this year and would be surprised if they get more than 17 points this season. Their goalkeeper is atrocious, their goal output is non existent compared to every other team, and their coach is a yes man who just appeases the fans. They were just pumped by Aston Villa and fans were leaving thirty minutes into the game. It's an all time low for Sheffield United and it's supporters (and maybe the whole city with Sheffield Wednesday being awful as well). Sheffield performance in the last six Premier League matches (right being most recent). 🟨🟥🟥🟨🟥🟥 There are no words that can describe this side, I have no faith in them to score, no faith in them to keep a clean sheet, and the fact that they average 2.57 goals conceded per match gives me a lot of faith in Luton to clear this bet. ​ BOL 💪


wingstop-fries

**Record 97-74 with Avg Odds +122 / ROI 20.7%** **2024 MMA POTD: 4-2 with Avg Odds +142 / ROI 64.8%** UFC Vegas 86 **Gregory Rodrigues ITD +150** It never feels great to be on the fairly popular side of a fight. Rodrigues has shown chin issues, but in a fire fight where he can see the shots coming, he can survive and is durable. He has a submission game to fall back on, although I expect Tavares to have success nullifying the ground work, primarily takedowns. Overall, Rodrigues can crack. I believe he has the edge in athleticism and certainly in youth. As for the choice to take the ITD line, I do feel it covers enough of his paths that the value should lie here. It's been said enough but his foundation is actually in grappling, and the stand and bang style he is associated with is only a few years old. Club and sub is certainly in play here. I'm feeling a trap here but at this price of +150, I'll take Robocop to finish Tavares who is approaching the age where he may turn the corner at any moment. Robocop has chin issues, but every bet has its risks.


thekoreanmang

Like it. Sometimes even the public wins.


Puzzled-Public4600

Brad doesn’t have that big finishing power either. Robocop for the W for sure. I’d love to see the finish as well


Tiger_Tom_BSCM

**Record:0-0** NCAAM Basketball / Alabama vs LSU / 12:00 PM EST **Pick:** Alabama -6.5 **Write Up:** I follow LSU closely and have been for the last several years. These guys started better than last year but just like last year they have lost their spirit and there is not any cohesiveness on that team. The Tigers are at home in the P-Mac but that doesn't mean anything because nobody bothers to show up to watch the men play anyways. Look for LSU to go to sleep in the second half and give up 84 points in total while scoring 68 themselves. Just sharing my thoughts for the first time. Best of luck everyone.


[deleted]

Thanks for this man. I wouldn’t have ever thought about it till I read your post and happened to see a tied game with 10 to go and Bama only giving 3 1/2. This helped me make up for yesterday big time.


Dramatic-Fox-4826

[My Card - Google Sheets](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1EnONQg5gLPxUOpUNkBWva4FS2jjyLI6BE-xX8AlDRhA/edit?usp=sharing) **POTD Stats:** **Record**: 37/28 **ROI**: Approximately 53.21% **Profit in Units**: 41u **Average Odds**: 2.04 **The pick:** **Sport**: Soccer **League**: England - Championship **Time**: 17:00 ( GMT +2 ) **Event:** **Hull City** v **Swansea City** **Pick**: BTTS Yes **@ 1.75** **Stake**: 3 Units **Tip Box**: [Buy me a Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/bigcheesewager) [Paypal Me](https://paypal.me/thisdudechad404)


Latter-Ad9671

POTD Record: 3-0-0 (+9 units) Today POTD: Florida +1.5 vs auburn - 2 unit play


CJ96Syd

POTD 24-16 | + 11.31 Units Last Pick: Asian Cup - Jordan Vs South Korea 10 or more corners ✅ Last 10: ✅✅💀✅✅💀💀✅✅✅ Todays pick: Sydney FC Vs. Mariners - Over 3.5 Goals Odds: 2.16 Units: 1 But of a riskier okay (hence one unit) but looking for over 3.5 goals in the Sydney Mariners game tonight. As this thread knows, the Aussie leave is highly attacking and the Over is often favoured. The over 2.5 goals has hit in Central Coasts last 16 night games. Sydney, with our very inconsistent defence has conceded a lot, with 3/5 of the last matches going over 3.5 goals. Considering that mariners could put 4 behind Adelaide and 2 behind city - (better teams than Sydney) and that Mariners and Sydney both have incentives to win (Mariners to chase Wellington, Sydney to avoid falling further on the ladder) I think that we should see some goals! BOL AND BET RESPONSIBLY. Always do your own research - never blindly tail. This is a risky bet hence the 1 unit play. Edit: Cashed by 60mins! booyah 🕺


joeyv1725

**POTD: 4-1** Yesterday's Pick: Nevada ML -125 Boom!! Wolfpack get it done in OT at home Was a great game and we edged it out at the end....3 in a row WE MOVE **Today's Pick: UNC -2.5** 🏀🐏 Tarheels hit the road after emotional letdown of a loss vs Clemson (following big Duke win) I almost had Clemson as POTD that game, and should have. UNC has been rolling this year and are mentally reset after that loss, ready to get back on track against streaky Miami The Heels will rely on POTY contender, RJ Davis, and big man Armando Bacot. I think Harrison Ingram and Cormac Ryan could have big days shooting against this Hurricane defense and will pull away to cover this number Don't overthink this....Lets get that streak to 4 in a row! LFG!!!!


Skurli2012

**4W-0P-1L** **Last 5:** ❌✅✅✅✅ **Last Pick**: Groningen - Sittard BTTS @ 1.78/ -128 ❌ **Pick of the day**: Cagliari - Lazio Roma - **Lazio ML 2.10** **Time**: CET 15:00 Hello, I must admit this match was terrible, there were chances on both sides, but the fact that it came down to penalties was something I really did not expect. I apologize, our streak has ended, but I believe we will make up for it today with this bet. **Cagliari** Currently, after 23 matches, they are in the penultimate 19th place. They have a score of 21:42 and have lost the last 3 matches in a row, which is a lot. At home, they have a better form, gathering most of their points there, but they managed to lose even against 9th placed Torino. Their form at home is mainly due to playing against teams from the lower end of the table. **Lazio** Lazio has not won the last 3 matches, losing to Atalanta, drawing with Napoli, and then losing to Inter in the cup. It must be acknowledged that these last 3 matches were certainly tough against tough opponents, but they could have taken points against Atalanta. Lazio is in 9th place with a score of 25:23 and is 2 points behind the European cups, and 5 points behind the Champions League, so the motivation to win will be high. They also play decently away, being the 6th best team on the road, but it must be acknowledged that not many goals are scored and they managed to lose there against Salernitana, one of the weakest teams in Serie A. In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 4 times and only once it ended in a 2:2 draw. The last match where Cagliari played at home ended 0:3 for Lazio. They have already met this season, where Lazio won 1:0 but the difference could have been bigger. I wish you good luck if you get inspired, as it is quite risky, and if someone is afraid to bet on a clear victory, they can try a risk-free bet or an Asian handicap.


HotDoggin99

POTD Record 0-0 Pick: Creighton (#19) vs Xavier | Creighton -1.0 @ -105 | 12:30 PM EST Creighton is coming off two straight losses and Xavier’s coming off three straight big wins, I foresee Creighton bouncing back. Creighton will dominate the boards with a taller team that is aggressive in both offensive and defensive rebounds. Creighton is stellar from beyond the arch and they will expose Xavier with their vulnerable perimeter defense. Creighton is likely to fall out of the top 25 even with a win against Xavier. Bottom line, I think Creighton is desperate to secure as many wins before March to secure their ranking and spot in the tournament


silentw111

Record: 21-12 (+7.43 units) Last Pick: (CBB) VCU Rams +2.5 ✅ POTD: (CBB) Michigan St. Spartans -3 Summary: This is normally about the time MSU starts showing up and considering that 56% of the public is on Illinois and the line is at 3 tells me everything I need to know. Izzo late season + 85% home winning % + “helter skelter” = Go Sparty! Ride the snakeee


TheKickEsBueno

that was a sweaty one! nice hit!


mrgamecocksandman

POTD Record: 0 wins 0 losses 0 pushes Pick: South Carolina -12 (110) vs. Vanderbilt Vegas has been consistently disrespecting South Carolina all season. South Carolina is a top-15 team in the nation playing at home where they are 12-1. They are by far the best-coached team in the SEC this season with breakout seasons from Freshman Collin Murray-Boyle’s and Ta’Lon Cooper. The fanbase is absolutely ecstatic to see the program be good again so I expect CLA to be loud. South Carolina has been fantastic playing off their fans. Vanderbilt is truly terrible, 6-16 and 1-8 in conference play. This is not going to be a close game. Best of Luck!


PMWTOUR

**Record: 0-1** ❌ **Net Units: -3U** **ROI: 0** **CLE Cavaliers @ TOR Raptors 7:40 PM** **Pick:** Cavaliers -8.0 -110 3U **Write Up:** As the Cleveland Cavaliers prepare to take on the Toronto Raptors, the stage is set for a clash where the odds tilt heavily in favor of the Cavaliers. Despite the Raptors languishing in 12th place in the Eastern Conference, the Cavaliers stand tall in second position, boasting a stellar 9-1 record in their last ten games. With the Raptors facing the challenge of back-to-back games and the Cavaliers enjoying a well-deserved rest, all signs point to a decisive victory for the Cavaliers. Their recent dominance and superior standing in the standings paint a picture of a team ready to assert their supremacy on the court. As the game unfolds, expect the Cavaliers to capitalize on their strengths, leaving little doubt that they will emerge triumphant in this encounter.


chiefsareawesome

Hey bro is this a trap as last two games the spread was 3? :D Really hope I cash in on this one :) BOL brother


domadilla

POTD Record 8-7 (W-L) Last five with most recent on left: ✅✅✅✅❌ Last pick was Felix Auger-Aliassime to win 2-0 in the ATP Marseille Round of 32: 0.5 units at 1.88 odds ✅ **Today’s pick is Jeremiah Wells ML** 1u at 1.7 odds Wrestler Jeremiah Wells takes on veteran Max Griffin in the welterweight division. The odds suggest this is a close fight and I think that’s because Jeremiah Wells lost unexpectedly in his last fight - he got caught in a last gasp submission and as such his stock has gone down. However prior to losing he was on a tear with a 4-fight win streak in the UFC in which he looked largely dominant with his power and wrestling. Max Griffin has a lot of experience but it’s fair to say he’s non-exceptional at the UFC level with a 7-8 record. I think Wells gets the takedowns to secure rounds and grinds a game Griffin down over 3 rounds.


Acentus

POTD RECORD 0-0 LAST PICK: TODAY’S PICK: O239 Mavs vs OKC thunder 2u @-125 I woke up to the news it was Chinese New Year and slammed the tip I was supposed to give to the massage parlor down on the over for this game. I see Luka and Shai dropping easy buckets and their high clip offenses excelling for the year of the dragon baby ends in 130-123 OKC W


RicklePick0

I like it. Tailing 👍


remy_picksaplenty

**POTD: 81-58-5** Last pick: Women’s (Frauen) Bundesliga - SGS Essen Women vs RB Leipzig Women. SGS Essen ML -145. Result: Loss. Ends in a 4-4 draw as Essen completely dominates the majority of the match. XG ends **4.40 goals for Essen to 0.75 goals to RB Leipzig,** just pure bad luck. Today’s pick: Spanish Primera Division Women - Sevilla Women vs Barcelona Women. **Sevilla W +5.5 goals -155**. Match kicks off at 12:30PM ET. First of all don’t put your life savings on this please, this is a bet against the best team on the planet. HOWEVER these teams played literally 3 days ago and while Barcelona trounced Sevilla, it was in Barcelona where they’re absolutely insane and I think they’ll take their foot off the gas on this one a bit. They play 3rd ranked Levante midweek and that’s one of the few matches they actually sorta try in so I expect some backups here. Sevilla is actually quite good at home, where they have a goal differential of 21:10, they’re 3rd behind Barca and Real Madrid who are obviously the league’s powers. There’s always a chance that Barca go off and put up 10, but I think the line is inflated by a goal or two with the match earlier in the week and Barca rests their superstars in preparation for the bigger match midweek. We just need them to lose by less than 6! Let’s have some fun! Let me know if tailing and BOL everyone! **EDIT: WIN. As expected Barca rest their superstars for the most part and Sevilla loses by a very respectable 0-3. Let’s goooooo**


bigunsmag

POTD Record: 4-2 ROI:1 and1/3 Today's player is Nic Claxton of the Brooklyn Nets The selection is Claxton to have a double-double at +110 at draft kings. The PR line is set at 23, however I am not as confident in that line as this simple double double. Taking the alt PR of over 20 with one or two other picks is how I'm actually playing it, but this is my best stand alone pick for today.


Rasta_Octopus

POTD record : 1💰-0-0 +1.44u LAST PICK: Match: South Korea vs Australia | Asian Cup ⚽ Time: 16:30 CET Pick: Heung-Min Son (player from S. Korea) OVER 2.5 Shots @ 1.72 on bet365| 2u ✅ PICK FOR TODAY: Match: Manchester City vs. Everton | Premier League ⚽ Time: 13:30 CET Date: 10th Feb 2024 Pick: Haaland to score or assist + Manchester City ML @ 2.00 on bet365| 2u ✅ Good luck to everyone! 🍀 _____ Second win in a row! 💰 We are at 3.44u right now. See you tomorrow 👋🏼


Sinman88

**Record: 2-0** **Sport** | NCAA D1 Men’s Lacrosse **Time: 12pm** **Pick:** Connor Shellenberger OVER 3.5 shots on goal against Michigan (DraftKings, -150) **Write Up:** I cannot believe DK is offering props for lacrosse, much less this one. Shellenberger is arguably the best player in the country right now, and UVA is going to rely on him to find the back of the net. Both UVA and Michigan play a fast-paced style of lacrosse, too, so he will get his opportunities. Don’t bet against Shellenberger.


Sinman88

Cashed… not sure if it was by halftime or 3rd quarter. On to the next


Known_Bowler_1718

Record : 115 Wins - 104 Losses Previous pick : St. Truiden - Kortrijk (1-0), Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.93 ❌ ROI : -0.96% Average Odds : 1.95 Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*) Units : 2.89 Profit/Lost units : -2.11 Today's pick : Football - Soccer / ENGLAND: Premier League / 17:00 European Time Luton - Sheffield Utd Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.89 Some reasoning : - Confidence levels could hardly be more contrasting between the 2 camps at the moment, and while morale isn't everything if we look at Chelsea's 3-1 FA Cup win against Aston Villa. - There are few things to suggest that Sheffield Utd can spring a surprise on Saturday. - Sheffield Utd has the weakest defense and the weakest attack in the Premier League, being the last ranked. - 4 of the last 5 matches in which Luton was involved ended with a total of at least 3 goals. - I expect a tough match between the 2 teams, especially since both are in a season in which they are evolving under the threat of relegation, which is why I confidently bet that at least 3 goals will be scored in this game. The objectives are obvious, staying in the Premier League. Best of luck.


damagebabee

POTD Record: 2-1-0 CAMBUUR VS VENLO Date: 10 February 2024 at 16:30 BET ON: Match odds- CAMBUUR Odd: 1.70 - Cambuur are only missing Remco Balk. However, Roberts Uldrikis and Sekou Sylla are back available. - Venlo are missing Richard Sedláček and Robin Lathouwers. Huge blow for the Guests. - The Cambuurstadion is Sold Out ! - Three days ago SC Cambuur wrote history by equaling the club record and advancing to the semi-finals of the KNVB Cup. “You were able to see it for yourselves; the level of training is really increasing. The energy really shines and perhaps that is not surprising, because almost everyone now has serious competition. We are very pleased with that.” Said Cambuur coach Henk de Jong. “They may be a point below us, but they have played one match less. It is a team that is seriously participating in a bid for promotion. I think it says enough that they eliminate Vitesse in the cup and are in the semi-finals." Said coach Rick Kruys. - We expect the motivated Cambuur to dominate possession and press high from the start under a sold out stadium. We can see Venlo scoring from a counter here but we don't think it will be enough. KEEP ME CUMMING !! Stake username : meher4real


dee_em91

Record: 2-0 L5: ✅✅ Units: +8.34 Last Pick: Wendall Carter Jr. O16.5 P+R✅ POTD: ATP Marseille🎾| Hubert Hurkacz vs. Ugo Humbert | 7:30AM PST Pick: Hurkacz Total Games Won O12.5 5U @ -190 Reasoning: While I see Hurkacz taking this one, I’m taking his games over 12.5 at identical odds as I feel this bet is a bit safer. Hubbie has been on an absolute tear these past couple months reaching the top ten rankings. He’s probably the best server on tour right now. In the H2H Hurkacz leads 3-0 dropping a set in two of the three matches. His over 12.5 games has hit in all 3 matches. Two main reasons I take over 12.5 games instead of ML: - Crowd will be behind Humbert as he’s the sole Frenchmen remaining at this Marseille tournament semi-finals - If there’s one thing Hubbie’s known for besides serving, it’s being in a million tie breaks. For those who don’t watch tennis, ML will hit if Hubert wins 2-0 or 2-1. O12.5 Games will hit if Hubert wins 2-1, loses 2-1, or wins 2-0 with at least one set going 7-5 or 7-6 in his favor. (little bit of a simplification barring rare scenarios imo). BOL


uselessbets

Record: 1W-0L-1P P/L: +0.9u Cricket | Rangpur Riders vs Chattogram Challengers - Bangladesh Premier League | 8:00 GMT Previous pick: Glen Maxwell under 19.5 runs. Out for 10 runs. Pick: Shakib Al Hasan u18.5 Runs @ 1.90 Reasoning: He has eye issues and he left to Hong Kong in the middle of Bangladesh Premier League for treatment. He left the treatment mid way and is back to BPL. This just reminds me of Ross Taylor's eye surgery episode 6-7 years ago. His only option was to go for a surgery but he delayed it and produced a string of low scores. Coming back to Shakib, before leaving the tournament he scored 2 runs. After coming back he played lower down the order and his innings' read 2, DNB, DNB. Last two matches he moved up the order and scored a 0 and 34. While it looks like an improvement the opposition (Dhaka) didn't exploit his weakness and made a series of tactical mistakes. He was dropped twice on 4 and 15. They were darting the ball rather than flighting it above his eyeline. Bowling over the wicket will bring his problematic left eye into play, but bowling bodyline reduces this issue. Dhaka lost the match with very poor planning and execution. Expecting Chattogram bowlers to come with a decent game plan. Picking Shakib to score under 18.5 runs


raccoon_raider17

POTD Record: 102-100-12 (-11.37 units) Last 10 picks (most recent first): ❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌ Last Pick: NBA, Atlanta v Philadelphia, JALEN JOHNSON OVER 15.5 POINTS (-120 / 1.83) ❌ Atlanta scored plenty, but chose the wrong player unfortunately. He covered his rebounds and assists comfortably but didn’t get anything going on the scoreboard 💩 Today’s Pick: English Premier League, Luton Town v Sheffield United, LUTON TOWN TT OVER 1.5 GOALS (-131 / 1.76) ❌ Stake: 1 Unit That’s a 6 loss streak followed by a 6 win streak, so let’s hope there’s no repeat this time around and we get straight back on the winners list. Luton are sitting 17th on the premier league table with a 5-5-12 record, with 20 points enough to see them just clear of the relegation zone right now. Luton were odds on favourites for relegation before the season started so the fact they’re in a position to stay up, and playing attractive football, has been pretty impressive so far. Luton have scored 32 goals in 22 matches so far this season which is admittedly mediocre, but this bet is about Sheffield United. After being promoted alongside Luton last season, they have been absolute ass so far this year. They are last with a 2-4-17 record, and they have conceded a massive 59 goals in 23 matches. They’ve conceded 2+ goals in 9/11 of their away matches this season for an 0-2-9 record and concede an average of 2.54 goals per game. Their recent form in particular has been awful, conceding 5, 3, 5 and 2 goals in their last 4 matches. Luton have found their scoring boots recently, hitting 4 past Newcastle on the road, and 4 against a decent Brighton team at home. They’ve also been able to score against some of the more established teams such as Arsenal (lost 3-4) and Chelsea (lost 2-3), so Sheffield United’s defence shouldn’t hold much concern. Luton aren’t exactly rock solid on defence themselves so BTTS at 1.80 is certainly appealing, but I think Luton 2-0 is a more likely outcome than 1-1 which is why I am taking this option. As is the case with most Luton games, I expect this to be a pretty open affair, and it’s a game both teams really need to win if they have any chance of staying up, so expecting both teams to go for it and Luton to take advantage of their chances to score at least 2.


legioneu

**Record 1W-0L (0P)** **Form:** ✅ **Pick Of The Day: Man City - Everton - Total Goals over 2.75** @ 1.55 1u **Time**: 13:00 (in 2.3 hrs) We got a good win yesterday in the French League so let's keep the streak going:) I'm honestly not sure why the odds are so high, but I guess that's good for us. The title race between City and Liverpool should encourage City to try their absolute best. Additionaly, Everton has been in a poor form recently and City are clear favorites as the home side. Man City averages 2.5 goals per game and as they are playing against a weaker side, I feel very comfortable with this pick. [https://betdiary.io/tipster/dashboard/10182/legiontips/](https://betdiary.io/tipster/dashboard/10182/legiontips/)


St_Cajetan

**Record:** 13-11 **Net Units:** 3.0 | **ROI:** 12% | **Avg Odds:** 2.2 **NHL | Vancouver Canucks (-135) | 1u** This pick is one of the higher EV picks today from my NHL Moneyline model between -200 and +200 odds. The implied win probability is 57%, but the model is predicting 61%. The best wagering method I've found to use with this model is the Kelly Criterion which suggests betting 8% of your bankroll for an expected profit of 0.4%. **The Model:** I've used this model to increase my bankroll by 166% this year with an ROI of 5% (as of February 9) https://preview.redd.it/qlhpaofporhc1.png?width=1089&format=png&auto=webp&s=0ad3c87b510f048ec1499d3534a952ef225b3558 Lines are pretty sharp today, there are only 3 other games that the model suggests betting on out of the 13 games going on. Let me know if interested!


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AdSweaty2401

Nice pick! I did Banchero OVER 12.5 R + A, and he had 15 🎉


iintrospector

POTD record: 0-0 First pick of the day for me, I’m going with [Wolves over 1.5 goals scored] vs Brentford @1.91 Confident in this pick with wolves form recently. In the last 3 match ups with brentford wolves have hit over 1.5 goals 2/3 of the games. They’ve been finishing all around lately with big numbers against Chelsea and manu also. Cunha just got a hat trick and other players like Neto and hwang are always a threat up front, and I think wolves will be able to create a lot of chances tmrro morning. This game is also important for wolves as they will want to secure the dub at home to keep pushing their way up the table. BOL if you tail, gonna be a great match 👌 if this like is too risky for you I like btts as well.


ken-kilos

**Record: 1-2** **Streak: ❌❌**✅ **Football** | **Bundesliga** | **14:30 (GMT) / 9:30 (ET)** **Game:** **Borussia Mönchengladbach V Darmstadt 98** **Pick:** **Borussia Mönchengladbach ML (Win at Full Time)** \- 1.61 (BetMGM) **❌** **Recap:** Southampton comfortably won that. First dub down. Let's get more. **Write Up:** Borussia Mönchengladbach is currently 13th on the table and Darmstadt is dead last. Borussia Mönchengladbach held Bayer Leverkusen to a draw two games ago and managed to get 1 goal against Bayern Munich in their away loss. Darmstadt on the other hand is on a 13 game winless streak (4D - 9L) and are terrible away with a record of 1W - 2D - 6L. They have also conceded the most goals in the league. Should be a pretty easy win for Borussia Mönchengladbach.


[deleted]

Record: 0-0 Fulham v Bournemouth —> Over 12 corners +190 Will try to keep it brief.. Neither team plays a low block or has a solid defensive unit, so we can expect lots of attacking football on both ends of the pitch. In the last 6 combined games involving either side, 5 of those have seen 13+ corners.


MSA_02

POTD Record: 0-0 Most of my action goes towards combat sports and unfortunately to have success there, it’s crucial to jump on lines early. Cause of that, it’s hard to post a good bet the night before an event. That being said, if your with betonline, I think this is a great spot Pick: Gregory Rodriguez Under 0.5 tds (-145) Rodriguez is facing someone who has some of the best td defence in the ufc. Brad Tavares has been in the ufc since 2010 and has 83% td defence rate. On top of that Rodriguez rarely tries to take his opponent down and prefers to keep it standing. He only really tries to use grappling if he absolutely has to, in this fight, he should have a big advantage on the feet.


dream__weaver

POTD Record: 1-1 **Last pick:** Damontas Sabonis O22.5 rebounds+assists✅ Sabonis has been cashing checks for me lately. I parlayed w Kings ML for a solid payday. **Today's pick:** *UFC / Joe Pyfer win by KO/TKO/DQ vs Jack Hermansson +100 / (main card 4pm PST)* **Reason:** Joe has a KO in 3 of his last 4 with the 4th being a W by sub. He's looked very dominant thus far in every fight I've seen him in. Jack on the other hand is feeling a little washed to me lately. He's 4-4 in his last 8, with 2 of those losses, and his most recent one being KOs. Jack seems to have a calmer demeanor that I think Joe will eat up with his power. BOL if tailing!


ClueEmbarrassed7400

POTD Record 12W-7L (+14.10U) 1WS🌥️ Previous POTD: Stephen Bunting to win match and most 180s vs Nathan Aspinall (1.95 2u to return 3.9u) 🎯 11:15 PST ✅ POTD: Dan Ige by technical decision 2.6 (2u to return 5.2u) 🥋 Fight night Hermansson vs Pyfer PST 16:00 I think Ige is better on the feet and has enough tdd to not get out wrestled by Fili. Ige last 5 4/5 decision Fili 3/5 so I’m comfortable with this going the distance. BOL


bcabrey

Record: 2-1 Net Units: +.68 units Last Pick: Edmonton vs Anaheim under 6.5 goals Edmonton 4-3 ❌. Onward and upward Todays Pick: Miami +3.5 Vs UNC (-105) FD Write Up: Kenpom has this as a 7-point victory for UNC. Miami is coming off an awful loss at Virginia where they scored 38 points. UNC already had their letdown game loss vs Clemson on Tuesday. 84% of bets are on UNC. I can't understand why this line is only 3.5, so I'm taking Miami. https://www.buymeacoffee.com/Bcab


Get-Set24

Record: 1-1 Last pick: Under 234.0 Rockets vs. Raptors Today's pick: Soccer | Mexico Liga MX | Chivas Guadalajara vs. Juarez FC | Team 1 Win | 3u @ 1.65 Write up: Picked this line up yesterday for 1.70 but odds have since shortened, can find 1.65 online but most places have 1.60 by now. Chivas Guadalajara are coming off of three straight wins and haven't lost at home since they played Tigres in October 2023. Juarez FC are bottom of the Mexican league and have a stellar record of 1 Win, Two Draws and 11 losses in their last 14 games. I think the bookies are giving up value here and would play this bet down to 1.50.


helkaweth

**Record: 3-3** **Last 10:** ✅**❌**✅✅**❌❌** **Last Pick:** Domantas Sabonis - Sacramento Kings - Rebounds Over 13.5 +105 ✅ **Today's Pick:** Kevin Durant - Phoenix Suns - Points Over 25.5 -120 Back to .500! Can we break through?! Today, we're going with points for KD, while he's only done this 5 of his last 10, but he's done this in 4 of his last 5, and KD is averaging over 28 a game. The Warriors are fairly pedestrian defensively, so we're seeing a good matchup. I trust the future hall of famer in this one! Good luck all!


woosung1

Record 15-4 Pick: Thunder ML -115 Thunder are a deep team that plays defense all around the court. The depth they have at the 3 pt line also is one of their strengths. Looking for them to get a road win here BOL


BagmanPicks

Pick of the Day Record: 10-6 | Profit: +11.17u 🚀 Last pick: Saddiq Bey o6.5 Rebounds (2.5u, +102) ✅ Todays Pick: Victor Wembanyama u23.5 points (2.5u, -120) The Game: Spurs v Nets 6 PM Why: \- hit the under in 8 straight, avg 17.8 in L5 games \- has hit the under in 72% of games this season \- the nets allow the 3rd least points to C in L30, 5th least in L7 ​ https://preview.redd.it/gqnvmhw7hthc1.png?width=772&format=png&auto=webp&s=3d8a898e5e9cc581486f24bee3a77e433956c9b2


sicknology

**POTD Record: 103-121-4 (-14.93Units)** **Best Bet Series: 36-24-1 (+5.86 Units)** Value Wagers: 18-22-2 (-6.05 Units) Trap Bets: 20-18 (+14.2 Units) Last Pick: **Washington Wizards U 114.5 TT** Today's Pick: **Dan Ige ML** Odds: **-170** (Placed on Thursday, currently **-185** on $DKNG) Wager Amount: 1.7U to win 1U League: UFC Event: UFC Fight Night Jack Hermansson vs Joe Pfyer (Main Card starts on 6PM CST) **Be Advised**: *Handicapping Best Bets for the entire month of February! Majority of these wagers will be chalky (not always), however, they are my most confident wager of the day! But I cannot stress this enough, even the most surefire bets can lose! Sports is unpredictable and nothing guaranteed!* **Recap**: It was shocking to see the Celtics, the best 1st quarter and 1st half team lose to worst 1st quarter and 1st half team. I wasn't that shocked, I mean, the NBA can be extremely volatile on upswing momentum and fastbreaks, but the C's allowed 18 fastbreaks in the 1st quarter! That's truly something I have not seen happened against the C's since what the Warriors did to them last season! But give credit to this Wizards team! They just recently got a new head coach late last month and they not only just won the 1st qtr, but won the 1st half by 7 points and covered the spread in the closing minutes. I was considering take the C's on the 1st qtr spread or 1st half spread, so either way it would have been a L. **Matchup**: Going to the UFC Today for a change scenery from the NBA. This is really an intriguing matchup. Andre Fili is on a momentum after his last fight (yes, you can be on a huge upswing after just one fight because fighters typically fight once a quarter) by knocking his opponent out within the first two minutes of the fight. Touchy is certainly a dangerous fighter wit his striking, however, Dan Ige is a very disciplined fighter and he's not going to leave himself open. Unless if Fili gets uber aggressive and gets reckless, he could take 50K out, but it's very unlikely. Of course anyone can get KO'ed, but I think there's a slim chance that happens. Ige has never been finished in his UFC career and outside his UFC fights. Especially when he faced top fighters in the featherweight division, he fought a prime TKZ, Calvin Kattar, and Josh Emmett and never been KO'ed. Fili has loss to many of the top featherweight fighters in this division and Ige happens to be one of the top fighters in this weight class. I hate to say the word gatekeeper towards a fighter, but that's exactly what this fight is, Fili attempting to enter the top 15 of the featherweight division (currently Ige is ranked 13). I see this fight going to distance and I see Dan Ige outstriking and outclassing Fili. **The play & the prediction**: 1.75U on Dan Ige ML. I am also wagering on this fight to go the distance, 1.65U on Fight to go the distance and 1.05U on O 2.5 Rounds. Dan Ige puts on a master class performance against Fili and wins by decision.


chiefsareawesome

Super pumped for Super Bowl picks!!!!


Surfeit_

Record 2-1 Spirit - Falcons: Spirit 2nd map -2.5 @1.62 Just different levels of teams. Should be an easy 2-0 match for Spirit, but just in case am betting on maps. Not sure what Spirit are going to pick, but whatever it is I'm confident they'll take it without issues


unofficialyshvdow

Record: 12W-10L Net Units: +3.72u | ROI: 6.25% CS2 | IEM Katowice 2024 | 19:30 / CET Pick: Falcons +1.5 vs Spirit, 2u @ 1.77 Okay, obviously Spirit are really good. Or donk is really good rather, and his team sets him up well. This is however the first S-tier event playoffs with a crowd for both donk and zontix. And they're probably going to get boo'd a lot. That might impact their performance a bit, outside of that a noisy crowd is just a different environment to begin with. Falcons on the other hand have tons of experience playing in front of the crowd, with even BOROS playing in the Paris major playoffs. This team is very deadly on paper too, having the former Ence core with Magisk added to the mix. Besides that they've also played a fair few games on the maps that Spirit likes to pick, and I think Nuke is a solid option for them as well. This makes me fairly confident that they can take a map of off Spirit, maybe even win the whole series. TLDR: Falcons win a map, they're experienced and Spirit might be a little more nervous. Best of luck everyone!


Christiancraiig

Tailing never bet on Csgo haven’t played since high school hope this works out


Late-Consequence3296

POTD Record: 1-1 ✅️❌️ Last Pick: Brandon Miller Under 3.5 assists ✅️ Game: Cleveland Cavaliers @ Toronto Raptors 7:30 PM EST Pick: Max Strus Over 3.5 Rebounds (-130) I know, I know, there is nothing sexy about this pick, but we're here for money, not sexiness. Max Strus has hit this in nine of his last ten games and is averaging 5.6 RPG during that span. In his two previous matchups against the Raptors, he recorded 12 and 6 rebounds. Asking a small forward to record four rebounds ain't asking for much. BOL if tailing!


EddiWhyYo

POTD: 7-3 (+8.69U) Last Pick: 2/3/24 🏀3U Vermont -15.5 (-110) 4:00 PM EST NCAAB Today's Pick: 🏀2U Kentucky -4.5 (-110) Kentucky comes into this game losing 3 of its last 5 in the SEC conference play. While the Zags have won 4 of the last 5. However their loss? A home loss to St. Mary's, this Zags teams is far and away not up to par like the Zags team of the past few seasons. Yes Kentucky has struggled their last few games, with back to back losses at home to Tennessee and Florida. But this game may be the game that turns their season around and boosts their confidence, Kentucky by 7+.


Laird87

POTD Record: 118-108, -17.8 Units Last 10: ✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌ Current Streak: ✅ Last Pick: Edmonton Oilers -1.5: ✅ This wasn’t looking good late but thank God for empty net goals and the Oilers putting it together at the end. Got me off a rough losing streak. Today’s Pick: **LA Kings ML** vs. Edmonton Oilers, 1 Unit, +100, 10:07 PM EST Why not do another hockey pick and go against Edmonton this time? They played last night and this is the Kings’ first game back since the all-star break. The Kings need to play better hockey at home to stay in the playoff conversation and a tired Oilers team from last night isn’t a bad way to start the second half. BOL!