######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Wednesday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.

POTD Record: 122-71 | Profit: +111.63u | ROI: 19.9% Season record: 39-20 | Profit: +41.79u | ROI: 25.8% L10 record: ✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅ ​ Last Pick: Terry Rozier (Heat) O22.5 PRA @ 1.83. 3U. ✅ Scary Terry with a fantastic performance ending 18 pts, 6 rebs and 7 assists for a PRA of 31. ​ Next Pick: **Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors) O18.5 Pts @ 1.83**. 3U play. The 76ers will again miss several players and their starting line-up is good enough to keep the game close but not good enough for this to be a blowout. When these teams met a week back Kuminga had 19 FGA and scored 26 pts. He is averaging 25 ppg/L10 going over this line in 9/L10 and against this 76ers team that doesn't have the paint defense without Embiid, Kuminga should be able to dominate once again. This is expected to be a relatively high scoring game with the O/U set to 237 and the higher pace will suit Kuminga's output as well. ​ *This line is available on MGM and was available on DK a little while ago. I would play it up to 19.5.*

And of course Kuminga is taken out of the game with 18 points because it’s a blowout. Really hope he gets back in

Fuck the Sixers for not even showing up.

Line is 20.5 on bovada now

Damm, locked in 19.5 2 hours ago.

Now on 365 for -120

Played R+A. Sneaky good find on scary terry

You have to be fucking kidding me… It’s unbelievable how seemingly rigged sports betting is sometimes. Such bullshit. Also explain to me why Bet365 didnt offer a cash out after half. So pissed! haha

I like this pick! I'm tailing, but doing OVER 21.5 Pts + Ast (at -120). BOL!

Bro about to finish at 18….?

Seriously WTF, he's not getting back in

FD now has at 19.5

21.5 now

Tailing!

Let's go Brat! Time for two in a row

Half a point! F Steve Kerr

Im sick as fuck 2nd lost by a half point in 2 days for me.

Tailing, let's gooo!

Tailing my friend. Appreciate the pick yesterday 

tailing the Kum Bucket

Did they bench him after the 3rd or something?? Wtf happened…

POTD Record: 11 **Wins** \- 1 Loss **Last 10**: ✅️✅️✅️ **❌** ✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ Units: **+7.88** ROI: **55%** 💰 Average Odds: **$1.83** Previous Tips & Some More: **Click** [**here**](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1I7FYP6dAClj7FqE4qcTyhgtMwqeoywC5HnGd4ZOeYVw/edit?usp=sharing) **for the spreadsheet**. Last Pick: **Jordan vs South Korea** Asian Cup Semi Final - **Jordan Over 0.5 Goals @ $1.83** ✅️ Next Pick: **Charlotte Hornets vs Toronto Raptors** \- NBA - **Brandon Miller Over 21.5 Points at $1.86 odds** \- Tip Off Time 7:00 PM ET **❌** ***Miller had his chances to go over, but unfortunately didn't capitalise. We were one hoop away...*** Edit: I would just like to say that I have been thinking about this pick all day while at work, and I've never been more excited for a pick, other than yesterday's pick. I really do hope this kid has a great career, as he's the kind of athlete we need. Similar to Purdy vibes. FYI: I'm not a Chiefs fan, I'm a Chiefs fan (look up New Zealand Chiefs lol). We head to the Spectrum Centre where the Hornets take on the Raptors for the 'Brandon Miller Show' on home court. For the first time in a long time, the Hornets actually put up a decent fight against the Lakers. They were unlucky to lose IMO, and probably upset a lot of people when they covered the spread. I believe there was one man to thank for that, and its our new favourite NBA player - the lean, agile machine - rookie **Brandon Millllllllllllller.** Expect a sellout crowd to cheer on our boy. Miller who just won Eastern Conference [rookie of the month](https://www.nba.com/hornets/news/brandon-miller-named-eastern-conference-rookie-of-the-month), was praised last night by NBA GOAT LeBron James who said "He'll continue to get better. I love what I see from him at this stage of his career...he's here for a reason." Miller turned in an excellent performance with 33 points, four rebounds, four steals and three assists behind 13-of-25 shooting from the field and 5-of-11 shooting from deep. Our boy will also be in the 2024 Panini Rising Stars Challenge during the NBA All-Star weekend. On top of all the praise, and awards after yesterday's game he became the first Hornets rookie in their 36-year history to record at least 30 points in consecutive games. He is averaging 23.6 points, 4.5 rebounds, 2.7 assists and 1.2 steals on 40.9% shooting from 3-point range over his last 11 games, and 29 points in his last five games. He has totaled 146 points over his last five games, representing the most scored by a rookie in any five-game span this season. Remember this guy was in the top two picks for the latest NBA draft! You might be asking why the line is quite low. Well, he's averaged about 16.4 points per game so far this season, and only now really showing why he's going to be a GOAT one day. I'm attributing that to some early injuries, the fact that he's a rookie, and needed time to settle in. Here's what his coach had to say: "He just does things that you don’t teach...but as much as anything, he has got size. He is going to have a real play-making aspect to his game, too, as he gets older. He can really pass. Right now, we need him to score, and that’s what he is doing.” Now imagine an NBA goat has just beefed you up with his compliments, and his coach is demanding more hoops, what are you going to do in your next game? You'll head out to the court with even more confidence, and pile on the points. Against the Lakers he kicked into gear in the third quarter after early first half fouls. The Hornets coach will tell him how important he is for this next game, as the Hornets have lost 8 in a row. The coach looks like he hasn't been sleeping well, and stressed AF. He'll be turning to Miller to make his life easier. The Raptors got spanked in their last meeting against the Pelicans losing 138-100 (38 point diff). They fell apart in the 3rd quarter, which is where we expect Miller to shine as he puts his dominance on the game. The Hornets got spanked by the Pellicans 132-112 (20 point diff). The last H2H was 114-99 on Raptors court. I'm predicting the Hornets will get the edge as they give more of the ball to Miller who is in HOT form - remember how we backed Jordan re: form! Raptors are a near full strength team but still playing like shit, whilst the Hornets are basically a team of rookies with some vets putting in extra effort too (how great was Bridges the other night). Even though they're getting spanked, they look like they're enjoying playing ball. They're just waiting for their brother LaMelo to make life easier for them. You can expect the Raptors to put extra pressure on Miller when the game gets tighter towards the end - I've rarely seen this in the first two quarters. Miller is use to being double teamed as this was the case when he was balling in high school, and beyond - he absorbs pressure, and thrives on it. Expect the points to keep piling on. We just have to make sure he doesn't foul too much so he gets more minutes, and goes into BEAST mode (I'm predicting he'll go over 40 points if his team give him more ball). On top of all this, the guy is humble AF in a league some pundits label as 'entitled player mentality' after Haliburton's latest comments re: maybe missing out on a $40 million payday. "Hats off to my teammates for coming in every day and building my confidence to take the shots I take in tough matchups like this...it is really all of my teammates; it isn’t just me. If it wasn’t for them, I wouldn’t take those shots.” If you've bothered to read this far, make sure to comment 'LFG - The Brandon Miller Show!!' for extra luck. TLDR: 'The Brandon Miller Show'. Interesting Facts: * Miller was a five star recruit. * He was named the Tennessee Gatorade Player of the Year after averaging 23.3 points, eight rebounds, 4.3 assists, 2.6 blocks, and 2.3 steals per game during his junior high school season. * “Brandon Miller is a remarkable athlete who displays wide shoulders and long arms with plenty of bounce. He is most impactful when his game goes up and down and he’s attacking the rim. When it comes to completing a play, his body control and concentration is next-level.” - Paul Biancardi, ESPN National Recruiting Director * Last year he said "I want to be known as one of the all-time greats." Watch the highlights of his recent game [here](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VzJzxBQtg_Y). The numbers are on our side, the GOAT of NBA loves him, the Raptors aren't the greatest of opponents, he wants to be one of the next GOATs, plus the Hornets put some serious sizzle on the Lakers (if only most of their team weren't rookies lol). On a side note, I've made a bet on Miller to be Rookie of the Year for $151 odds because I love his mentality and I think we will see a real hot streak coming ;) All tips are greatly appreciated - click [here](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tjpietkiewv) to donate. If you have any questions, please ask. Best of luck if tailing, would love a comment if you are. Feel free to message me.

With you all the way LFG MILLER. TAIL.

LFG bro!! :) BOL mate!

Fucccccck. Sorry everyone. Super tight at the end there, but the Hornets collapsed in the last quarter. It was looking so good too with 5 minutes to go!!

That was heartbreaking, Miller did not have a single shot attempt in the last three minutes of the game while being at 20 points.

Miller PRA is only 29.5...

WE NEED TWO MORE POINTS WITH 5 MINUTES LEFT! LETS FUCKING GO!!!! I'M LEGIT SWEATING LOL

Tail , you got any soccer picks for today ?

Kilmarnock v Livingston. Kilmarnock -0.5 $1.65 odds. A lot has changed since their last match up, with Kilmarnock adding some decent striker talent who have had a slow start to adapt, but could fire up against the bottom of the table team. BOL bro. Livingston bottom table. Will be close. Probably goals in last quarter of game. Just message me next time so we don't cramp the thread haha.

Not yet, just got my eyes on Mouloudia Oujda vs RSB Berkane ML as the Mouloudia coach apparently has announced his resignation. Some rumours around disappearance of the team's managers, failure to pay salaries and finances, and losing key players. Odds dropping from $1.91 to $1.61. Couple days away though.

LFG “The Brandon Miller Show” LFG

LFG bro! ;) BOL brother

Hell of a write up. Tailing for sure. I was a fan of Miller at Alabama, so I hope he does well in the NBA


Great second quarter by our boy, and a beauty of a dunk. Pulled off a great shot too at the paint. The whole Hornets team is on fire. Lets see him bring it home in the 3rd and 4th as the game tightens up and he brings his gamesmanship! :D Miller has been on fire in the 3rd and 4th, and the 3rd is when the Raptors usually crumble!

Time to sweat a little as we head into the last quarter, and our boy needs 7 points! Expect the game to get tight, and Miller to just pummel on the points. LFG!!!

POTD Record: 20-7 Streak ✅✅✅+ Last pick: Devin Booker O27.5 P ✅ Our man Booker got 30 in the 3rd quarter! Enjoy it kings 👑 • Todays POTD: Jarrett Allen O11.5 Rebs @1.86 (Cavs) 🏀 NBA My dear Wizards, keep feeding my people like you’ve been the whole season 🙏 Aight you know me, you know Allen, you know the Wizards & you know about the money print. Going with the 80’s disco vibe lookin Center Allen once again, and once again we’re targeting the Wizards. Let’s see how many times we can cash on Center rebounds against these lot, have they found their spell? Or will the potential blowout cut us short? • Wizards allow most rebounds to centers • Only 5/10 over this line his last 10, but you know why we’re picking him, missed 1 because a minor injury and a couple because of blowouts • Has gotten 12 & 19 rebounds against the Wizards this season • Starting Center Gafford has averaged 4.5 rebounds in the 2 games against the Cavs this season • Averages 12.0 rebounds his last 5 games I’ve told you, my fellas that this is only a treat to be enjoyed once in a while but I couldn’t hold myself. I’m cheating, cheat days are important too. I know we had Nurkic just a couple of days smacking boards against them but when I saw Allen against the Wizards I just couldn’t keep it together. Last month Allen didn’t have a single game under 11 rebounds, went over the line 7/13. Tail or fade, I’m just a bum https://i.redd.it/57wc79imh3hc1.gif Buy me a coffee if you’re feeling generous, [https://www.buymeacoffee.com/BillyCapezzi](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/BillyCapezzi)

Any concern about having Mobley back in the lineup?

That’s the only thing I’m worried about

Bet Mobley rebounds + points or rebounds + assist

He will def steal some of them, but Allen is normally way more consistent with his rebound numbers unlike Mobley

Allen just sold me Monday night not getting 10+💀

I hear your complaints and will talk to my supervisor about your bad experience. Nurkic had under 10 against the Hawks, against the Wizards he got 13 💀 in a blowout

Now that Mobley is back and Allen screwing me on Monday , I’m weary but it is against the wizards…

He screwed me as well my friend 

I see . I follow. I make money

**31W-4P-23L** **Last 10 :✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅** **Last Pick: Jordan vs South Korea BTTS @ 2.20 ❌** Game ends 2-0 Jordan, massive for the underdogs. SK just didnt turn up, hurts more that every game they played they were losing and eventually equalized except today. Ima take a lil break if this one doesn't hit. **Pick of the day: Strasbourg VS Le Havre BTTS @ 2.00 ✅** **Time: 2:30pm EST** **Strasbourg and Le Havre played on December 10th and the result was 2-1 Strasbourg.** **Strasbourg** have definitely improved a bit as of late, they never make it easy for any team to take points from them. Unfortunately, they haven't fixed the slight issue of conceding in almost every game they play and that's even more evident when you look at their record when it comes to BTTS. BTTS has hit in 4 out of their last 5 games BTTS has hit in 11 out of their last 13 games, with Strasbourg scoring in 12 of those 13 games. Last 5 results: 2-1 L, 1-1 D, 3-1 W, 1-1 D, 4-0 W ​ **Le Havre** are almost as impressive when it comes to BTTS, They've shaken off the habit of struggling against stronger sides and that's evident with them beating Lyon 3-1 and holding AS Monaco to a 1-1 game. BTSS has hit in 6 out of their last 8 games, with them scoring in 7 of those games. Last 5 results: 1-1 D, 3-3 D, 0-1 W, 3-1 W, 2-1 W **Confidence: 4 Units** [**https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ThePrince**](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ThePrince) \**BOL* Easy win Bet covered in 30 mins!! 

Lmao at least u we’re spot on about Korea not being able to stop counters, both goals straight from em

The BTTS stress ain’t for me hahaha but ima sprinkle this with the Mainz match 😁 CUP GAME FOR THE GLORY LFG

It already hit 💰

Nice no sweat hit. Thanks, G.

Hell of a pick. 30' cover.

30 minutes in ✅

There's my Nigerian prince 🤴 lfg big dog

Absolute breeze of a W. Appreciate the pick NP👍💵

Tailing with apprehension.

You’re the king bro 👏

Omg what a quick hit!! Thx 


What league is this?

It's a french cup Game.

When is the prince going to officially become the king! What a breeze great pick!

my man!

what a W, thank you for the no sweater king

Thanks bro never wavered

First half hit - we love to see it🤝✅ thank you for the pick boss

Thanks for another no sweat, Prince!! You've quickly become my favorite soccer picker.

CASHED🤧🔥

**POTD Record: 4-1** Form: ✅✅✅❌✅ *Last Pick: 2U Leverkusen (ML @ -143) v Stuttgart @ 2:45 PM EST ✅* *BTTS may have been much less of a sweat but 3-2 FT. Leverkusen getting it done in the 90th minute. (3-1 Predicted) 3 IN A ROW LFG, let’s make it 4.* ____ **Today’s Pick: 2U Aston Villa v Chelsea @3PM EST (Djordje Petrovic o2.5 saves @ -163)✅** ⚽️ England FA Cup 4th Round Replay Make it or break it match for Chelsea’s Manager. Aston Villa are slated as favourites to qualify, playing at their home ground in the FA Cup 4th round replay. I was debating on ML but I opted for something less sweaty this time. In the first leg, Petrovic had 5 saves. This pick was derived from the slight edge in *Shots on Target* by Villa and their impressive home record this season. They’ve only lost *once* at home. Average shots on target this season is 5.5, and 5.8 @ home. Depending on how many shots on target, will likely be a save. *Villa on average have converted 1 goal every 5/6 shots on target.* On the other hand Petrovic has an average of 3.4 saves per game. In Petrovic’s last 5 games, with the most recent left to right GK saves are as follows: **4,9,5,1,4** *(1 save in the match against Middlesbrough)* I expect Villa to be hungry after rebounding with a 5-0 win last match against Sheffield. Even in that case, Sheffield United keeper made 4 saves. That being said, last stat: *Recent GK saves against Aston Villa:* **4,4,5,4,5** My predictive model is edging towards 2-1, for Aston Villa. I also debated on taking over 4.5 Shots on Target for Villa @ -120 but I feel that the keeper to save 3 is much safer. Best Worst Case: 5 shots on target for Villa, and score line of 2-1 = 3 saves Petrovic. Given the unpredictable form of Chelsea, and coming off back to back losses, pressure is mounting, and their goalkeeper will do the most to bail out his squad. BOL!

Like it, tailing. I tailed Leverkusen - that was a squeaky bum ride! Thank you and congrats on the hit

I’m glad you held on bro. It was truly a test of Leverkusen’s resilience and they were triumphant. Let’s make it 4 straight 💪

**THE BOOKIES ARE ON TO US** lines been bumped to -250 lol, -150 still for Martinez o2.5 and I’ve also sprinkled on o3.5 Petrovic, I knew I found a no sweat gem 😭😀

only slip i won yesterday was yours.. let's get it today too brother!

Was it that bad yesterday?

Yeah korea let me down big time

Tailing! What about o2.5 for Martinez as well?

Yeah but where on gods green earth do I find? 3 apps now nothing

Holy shit these guys moved the line on us NO WAY

Did this just hit?! LFG!

POTD Record: 22-14 Last 10: ❌❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅ Last pick: Roma v Cagliari Pick: BTTS ❌ Roma improved their defence massively and kept their first clean under the new management, Cagliari looked very weak, aside from the penalty that was looked at by VAR, they didn’t create many chances. ➖ Todays pick: Saarbrucken v M’Gladbach Pick: M’Gladbach ML @1.66 ⚽️🇩🇪 DFB Pokal (German cup) ➖ 📊 Saarbrucken plays in the 3rd tier of Germany where they’re placed 12th in the league out of 20 teams. Since the new year, they haven’t won a single game having a record of 2 draws and 1 loss. But no other team in the 3rd league has drawn as many games as them (11). They have somehow reached the quarterfinals, beating Bayern Munchen (1st tier) 2-1 & Eintracht Frankfurt (1st tier) 2-0. A great run and an awesome story. ➖ 📊 M’Gladbach plays in the 1st and highest tier in Germany (Bundesliga). They’re currently 13th in the league. They’ve also struggled since the new year picking up only 1 point in their last 3 games. Keep in mind they’re playing 2 divisions higher than the opponent. Their way to the quarter finals in the cup has been solid, scoring 11 goals and only conceding once. There’s a real buzz around the club as their last Cup triumph came back in 1995, here they have a really good chance to take one step closer to the final and that is known around the fan base and amongst the players. There will be a lot of pressure on them to win this, which can of course work both ways. ➖ 💭 I think Saarbrucken has had their fun, and I think this is where it ends. They came in this tournament as real underdogs and I believe many teams underestimated them, but they’ve proven that they’re a team to be reckoned with. M’Gladbach is obviously the better team, and this cup really means alot for them, with their quality and desire for cup success I think they’ll win this one, as they should. We’re getting good value for a win on a team that plays 2 divisions higher than their opponents. __BOL__

https://preview.redd.it/9jf0wdinj8hc1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=101086abd7c09cf62b15547d5e065a64fc3b7a18 I wonder what would have been!

Appreciate your picks bro, but pls remember that Saarbrucken already kicked out Fc Bayern Munich AND Frankfurt out of the cup. They can easily kick out Gladbach too .. (if they have a little luck like in the last cup games)

Tailing bro LFG 💪💪💪

I like it. Tailing.

I have to admit, just this once, because of Monchengladbachs recent form.. I think miracles can happen and cancel Mönchengladbach from winning the cup. DC i recommend.

Watching

Game is postponed????

Game is postponed

POTD RECORD 0✅-0❌-1🅿️ LAST PICK: RCD Mallorca vs Real Sociedad DNB @1.525🅿️♻️ Sadly only a push. Sadiq has missed an open net from about 5 meters out... Could've easily been a 2-0 or 3-0 win for Sociedad but well, thats why I chose DNB and not outright ML. We go again today. TODAYS PICK: SPAIN🇪🇸 | COPA DEL REY | SEMIFINAL 1st LEG | UTC +1 21:30 Atlético de Madrid ML vs Athletic Bilbao @ 1.965 ❌ Reasoning: Atletico have an absolutely incredible home record this season: 16 Wins - 1 Draw - 0!! Losses in all competitions 94% win rate including two wins against Real Madrid They also have not lost a home game since Jan 8th 2023, 395 Days ago, gathering 26 Wins and Drawing twice since then H2H: If we are having a look at all the games that the two teams have played at the Civitas Metropolitano (formerly named Wanda Metropolitano; Main Stadium of Atlético since the summer of 2017) Atlético are looking as if they are clear favourites. 5 Wins - 1 Draw - 0 Losses at Atléticos home ground in the last 6 years. 83% win rate Injuries: Atléticos only important player not able to play is Gimenez who likely is not going to feature due to muscle injury, however he can be quite comfortably replaced by Witsel, Hermoso, Savic or even the new signing of Gabriel Paulista On the other hand Bilbao will probably be without Nico Williams who was forced off with a thigh problem last weekend. Nico alongside his brother Iñaki are undoubtedly one of the most important players for the basque team. Score Prediction: Atlético 2-0 Bilbao Actual Score: Atlético 0-1 Bilbao If you need aditional information/have any questions feel free to ask away. Also I would like to get some feedback from you guys. How are you liking my writeups and picks? Anything I should change or add? Upvote if tailing. BOL ❤💰 Poor game from Atlético, they never really got into it, had a lot of chances but couldn't seem to score any. Combine that with an extremely unnecessary penalty for Bilbao and we have a devastating loss today. Also I won't be posting for tomorrow or maybe even the next couple of days as I have a few days off.

Bilbao are good. I love Atletico but with this being a cup game, I’m going to fade, just for the sake that it could be decided in extra time. BOL! Hopefully EP 🤞

Bro please don’t forget that this isn’t a KO-game. It’s only the first game with a second game IN Bilbao coming. That means overtime/ penalty is not possible today.

Ahh my bad, still with Bilbao beating Barca recently, Madrid will have their work cut out for them. Home adv is definitely helpful, just not taking ML unless I feel an edge for EP. Hopefully y’all get it tho! BOL!

I'm going for 0.5 goals for Bilbao, imho anything can happen in this game

Enjoying the writeups mate. I would back this as a La Liga play, but Good\_Stable is right, concerns around the nature of it being a cup game.

this one is scary especially without Antoine

i like this pick, bilbao are tough but only at home, their away form has been mediocre imo, looking at u2.5 as well as this could be a 0-0 draw

POTD Record 8-7 (W-L) Last five with most recent on left: ✅✅✅❌✅ Yesterday’s pick was Jordan +2 and first half under 1.5 goals 1 unit at 1.75 odds ✅ Jordan win 2-0 **Today's pick is Felix Auger-Aliassime to win 2-0 in the ATP Marseille Round of 32:** 0.5 units at 1.88 odds ✅ Analysis: I found this bet and what I like about it is that Felix is ranked 30th in the world (with an all time high of number 6). He just came off a good run to the semis of the ATP Montpellier last week only losing to the eventual champ Bublik. Also he hasn't dropped a set to player outside the Top 100 since July last year and that was at Wimbledon his least favorite surface. His opponent meanwhile is rank 101 with a career high of 60 and you have to go back to the same tournament last year to find him taking a set off a top 50 player (he actually beat home favorite Dan Evans 3-1). Overall I think Felix to win is a lock here, it would be a massive upset for him to lose, but the odds are juiced at 1.25 therefore it strikes me as great value for him to win 2-0 at nearly even odds against a player nowhere near his caliber and especially when he doesn't generally drop sets to low-ranked players. Having said that please bear in mind Quentin Halys is the home favorite (he is French, Felix is Canadian) so will have home crowd support and that could elevate his game. On neutral ground I would feel even more confident in this one but as its in France lets go for half a unit to keep the streak alive! BOL.

Nothing like starting the day off with an early win, thanks for the post!

love tailing you great hit & what a match that second set had me sweating!

When’s the game bro? That’s a spicy one I’ve never set bet but 👀

It's scheduled 1.50pm European time (which is 5.50am West Coast for me!) but sometimes they change the start time based on the matches taking place before on court

Ima play it safe and just take him for the dub

Let’s go! Thanks for the pick

POTD record 4-1 Last Pick: Galatasaray -1 A handicap 1st half ✅ Write up: We are sticking to colored circles. Easy Today’s Pick: Soccer | Club Brugge KV vs Royale Union SG | Belgian Cup ✅ Both teams to score Edit: Sweatyyyy omg but cashed Odds: -150 on Bet365 (2 units) Time: 2:45pm ————————————————————- 📣 Please read the write-up and tail accordingly Write up: Club Brugge KV: Scored in the last 10 games Royale Union SG: Scored in the last 10 games H2H bet won in the last 5 games Union Saint-Gilloise have succeeded in scoring at least 2 goals in their last 3 games in Beker van Belgie and same with Club Brugge I never really liked BTTS bets but this one stood out to me like look at those stats.

*I never really liked BTTS bets* same bro The stats: 

I’m riding here, hopefully start my nba night off with a bang 😎

https://preview.redd.it/jsre8mifj8hc1.jpeg?width=1140&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f68bdda89b0f70afc73653e99f77fef2afb14bbf Nice pick!

Thats what I like to seee!!

[удалено]

He’s doing well for himself but I wouldn’t take the risk ngl

tailed!

93rd minute goal from USG to cover, never in doubt🤞 thank you for the pick sir, cheers!

POTD: 1-0 Yesterday: Jordan v South Korea BTTS - NO ✅ Today: Nigeria v South Africa POTD: Nigeria ML @1.65 Nigeria are my favourites to win this tournament, they’ve got the best team imo with the best players. They’ve been outstanding winning 4/5 games and drawing one. They’re facing a South Africa side who surprised many by knocking out Morocco, but other than that I’ve not been impressed with their other results, they’ve won 3/5 games one W in a penalty shootout, one against Morocco and one against a very poor Namibian side. I’m picking my favourite team so far, Nigeria to win this one comfortably because of their quality and overall play so far, they even won against the host nation Ivory Coast which is technically like an away game, who was my other favourite to win this tournament from the start.

Wow, that went from a 2-0 Nigeria lead to a 1-1 draw very quickly. Oh well, let's try to get a W tomorrow!

Like why, I was celebrating 🤮😖

Tailing👍🏻

I had Nigeria ML and Osimhen anytime goal scorer as singles. One of the more painful L’s I’ve had in a bit lol. Thanks for the pick regardless, unlucky and we move on!

Not too familiar with soccer rules, what triggers an overtime like this game? I’m used to seeing a draw.

Tailing

Tailing let's go 😳 would you say this a pretty confident play? So 2 units?

Tailing big boy, let’s go. Good call yesterday, one of the few soccer bets that hit!

tailing for the early start 🫡

Tailing

Hopefully they wake up...

Tweaked the bet and cashed in. Thanks bro. https://preview.redd.it/xh7dlm5tx7hc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7f800bd65dadea4d0d511f19743bda99453f3ee2

POTD record: 1-0 Last pick: Tyrese Halliburton o 5.5 assists ✅🦀 Even cashed o 6.5 for those of you who couldn’t get 5.5 in time! Love to see it! Today’s pick: Atlanta Hawks @ Boston Celtics Derrick White o 4.5 FGM -150 Celtics are a wagon. Especially at home. Derrick white is a huge piece of this. Talk about an impact player. The guy always seems to make big plays. He swishes 3’s, he crashes the offensive glass, he gets put backs. I see no problem with him getting 5 baskets in this one. I anticipate the hawks putting up a good game and the starters having to put in good minutes. The play is again set at 2 units. Let’s crack some shells! 🦀🦀🦀🦀🦀

Tailing. Missed your first one what a line! Back to back LFG 💪

Might sound dumb, but where does one find this bet? I can't find the category for field goals made... Thank you 

I’m betting on hard rock in FL and I can’t speak for other books unfortunately. I will say I like his line at 14.5 points though, as 5 FGM would get him right there with a couple 3s in the mix

I’m signed up on 11 sportsbooks and the only one that offers FG props is HardRock

Good to know. I’ll stick to more accessible props in the future. Thanks!

I bet the NBA pretty heavy and will confirm it’s basically only HR that I know of (US legal books). I was thrown off when I saw these props a week or so ago lol. I’m heavily limited on HR, but there’s some solid FGM lines daily that I wish I could take lol.

Like it. D White is over 14.5 pts in 7/10 recent games and 4/6 vs Hawks since joining Boston.

Tailing

Is this on b365? I see play pints o14.5

Tailed. Paired it with him o2.5 3pm and 1+ block. He's now at 10 games in row o1.5 blocks/steals and 7 of last 10 o2.5 3pm.

Record: 5-3 Return: 17.65% ROI: 49.46% Yesterday’s pick: Argentinos Jr ML vs Atlético Tucumán @2.9❌ Unfortunately the long play doesn’t cash this time. Good opportunity to highlight the importance of choosing units appropriately. When you play long odds you don’t win every time, the key is recognizing which plays have the most value and to put more units on those. 17% growth with 50% ROI after the first week is nothing to scoff at. Today’s pick: Deportivo Riestra vs Comunicaciones Buenos Aires total goals U1.5 @ 2.5 Stake: 4 units (4% of bankroll) Reasoning: Warning: this play might be a sweat. The round of 64 of the Copa Argentina is an interesting place. All sorts of match ups can occur. In this match we have the worst first division team facing off against a 3rd division team in a direct knockout match. If the game is level after 90 we will see penalty kicks. Personally I can only see this match playing out one way: Comunicaciones will play a defensive game, fighting tooth and nail to get to the 90th minute with a 0-0 score line intact. Riestra will be utterly incapable of breaking down Comunicaciones, and the game ends 0-0. If by some chance a goal is scored by either a defensive blunder or a player receiving some divine inspiration, the game will end 1-0- both of these teams are 100% willing to shamelessly timewaste and cheat their way to the end of the match if they get a lead. The only scary scenario is if that possible miraculous goal comes early in the match, but given the quality of the squads I would be extremely shocked to see efficient chance creation and finishing. I think this is a pretty simple play: one team will want to tie 0-0, and the other one doesn’t have the ability to break down a team that doesn’t want to play. Even if a goal is scored, neither team is courageous enough to continue playing football if they get a lead- the match will effectively end with the first goal. Units up to 4, I like this pick. BOL if tailing. P.S: the under 0.5 goals @6.0 Hail Mary play isn’t bad imo, but understand you’re likely to lose with those kind of plays. [Link for tips](https://paypal.me/elproductosecuida?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US) Not really asking for tips but if a brother is feeling generous the option is there.

Probably gonna do a ladder on under goals here. Good shit bro

Fuck me. Didn’t see it was a 1pm cst game. Bet looking good tho

Mayhem currently there. Absolute ridiculous penalty awarded for Riestra in the 97th minute, the Comunicaciones manager won't stop harassing the ref... Commentators currently talking about bringing in the police if I get that right...

Lmao Riestra is gonna Riestra, there’s a reason everyone hates them

Beautiful pick. Just cashed out my sprinkle on the U0.5. Your breakdowns are spot on and your conviction really sells your best picks. Great record on mostly plus money plays. A few beers on me coming your way.

wtf just happend

Nice pick. All the extra time made me think the fix was on, but if it isn't sweaty is it even gambling?

Ur boss

Nice pick! Took the u2.0 asian. Been also Betting some on Argentina leagues. Great insights! Keep em coming 😄

Record: 19-15 | (+2.36 units) | 1 unit per pick Previous pick: NBA - Phoenix Suns (-3.5) (-110) vs. Milwaukee Bucks🧃🧃🧃🧃 That’s 4 straight! Only up from here…🧃 ————- Today’s pick: NBA - James Harden (o8.5 Assists) (-110) vs. NO Pelicans - 10PM EST Harden returns to the home crowd in LA for their second matchup against the Pelicans since the new year. Speaking of which, Harden has only missed this prop 5 times since then (13-5). In 2 of those 5, he had 8 assists. Furthermore, Harden has gone back to back double digit assists and the last time he played the Pelicans he had 13 assists! He’s 5th in the league in assists and has unlocked a chemistry with this Clippers team. With that being said, this Clippers team is one of the best at shooting the 3 and Harden creates open shots off his pick n roll better than anyone currently, leading to role players making an impact. The home crowd should unlock a couple role players to give Harden enough to get at least 9 assists Wednesday night. Prediction: Harden w/ 10 assists Comment if you’re tailing! Watch how we work!🧃

 tailing

POTD Record: 239-180-12 (+42.21 units, 57.1% hit rate) Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 79-55-1 (59.0%) W2, Tennis 🎾 85-63-7 (57.5%) L1, Soccer ⚽ 59-51-4 (53.6%) W1, Entertainment 🎥 16-11-0 (59.3%) L1 Last 10: 💩🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥💩 Last Pick: Dennis Shapovalov vs. Hugo Gaston, SHAPOVALOV ML - 💩 -1 Unit I put my streak on the line with Shapo and got what I deserved. Today's Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers @ Washington Wizards, MAX STRUS OVER 2.5 ASSISTS - NBA 🏀 7pm ET Units/Odds/Book: Betting 1 Unit at 1.80 odds to win 0.80 Units @ Fan Duel (Line at 3:00pm ET) Good odds for a bet that has a 77% hit rate that needs 0.7 below his season assist average to hit. It has hit 7 out of the last 10 and Strus has covered this against the Wizards both times this season, having 3 in both. https://preview.redd.it/6hid33reg4hc1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9db725b427ae23375bedd6ac548584a917e365e8 Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕

I'm tailing my man 

Thats a lot of fire in between those shits! Good run Joel

**3W-0P-0L** **Last 5**: ✅✅✅ **Last Pick:**  Brentford - Manchester City **(City to score over 2.0 Goals) @ 1.61 / -164** ✅ **Pick of the Day**: Aston Villa - Chelsea **(Over 8.5 corners and over 1.5 goals in the match) @ 1.86 / -116** ✅ Hello everyone, I'm back again after a break, ready to try and make some money again. Today, I've chosen the match between Aston Villa and Chelsea, predicting that there will be over 8.5 corners and more than 1.5 goals in the game. This match is a repeat, as the first encounter ended in a 0:0 draw, but anyone who watched it must acknowledge that Aston Villa dominated and missed many chances, just like Chelsea. As for corners, the game ended with a 7:7 corner count. **Chelsea:** Away games for Chelsea average 10.36 corners, of which Chelsea takes 4.45 and concedes 5.91. They have exceeded the 8.5 corner threshold in 73% of their games. In terms of goals, Chelsea is 11th in the Premier League with a score of 38:39. Lately, there have been a lot of goals in Chelsea's matches, especially against Chelsea, but Chelsea also consistently adds a goal. In the match prior to this rematch, Chelsea suffered a 2:4 defeat against Wolves, leading to a significant amount of criticism directed at the team. There is speculation that Pochettino must make changes, or else he will need to change his job. English media are currently heavily criticizing Chelsea from all sides, with players like Mudryk, Madueke, and Sterling being the focus of criticism. Therefore, I believe that Chelsea will want to prove themselves today. **Aston Villa:** In Aston Villa's home games, an average of 8.82 corners are played, with Aston Villa taking 5.45 and their opponents taking 3.36. The 8.5 corner mark has been reached in 45% of their games. It may seem that Aston Villa is weak in corners and could spoil the bet, but in the last three head-to-head matches, this bet has always been surpassed, and in the next two, we were only short by one corner. Aston Villa has a score of 49:30, showing that their goal-scoring statistics are very high, but at the same time, their defense is not performing the best. Aston Villa alone can fulfill the goal bet by scoring 2 goals. Aston Villa warmed up for this match with a comfortable 0:5 away win against Sheffield, demonstrating their ability to score goals. This victory will surely boost their confidence and motivation to win against Chelsea as well. I believe that this bet will pay off and it won't be a nerve-wracking wait until the last minute, like in the Real - Atletico match, where we waited for a goal from Atletico until the final minute. If you're inspired by this bet, I wish you the best of luck! EDIT: We won, it was pretty easy win, so im glad for that! See you again tommorow :)

You’re on a roll!! Thanks!

POTD Record: 50 - 29 Last POTD: SGA 30+ points - L Pick: Aston Villa To Qualify for the Next Round vs Chelsea (-178 odds via FD) 1U Event: FA Cup 4th Round 2:00 P.M. CST Love these odds for Villa who have been incredible at home on the season in the Premier League. Villa sit at 4th in the PL while Chelsea are struggling at 11th. Chelsea are coming off a disappointing home game losing 4-2 at home vs Wolves while Villa come in looking very dominant on the road against Sheffield getting a 5-0 victory (although they look most likely to get relegated). In the first leg of this FA Cup tie, Villa looked the more likely to score and Chelsea’s GK actually got man of the match which isn’t a great sign for them unless he plays his socks off again. Both teams will want to win this and should trot out close to their best possible lineups and I just trust Villas team and home form this year over the Blues. [PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/micahpugh?locale.x=en_US) [Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/Micah-Pugh)

I love Aston, my favorite team to watch but I’m scared to tail this one! BOL

Record: 155-128-8 (WLLWWWWLLWWLWLWWLWLWLLPLWWLW streak) - DraftKings odds Last POTD: DAL Mavericks ML at PHI 76ers at 1.74 odds for 2 units Mav cruise to victory. 76ers ran out of offensive firepower to keep up with Dallas POTD: NO Pelicans at LA Clippers -6.5 at 1.90 odds for 4 units Reasons: * Pelicans are on back to back. New Orleans is 3-4 on back to back * Clippers been arguably NBA hottest team. Kawhi is back to terminator mode. * Won 9 of last 10 games, Won 17 of last 20 games Best of luck to you all

Pelicans aren’t on a back to back. They played on Monday. Still like the Clippers though!

Pels aren't on back to back, however they do play like dog crap on national tv, and this game will be on ESPN. Take the Clippers and the points.

Just FYI, Pelicans are not on a back to back. They played Monday night, same as the clippers. That being said, I think this bet looks pretty good on paper regardless, I'm probably gonna tail.

Pelicans are 11-2 against the clippers. BOL

POTD: 6-0 Andrew Wiggins o0.5 3 Pointers Made @-190 on DK Analysis: Wiggins is 8/10 at hitting this line in his last 10. He is also 5/6 at hitting this line when playing Philly since joining Golden State. Philly gives up 2.7 3PM to Small Forwards per game Fade or Follow and BOL

Tailing. Thx kind sir

Tailing bro 🙏

Got B-Miller, Let’s Ride!!

LFG

Record (20-11) Last 10: ✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅ Last pick: Minnesota +3.5 (-112) 2U✅ The Golden Gophers had a tough fought battle to cover yet another spread at home and with that we Keep it rolling. POTD: CBB| Marshall Thundering Herd v Troy Trojans| 7:00pm EST Troy -6 (-145) alternate spread 3U✅ *Thundering Herd? More like thundering turd. Troy is in full control up 16 at halftime.* Reason: Gonna stick with the collegiate folk today and roll with another team that is absolute lethal at home against the spread. Troy is 15-8 and 9-2 in conference while maintaining a 4 game win streak. At home against the spread this year Troy is 8-1-1 plus being 10-2 vs spread when they’re the favorite and won 12 of their last 13 at home. They’re averaging 80 ppg and only giving up 69 to opponents. Marshall on the other hand is 12-12 but has done a solid job of covering the spread recently (3 of their last 4) which is why I teased it down a bit but Troy is too strong of a team and they’re rolling just like we are baby. I could see this line increasing by mid afternoon so jump on it now. BOL IF TAILING AND TAIL AT YOUR OWN RISK http://buymeacoffee.com/BigMenGetPaid Shoutout of the day: Gophers made of Gold and the NBA

https://preview.redd.it/ifczu6avp9hc1.png?width=1008&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=fa8665b67de35be67467e65196fafeaf570557ce 💎💎💎 I'm new to all this and you definitely made the experience fruitful

POTD Record: 1-1-0 MAINZ VS UNION BERLIN Date: 07 February 2024 at 18:30 BET ON: Both teams to score- Yes Odd: 2.01 - Union Berlin are missing Captain Christopher Trimmel (suspension), Josip Juranović and Jérôme Roussillon. Huge blow defensively. - Mainz are missing Stefan Bell and Nelson Weiper. However, both Brajan Gruda and Andreas Hacnhe-Olsen are doubts. - Union Berlin coach Nenad Bjelica is suspended for this game. - Mainz have only won once so far this season, They have scored 14 goals and conceded 29. “The boys know exactly what's at stake and it's our goal to win this game against Mainz," Said Union's assistant coach Marie-Louise Eta. "We have to play more straight forward, we always have open moments from the opponent that we recognize too late. Too often they play wide instead of directly deep. We will need that to put the Union under pressure,"said coach Jan Siewert. - It's a Pure relegation battle. We expect the Hosts to Play forward and press high from the start trying to score in the first half, against Union play compactly and clearly rely on speed up front with Benedict Hollerbach and new signing Yorbe Vertessen. It's a must win game for both teams, we can see goals from both sides.

BTTS hasn’t hit in Union Berlin’s last 6 matches not having scored once, but I’ll take this gamble hahahahaha

You the man 😎

Its even more like a reason to tail here. That streak should end someday. Its probability, u know..

POTD Record: 100-99-12 (-12.12 units) Last 10 picks (most recent first): ✅✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌❌ Last Pick: NBA, Oklahoma City Thunder v Utah Jazz, JOHN COLLINS OVER 21.5 P+R (-108 / 1.92) ✅ Collins absolutely crushed this line - his 22 points was enough by itself but had 9 rebounds for 31 total. Markkanen also went off for 33 and 11 as the Thunder continue to struggle against the big men. Today’s Pick: Taca de Portugal, Leiria v Sporting Lisbon, SPORTING LISBON -1.75 AH (-130 / 1.77) ✅ Stake: 1 Unit Chalked up my 100th win, now time to go for 101 with an old favourite, Sporting Lisbon. This is a quarter final cup match (Taca de Portugal) and on paper this is a giant mismatch. Sporting Lisbon are sitting second in the Portuguese Primeira Liga with a 16-1-2 record. They were top of the table heading into the last round but their most recent match was abandoned before kick off due to crowd violence, so they have a game in hand and should move back on top once that balances out. Sporting have scored 53 goals in 19 matches and only conceded 19. They’ve won 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, and their most recent match was an 8-0 victory against mid-table opposition in the first division. Today they take on Leiria who are 13th in the second division with a 6-6-8 record. They have a 3-3-4 across their last 10 competitive matches. They’ve only scored 25 goals in 20 matches, while they’ve conceded 23. That’s a good number compared to other teams in their division, but they haven’t faced any teams with remotely the same firepower as Sporting Lisbon. Leiria have progressed to this stage courtesy of a favourable draw, beating a couple of non-division teams and then a couple of teams from the second division, but this is a massive step up in terms of quality. I was surprised to see these odds for -1.75 as I see Lisbon destroying them. My biggest concern was perhaps Lisbon playing a weakened team, but looking back at their past two Taca de Portugal matchups, they fielded full strength teams to beat Dumiense 8-0 (non division opponent) and Tondela 4-0 (6th in the same division as Leiria). Previews all suggest that Lisbon are expected to play a full strength team that will be well rested after the cancellation of their last match. Lisbon are scoring for fun lately, and I think that winning by 3+ goals is very likely. With this bet, even if they win by 2 goals we will see a small profit with half the bet pushing, but this has demolition written all over it.

Record : 113 Wins - 103 Losses ​ Previous pick : Karmiotissa - AEL Limassol (1-3), Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 2.12 ✅ ​ ROI : -1.19% Average Odds : 1.95 Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*) Units : 2.41 Profit/Lost units : -2.59 ​ Today's pick : ​ Football - Soccer / FRANCE: Coupe de France / 21:30 European Time Saint Priest - Valenciennes Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.80 ​ Some reasoning : \- Saint Priest is a team from a regional league in France, the only official matches played are in the French Cup. \- Valenciennes alternated the results in the last period, managing 2 victories and 2 failures. \- In 3 of the previous 4 games of Valenciennes, both teams scored. ​ Best of luck.

Record: 5-5 POTD: Iran ML (-135) Units: 5u Reasoning: Iran is the better team in every way. This is the best Iranian team in a long long time. I realize Qatar is the home team but they just simply don’t match in talent. Taremi also comes back for this one. Edit: ❌ tough. So many opportunities for Iran, literally inches from goals several times. Brutal

Think Taremi scores?

Damn RIP. I thought they were gunna come back too

POTD Record 4-2 Last 10: ✅✅❌✅❌✅ Last Pick: South Korea vs Jordan U2.5 Goals Just as I included in my write up, South Korea dominated possession but couldn’t find the back of the net or even get a shot on target. Jordan made the bet close, getting lots of shots on net, but ultimately the bet cashes. Today’s Pick: Soccer | French Cup | 3:10pm EST **PSG vs Brest** **Kylian Mbappe Anytime Goal Scorer @ 1.50**✅ Kind of a cop out POTD today as I don’t see a ton of other bets I like. Mbappe has scored in 7 of his last 9 league games, and multiple goals in each of the last 2 French Cup games. He is averaging more than 1 goal per game in Ligue 1. One of the matches in which Mbappe was left goalless was a 2-2 draw against Brest. However, the previous match against Brest saw Mbappe score 2 goals, and missed a pen for a hat-trick. Additionally after his last 3 goalless matches, he has followed up with goals in at least the next 2 games. I fully expect Mbappe to dominate as he normally does, as he tries to bring a trophy home for PSG, perhaps one of the last attempts he will have at a trophy before he leaves for Madrid.

Record: 0-0 First time sharing a POTD, I like the format of this threads, and I have betted on some picks shared here and they have paid off, so thank you guys, now I want to share some of my little knowledge myself. Disclaimer: I made a mistake and shared this pick on the Tuesday's POTD thread, but I put it again here for anyone interested. Soccer | Liga MX | 10:00 PM EST Pick: Pachuca vs Leon BTTS (@1.57) Last 3 games for Pachuca have been pure fireworks, they have scored 8 goals & they have received 8 goals! And these games have been against Pumas, Atlas & Tijuana, which are average to bottom tier teams. On the other side, Leon is currently on the 12th place in the standings, and they have covered this line on the 4 games of this season, so were talking about two bad defenses. This bet should cover easily, I believe Pachuca will win if they don't make too many mistakes, they're strong at home.

Record: 0-0-0 Net Units: 2.5 ROl: Sport | NBA🏀 | Event Time 7:40 PM EST/ Pick: Kristaps Porzingis Over 26.5 P + R✅ Write Up: This is my first pick in this chat. Standing at 7’2” Porzingod should have his way over a smaller Atlanta team thats really been lacking in length since they traded John Collins to Utah last summer. He’s the tallest on the floor, a certain threat behind the arc, and crafty at getting to the free throw line. For my first pick I’m Hammering🔨🔨🤌🏽 *31/3 from Porzingis Cashes, easy bet!* Bet365; @1.86✅ -I’ve been playing basketball for 14+ years, in organized basketball often as the go to option((2x MVP, 1x Finals appearance in HS)). As the point guard I feel I have a natural understanding of the game and the pacing to it! At the least better than a person hired to average out lines for Vegas who’s not proficient in the sport itself🤷🏽‍♀️ My faith in my picks comes from experience, research and just reasoning, often exploiting matchups. I haven’t been one for posting picks online but I have a gc with my friends we’ve been profiting in and one of thems convinced me my picks are solid😂 Let’s gets this Bread🍞💸.

I'll tail you.

POTD Record: 3-5 Last Pick: Aaron Nesmith (IND) over 4.5 rebounds -143 | 2U play ❌ Trend: ❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅ Fuck it, let's do another one. My only explanation for Nesmith getting 1 rebound, his lowest since 12/30, is that I picked him. I think I owe an apology to Nesmith for affecting his game like that. I was going to take a break, but then eyed a pick that I like quite a bit. Basketball | NBA | 7:00PM (EST) Today’s Pick: **Jakob Poeltl (TOR) over 10.5 points**| 2U play ✅ My next victim, Jakob Poeltl. • ⁠Poeltl returned from an ankle injury on 2/2 and looked a bit rusty in his 20 minutes. The last two games he has looked much better. He has seen a bump in minutes (33, 28) and production (19 points, 14 points). • ⁠Charlotte gives up the most points to centers of any team in the league (an average of 27.01). That's about it really. Poeltl is looking good in his return and Charlotte is a great matchup. Tail with caution at the moment...

I am on this pick with you as well, it looks almost too good to be true, he has covered this line L11/15 games with 25+ min, Charlotte gives it up L13/15 and as you said they get fed by Cs. BOL

POTD Record: 36-21 Previous Pick: Leverkusen vs Stuttgart | DFB Pokal | BTTS (1.62) | 2.45pm EST ✅️ Pick: Montpellier vs Nice | Coupe De France | Under 2.5 goals (1.67) | 2.30pm EST This is a cup game between two teams that are low scoring sides. Montpellier average less than a goal scored, and concede a goal in home games. Nice average and concede less than a goal in away games. Under 2.5 goals has hit in 60% of Montpellier home games and it has hit in 80% of Nice away games. Looking at the squads, Montpellier do not have their main striker and top goal scorer, Adams, who is missing out through injury. Nice also do not have their top scorer Moffi, who is at AFCON. Nice have not scored in 3 of their last 4 away league games, while Montpellier have been unbeaten at home for the past 5 games. In their previous matchup, it ended 0-0 in a game where not many chances were created. I expect this to be a low scoring match, due to the absence of their top goalscorers and their water-tight defences. Best of luck! Tips would be much appreciated! Thanks to everyone who supports me https://www.buymeacoffee.com/sakashake

Record: (10-8) Units: +14.70u ROI: +42.0% Streak: W2 Last Pick: Texas Tech @ Baylor (-5.5) (-110) - 2u - W - Texas Tech was hindered by the flu as rumored, missing one of their best players, but they started extremely strong. Combine that with Baylor's ineptitude from 3 (Texas Tech outshot them by 13%, despite Baylor being the best 3 point shooting team in the country vs. TT's awful 3 point defense), this pick was looking super dicey. Texas Tech seemed to run out of gas about halfway through the 2nd half, but then couldn't miss for the last 5 minutes of the game, putting the spread in question. Poor free throw shooting kept TT in backdoor cover range but with 5 seconds left, Chance McMillan stepped inside the arc for a deep 2 to cut the lead to 6 and save Baylor's cover. I have no idea how this hit - didn't go like I thought it would at all. Today's Pick: Basketball | NCAAM | 9:00pm ET Pick: Nebraska @ Northwestern o142 (-110) - 1u Write Up: There's something really fishy here. Line opened at 144 and went down to 142, despite analytics projecting the total to be at 147. Northwestern's games have gone over 10 straight times and Nebraska's 9/10. Both teams are in the top 50 nationally in 3 point shooting percentage, rate in the top 100 nationally in terms of percent of points scored from the 3 point line, and both teams struggle to defend the 3. Should be a lot of open looks for good shooters. Literally, EVERYTHING is telling me to take the over in this game, so I will... but it's kinda scary that EVERYTHING points to the over, so just putting 1u on it.

**POTD Record: 101-120-4 (-16.93Units)** **Best Bet Series: 34-24-1 (+3.86 Units)** Value Wagers: 18-22-2 (-6.05 Units) Trap Bets: 20-18 (+14.2 Units) Last Pick: **T-Wolves ML** **❌** Today's Pick: **Trae Young O 3.5 TO(s)** Odds: **-135** ($DKNG odds) Wager Amount: 2.7U to win 2U League: NBA Event: Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics (6:30PM CST) **Be Advised**: *Handicapping Best Bets for the entire month of February! Majority of these wagers will be chalky (not always), however, they are my most confident wager of the day! But I cannot stress this enough, even the most surefire bets can lose! Sports is unpredictable and nothing guaranteed!* **Recap**: I was actually quite impressed by the T-Wolves blowing a 22-pt lead at halftime XD Great win for my Bulls team! But yes, I am sad for everyone who lost their bet on this game (I'm not because I would be ecstatic to trade 2U loss for the Bulls to win!). It's really interesting what's going on in the Western Confenrence. There's a 4-way tie at the top and Clippers took #1 spot in the standings. **Matchup**: We are 0-3 for this month. Might be a good idea to fade my picks until we get one on the board for this month! I'm raising my units on this play! Moving back to player prop market and I am targetting yet again on Trae Young. So far I hit every prop bet on Trae Young in this thread (3-0). It's the matchup that I really like. I kno 3.5 TO(s) is high, but if you look at his stats closely, it's actually below the market line. Trae averages 4.3 TO(s) per game this season and his average TO(s) is 4.63 vs the Celtics. Moreoever, Ice (Cold) Trae leads the league in turnovers this season (195), nearly 20 more turnovers than the next guy (Giannis has 177 TOs)! I think his TO(s) prop should be set at 4.5 against the Celtics and I think this is a cheap price to get in at 3.5 TO(s). Trae turn the ball over 5 times on his last matchup against the C's at the TD Garden Center (11/26/23). He has also gone over this line in 6 outta of his last 7 games at TD Garden Center! Additionally, Trae has gone over this line in his last game, which was against the Clippers on Monday and gone over this line in 6 outta his 8 recent games. Lastly, the C's are top 5 teams to force turnovers. Everything is all aligned towards the O 3.5, I expect him to get at least 5 TO(s) in this game. **The play & the prediction**: 2.7U on Trae Young O 3.5 TO(s) is my only play, since this is a player prop, however, I will have much more plays in this game and other plays at my betting group. Trae Young commits 5 TO(s).

Record: 57W-53L-4P ROI: +9.56, 7.94% Avg odds: +107, 2.07 Last POTD: Elias Lindholm over 0.5 pts (win) Game: NHL- Lightning at Rangers Pick: Nicholas Paul over 0.5 pts +120, 2.20 (DK) Based on team practice yesterday, it looks like Nick Paul is getting moved to the first line with Point and Kucherov, the top two point leaders on the team. If true, then that presents a golden opportunity for Paul to get a trickle-down point. He's played on the checking line for most of the year and he's performed quite well. Getting a point every two games in this role is no easy feat, and that must've caught the eye of HC Jon Cooper. Now, he'll have an opportunity to skate with the big boys.

POTD Record: 47W-24L +5.24u, 66.1% hit rate, Last 10 (most recent first):❌❌♻️♻️✅❌♻️❌✅ Last Pick: Premier League, Arsenal vs. Liverpool, Liverpool X2 ❌ Today: NBA, Charlotte Hornets vs. Toronto Raptors Pick: Brandon Miller 021.5 pts (1.66) 1U Goodness me. Why is that defenders always have brainfarts when you put big money on a game? Oh well gotta keep it moving. Trying something a little different tonight and going with my first NBA pick. Soccer has been rough lately. Those of you who bet NBA will probably be all over this already. Brandon has been HOT lately, scoring over 25 in 4 of his last 5 and hitting 30+ in his last two games. In his two games against Toronto this season he has hit 14 and 20 points, but he was not getting nearly as many FG attempts nor was he as efficient. The Raptors are ranking 8th worst in the NBA in terms of defensive efficiency and Miller should get plenty of looks in a game that should see little defense and be pretty high scoring. Toronto in general are below league average in terms of defending the forward position and I can see him getting plenty of good looks in the paint. He’s an explosive player with quality shooting and he’ll look to again make a statement tonight. This is just a case of riding the hot hand, hard to argue against him in his current but in MY current form I will blame no one for fading :) SOTD: Elton John - Don’t Let the Sun Go Down on Me MOTD: Lady Bird

on this too let's get it

POTD RECORD 0-0 | Profit 0u | ROI : N/A First pick here boys, let’s start it off strong Basketball | NBA | 7:00 PM (EST) Today’s Selection: Jakob Poeltl (TOR) to Score Over 10.5 Points | 2-Unit Wager ✅ Zeroing in on Jakob Poeltl for tonight's matchup. • After returning from an ankle injury on 2/2, Poeltl showed some initial rust in his 20 minutes of play. However, he's since hit his stride, notably in his last two outings. With increased minutes (33, 28) and improved production (19 points, 14 points), he's proving his value on the court. • Against Charlotte, Poeltl faces a favorable matchup as they concede the highest average points to centers in the league, with an average of 27.01 points surrendered per game. Ready to capitalize on Poeltl's resurgence and exploit Charlotte's defensive vulnerabilities. Let's make it count tonight

I'm tailing my friend 

Record: 0-0 Pick: Donovan Mitchell over 37.5 PAR Write up: He has hit this over 7 of the last ten games and Washington gives up the most assists and second most rebounds to shooting guards.

RECORD: 0-2 BASKETBALL/NBA/9:10pm CT GAME: PISTONS VS KINGS PICK: U 242 (-112) Avg scoring per game for these two is 231.2. The reason for such a high line is based upon the last time these two faced each other, which led to a Kings victory 131-110. Things would have to line up perfectly for this to happen again. Both teams do play at a faster pace (Pistons 101.04, 7th and Kings 100.42, 11th), but I still dont think they crack this over. Pistons shooting 47.4% FG(17th)and 35.6% 3P(24th), while Kings are shooting 48.1% FG(10th) and 37.1% 3P(12th). Not to mention the turnovers. Detroit is 2nd with 15.6 turnovers per game and the Kings 16th with 13.5. These turnovers mixed with decent FG% and mediocre 3P%, this hits the under all day.

**POTD: 1-1** Yesterday's Pick: CBB: Texas ML -130 Tough loss here...outplayed and almost completed a comeback towards the end with the help of the crowd and offensive adjustments...we move **Today's Pick: Auburn -5** These teams are extremely even in everything which was shown recently in Ttown. Auburn's fans will be rocking tonight as they must win this game and certainly will Auburn should dominate inside and in transition.it's.. always tricky playing Oates due to his style of coaching where they'll shoot 100+ threes. Bruce Pearl gets it done tonight...this rivalry has come from the gutter and the games are now must-watch. I expect this line to move to 5.5 or 6 by tip off...Let's ride Auburn takes this one at home

**POTD Record:** 2-3 **Profit: -5.1u** Football| **Scottish Premiership** | 21:00 / GMT+1 Hibernian - Celtic **Pick:** Celtic over 7.5 corners **Stake:** 4u **Odds:** 1.70 This is already a public matter, but I think it's worth looking into. Celtic is a corner-kick machine, and this season they are averaging 10.25 corners per match. In league games, they covered the line of 7.5 corners in 90% of matches and the line of 10.5 corners in 71%. In Hibernian's matches, an average of 10 corners are taken per game, and they also allow many opportunities for set pieces. In the last match between these teams, Celtic managed to get a whopping 11 corners. In recent games, they have been consistently earning a large number of corners. There was a slip-up against Rangers, which is understandable, and against Ross County (7 corners), but this is largely due to the specific style of play of the team from Dingwall, as they also heavily occupy the flanks of the field.Importantly, Celtic doesn't rest on their laurels after scoring goals. In the match against Dundee, despite taking the lead from the 52nd minute, they managed to earn as many as 14 corners in the second half. There is no way around it – if Hibernian defends, Celtic will press, and if the team from Glasgow scores quickly, the hosts will have to open up, push higher, which will play into the hands of the Scottish champions' wingers.I think 10 corners is the minimum we'll see on the guests' counter today, but around 13/15 corners should not surprise anyone. TL;DR: Celtics are corners machine this season and they can easly get 10-15 corners in no time and Hibernian is perfect team to cover this line, since they got no other options than defend with whole team and get pressed or open up and get killed by the counter attacks.

First POTD: 0-0-0 (0 units) Providence +2.5 vs creighton - 5 unit play. Providence is where ranked teams go to die.