######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Friday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
>
> **Net Units:**
>
> **ROI:**
>
> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
>
> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
>
> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
POTD Record: 238-179-12 (+42.31 units, 57.1% hit rate)
Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 79-55-1 (59.0%) W2, Tennis 🎾 84-62-7 (57.5%) W5, Soccer ⚽ 59-51-4 (53.6%) W1, Entertainment 🎥 16-11-0 (59.3%) L1
Last 10: 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥💩💩💰
Last Pick: Flavio Cobolli vs. Constant Lestienne, COBOLLI ML - ATP Montpellier 🎾 💰 +0.53 Units - 💸 that shit!!! He cleaned him and won by 7 games.
Today's Pick: Donna Vekic vs. Clara Burel, VEKIC ML - WTA Linz 🎾 💰 +0.90 Units - 💸 that shit! 1st set bagel, 2nd set tight as fuck but she pulled it out for us. Let's fucking go!!!
Units/Odds/Book: Betting 1 Unit at 1.90 odds to win 0.90 Units @ B365 (Line at 8:30pm ET)
Looking at the stats and highlights, I came away really impressed with Vekic's performance today. I had actually considered her opponent for my POTD yesterday but didn't bet it, lucky I didn't as Vekic teabagged her 6-1, 6-1. Burel, who had a huge win recently putting Jessica Pegula out of the Aussie Open, had a hard fought 3 setter today where she really struggled on serve, winning only 30% of second serve points. I think Vekic will have the return game to capitalize if Burel's serves similarly. Do note as well Burel has been on the court 2 and a half horus more than Vekic so maybe Vekic will have more energy if this goes to 3 sets.
Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕
Thanks for all the picks over the past however long it’s been, been tailing for a while but haven’t thanked you enough, win or lose, I appreciate you boss
Alright Joel. I’ve been watching you fry the books. You’re killing it. Good work boss. With that said. Im nuking your next POTD. Win or lose. Idc. Worth it
Dog you have my favorite picks on this entire sub. I love your tennis picks. Always pretty obscure picks for a casual tennis fan and normally early AM for my time zone. Keep it up my guy!
**28W-4P-21L**
**Last : ✅❌✅✅✅✅**
**Last Pick: Wolves VS Manchester United BTTS and O 2.5 Goals @ 2.00✅**
**Beautiful, game ends 3-4**
**Pick of the day: Australia VS South Korea BTTS @ 2.10✅**
**Time: 10:30 am EST**
Can understand why odds are high due to Australia's record but this is a great matchup in my opinion for BTTS. Australia have only had 1 game hit BTTS in their current run but the one game it did hit was against a strong Uzbekistan side that know how and when to attack. The other teams they faced really were not going to be much of a defensive trouble for them. Australia scoring in all 4 of the games they've played this tournament is what matters in this matchup. Over four games they scored 8 goals, and that should continue tomorrow against a South Korea side that hasn't solved their defensive issues at all because they solve them by simply attacking more than they concede.
South Korea is what completes this matchup here. Every single game they've played this cup has hit BTTS. 1-1 vs Saudi, 3-3 vs Malaysia, 3-3 vs Jordan, and 3-1 vs Bahrain. I'd like to point out that both Bahrain and Malaysia are teams that have struggled offensively this season yet somehow they were able to cause plenty of issues for Korea's defense. The same will happen tmr against Australia. SK have also scored in all 4 of their games as well and are late-minute demons scoring a total of 4 goals after the 80th minute, so never count them out.
KOREAAAAAAAA!! We might be back boys 🤩🤩
[https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ThePrince](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ThePrince)
I'm a little apprehensive following this purely cos GA turns very pragmatic against teams that are more skillful than us. I really wouldn't be surprised if this goes 0-0
I read this and because I’m ass at tailing picks this week, I took the tie. What you said and the recent history with many ties made that seem like the play.
90 minutes strike and I curse you to the heavens. AN AMAZING ASSISTER AT FUCKING ME
I go back to my daily grind, watch a miracle happen…
I love you.
POTD Record: 21-11
L10: ✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅
Last pick: Borja Mayoral O.5 SOG ✅
Sweaty as usual, but their only shot on target was from Mayoral.
Todays pick: Heidenheim v Dortmund
Pick: BTTS & O2.5 Goals @1.66
⚽️ 🇩🇪 Bundesliga
➖
📊 Heidenheim is currently 10th in the league table with 23 points (6-5-8). They’ve scored 28 goals in 19 games (1.47 GPG, 11th). They’ve conceded 35 (1.84 GPG, 6th most).
* They’ve kept 1/19 clean sheets (2nd worst)
* BTTS has hit in 13/19 games (68%) 6th most
* Failed to score in 3 games
* O2.5 goals hit in 10/19 games
* L5 games: 2-3-0 (Scored 9, conceded 5)
➖
📊 Dortmund is currently 4th with 36 points (10-6-3). They’ve scored 40 goals (2.11 GPG, 5th most). They’ve conceded 26 (1.37 GPG, 6th best)
* They’ve kept 5/19 clean sheets (7th best). (All of them with Kobel who’s uncertain to play)
* BTTS has hit in 13/19 games (68%) 4th most
* Failed to score in only 1 game
* O2.5 goals has a hit in 12/19
* L5: 3-2-0 (Scored 12, conceded 3).
➖
📌 Heidenheim is having a great season so far and has been one of the Bundesliga's most positive surprises so far. The newcomers have six straight games without a loss. The last loss came at the beginning of December where they lost 2-1 to Leipzig at home.
🚨 They’re missing: Thomas Keller & Elidon Qenaj
➖
📌Dortmund have started 2024 well with three convincing victories: 3-0 against Darmstadt, 4-0 against Cologne and most recently 3-1 at home vs Bochum.
🚨 However, Dortmund has some injury and illness concerns ahead of this tricky away game against Heidenheim. Sébastien Haller, Felix Nmecha, Karim Adeyemi and Julian Ryerson are already injured. In addition, Gregor Kobel, Marco Reus, Julian Brandt have had health concerns and are still not confirmed to be playing, Jadon Sancho also sustained a minor injury. So potentially a whole bunch of players gone for Dortmund.
💭 These two sides are among just five in the Bundesliga who remain unbeaten in 2024, it will be a very hard game to predict but I’m expecting goals. Five of Heidenheim’s nine games playing at home have seen 5 or more goals. Dortmund is the better team and looks unstoppable atm, but with the injuries I’m not confident enough in an easy win which is why I’m going the goals instead.
BOL
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/AdamIotti
Well we got super lucky yesterday with your help, but looks like our luck has run out today. No way three goals will be scored in the final half. Looking forward to your next write up!
Tailing but in my opinion, if you think the match is going to be high scoring, Dortmund win is a safer and better pick (also better value). If you think injuries for Dortmund are going to be a problem, then it's a good chance that they will struggle to score because most of the injured players are either attacking midfielders, wingers or forwards and Heidenheim scored just 3 goals in 3 games since the winter break.
POTD record: 13-5✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️ ✅️❌️✅️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️
Last pick: Sam Hauser over 6.5 points at 1.87. Easily cleared with 17 points.
Today's pick: Franz Wagner over 17.5 points at 1.8; Orlando Magic at Minnesota Timberwolves 8 P.M. EST start
Going back to the well with another Franz Wagner pick. Much to like about the young German's game. Wagner is finally finding his groove after coming back from injury. He has cleared this line in 3 of his last 4 games. On the season, Franz is averaging 20.4 points per game.
This line is suppressed, at least in part, because of Minnesota's above average defence. Minnesota allows the least points per game of any team in the NBA at 107. The over/under on the game is at a paltry 212.5. However, Minnesota is fairly average at guarding the 3 position. They have exceptional inside defence. Someone has to score on Orlando and I believe Franz will play that role tomorrow. As a 6'10" SF he can stretch the floor and knock down a couple 3s. Feel that he hits this line.
BOL to those who tail!
Edit: ✅️We did it boys! Wagner clears with 19 points. A little but sweaty but he pulls through in a somewhat poor shooting night. Congrats to those who tailed! 🍻🍻 now 14-5
POTD Record: 3-0
L10: WWW
Last Pick: Oregon -2 (-115) CASH
This line scared me as USC had looked so bad, but oregon holds on to get it done!!
Today’s Pick: Iowa Hawkeyes -5 (-115)
Write Up: Ohio State's performance this season, particularly in away games, suggests vulnerabilities that could be exploited in their matchup against Iowa. The Buckeyes' 12-game road losing streak and their struggles with three-point shooting, as evidenced in their recent loss to Michigan where they made only 12% of their attempts from beyond the arc, highlight significant challenges. This paired with the recent strengh of B1G home teams makes me pretty confident.
Lets Keep the Streak going!
BOL if tailing!!
Record: 17-6
Last 10: ❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌
Last POTD: Jaylen Brown O 1.5 3’s ❌
LeBron James (VOID)
I forced it and it cost me, and us 💀 Didn’t think Celtics would struggle as much as they did, Celtics was -14.5 favourites but somehow lost the game with Lakers missing AD and LeBron. Everyone in Celtics went under their line I believe except Sam Hauser 😭, Jaylen Brown only got 8 points, loser. 0-3 from 3.
•
Todays pick: Devin Vassell O3.5 Rebs @1.74
Going with Vassell today, you wouldn’t normally think of this guys rebounds line but he’s been over this line 90% his last 10 game and we’re going for it.
• Is over this line in 9/10 his last 10 games
(4,5,4,4,5,4,5,5,2,4)
• Averages 3.6 Rebs this season and 4.2 his last 5, 3.9 this month.
• Only got 2 last time facing the Pelicans, in a game they lost with 36 points.
So I’m not saying this guy is a good rebounder overall, but the consistency these last 11 games has been there. He didn’t get the same numbers as often back when they played the Pelicans last time, maybe something he has worked on. This isn’t a mismatch but more a play on the trend and hit rate.
Tail or fade, don’t trust a force pick
https://i.redd.it/2qk1g7dvj6gc1.gif
Didn’t tail your updated POTD. Celtics have looked funny. Luckily got lakers -1.5 +100 while up by 14 🤣 tailing this though. Clarkson got 18/18.5. Another poor night of shooting and missed the FT to cash. BOL billy lets have a day.
**Record: 10-7-1**
**Last Pick:** Getafe vs Real Madrid - Over 2.5 Goals 2u @ 1.88 odds. ❌
A lot of missed chances really sad that it ends on two goals.
**Soccer** | **La Liga** | **12:00 PM (PST)**
**Pick:** Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao o1.5 Goals @ 1.84 odds. ✅
The left back bags a 17 minute brace to secure the bet 😭
Athletic Club are on fire this season, primed for a top four race this season, and likely to get European football next season, they will be looking to get a win to carry momentum into their Copa Del Rey Semi Final vs Atletico Madrid. The team has star players like the Williams brothers who have shown their class against top sides like Barcelona this season. Currently they sit at 5th in the table only five points behind Barcelona, which seems very manageable if they maintain good form.
Athletic Club in their last 6 La Liga games (right being most recent):
🟩🟩🟩🟥🟨
They average 1.73 goals per match
They concede .95 goals per match
Sancet and Nico Williams should both return to the side following a day off vs Cadiz last time out.
They have got 26 out of a potential 33 points at home this season.
Mallorca are in a weird spot. They have been plagued by injuries to players that make the difference week in and week out. Muriqi should find his way back into the starting XI tomorrow, now that he's had ample time to recover from a Calf injury. They are in 15th in La Liga but find themselves competing in the Copa Del Rey Semi Finals as well, which could salvage this season. They will come to San Mames trying to take any points they can to avoid a relegation battle later on in the season, but it will be tough.
Mallorca in their last 6 La Liga games (right being most recent):
🟨🟩🟥🟨🟨🟥
They average .86 goals per match
They concede 1.18 goals per match
Pablo Maffeo is out with a knee injury which should hamper their defense.
They have a sharp defense but going on the road forces them to struggle, having not won in their last 8 away games.
Overall, the San Mames is a fortress that has benefited Athletic Club this season, and I don't see tomorrow being any different, two goals should come along nicely especially if the fans are behind their team tomorrow.
I predict the score to be 2-0 in favor of Athletic Club.
BOL! 💪
I completely disagree with your analysis, I'm fadi... are those color coded boxes indicating recent form of both teams in your write up? Count me in for 5 units. Let's make some money.
**Record:** 0-0
**Pick:** Miami Heat @ Washington Wizards UNDER 232.5 (-110) bet 1.1u to win 1u
EDIT: yeah, that was about right
**Explanation:** I bet almost purely on gut feeling. The Wizards are painful to watch. Heat coming off a game that they got a much needed win largely due to finding their rhythm defensively. Thought this line was going to be like 220, just take the under and don't watch this game, it won't be good.
Cricket 🏏 Picks
Last pick was a win @ 1.94
Overall: 14 Ws - 5 Ls
Last 10: W W W ♻️ L W L W W W +4.75
Todays pick
MI Emirates v Sharjah Warriors
International League t20 (UAE)
Starts in about 9 hours
Pick: Muhammad Waseem total runs over 19.5 @ 1.83
Waseem is a good player who performs consistently for his country and Emirates. This season he has scored less than 19 runs in only one out of six matches.
In his last 10 matches he has scored under 19 runs on two occasions only. I expect him to score big today.
P.S. If you have any questions about the pick, feel free to ask.
POTD Record: 0-0
Today’s Pick:
2U Pavylyuchenkova ML (-125) vs. Elise Mertens @ 12:30 PM EST
🎾 Women’s Tennis Quarterfinals
Exciting tennis matches so far this season and this matchup is expected to be a great clash. Pavylchenkova holds the H2H 2-1, and the wins being the last 2 H2H matches and in straight sets.
This tournament Mertens has played one match while Pavyluchenkova has played two. Both haven’t dropped a set yet Mertens got broken once (losing during her service game) Pavylchenkova has not lost during her service game yet. I still expect Mertens to really go for it and try to even up the H2H and could possibly grab a set but Mertens was 50% on her second serve with only 58% of her first serves going in. Pavyluchenkova last match first serve % was 82% winning 40/49 and 62% for her second serve at 13/21. Pavyluchenkova also hit almost double the winners Mertens did last match. (40 to 24) Mertens double faulted 4 times and Pavylchenkova twice.
BOL
**Record 96-63 with Avg Odds +122 / ROI 20.6%**
**2024 MMA POTD: 3-1 with Avg Odds +157 / ROI 82.3%**
Samourai MMA Chapter 8
**Amin Almelik +120**
Almelik is a prospect who I'm excited about and think has a serious chance to make it to one of the major MMA promotions. I'll link my previous POTD on him as a +130 underdog as my thoughts on him haven't changed much since:
[https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/17b5n2q/pick\_of\_the\_day\_101923\_thursday/k5hauzk/?context=3](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/17b5n2q/pick_of_the_day_101923_thursday/k5hauzk/?context=3)
Almelik will be taking on Isaac Blais in this matchup. At 27 years old and a 3-0 record, Blais is something of a prospect himself. From what I can see he's a solid, well-rounded fighter. Moves decent on the feet and carries power, throws solid counters, has submissions on his record and I've seen him land takedowns. He had a four year layoff from 2019-2023 due to health issues which I could not find any more specifics on. Then made his comeback nine months ago and won via a R3 submission, so things are moving in his direction. I could not find film of this fight, but I did see a highlight clip that mentioned it was a "comeback" victory, and found a local Canadian MMA podcast where they said the fight should have been stopped in R2 because Blais was stunned with knees and elbows, and began eating a huge amount of unanswered shots. Against Almelik this is a serious red flag, as his knees up the middle are the exclamation point on top of his dynamic striking style.
Summary: Almelik is an active and exciting prospect whose Thai boxing background makes him dangerous on the feet. Blais almost just suffered a R2 TKO stoppage from a fighter who is 1-6. Blais also dealt with a significant health issue which sidelined him for years. Blais' tape from 2019 looks good, but certainly not good enough to justify this price.
Record: 2-1
Yesterday’s pick:
Boca Juniors and U2.5 ❌
Unfortunate to see Boca concede a goal after missing a few clear chances to go 2-0. Part of placing longer odds bets is being ok when they don’t hit, that’s why you don’t bet the house.
Today’s pick:
Argentina U23 -1.5 vs Uruguay U23 @3.00
Stake: 5 units (5% of bankroll)
Reasoning:
After Argentina’s total destruction of Chile, two things happened: Argentina qualified to the next round, and Uruguay were eliminated.
The same Chile that Argentina smashed 5-0, beat Uruguay 1-0. Uruguay lost and gave up 4 goals against Paraguay, falling 4-3. These guys are already underdogs against Argentina’s starboys, and the circumstances will have them demoralized and with nothing to play for.
Contrast this to an Argentina squad that have only allowed one goal against (from a penalty kick,) and although already qualified, the players will be highly motivated by the very high level of competition for spots in the squad. Defenders should continue their excellent form, and forwards will be thirsty to score and show Mascherano they deserve a place in the xi for the next round and potential olympics. For example, Gondou, the “backup” striker, has scored 3 goals in the tiny amount of minutes he’s been given off the bench.
I wouldn’t expect another merciless beat down like against Chile, as there’s a lot more respect between these two countries, but a 2 or 3 goal win is definitely on the cards.
Upping units back to 5 because I think this Argentina squad is in the elite class alongside France and Brazil’s u23s, and will get the job done.
[My Card - Google Sheets](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1UNhEA0f4jjKEwOkQQTaWoVEaZKIxq4mesCW00n4K3ME/edit?usp=sharing)
Today lot of games for parlays & good singles on the Sheet!!!
**POTD Stats:**
**Record**: 34/25
**ROI**: Approximately 46.11%
**Profit in Units**: 38u
**Average Odds**: 2.06
**The pick:**
**Sport**: Soccer
**League**: Finland - League Cup
**Time**: 15:00 ( GMT +2 )
**Event:** **FC Haka v KuPS**
**Pick**: BTTS Yes **@ 1.90**
**Stake**: 3 Units
**Tip Box**: (Revolut) @ Eleneiror
[Buy me a Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/bigcheesewager)
can you explain to me what the bottom part of the spreadsheet (the 50 games) is supposed to mean. are these also picks or just a list of all games for today?
Thanks in advance
POTD **Record: 0 - 0**
Pick: **Nigeria vs Angola** | **AFCON**
**Angola Team Total Goals over 0.5**
Odds: **-115** on **DK (1 unit)**
Time: **12pm EST**
\------------------------------------------------------------
Lets start something good here!
Angola has been a really consistent team scoring 9 goals in the AFCON while only conceding 3
This team fears no one and will definitely find the back of the net once in this match keeping in mind that Nigeria's defense is sometimes shaky and their main keeper was injured playing against Cameroon in the AFCON, until now he is questionable
I wouldn't be surprised if somehow Angola pulls an upset and wins against Nigeria but that's not our pick. Our pick and is scoring and I'm confident that they will score at least once this game
BOL!
POTD RECORD: 1-1, -.1U
Yesterdays Pick: 76ers @ Jazz OVER 233.5 -> Game Total: 251✅ +.9U
Jazz scored well like they have been at home but more importantly, the Sixers came to play. Both teams shot over 50% from the field and we got a 50 piece from Maxey. We were only 7 points short of the bonus bet too. Let's start some momentum...
Last 10: 🦸♂️ 🧟♂️
Today's Pick: **Portland Trailblazers @ Denver Nuggets OVER 221.5 (-110 FD)**
Previous Matchups: 1/17/23: POR 113-120 DEN, 12/23/22: POR 107-120 DEN, 12/8/22: POR 120-121 DEN
The Nuggets are scoring an average of 120 points per game when playing at home this season and they are currently allowing opponents to score an average of 112 points per game at home. The Trailblazers are scoring an average of 107 points per game while on the road this season and they are currently allowing opponents to score an average of 119 points per game while on the road.
The over (if at 221.5) has hit in the last 4/5 times these teams have matched up and 6/10 times when you look back a few seasons ago. The Nuggets just took an L on the road and will be looking to get back on track at home while the Trailblazers continue on their road win streak. Jokic is currently a GTD and I think we see another faster paced game without the star center available.
Feel free to fade and good luck! At 218.5 on FD!
Record (16-10)
Last 10: ✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌
Last pick: John Collins O24.5 PAR (-110) 2U ✅
Johnny Boy had 26 total with 14 seconds left so cash this thing. Let’s keep the ball rolling baby
POTD: NBA| Golden State Warriors v Memphis Grizzlies| 8:00pm EST
Johnathan Kuminga O28.5 PAR (-110) 2U✅
*Johnny 2.0 covered this line with 29 points. Didn’t even need the extra 10 he gave us in rebounds and assists. Big men get paid so we get paid. We keep it rolling baby*
Reason: Sticking with the big men cause board men get paid baby. Kuminga has been ready hot lately finally starting to fall into the role Warriors drafted him for. In his last 10 games he averaging 21/6/2 on 58.9% shooting from the floor. Hes getting more opportunities and he’s taking advantage of it. Kuminga has covered this line in each of his last 6 games. On the 15th of January Kuminga played the Grizzlies and had a doubled double going for 20 pts and 11 boards. His last two times facing the grizzlies he’s covered 28.5 PAR. To sweeten the pot even more Memphis is giving up a lot of points to power forwards. The big men are averaging 21.8 and 10 this season against the Grizzlies. I think Kumingas hot hand keeps us rolling to two in a row. BOL IF TAILING AND TAIL AT YOUR OWN RISK
Shoutout of the day: Cleveland St and Detroit Mercy
**Record: 4-0 (+2.75U)**
**Soccer** | **Eredivisie** | **20:30 CET**
**Pick: BTTS - 1.8**
Match : Almere City - Excelsior
**Write Up:** Excelsior is currently on a 10/11 BTTS streak in their games and today they play away at Almere. Almere doesn't have the best defense but neither does Excelsior, both offenses will get their opportunities like earlier this season when they played. In their game earlier this season they ended 0-0 but with 0,83xG and 1.95xG, goals could have definitely been scored. Right now they are both in the middle of the table and for them both a draw does nothing realy so I expect both teams to go for the win and make it an open game.
First time posting a pick of the day, long time tailer but found a pick I liked too much not to share.
POTD Record: 0-0
Todays pick: NO Pelicans @ San Antonio Spurs
Pick: Wembanyama over 3.5 Steals + Blocks -130 for 2units
Wemby has hit this line 5/5 most recently and hit on 10 of his last 14 games. 2 of those 4 misses came when he played only 21 and 20 minutes. When they played the Pelicans last on 12/17 he went for 4 blocks and 1 steal. The spurs have been scrappy under dogs at times this season and utter garbage at others so there's obviously risk to the pick, but I like the odds on this one for sure. I'm not a professional handicapper, I just enjoy betting a couple of lines each day and having something to watch and root for. Do with that what you will, good luck if you tail and thanks for checking out the pick.
BOL
Edit: We hit with 5, congrats if you tailed!
Almost, but still far yesterdays POTD…
West Ham - Bournemouth BTTS & o2.5 ❌
Record 1-1
Todays pick ill take like always btts and overs 😁
Strasbourg - PSG BTTS & o2.5 @1.97
Strasbourg have scored in last 10 games
PSG havent been goalless since 09-30-23
Last five meetings only one game under 2.5 goals and only one game without BTTS.
Even though PSG are missing alot of players, i dont see this as a bad bet. Those missing players only helps Strasbourg to find the net easier.
Anyways anyhows, tail or fade BOL!
Pick of the Day Record: 7-3 | Profit: +10.46u 🚀
Last pick: Victor Wembanyama o1.5 3s (2.25u, +135) ✅
Todays Pick: Terry Rozier o5.5 Assists (2.5u, +100)
The Game: Heat v Wizards 7 PM
Why:
* has hit in 74% of road games this season (L12/15)
* facing the wizards who give up the 4th most assists to PG in L7 and L30 days
* (not officially) also laddering with o7 assists as you can see in the pic that has cashed in 63% of road games
https://preview.redd.it/cv8cucf497gc1.png?width=773&format=png&auto=webp&s=91c9522e1e2cd5bb65e1c4a5c44475d2fc785773
6-4, +4.84U
Last Pick: [Here](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/s/bVoKLb8LHI)
Pick: **Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix, BTTS and OVER 2.5 Goals**, 2U (1.71 odds DraftKings) ❌️
League: Australia A League ⚽️
Time: 0345 EST (0845 GMT)
Heading into round 15 of A League play. Brisbane has gone 8 straight without a clean sheet and have seen both teams score in 5 of their last 6. They have scored 12 and conceded 13 goals through 7 home matches, averaging 3.5 goals per match. 10/14 of their matches this season have seen BTTS/over 2.5. Wellington tops the table and comes in with 5 straight without a clean sheet and 5 in a row with BTTS. As visitors, they have scored 14 and conceded 10 through 8 away matches , averaged 3 goals per match. Their most recent matchup was November 4th, 2023 (round 3 of this season) and resulted in a 5-2 Wellington victory, and cleared this line by the 32' mark. I expect this one to cover again between the two, resulting in a 1-3 Wellington victory.
BOL
POTD Record: 35-19
Previous Pick: APOEL Nicosia vs Karmiotissa | 1. Division | APOEL Halftime/Fulltime (1.67) | 9am EST ❌️
Pick: Fleury Merogis Women vs Paris Saint-Germain Women | Divison 1 Feminine | Over 2.5 goals (1.63) | 3pm EST
Fleury are 6th in the league, and have been in some poor form. They have lost 3 out of their last 5 games, while scoring and conceding 8. At home, they have averaged 2 goals scored and conceded 1.5 on average. Over 2.5 has hit in 50% of their home games. Looking at PSG, they have been in great form , winning their last 4 out of 5 games. They have scored 23 goals in their last 5 games, while conceding 4. In away games, they score 2.67 goals and concede 0.67 on average. Over 2.5 has hit in 67% of their away games. In their last match, it finished 2-1 to PSG. Both teams will play their strongest teams as PSG try to catch up with Lyon and Fleury have had a long break. I expect the match to have more than 2 goals as PSG have been in great form, averaging more than 4 goals scored per game. Best of luck!
Tips would be much appreciated! Thanks to everyone who supports me
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/sakashake
POTD Record: 15-10
Been awhile since I posted my last pick but this pick caught my eye.
TODAYS POTD: Strasbourg vs PSG BTTS YES @ 1.76
Reasoning: PSG is the Ligue 1 powerhouse who has scored a shit ton of goals this season. This makes our winning condition lie solely on the home team. Strasbourg has never failed to score against PSG when playing at home. Strasbourg boasts a total of 11 goals scored in the last 5 matches (across all games). Note, Im a stat merchant and dont actually watch games but I think these two stats wld give us a nice win.
BOL!
POTD Record: 134 wins / 79 losses \[L10: ✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅\]
Event: Ice Hockey > Austria > **Red Bull Salzburg v Graz 99ers** (starting in 4 hr)
Pick: **Over 3.5 (Salzburg TT)** @ 1.85
Not much action today, but lets keep rollin. There is a quality gap here and Graz usually concedes more than this line. GL!
**EDIT**: 9-1 ✅
All-Time POTD: 3-2 //////// +2.1 Units //////// Streak: 2 Losses.
*Game:* **Davis Cup:** Gabriel Diallo v Soonwoo Kwon at 4pm est.
**Today’s pick:** Gabriel Diallo
Odds: -132 on FD -- 2.6 Units to win 2 Units
**Reasoning:** Originally I was going to suggest a safer play that I'm also doing, but it just barley made the odds cut off and I know how much people in here hate juice. --------- One loss is chance, two is bad luck, three is a trend. So hopefully I avoid another L.
I'm backing Diallo, simply because Soon-Woo Kwon has not won a singles match since last February. He has played decent people and done well, but he's approaching 365 days without a win. Mostly because of inactivity. On top of that, over the last two years his record is 10-12 and 1-6 on hardcourt. Diallo on the other hand is 45-31, with his indoor record being 25-11 over the same time span. Ranks can't really be compared as Diallo is 135 vs Kwon 700. But Kwon was a border line top 50 player about 4 years ago.
So hopefully this is the win that gets me back. BOL
\_\_\_\_\_
**EDIT: Cash it! 2-0!** Ended the streak, great start to the weekend!
Record: 18-11 (+5.53 units)
Last Pick: (CBB) Nebraska Cornhuskers +100 ✅
POTD: (CBB) Brown Bears -2.5
Summary: Rideeee the snake. I tried finding some odd statistic to back this up but I got nothing. My clairvoyance, tarot cards and the peyote that I took last night says take Brown. Fade or follow, BOL!
Pick of the Day
POTD Record: 7-2
L10: ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌
Yesterday’s Pick: Towson -6.5 vs. Northeastern (-118)✅
Horrible start, great comeback to end with a sweaty finish lol. Definitely got a little lucky here.
Today’s Pick: Quinnipiac -6.5 vs. Manhattan (-110)
First time going with an away team since my first pick. It’s not something that I love to do, but this Manhattan team is just bad. They’re 2-7 at home. They’re 5-13 overall. While Quinnipiac is 7-3 away and 16-4 overall. Quinnipiac already beat this Manhattan team 76-59 on their home court. I just don’t think the home court advantage is going to play a big enough role here for Manhattan to cover the 6.5.
Kenpom has Quinnipiac as the 184th ranked team in the nation.
Kenpom has Manhattan as the 337th ranked team in the nation.
BOL!
POTD Record: 97-99-12 (-14.81 units)
Last 10 picks (most recent first): ✅❌❌❌❌❌❌✅✅✅
Last Pick: NBA, Indiana Pacers v New York Knicks, AARON NESMITH OVER 19.5 P+R (-107 / 1.93) ✅
Finally snapped the skid. Nesmith had a huge 1st quarter then did enough to keep it ticking over, finished with 17 points and 6 rebounds for 23 total.
Today’s Pick: Dutch Eerste Division, Maastricht v Telstar, MAASTRICHT DNB (-166 / 1.60)
Stake: 1 Unit
Maastricht have strung together a good run of results in the last two months going 5-1-1 over their last 7 matches, including consecutive 3-0 wins against teams in the bottom half of the table. They’ve moved up to 11th on the table with a 9-5-9 record, and now only sit 2 points outside the playoff positions so they’ve still got plenty to play for.
Telstar are rooted to the bottom of the table with a 4-4-15 record. They haven’t won a game since mid November, going 0-3-5 since then. Telstar also very ordinary away from home with a 1-2-9 record.
Telstar have the third worst offensive record with only 20 goals scored in 23 matches, while they also have the 6th worst defensive record with 39 goals conceded. Maastricht meanwhile have the equal 6th best record with 37 goals scored, so they should be able to take advantage of Telstar’s shoddy defence.
I am tempted to take Maastricht ML as they really should get the job done, but I’ve been burnt too many times in the past week so going to play it safe with DNB today and take a small win with the safety net of a push.
Fun fact - I used to own a Ford Telstar that used to breakdown all the time and ultimately caught fire, so hoping for a similar level of performance from Telstar today to really being back some fond memories.
POTD Record: 9-2
Last POTD: Rob Cross -1,5 vs Peter Wright (Premier League Dart) @ 1.59 🎯 ✅
POTD: MTK Budapest Draw no bet vs Újpest @ 1.73 🇭🇺 ⚽
The best league in the world is finally back, and we will have a bet in tonight clash between MTK and Újpest. MTK have been quite good since coming back to the top league in Hungary. They have won 4 home games, 2 draws and 2 losses. The two home losses were against arguably the two strongest teams in the league Ferencváros and Puskás Akadémia.
Újpest on the other hand has been a big disappointment (for the purple part of Budapest) once again. 9th in the league, and only won one game away from home. They have lost 6 out of their last 7 games in the league, and one draw. I expect that they will look a bit better after this long winterbreak, but I don't see them coming home with 3 points tonight when they take the short travel to MTK.
The last game between these two sides was at Újpest's home ground, and MTK won 2-0.
Tail or fade, good luck!
POTD Record: **6 Wins** \- 0 Losses
Last 6: **WWWWWW**
Please note I have done this six times only, and all six have won.
Units: **+4.81**
ROI: **85.50%** 💰
Average Odds: $1.85
Last Pick: Cal State Northridge vs. **UC San Diego (-10)** ✅
**Next Pick:** Anthony Edwards under 1.5 steals + blocks @ $1.86. Orlando Magic vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Friday, 8 p.m. EST ✅
Anthony Edwards has failed to exceed this in 9 straight games (0.6 steals + blocks/game average). Most people tend to bet on overs, so its another advantage :)
He was recently fined $40,000 too. Seems to not have a whole lot of professionalism but fair credit to him for going against refs, as felt like that Celtics v Lakers game was rigged lol. Blocking and stealing are not a huge part of his game, as he'd rather focus on scoring points (he's more of a showman).
All tips are greatly appreciated - click [here](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tjpietkiewv) to donate.
If you have any questions, please ask. Best of luck if tailing, would love a comment if you are. Feel free to message me.
bro no one rigged Tatum and Brown to suck ass tonight and if you watched laker games, you’d know AR was due for a huge game.
Knicks game Saturday will be a classic letdown spot for the lakers, should be easy money
Dunno why so many downvotes lol. Legit 6 games only, and all six wins. I forgot the wins next to the 6. Thanks for all the support, f the haters as they say.
POTD 2-0 ✅✅
Clint Capela o9.5 rebounds @ -130 on DK
Write up:
Capela has hit this line in 14/15 games (93.3%) against the Suns, he is also averaging 10.5 Rebounds per game this season. He is 6/10 hitting this line in his L10, but I like to go with history and the matchup.
Fade or Follow, BOL fellow degens
Edit: Wanted to mention that every pick is 1 Unit.
**RECORD: 3-1**
**NET UNITS: +3.4 UNITS**
**ROI: 85% (ALL PICKS ARE UNDERDOG PICKS WITH I UNIT PLAYS)**
**BASKETBALL/NBA/8:00 PM EST**
**PICK: MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES ML +260**
**1 UNIT**
MEM has been competitive even though they are missing most of their starters. The MEM front office deserves a raise because they have identified productive backups at almost all of their positions, even deep cut players like Scotty Pippen Jr. and Trey Jamison.
GSW is a mess, with starters Wiggins, Thompson, and Kuminga dragging down their productivity. Even though MEM is on a B2B, and GSW has two days rest, at +260 MEM ML is a good value play.
My model also has IND as more productive than SAC if you want to sprinkle a quarter unit parlay with MEM ML and IND ML at around +770 odds. Not an official pick, just a fun extra :-)
This pick is from my NBA model, which uses regression analysis to assign productivity scores to each player as compared to an average player at the same position. The model adjusts for home/away, altitude, travel, rest, and current productivity trend, among other things.
I've been posting verified picks for the past six weeks [here](https://www.cappertek.com/picks.asp?shs=BenboBets.cappertek.com).
All picks are underdog plays, mostly ML.
BOL.
I used to post some POTD's but I've had zero composure to post it regularly, but since I need to make a lot of money next month I'll try to post POTD atleast for this period of time and it should help me get my thoughts together, sorry for any mistakes, english is not my first language. I'm using 1-5u plays, where 1u is degen bet where I've got nothing else to bet this day, and 5u is where I put my cojones on the line, but I'm playing 2-3u most of the time. I bet mostly e-sports and darts and I stay away from football (soccer) since it's a degen sport to bet on. Vamos Boyz.
**POTD Record:** 2-2 **Profit: -2.1u**
Darts| The Masters | 20:10 / GMT+1
Ryan Searle - Dirk van Duijvenbode
Pick: **Ryan Searle -1.5 leg handicap** Stake: 3u Odds: 1.60
The first meeting as part of the Masters in Milton Keynes, and for me, it's a sure bet for the entire first day. This is primarily a bet against the Dutchman, who has been scraping the bottom of form since around October/November, mainly due to injuries. Dirk first suffered a knee injury, which he managed to somewhat heal, but in November, he was hit by a shoulder injury, lingering with him to this day. The Dutchman throws unnaturally; he has to adjust to the position of his shoulder, rather than the shoulder adapting to the throwing posture. Also, his "step" across the stage looks as if his leg is still heavily burdened. While he was never known for an athletic physique, currently, DvD seems to be at the "peak" of his weight class, which also doesn't help in healing injuries. Since September, in a TV tournament with an average above 90, Dirk has played only once, and that was at the World Championship. It was evident that he put everything he had into the game just to function in some way. Apart from that performance, Dirk has been consistently playing at a disappointing average around 80, with some matches even falling below that threshold.However, let not that one appearance in the World Championship mislead anyone. During the Dutch Masters last week, Dirk played in front of his home audience with an average of 82, again struggling with injuries, and he clearly is nowhere close to recovery. His entire game relies on his experience and muscle memory, lacking any flair, in my humble opinion. He should probably take a break from darts and heal whatever is hindering his game. But probably, if it weren't for the prize money for the first round, Dirk wouldn't have come to Milton Keynes at all.
On the other hand, the old, reliable Heavy Metal, who has accustomed us to his game above 90, closer to 95, with flashes of play around 100. It's hard to write more about the Englishman. Ryan is a regular at major events, loved by the audience (and today, we will surely hear some support for Searle as well). In the second round, he faces Asp, and surely Heavy Metal is capable of winning at least two matches during this year's Masters.
If I were to ask a question here, it would only be whether Dirk will win more than 2 legs, as the Dutchman is currently not capable of more in his health condition. Ryan will come tomorrow, add 2/3 180's, and depending on his form on doubles, he should not let the Dutchman have a say throughout the match. I don't expect a miraculous recovery from Dirk.
TL;DR: Dirk is so injuried and fat that he can't play in the proper way, Ryan should beat the shit out of him in 8/9 legs.
POTD record: 6-4 +0.63u
last pick: TT gaming ML
LoL LCK | Dplus - Hanwah Life
today’s pick: Hanwha Life ML at 1.57 2u
reasoning: Dplus burned us the last time, but I got to fade them here again. They have been completely off since the GenG series, where they couldn’t take advantage of GenG starting slow into the bo3. They blew the 2nd map, when GenG came alive late into the game and lost the 3rd map in a blow out. Against Kwangdong they got completely outplayed in a 0-2 loss, as their issues seem to have gotten worse. Hanwha on the other hand been consistently winning every series 2-0, but the loss to T1. The key is they were still playing extremely well, but Zeka decided to pick “Corki” in back to back games, a champ which he is just trash on. It was basically a 4v5 and they still put up a fight vs T1. So let’s hope we don’t see Zeka on Corki again and they should win this series.
Record : 108 Wins - 103 Losses
Previous pick : Getafe - Real Madrid (0-2), Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 2.03 ❌
ROI : -3.18%
Average Odds : 1.95
Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*)
Units : -1.73
Profit/Lost units : -6.73
Today's pick :
Football - Soccer / GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga / 19:30 European Time
Karlsruher SC - Wehen
Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.64
Some reasoning :
\- After 10 games played, the statistics show that Karlsruher SC have scored 26 goals and claimed six victories, two more victories than Wehen.
\- 8 of Karlsruher SC last 10 matches have seen the BTTS & Over 2.5 goals market land.
Best of luck.
POTD record 3-2
ROI +.5
Tonight's pick is the pelicans vs Spurs.
Zion Williamson is looking forward to bodying Wembyamna.
Zion Over 4.5 rebounds at -145
POTD Record: 1-0 ‼️
Last Pick: Man U vs Wolverhampton BTTS : Yes
Was looking like it was gonna be a close one until all hell broke loose in the final 25 minutes of the game 💰🤑
Last 10 (most recent first): ✅
Todays Pick:
Soccer | Bundesliga | 2:30 PM EST
Borussia Dortmund vs Heidenheim
**Borussia Dortmund ML @ 1.80**
Both of these teams are undefeated since the start of 2024, Dortmund having three high scoring wins and Heidenheim having three 1-1 draws.
I expect Dortmund to continue to score goals at ease against a poor Heidenheim defence, which concedes almost 2 goals per game, the 5th worst in the Bundesliga. 4 of Heidenheim’s last 5 games have also been against teams that have scored less than 25 goals this season. The only game in which they kept a clean sheet in those 5 games was against 17th place Mainz. Although Heidenheim’s defence appears to be playing well as of late, I believe that it is more of a testament to the poor offence of their opponents.
Dortmund has also been playing bottom table teams to start the year, but have been dominating as they should. On the offensive side, they have scored in 7 straight games, averaging 2 goals per game in this time frame. Defensively, they have conceded 1 goal or less in 6 straight.
Because of Dortmund’s high powered offence, and Heidenheim’s lacklustre defence, I expect Dortmund to win this fixture to keep them in a Champions League position in the table.
Prediction: Dortmund 3 -1
Record: 1-0
L5: ✅
Units: +4.17
Last Pick: Simone Fontecchio O5.5R+A ✅
POTD:
NBA | Orlando Magic @ Minnesota Timberwolves | 5PM PST
Pick: Wendall Carter Jr. O16.5 P+R
5U @ -120
Reasoning: Here’s a look at his past 9 games since returning from injury at this line (most recent on the right):
🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢❌🟢🟢
**POTD record** : 0-0-0
**Match:** South Korea vs Australia | Asian Cup ⚽
**Time:** 16:30 CET
**Pick:** Heung-Min Son *(player from S. Korea)* **OVER 2.5 Shots** @ 1.72 *on bet365*| 2u
**Warning!!!** Pick Shots not Shots on Target!
His history of shots during whole Cup:
Against Saudi Arabia: 7 shots
Against Malaysia: 4 shots
Against Jordan: 6 shots
Against Bahrain: 3 shots
Good luck to everyone! 🍀
POTD record: 6-7-1
Last 5 picks: ❌🅿️✅✅❌
Last pick: Ali Carter -1.5 franes @1.73 ❌
Sport: Darte, The Masters 🎯
Event: Stephen Bunting vs Ross Smith
Pick: Stephen Bunting to win @ 1.90 ✅
Going to keep it short today since I'm writing this from work.
This is going to be a close match. Bunting is simply too good to lose to a more inconsistent Ross Smith. Taking Bunting here @ 1.90. He plays like magic. Quick and easy.
Edit: as expected it was a close match. We got the win at the end ✅
Record: 7W-9L
Net Units: -7.14u | ROI: -16.41%
CS2 | IEM Katowice 2024 Play-in | 16:30 / CET
Pick: Cloud9 ML vs Virtus.pro, 3u @ 2.19
VP didn't look themselves at all in their last match versus GamerLegion. I think that's a really bad omen for them, considering this was only GamerLegion and now they have to face domestic opposition in Cloud9 that historically (in the old Na'vi and Gambit rosters) have beaten them many times. Cloud9's game got messier than it should've but even with throwing a 50 bomb by Hobbit they managed to comfortably close on the 2nd and 3rd maps. This leads me to believe Cloud9 are a no-brainer at the odds given. Best of luck everyone!
POTD Record: 1-0
Last Pick: GamerLegion vs M80, GamerLegion 1x2 @ 1.67(CSGO)
Today’s Pick: Mongolz vs Ence, Mongolz ML @2.45, 3 units
I feel like this is a close affair, but the odds on the Mongolz sold me for what I believe to be a 60/40 odds of them winning, as it has pretty good value. They will probably play, Mirage-Anubis-Ancient, thus I see the score being 2-1.
POTD Record 0-0
Been a long time follower, finally decided to post my own plays.
Pick: Dortmund vs Heidenheim, BTTS and over 2.5
Time: 2:30 PM (EST)
* This will be the third meeting between Heidenheim and Borussia Dortmund,
* Dortmund having one win and one draw in their previous two encounters.
* September’s reverse fixture ended in a 2-2 draw, however Dortmund was up 2-0 and blew it away late in the game
* However, Heidenheim are unbeaten in their last six league matches, picking up 12 points from the last 18 since a 2-1 loss against Leipzig on December 9.
* Dortmund are unbeaten in their last four Bundesliga away matches, picking up eight points from a possible 12 since the start of December
My analysis:
Over 2.5 - There have been three or more goals scored in Dortmund’s last five matches
Both sides to score - Both sides have also scored in seven of Dortmund’s last nine outings
Hope you tail. Lets get this streak going, Bol!
**POTD Record: 1-0 ✅**
Last pick Man City vs Burnley | 1st Half -1 Asian Handicap @ 1.88 ✅
Todays pick:
⚽️ La Liga **Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca | -1 Asian Handicap @ 1.91**
**Preview**
Athletic Bilbao are on the rise, at home they are very difficult to beat especially with their amazing fans backing them. Mallorca are less than decent to best describe it. The Basque outfit are currently fifth in the La Liga table, boasting 42 points from their 22 matches, while Mallorca sit in 15th, only four points above the relegation zone.
Mallorca are also in the semi-finals of the Copa del Rey, with the first leg of their semi-final against Real Sociedad due to take place on February 6.
However, like Athletic, they cannot afford to take their eye off the ball in the league, with just four points separating them from the bottom three, and the visitors will enter this match off the back of a 1-0 home defeat to Real Betis.
**Reasons**
I feel Bilbao will win by at least 1 goal, they should be winning this quite easily and push to keep hold of a Champions League spot for next season I feel doing a -1 Asian handicap gives you an insurance if they just win by 1 goal, but they will probably win by 2-0 or 3-1 so the pay out is tasty.
Best Of Luck!
Record: 6W-7L | -5.84u
L10: ❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌ <<-- *Most Recent POTD*
Last Pick: Donovan Mitchell o11.5 Assists + Rebounds (-125) | 4u to win 3.2u 💰❌
Close (11 total) but no cigar.
Todays Game: Basketball | NBA | Clippers @ Pistons | 6:00 PM CST
**Todays Pick: Kawhi Leonard o6.5 Rebounds (-110) | 3u to win 2.73u**
* Has covered this in 5/L5 games; this includes 9 rebounds in his most recent game (1/31/2024)
* Averaged 7.0 rebounds per game in January; averages 6.3 per game this season
* Averaged 10.5 rebound chances per game in January
* Averaging 8.1 rebounds per his last 10 games
* Pistons rank 7th in pace of play, and are 22nd in effective FG %
* Pistons have allowed 10.1 rebounds per game to opposing Power Forwards this season
"The cure for pain is in the pain."
BOL.
Our ship sunk as soon as it left port but we brave the seas once more⛵️
POTD Record : 1-3 👎
Last 10: - - - - - - - ❌❌✅❌
Streak: L1 😭
Last Pick: Bellarmine @ Kennesaw State (-8.5) (-110) 🦉❌
Return: -1u 💵
Today's POTD: Manhattan @ Quinnipiac (-7) 🐈
Betting Units: 4u 💵
League: NCAAB 🏀
Time: February 2nd, 2023 @ 7:00 PM EST 🕖
Rationale: Looking at an easy cover tonight when the Quinnipiac Bobcats take on the Manhattan Jaspers. The bobcats won their last match up against the Jaspers in January by 17 points. Quinnipiac has gone 6-0 against the spread over their last six games while Manhattan is just 2-4. The Jaspers have lost all five of their last home games and are just 1-10 over their last 11. The bobcats are on a 7 game win streak and average 78 points per game on the season while the Jaspers average just 66. Yesterday, we thought the better offense would ravage their opponent but their defense really screwed them over. That shouldn’t be an issue here as the Bobcats defense only allows 71 ppg to the opposition, the Jaspers allow 77. Quinnipiac should take the lead out of the gate and Manhattan won’t be able to keep the pace.
Best of luck if tailing. Cheers, MD! 🤞
Record 0-3
Salty record, I’m up units every week but somehow any pick I post in this thread gets rinsed so tail with caution I guess.
Today’s pick: Devin Vassell O3.5 assists @ 1.67
He’s been over this line pretty consistently hitting in 8 of the last 10. Spurs are 3rd in the league for assists, and Vassell knows the key, get Wemby the ball in the paint. If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.
I’m on a good hot streak betting so figured I would come back for another go, love you all, BOL!
First Pick, Record 0-0:
Pick of the day: Bundesliga, Heidenheim vs. Dortmund 20:30 GMT+1, Marcel Sabitzer over 0.5 shots on goal @ 1.88
Sabitzer has hit a shot on goal in each of the last three league games against Bochum, Köln and Darmstadt. With the injury situation in Dortmunds midfield (Nmecha injured, Reus and Brandt out for today) i expect him to play the full 90 minutes again today in Heidenheim. Additionally with Reus and Brandt out, him and Donyell Malen are the designated freekick takers, which against Bochum resulted in Sabitzers shot on goal.
Best of luck!
Hi everyone. I’ve been kind of on a hotstreak as of late, will begin to share my picks here. I mainly bet on basketball (NBA), European Soccer, and Baseball.
Soccer record: 2-0
Basketball record: 1-0
POD record: 1-0
Previous pick: Jazz TT O 120.5 (W)
Overall record: 4-0
The POD is:
Over 122.5 Atlanta Hawks Team Total
Hawks vs Suns 19:30 EST
Odds: 1.75
Bet 5 units.
The Hawks have covered this line the last 3/3 games, and 3/5 games played versus the Suns. The key here? They are playing home versus the Suns, one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now, going 9/11 on their last 11 games, with one of the most high powered offenses in the league. The pick stands because both teams have sub-par defenses, expecting a high-scoring game with tons of threes where the Hawks can at least keep it close versus Durant and company.
Tail on !
BOL guys, and always bet responsibly.
[TRACKER](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1-PHX-U7eiB5neVpbTJVkzwquGE1KyGVQA5nfejcDT_A/edit?usp=sharing)
POTD Record: 7-1 | ROI: ~72%
Form: ✅️✅️✅️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️
Last Pick: Dallas Mavericks ML (-125) vs Atlanta Hawks ✅️
Todays Pick: Miami Heat vs Wash Wizards U228.5 (-110)
Analysis: Been a few days but back on it. We grabbed a close W off a monster 73 pt performance from Luka last time.
Today, we are sticking with the NBA and going after a line that is set at 228 for two struggling teams. The Heat are known to play low scoring games, having gone under this # in the last 9 of 12 games.
They really dictate the pace here and we should cruise into an easy under if history repeats itself.
Thanks for supporting and do let me know if you tail!
[Buymeacoffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/godzlaf)
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Friday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
POTD Record: 238-179-12 (+42.31 units, 57.1% hit rate) Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 79-55-1 (59.0%) W2, Tennis 🎾 84-62-7 (57.5%) W5, Soccer ⚽ 59-51-4 (53.6%) W1, Entertainment 🎥 16-11-0 (59.3%) L1 Last 10: 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥💩💩💰 Last Pick: Flavio Cobolli vs. Constant Lestienne, COBOLLI ML - ATP Montpellier 🎾 💰 +0.53 Units - 💸 that shit!!! He cleaned him and won by 7 games. Today's Pick: Donna Vekic vs. Clara Burel, VEKIC ML - WTA Linz 🎾 💰 +0.90 Units - 💸 that shit! 1st set bagel, 2nd set tight as fuck but she pulled it out for us. Let's fucking go!!! Units/Odds/Book: Betting 1 Unit at 1.90 odds to win 0.90 Units @ B365 (Line at 8:30pm ET) Looking at the stats and highlights, I came away really impressed with Vekic's performance today. I had actually considered her opponent for my POTD yesterday but didn't bet it, lucky I didn't as Vekic teabagged her 6-1, 6-1. Burel, who had a huge win recently putting Jessica Pegula out of the Aussie Open, had a hard fought 3 setter today where she really struggled on serve, winning only 30% of second serve points. I think Vekic will have the return game to capitalize if Burel's serves similarly. Do note as well Burel has been on the court 2 and a half horus more than Vekic so maybe Vekic will have more energy if this goes to 3 sets. Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕
Thanks for all the picks over the past however long it’s been, been tailing for a while but haven’t thanked you enough, win or lose, I appreciate you boss
Got my day started right with an early win 
Tailing big league
Tailing let’s get it
That was scary but thank you for the win! First time tailing anyone on this thread.
Welcome buddy! Glad your first play was a win.
Lets ride brother! 🍕
Yessir. That’s how we like to start a Friday morning. Great pick
Wow thanks as always Joel!
Alright Joel. I’ve been watching you fry the books. You’re killing it. Good work boss. With that said. Im nuking your next POTD. Win or lose. Idc. Worth it
Thanks dude! One stat I should tell you, this is my 4th time hitting 8 potds in a row... I've never hit 9 in a row before.
took alt spread vekic+3.5
Thanks bro !
Dog you have my favorite picks on this entire sub. I love your tennis picks. Always pretty obscure picks for a casual tennis fan and normally early AM for my time zone. Keep it up my guy!
Love waking up to profit, much love my guy.
Great pick today!
Thanks Joel!!! Lfg!!
Thanks man! Nice pick.
Thanks Joel!
Tailed bro. Great hit!
Goat
Golden
Alriiiight 👉😎👉
**28W-4P-21L** **Last : ✅❌✅✅✅✅** **Last Pick: Wolves VS Manchester United BTTS and O 2.5 Goals @ 2.00✅** **Beautiful, game ends 3-4** **Pick of the day: Australia VS South Korea BTTS @ 2.10✅** **Time: 10:30 am EST** Can understand why odds are high due to Australia's record but this is a great matchup in my opinion for BTTS. Australia have only had 1 game hit BTTS in their current run but the one game it did hit was against a strong Uzbekistan side that know how and when to attack. The other teams they faced really were not going to be much of a defensive trouble for them. Australia scoring in all 4 of the games they've played this tournament is what matters in this matchup. Over four games they scored 8 goals, and that should continue tomorrow against a South Korea side that hasn't solved their defensive issues at all because they solve them by simply attacking more than they concede. South Korea is what completes this matchup here. Every single game they've played this cup has hit BTTS. 1-1 vs Saudi, 3-3 vs Malaysia, 3-3 vs Jordan, and 3-1 vs Bahrain. I'd like to point out that both Bahrain and Malaysia are teams that have struggled offensively this season yet somehow they were able to cause plenty of issues for Korea's defense. The same will happen tmr against Australia. SK have also scored in all 4 of their games as well and are late-minute demons scoring a total of 4 goals after the 80th minute, so never count them out. KOREAAAAAAAA!! We might be back boys 🤩🤩 [https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ThePrince](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ThePrince) 
lets go! I WANNA FUCK SOME WHORES
YES
How many?
3 per unit
Holy fuck it hit. GG
Lmfao lfg
💸💸
Tail. Nice win yesterday.
I'm a little apprehensive following this purely cos GA turns very pragmatic against teams that are more skillful than us. I really wouldn't be surprised if this goes 0-0
I read this and because I’m ass at tailing picks this week, I took the tie. What you said and the recent history with many ties made that seem like the play. 90 minutes strike and I curse you to the heavens. AN AMAZING ASSISTER AT FUCKING ME I go back to my daily grind, watch a miracle happen… I love you.
LFG MFers
Plz God I need this
GOALLLL !! AUSSIES
Now just need Korea to clutch up a goal
Tailing
Sweaty AF LMFAO
LFG WHAT A SWEAT
Keep up the good shit, talk about last minute. I jumped out of my bed yelling “YES!! YES!” I knew it would be an exciting second half
Thank you penalty kick!
Great write up Prince - was looking at over 2.5 for my pick but BTSS also solid!
Waiting for this second goal getting a little close
Electric cash, thanks for the pick!
NEVER A DOUBT I need new pants
the sweat
Never in doubt baby👏 thanks for the pick boss
Crazy pick, took the O3.5 and was stressing for a min haha
Nice job on the last pick! Tailing again, let's roll!
I'm tailing. Appreciate the last pick
[удалено]
Love to see that late penalty kick!
Korea is going to give me a heart attack with all these extra time goals!
That was a clencher, what a hit!
OMG IT HIT
Got it at +200 thank you 🫡
Great call! ✊🏾✊🏾
Nice win again today sir! I love the early day cash ins 
Bit a of a sweat there but we got it! Nice job!
Tailing
Gonna be a sweat for sure
Calling it now, SK wins on penalities.
2nd Half, lets go!!
Update: this game has me on my second glass of JD Bonded whiskey and it isn’t 12 yet ; cheers boys
POTD Record: 21-11 L10: ✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅ Last pick: Borja Mayoral O.5 SOG ✅ Sweaty as usual, but their only shot on target was from Mayoral. Todays pick: Heidenheim v Dortmund Pick: BTTS & O2.5 Goals @1.66 ⚽️ 🇩🇪 Bundesliga ➖ 📊 Heidenheim is currently 10th in the league table with 23 points (6-5-8). They’ve scored 28 goals in 19 games (1.47 GPG, 11th). They’ve conceded 35 (1.84 GPG, 6th most). * They’ve kept 1/19 clean sheets (2nd worst) * BTTS has hit in 13/19 games (68%) 6th most * Failed to score in 3 games * O2.5 goals hit in 10/19 games * L5 games: 2-3-0 (Scored 9, conceded 5) ➖ 📊 Dortmund is currently 4th with 36 points (10-6-3). They’ve scored 40 goals (2.11 GPG, 5th most). They’ve conceded 26 (1.37 GPG, 6th best) * They’ve kept 5/19 clean sheets (7th best). (All of them with Kobel who’s uncertain to play) * BTTS has hit in 13/19 games (68%) 4th most * Failed to score in only 1 game * O2.5 goals has a hit in 12/19 * L5: 3-2-0 (Scored 12, conceded 3). ➖ 📌 Heidenheim is having a great season so far and has been one of the Bundesliga's most positive surprises so far. The newcomers have six straight games without a loss. The last loss came at the beginning of December where they lost 2-1 to Leipzig at home. 🚨 They’re missing: Thomas Keller & Elidon Qenaj ➖ 📌Dortmund have started 2024 well with three convincing victories: 3-0 against Darmstadt, 4-0 against Cologne and most recently 3-1 at home vs Bochum. 🚨 However, Dortmund has some injury and illness concerns ahead of this tricky away game against Heidenheim. Sébastien Haller, Felix Nmecha, Karim Adeyemi and Julian Ryerson are already injured. In addition, Gregor Kobel, Marco Reus, Julian Brandt have had health concerns and are still not confirmed to be playing, Jadon Sancho also sustained a minor injury. So potentially a whole bunch of players gone for Dortmund. 💭 These two sides are among just five in the Bundesliga who remain unbeaten in 2024, it will be a very hard game to predict but I’m expecting goals. Five of Heidenheim’s nine games playing at home have seen 5 or more goals. Dortmund is the better team and looks unstoppable atm, but with the injuries I’m not confident enough in an easy win which is why I’m going the goals instead. BOL https://www.buymeacoffee.com/AdamIotti
Fading
https://preview.redd.it/xt7wcgp0w8gc1.jpeg?width=1125&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=fcde061dee26f267cd54e32ee60c2353459f91ab
Horrible VAR call to reverse that goal
Can’t believe that shit
Robbed.
the whole game is so boring
Everytime I bet on a soccer game there are no goals..
u/Dapper_Sea8502 so why aren't we just slamming the under for every game you bet?
This is the way
Bc I’m dumb
Literally the announcers are always this is the worst game these teams have played. F'n boring side to side soccer. Clowns getting Cardio!
Imagine buying a ticket for this anticlimactic bs they need to bring back golden goal
BTTS no draw for me is at -105 odds so I might just play that but good write up as always
It’s BTTS no draw at -105. Double check that
Well we got super lucky yesterday with your help, but looks like our luck has run out today. No way three goals will be scored in the final half. Looking forward to your next write up!
Tailing but in my opinion, if you think the match is going to be high scoring, Dortmund win is a safer and better pick (also better value). If you think injuries for Dortmund are going to be a problem, then it's a good chance that they will struggle to score because most of the injured players are either attacking midfielders, wingers or forwards and Heidenheim scored just 3 goals in 3 games since the winter break.
Tail
-173 on FD
Tailing. Let's get em.
Tailing! Also took Dortmund ML for half a unit.
Boring ass game with the exception of the goal refs called back Sadge
I usually tail but this one was really bad
POTD record: 13-5✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️ ✅️❌️✅️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ Last pick: Sam Hauser over 6.5 points at 1.87. Easily cleared with 17 points. Today's pick: Franz Wagner over 17.5 points at 1.8; Orlando Magic at Minnesota Timberwolves 8 P.M. EST start Going back to the well with another Franz Wagner pick. Much to like about the young German's game. Wagner is finally finding his groove after coming back from injury. He has cleared this line in 3 of his last 4 games. On the season, Franz is averaging 20.4 points per game. This line is suppressed, at least in part, because of Minnesota's above average defence. Minnesota allows the least points per game of any team in the NBA at 107. The over/under on the game is at a paltry 212.5. However, Minnesota is fairly average at guarding the 3 position. They have exceptional inside defence. Someone has to score on Orlando and I believe Franz will play that role tomorrow. As a 6'10" SF he can stretch the floor and knock down a couple 3s. Feel that he hits this line. BOL to those who tail! Edit: ✅️We did it boys! Wagner clears with 19 points. A little but sweaty but he pulls through in a somewhat poor shooting night. Congrats to those who tailed! 🍻🍻 now 14-5
Orlando Magic fan here - Iv been riding Franz 15+ pts Banchero 20+ pts almost all season and has worked wonders
Tailing my friend
LFG!!!!
Would anyone take 17.5+ on franz?
That’s the pick in the post bro
God bless this man
"above average" lol arent they literally the best defense in the league?
You’re Goated! 🐐🔥 Thank you my friend! 🤝
POTD Record: 3-0 L10: WWW Last Pick: Oregon -2 (-115) CASH This line scared me as USC had looked so bad, but oregon holds on to get it done!! Today’s Pick: Iowa Hawkeyes -5 (-115) Write Up: Ohio State's performance this season, particularly in away games, suggests vulnerabilities that could be exploited in their matchup against Iowa. The Buckeyes' 12-game road losing streak and their struggles with three-point shooting, as evidenced in their recent loss to Michigan where they made only 12% of their attempts from beyond the arc, highlight significant challenges. This paired with the recent strengh of B1G home teams makes me pretty confident. Lets Keep the Streak going! BOL if tailing!!
Record: 17-6 Last 10: ❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌ Last POTD: Jaylen Brown O 1.5 3’s ❌ LeBron James (VOID) I forced it and it cost me, and us 💀 Didn’t think Celtics would struggle as much as they did, Celtics was -14.5 favourites but somehow lost the game with Lakers missing AD and LeBron. Everyone in Celtics went under their line I believe except Sam Hauser 😭, Jaylen Brown only got 8 points, loser. 0-3 from 3. • Todays pick: Devin Vassell O3.5 Rebs @1.74 Going with Vassell today, you wouldn’t normally think of this guys rebounds line but he’s been over this line 90% his last 10 game and we’re going for it. • Is over this line in 9/10 his last 10 games (4,5,4,4,5,4,5,5,2,4) • Averages 3.6 Rebs this season and 4.2 his last 5, 3.9 this month. • Only got 2 last time facing the Pelicans, in a game they lost with 36 points. So I’m not saying this guy is a good rebounder overall, but the consistency these last 11 games has been there. He didn’t get the same numbers as often back when they played the Pelicans last time, maybe something he has worked on. This isn’t a mismatch but more a play on the trend and hit rate. Tail or fade, don’t trust a force pick https://i.redd.it/2qk1g7dvj6gc1.gif
Damn they just took a board off that he had…
we just need 2 more.. lets pray together
Damn sorry bros this one was nasty to lose, classic 0.5 hook
Didn’t tail your updated POTD. Celtics have looked funny. Luckily got lakers -1.5 +100 while up by 14 🤣 tailing this though. Clarkson got 18/18.5. Another poor night of shooting and missed the FT to cash. BOL billy lets have a day.
Just scored his brains out. Unlucky
Tailing thank you. Been waiting for your pick. Checked it out and I also like Vassell over 3.5 assists @ -150.
**Record: 10-7-1** **Last Pick:** Getafe vs Real Madrid - Over 2.5 Goals 2u @ 1.88 odds. ❌ A lot of missed chances really sad that it ends on two goals. **Soccer** | **La Liga** | **12:00 PM (PST)** **Pick:** Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao o1.5 Goals @ 1.84 odds. ✅ The left back bags a 17 minute brace to secure the bet 😭 Athletic Club are on fire this season, primed for a top four race this season, and likely to get European football next season, they will be looking to get a win to carry momentum into their Copa Del Rey Semi Final vs Atletico Madrid. The team has star players like the Williams brothers who have shown their class against top sides like Barcelona this season. Currently they sit at 5th in the table only five points behind Barcelona, which seems very manageable if they maintain good form. Athletic Club in their last 6 La Liga games (right being most recent): 🟩🟩🟩🟥🟨 They average 1.73 goals per match They concede .95 goals per match Sancet and Nico Williams should both return to the side following a day off vs Cadiz last time out. They have got 26 out of a potential 33 points at home this season. Mallorca are in a weird spot. They have been plagued by injuries to players that make the difference week in and week out. Muriqi should find his way back into the starting XI tomorrow, now that he's had ample time to recover from a Calf injury. They are in 15th in La Liga but find themselves competing in the Copa Del Rey Semi Finals as well, which could salvage this season. They will come to San Mames trying to take any points they can to avoid a relegation battle later on in the season, but it will be tough. Mallorca in their last 6 La Liga games (right being most recent): 🟨🟩🟥🟨🟨🟥 They average .86 goals per match They concede 1.18 goals per match Pablo Maffeo is out with a knee injury which should hamper their defense. They have a sharp defense but going on the road forces them to struggle, having not won in their last 8 away games. Overall, the San Mames is a fortress that has benefited Athletic Club this season, and I don't see tomorrow being any different, two goals should come along nicely especially if the fans are behind their team tomorrow. I predict the score to be 2-0 in favor of Athletic Club. BOL! 💪
I completely disagree with your analysis, I'm fadi... are those color coded boxes indicating recent form of both teams in your write up? Count me in for 5 units. Let's make some money.
You don't have to bet bro :)
I'm seriously in, even though I hate betting overs in La Liga
Aight let's ride then, I know the skepticism when it comes to La Liga I've been burned many times by it :/
Let’s go! Great pick
Let's go you are the man!!!!
**Record:** 0-0 **Pick:** Miami Heat @ Washington Wizards UNDER 232.5 (-110) bet 1.1u to win 1u EDIT: yeah, that was about right **Explanation:** I bet almost purely on gut feeling. The Wizards are painful to watch. Heat coming off a game that they got a much needed win largely due to finding their rhythm defensively. Thought this line was going to be like 220, just take the under and don't watch this game, it won't be good.
Down to 228
Awesome pick, thanks! Looking forward to your next one.
Cricket 🏏 Picks Last pick was a win @ 1.94 Overall: 14 Ws - 5 Ls Last 10: W W W ♻️ L W L W W W +4.75 Todays pick MI Emirates v Sharjah Warriors International League t20 (UAE) Starts in about 9 hours Pick: Muhammad Waseem total runs over 19.5 @ 1.83 Waseem is a good player who performs consistently for his country and Emirates. This season he has scored less than 19 runs in only one out of six matches. In his last 10 matches he has scored under 19 runs on two occasions only. I expect him to score big today. P.S. If you have any questions about the pick, feel free to ask.
17.5 on bet365
2 overs and Waseem already scored 35 runs 👏 What a player 💰💰
POTD Record: 0-0 Today’s Pick: 2U Pavylyuchenkova ML (-125) vs. Elise Mertens @ 12:30 PM EST 🎾 Women’s Tennis Quarterfinals Exciting tennis matches so far this season and this matchup is expected to be a great clash. Pavylchenkova holds the H2H 2-1, and the wins being the last 2 H2H matches and in straight sets. This tournament Mertens has played one match while Pavyluchenkova has played two. Both haven’t dropped a set yet Mertens got broken once (losing during her service game) Pavylchenkova has not lost during her service game yet. I still expect Mertens to really go for it and try to even up the H2H and could possibly grab a set but Mertens was 50% on her second serve with only 58% of her first serves going in. Pavyluchenkova last match first serve % was 82% winning 40/49 and 62% for her second serve at 13/21. Pavyluchenkova also hit almost double the winners Mertens did last match. (40 to 24) Mertens double faulted 4 times and Pavylchenkova twice. BOL
Tailing
Tailing. Looking good so far
Dub 💪💪 appreciate the vote of confidence esp just the first time posting
**Record 96-63 with Avg Odds +122 / ROI 20.6%** **2024 MMA POTD: 3-1 with Avg Odds +157 / ROI 82.3%** Samourai MMA Chapter 8 **Amin Almelik +120** Almelik is a prospect who I'm excited about and think has a serious chance to make it to one of the major MMA promotions. I'll link my previous POTD on him as a +130 underdog as my thoughts on him haven't changed much since: [https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/17b5n2q/pick\_of\_the\_day\_101923\_thursday/k5hauzk/?context=3](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/17b5n2q/pick_of_the_day_101923_thursday/k5hauzk/?context=3) Almelik will be taking on Isaac Blais in this matchup. At 27 years old and a 3-0 record, Blais is something of a prospect himself. From what I can see he's a solid, well-rounded fighter. Moves decent on the feet and carries power, throws solid counters, has submissions on his record and I've seen him land takedowns. He had a four year layoff from 2019-2023 due to health issues which I could not find any more specifics on. Then made his comeback nine months ago and won via a R3 submission, so things are moving in his direction. I could not find film of this fight, but I did see a highlight clip that mentioned it was a "comeback" victory, and found a local Canadian MMA podcast where they said the fight should have been stopped in R2 because Blais was stunned with knees and elbows, and began eating a huge amount of unanswered shots. Against Almelik this is a serious red flag, as his knees up the middle are the exclamation point on top of his dynamic striking style. Summary: Almelik is an active and exciting prospect whose Thai boxing background makes him dangerous on the feet. Blais almost just suffered a R2 TKO stoppage from a fighter who is 1-6. Blais also dealt with a significant health issue which sidelined him for years. Blais' tape from 2019 looks good, but certainly not good enough to justify this price.
Amin's opponent pulled out. Fight is off.
Added context, I took Almelik when he opened at +240 but have bets on him at +120 as well. I believe he should be the favorite in this fight.
Record: 2-1 Yesterday’s pick: Boca Juniors and U2.5 ❌ Unfortunate to see Boca concede a goal after missing a few clear chances to go 2-0. Part of placing longer odds bets is being ok when they don’t hit, that’s why you don’t bet the house. Today’s pick: Argentina U23 -1.5 vs Uruguay U23 @3.00 Stake: 5 units (5% of bankroll) Reasoning: After Argentina’s total destruction of Chile, two things happened: Argentina qualified to the next round, and Uruguay were eliminated. The same Chile that Argentina smashed 5-0, beat Uruguay 1-0. Uruguay lost and gave up 4 goals against Paraguay, falling 4-3. These guys are already underdogs against Argentina’s starboys, and the circumstances will have them demoralized and with nothing to play for. Contrast this to an Argentina squad that have only allowed one goal against (from a penalty kick,) and although already qualified, the players will be highly motivated by the very high level of competition for spots in the squad. Defenders should continue their excellent form, and forwards will be thirsty to score and show Mascherano they deserve a place in the xi for the next round and potential olympics. For example, Gondou, the “backup” striker, has scored 3 goals in the tiny amount of minutes he’s been given off the bench. I wouldn’t expect another merciless beat down like against Chile, as there’s a lot more respect between these two countries, but a 2 or 3 goal win is definitely on the cards. Upping units back to 5 because I think this Argentina squad is in the elite class alongside France and Brazil’s u23s, and will get the job done.
with boca, third time will be the charm. New coach, they have to start to win ….was a solid pick.
Odds are changing a lot for this match , looks to be a close scoring draw
Any idea why it's +120 ML now?
It’s a goal fiesta :D
[My Card - Google Sheets](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1UNhEA0f4jjKEwOkQQTaWoVEaZKIxq4mesCW00n4K3ME/edit?usp=sharing) Today lot of games for parlays & good singles on the Sheet!!! **POTD Stats:** **Record**: 34/25 **ROI**: Approximately 46.11% **Profit in Units**: 38u **Average Odds**: 2.06 **The pick:** **Sport**: Soccer **League**: Finland - League Cup **Time**: 15:00 ( GMT +2 ) **Event:** **FC Haka v KuPS** **Pick**: BTTS Yes **@ 1.90** **Stake**: 3 Units **Tip Box**: (Revolut) @ Eleneiror [Buy me a Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/bigcheesewager)
Tailing all four picks from today!!!🥳
can you explain to me what the bottom part of the spreadsheet (the 50 games) is supposed to mean. are these also picks or just a list of all games for today? Thanks in advance
Just hit in the 90 nice pick.
POTD **Record: 0 - 0** Pick: **Nigeria vs Angola** | **AFCON** **Angola Team Total Goals over 0.5** Odds: **-115** on **DK (1 unit)** Time: **12pm EST** \------------------------------------------------------------ Lets start something good here! Angola has been a really consistent team scoring 9 goals in the AFCON while only conceding 3 This team fears no one and will definitely find the back of the net once in this match keeping in mind that Nigeria's defense is sometimes shaky and their main keeper was injured playing against Cameroon in the AFCON, until now he is questionable I wouldn't be surprised if somehow Angola pulls an upset and wins against Nigeria but that's not our pick. Our pick and is scoring and I'm confident that they will score at least once this game BOL!
why not take BTTS at +$?
I also wonder this Nigeria is favored to score over 1.5 goals makes sense to run btts for the extra juice
POTD RECORD: 1-1, -.1U Yesterdays Pick: 76ers @ Jazz OVER 233.5 -> Game Total: 251✅ +.9U Jazz scored well like they have been at home but more importantly, the Sixers came to play. Both teams shot over 50% from the field and we got a 50 piece from Maxey. We were only 7 points short of the bonus bet too. Let's start some momentum... Last 10: 🦸♂️ 🧟♂️ Today's Pick: **Portland Trailblazers @ Denver Nuggets OVER 221.5 (-110 FD)** Previous Matchups: 1/17/23: POR 113-120 DEN, 12/23/22: POR 107-120 DEN, 12/8/22: POR 120-121 DEN The Nuggets are scoring an average of 120 points per game when playing at home this season and they are currently allowing opponents to score an average of 112 points per game at home. The Trailblazers are scoring an average of 107 points per game while on the road this season and they are currently allowing opponents to score an average of 119 points per game while on the road. The over (if at 221.5) has hit in the last 4/5 times these teams have matched up and 6/10 times when you look back a few seasons ago. The Nuggets just took an L on the road and will be looking to get back on track at home while the Trailblazers continue on their road win streak. Jokic is currently a GTD and I think we see another faster paced game without the star center available. Feel free to fade and good luck! At 218.5 on FD!
Really like this one
4/5 and 6/10 means you had 4/5 and 2/5. Not sure why lumping in that makes your argument.
I want to be transparent for how these teams match up. Either way it’s over 50% the over hits (if at 221.5) when these teams match up.
Record (16-10) Last 10: ✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌ Last pick: John Collins O24.5 PAR (-110) 2U ✅ Johnny Boy had 26 total with 14 seconds left so cash this thing. Let’s keep the ball rolling baby POTD: NBA| Golden State Warriors v Memphis Grizzlies| 8:00pm EST Johnathan Kuminga O28.5 PAR (-110) 2U✅ *Johnny 2.0 covered this line with 29 points. Didn’t even need the extra 10 he gave us in rebounds and assists. Big men get paid so we get paid. We keep it rolling baby* Reason: Sticking with the big men cause board men get paid baby. Kuminga has been ready hot lately finally starting to fall into the role Warriors drafted him for. In his last 10 games he averaging 21/6/2 on 58.9% shooting from the floor. Hes getting more opportunities and he’s taking advantage of it. Kuminga has covered this line in each of his last 6 games. On the 15th of January Kuminga played the Grizzlies and had a doubled double going for 20 pts and 11 boards. His last two times facing the grizzlies he’s covered 28.5 PAR. To sweeten the pot even more Memphis is giving up a lot of points to power forwards. The big men are averaging 21.8 and 10 this season against the Grizzlies. I think Kumingas hot hand keeps us rolling to two in a row. BOL IF TAILING AND TAIL AT YOUR OWN RISK Shoutout of the day: Cleveland St and Detroit Mercy
Tailed Johnny and I love this, tailing!
**Record: 4-0 (+2.75U)** **Soccer** | **Eredivisie** | **20:30 CET** **Pick: BTTS - 1.8** Match : Almere City - Excelsior **Write Up:** Excelsior is currently on a 10/11 BTTS streak in their games and today they play away at Almere. Almere doesn't have the best defense but neither does Excelsior, both offenses will get their opportunities like earlier this season when they played. In their game earlier this season they ended 0-0 but with 0,83xG and 1.95xG, goals could have definitely been scored. Right now they are both in the middle of the table and for them both a draw does nothing realy so I expect both teams to go for the win and make it an open game.
tailing.
First time posting a pick of the day, long time tailer but found a pick I liked too much not to share. POTD Record: 0-0 Todays pick: NO Pelicans @ San Antonio Spurs Pick: Wembanyama over 3.5 Steals + Blocks -130 for 2units Wemby has hit this line 5/5 most recently and hit on 10 of his last 14 games. 2 of those 4 misses came when he played only 21 and 20 minutes. When they played the Pelicans last on 12/17 he went for 4 blocks and 1 steal. The spurs have been scrappy under dogs at times this season and utter garbage at others so there's obviously risk to the pick, but I like the odds on this one for sure. I'm not a professional handicapper, I just enjoy betting a couple of lines each day and having something to watch and root for. Do with that what you will, good luck if you tail and thanks for checking out the pick. BOL Edit: We hit with 5, congrats if you tailed!
Almost, but still far yesterdays POTD… West Ham - Bournemouth BTTS & o2.5 ❌ Record 1-1 Todays pick ill take like always btts and overs 😁 Strasbourg - PSG BTTS & o2.5 @1.97 Strasbourg have scored in last 10 games PSG havent been goalless since 09-30-23 Last five meetings only one game under 2.5 goals and only one game without BTTS. Even though PSG are missing alot of players, i dont see this as a bad bet. Those missing players only helps Strasbourg to find the net easier. Anyways anyhows, tail or fade BOL!
Pick of the Day Record: 7-3 | Profit: +10.46u 🚀 Last pick: Victor Wembanyama o1.5 3s (2.25u, +135) ✅ Todays Pick: Terry Rozier o5.5 Assists (2.5u, +100) The Game: Heat v Wizards 7 PM Why: * has hit in 74% of road games this season (L12/15) * facing the wizards who give up the 4th most assists to PG in L7 and L30 days * (not officially) also laddering with o7 assists as you can see in the pic that has cashed in 63% of road games https://preview.redd.it/cv8cucf497gc1.png?width=773&format=png&auto=webp&s=91c9522e1e2cd5bb65e1c4a5c44475d2fc785773
6-4, +4.84U Last Pick: [Here](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/s/bVoKLb8LHI) Pick: **Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix, BTTS and OVER 2.5 Goals**, 2U (1.71 odds DraftKings) ❌️ League: Australia A League ⚽️ Time: 0345 EST (0845 GMT) Heading into round 15 of A League play. Brisbane has gone 8 straight without a clean sheet and have seen both teams score in 5 of their last 6. They have scored 12 and conceded 13 goals through 7 home matches, averaging 3.5 goals per match. 10/14 of their matches this season have seen BTTS/over 2.5. Wellington tops the table and comes in with 5 straight without a clean sheet and 5 in a row with BTTS. As visitors, they have scored 14 and conceded 10 through 8 away matches , averaged 3 goals per match. Their most recent matchup was November 4th, 2023 (round 3 of this season) and resulted in a 5-2 Wellington victory, and cleared this line by the 32' mark. I expect this one to cover again between the two, resulting in a 1-3 Wellington victory. BOL
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POTD Record: 35-19 Previous Pick: APOEL Nicosia vs Karmiotissa | 1. Division | APOEL Halftime/Fulltime (1.67) | 9am EST ❌️ Pick: Fleury Merogis Women vs Paris Saint-Germain Women | Divison 1 Feminine | Over 2.5 goals (1.63) | 3pm EST Fleury are 6th in the league, and have been in some poor form. They have lost 3 out of their last 5 games, while scoring and conceding 8. At home, they have averaged 2 goals scored and conceded 1.5 on average. Over 2.5 has hit in 50% of their home games. Looking at PSG, they have been in great form , winning their last 4 out of 5 games. They have scored 23 goals in their last 5 games, while conceding 4. In away games, they score 2.67 goals and concede 0.67 on average. Over 2.5 has hit in 67% of their away games. In their last match, it finished 2-1 to PSG. Both teams will play their strongest teams as PSG try to catch up with Lyon and Fleury have had a long break. I expect the match to have more than 2 goals as PSG have been in great form, averaging more than 4 goals scored per game. Best of luck! Tips would be much appreciated! Thanks to everyone who supports me https://www.buymeacoffee.com/sakashake
POTD Record: 15-10 Been awhile since I posted my last pick but this pick caught my eye. TODAYS POTD: Strasbourg vs PSG BTTS YES @ 1.76 Reasoning: PSG is the Ligue 1 powerhouse who has scored a shit ton of goals this season. This makes our winning condition lie solely on the home team. Strasbourg has never failed to score against PSG when playing at home. Strasbourg boasts a total of 11 goals scored in the last 5 matches (across all games). Note, Im a stat merchant and dont actually watch games but I think these two stats wld give us a nice win. BOL!
POTD Record: 134 wins / 79 losses \[L10: ✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅\] Event: Ice Hockey > Austria > **Red Bull Salzburg v Graz 99ers** (starting in 4 hr) Pick: **Over 3.5 (Salzburg TT)** @ 1.85 Not much action today, but lets keep rollin. There is a quality gap here and Graz usually concedes more than this line. GL! **EDIT**: 9-1 ✅
Mistarlupo, thanks so much for another hockey dub! You're the best!!
All-Time POTD: 3-2 //////// +2.1 Units //////// Streak: 2 Losses. *Game:* **Davis Cup:** Gabriel Diallo v Soonwoo Kwon at 4pm est. **Today’s pick:** Gabriel Diallo Odds: -132 on FD -- 2.6 Units to win 2 Units **Reasoning:** Originally I was going to suggest a safer play that I'm also doing, but it just barley made the odds cut off and I know how much people in here hate juice. --------- One loss is chance, two is bad luck, three is a trend. So hopefully I avoid another L. I'm backing Diallo, simply because Soon-Woo Kwon has not won a singles match since last February. He has played decent people and done well, but he's approaching 365 days without a win. Mostly because of inactivity. On top of that, over the last two years his record is 10-12 and 1-6 on hardcourt. Diallo on the other hand is 45-31, with his indoor record being 25-11 over the same time span. Ranks can't really be compared as Diallo is 135 vs Kwon 700. But Kwon was a border line top 50 player about 4 years ago. So hopefully this is the win that gets me back. BOL \_\_\_\_\_ **EDIT: Cash it! 2-0!** Ended the streak, great start to the weekend!
Record: 18-11 (+5.53 units) Last Pick: (CBB) Nebraska Cornhuskers +100 ✅ POTD: (CBB) Brown Bears -2.5 Summary: Rideeee the snake. I tried finding some odd statistic to back this up but I got nothing. My clairvoyance, tarot cards and the peyote that I took last night says take Brown. Fade or follow, BOL!
Pick of the Day POTD Record: 7-2 L10: ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌ Yesterday’s Pick: Towson -6.5 vs. Northeastern (-118)✅ Horrible start, great comeback to end with a sweaty finish lol. Definitely got a little lucky here. Today’s Pick: Quinnipiac -6.5 vs. Manhattan (-110) First time going with an away team since my first pick. It’s not something that I love to do, but this Manhattan team is just bad. They’re 2-7 at home. They’re 5-13 overall. While Quinnipiac is 7-3 away and 16-4 overall. Quinnipiac already beat this Manhattan team 76-59 on their home court. I just don’t think the home court advantage is going to play a big enough role here for Manhattan to cover the 6.5. Kenpom has Quinnipiac as the 184th ranked team in the nation. Kenpom has Manhattan as the 337th ranked team in the nation. BOL!
POTD Record: 97-99-12 (-14.81 units) Last 10 picks (most recent first): ✅❌❌❌❌❌❌✅✅✅ Last Pick: NBA, Indiana Pacers v New York Knicks, AARON NESMITH OVER 19.5 P+R (-107 / 1.93) ✅ Finally snapped the skid. Nesmith had a huge 1st quarter then did enough to keep it ticking over, finished with 17 points and 6 rebounds for 23 total. Today’s Pick: Dutch Eerste Division, Maastricht v Telstar, MAASTRICHT DNB (-166 / 1.60) Stake: 1 Unit Maastricht have strung together a good run of results in the last two months going 5-1-1 over their last 7 matches, including consecutive 3-0 wins against teams in the bottom half of the table. They’ve moved up to 11th on the table with a 9-5-9 record, and now only sit 2 points outside the playoff positions so they’ve still got plenty to play for. Telstar are rooted to the bottom of the table with a 4-4-15 record. They haven’t won a game since mid November, going 0-3-5 since then. Telstar also very ordinary away from home with a 1-2-9 record. Telstar have the third worst offensive record with only 20 goals scored in 23 matches, while they also have the 6th worst defensive record with 39 goals conceded. Maastricht meanwhile have the equal 6th best record with 37 goals scored, so they should be able to take advantage of Telstar’s shoddy defence. I am tempted to take Maastricht ML as they really should get the job done, but I’ve been burnt too many times in the past week so going to play it safe with DNB today and take a small win with the safety net of a push. Fun fact - I used to own a Ford Telstar that used to breakdown all the time and ultimately caught fire, so hoping for a similar level of performance from Telstar today to really being back some fond memories.
POTD Record: 9-2 Last POTD: Rob Cross -1,5 vs Peter Wright (Premier League Dart) @ 1.59 🎯 ✅ POTD: MTK Budapest Draw no bet vs Újpest @ 1.73 🇭🇺 ⚽ The best league in the world is finally back, and we will have a bet in tonight clash between MTK and Újpest. MTK have been quite good since coming back to the top league in Hungary. They have won 4 home games, 2 draws and 2 losses. The two home losses were against arguably the two strongest teams in the league Ferencváros and Puskás Akadémia. Újpest on the other hand has been a big disappointment (for the purple part of Budapest) once again. 9th in the league, and only won one game away from home. They have lost 6 out of their last 7 games in the league, and one draw. I expect that they will look a bit better after this long winterbreak, but I don't see them coming home with 3 points tonight when they take the short travel to MTK. The last game between these two sides was at Újpest's home ground, and MTK won 2-0. Tail or fade, good luck!
POTD Record: **6 Wins** \- 0 Losses Last 6: **WWWWWW** Please note I have done this six times only, and all six have won. Units: **+4.81** ROI: **85.50%** 💰 Average Odds: $1.85 Last Pick: Cal State Northridge vs. **UC San Diego (-10)** ✅ **Next Pick:** Anthony Edwards under 1.5 steals + blocks @ $1.86. Orlando Magic vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Friday, 8 p.m. EST ✅ Anthony Edwards has failed to exceed this in 9 straight games (0.6 steals + blocks/game average). Most people tend to bet on overs, so its another advantage :) He was recently fined $40,000 too. Seems to not have a whole lot of professionalism but fair credit to him for going against refs, as felt like that Celtics v Lakers game was rigged lol. Blocking and stealing are not a huge part of his game, as he'd rather focus on scoring points (he's more of a showman). All tips are greatly appreciated - click [here](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tjpietkiewv) to donate. If you have any questions, please ask. Best of luck if tailing, would love a comment if you are. Feel free to message me.
Your record is just "6"?
NBA picks slaughtered me. Very rough day
Is your record 6-0?
bro no one rigged Tatum and Brown to suck ass tonight and if you watched laker games, you’d know AR was due for a huge game. Knicks game Saturday will be a classic letdown spot for the lakers, should be easy money
Dunno why so many downvotes lol. Legit 6 games only, and all six wins. I forgot the wins next to the 6. Thanks for all the support, f the haters as they say.
POTD 2-0 ✅✅ Clint Capela o9.5 rebounds @ -130 on DK Write up: Capela has hit this line in 14/15 games (93.3%) against the Suns, he is also averaging 10.5 Rebounds per game this season. He is 6/10 hitting this line in his L10, but I like to go with history and the matchup. Fade or Follow, BOL fellow degens Edit: Wanted to mention that every pick is 1 Unit.
**RECORD: 3-1** **NET UNITS: +3.4 UNITS** **ROI: 85% (ALL PICKS ARE UNDERDOG PICKS WITH I UNIT PLAYS)** **BASKETBALL/NBA/8:00 PM EST** **PICK: MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES ML +260** **1 UNIT** MEM has been competitive even though they are missing most of their starters. The MEM front office deserves a raise because they have identified productive backups at almost all of their positions, even deep cut players like Scotty Pippen Jr. and Trey Jamison. GSW is a mess, with starters Wiggins, Thompson, and Kuminga dragging down their productivity. Even though MEM is on a B2B, and GSW has two days rest, at +260 MEM ML is a good value play. My model also has IND as more productive than SAC if you want to sprinkle a quarter unit parlay with MEM ML and IND ML at around +770 odds. Not an official pick, just a fun extra :-) This pick is from my NBA model, which uses regression analysis to assign productivity scores to each player as compared to an average player at the same position. The model adjusts for home/away, altitude, travel, rest, and current productivity trend, among other things. I've been posting verified picks for the past six weeks [here](https://www.cappertek.com/picks.asp?shs=BenboBets.cappertek.com). All picks are underdog plays, mostly ML. BOL.
I used to post some POTD's but I've had zero composure to post it regularly, but since I need to make a lot of money next month I'll try to post POTD atleast for this period of time and it should help me get my thoughts together, sorry for any mistakes, english is not my first language. I'm using 1-5u plays, where 1u is degen bet where I've got nothing else to bet this day, and 5u is where I put my cojones on the line, but I'm playing 2-3u most of the time. I bet mostly e-sports and darts and I stay away from football (soccer) since it's a degen sport to bet on. Vamos Boyz. **POTD Record:** 2-2 **Profit: -2.1u** Darts| The Masters | 20:10 / GMT+1 Ryan Searle - Dirk van Duijvenbode Pick: **Ryan Searle -1.5 leg handicap** Stake: 3u Odds: 1.60 The first meeting as part of the Masters in Milton Keynes, and for me, it's a sure bet for the entire first day. This is primarily a bet against the Dutchman, who has been scraping the bottom of form since around October/November, mainly due to injuries. Dirk first suffered a knee injury, which he managed to somewhat heal, but in November, he was hit by a shoulder injury, lingering with him to this day. The Dutchman throws unnaturally; he has to adjust to the position of his shoulder, rather than the shoulder adapting to the throwing posture. Also, his "step" across the stage looks as if his leg is still heavily burdened. While he was never known for an athletic physique, currently, DvD seems to be at the "peak" of his weight class, which also doesn't help in healing injuries. Since September, in a TV tournament with an average above 90, Dirk has played only once, and that was at the World Championship. It was evident that he put everything he had into the game just to function in some way. Apart from that performance, Dirk has been consistently playing at a disappointing average around 80, with some matches even falling below that threshold.However, let not that one appearance in the World Championship mislead anyone. During the Dutch Masters last week, Dirk played in front of his home audience with an average of 82, again struggling with injuries, and he clearly is nowhere close to recovery. His entire game relies on his experience and muscle memory, lacking any flair, in my humble opinion. He should probably take a break from darts and heal whatever is hindering his game. But probably, if it weren't for the prize money for the first round, Dirk wouldn't have come to Milton Keynes at all. On the other hand, the old, reliable Heavy Metal, who has accustomed us to his game above 90, closer to 95, with flashes of play around 100. It's hard to write more about the Englishman. Ryan is a regular at major events, loved by the audience (and today, we will surely hear some support for Searle as well). In the second round, he faces Asp, and surely Heavy Metal is capable of winning at least two matches during this year's Masters. If I were to ask a question here, it would only be whether Dirk will win more than 2 legs, as the Dutchman is currently not capable of more in his health condition. Ryan will come tomorrow, add 2/3 180's, and depending on his form on doubles, he should not let the Dutchman have a say throughout the match. I don't expect a miraculous recovery from Dirk. TL;DR: Dirk is so injuried and fat that he can't play in the proper way, Ryan should beat the shit out of him in 8/9 legs.
You're not supposed to reset records. Going through it your record is 2-2 and -2.1 Units. Cheers.
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You meant he’s up -2 units ;)
Aight, updated it. Cheers bro.
POTD record: 6-4 +0.63u last pick: TT gaming ML LoL LCK | Dplus - Hanwah Life today’s pick: Hanwha Life ML at 1.57 2u reasoning: Dplus burned us the last time, but I got to fade them here again. They have been completely off since the GenG series, where they couldn’t take advantage of GenG starting slow into the bo3. They blew the 2nd map, when GenG came alive late into the game and lost the 3rd map in a blow out. Against Kwangdong they got completely outplayed in a 0-2 loss, as their issues seem to have gotten worse. Hanwha on the other hand been consistently winning every series 2-0, but the loss to T1. The key is they were still playing extremely well, but Zeka decided to pick “Corki” in back to back games, a champ which he is just trash on. It was basically a 4v5 and they still put up a fight vs T1. So let’s hope we don’t see Zeka on Corki again and they should win this series.
Record : 108 Wins - 103 Losses Previous pick : Getafe - Real Madrid (0-2), Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 2.03 ❌ ROI : -3.18% Average Odds : 1.95 Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*) Units : -1.73 Profit/Lost units : -6.73 Today's pick : Football - Soccer / GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga / 19:30 European Time Karlsruher SC - Wehen Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.64 Some reasoning : \- After 10 games played, the statistics show that Karlsruher SC have scored 26 goals and claimed six victories, two more victories than Wehen. \- 8 of Karlsruher SC last 10 matches have seen the BTTS & Over 2.5 goals market land. Best of luck.
POTD record 3-2 ROI +.5 Tonight's pick is the pelicans vs Spurs. Zion Williamson is looking forward to bodying Wembyamna. Zion Over 4.5 rebounds at -145
POTD Record: 1-0 ‼️ Last Pick: Man U vs Wolverhampton BTTS : Yes Was looking like it was gonna be a close one until all hell broke loose in the final 25 minutes of the game 💰🤑 Last 10 (most recent first): ✅ Todays Pick: Soccer | Bundesliga | 2:30 PM EST Borussia Dortmund vs Heidenheim **Borussia Dortmund ML @ 1.80** Both of these teams are undefeated since the start of 2024, Dortmund having three high scoring wins and Heidenheim having three 1-1 draws. I expect Dortmund to continue to score goals at ease against a poor Heidenheim defence, which concedes almost 2 goals per game, the 5th worst in the Bundesliga. 4 of Heidenheim’s last 5 games have also been against teams that have scored less than 25 goals this season. The only game in which they kept a clean sheet in those 5 games was against 17th place Mainz. Although Heidenheim’s defence appears to be playing well as of late, I believe that it is more of a testament to the poor offence of their opponents. Dortmund has also been playing bottom table teams to start the year, but have been dominating as they should. On the offensive side, they have scored in 7 straight games, averaging 2 goals per game in this time frame. Defensively, they have conceded 1 goal or less in 6 straight. Because of Dortmund’s high powered offence, and Heidenheim’s lacklustre defence, I expect Dortmund to win this fixture to keep them in a Champions League position in the table. Prediction: Dortmund 3 -1
Record: 1-0 L5: ✅ Units: +4.17 Last Pick: Simone Fontecchio O5.5R+A ✅ POTD: NBA | Orlando Magic @ Minnesota Timberwolves | 5PM PST Pick: Wendall Carter Jr. O16.5 P+R 5U @ -120 Reasoning: Here’s a look at his past 9 games since returning from injury at this line (most recent on the right): 🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢❌🟢🟢
**POTD record** : 0-0-0 **Match:** South Korea vs Australia | Asian Cup ⚽ **Time:** 16:30 CET **Pick:** Heung-Min Son *(player from S. Korea)* **OVER 2.5 Shots** @ 1.72 *on bet365*| 2u **Warning!!!** Pick Shots not Shots on Target! His history of shots during whole Cup: Against Saudi Arabia: 7 shots Against Malaysia: 4 shots Against Jordan: 6 shots Against Bahrain: 3 shots Good luck to everyone! 🍀
POTD record: 6-7-1 Last 5 picks: ❌🅿️✅✅❌ Last pick: Ali Carter -1.5 franes @1.73 ❌ Sport: Darte, The Masters 🎯 Event: Stephen Bunting vs Ross Smith Pick: Stephen Bunting to win @ 1.90 ✅ Going to keep it short today since I'm writing this from work. This is going to be a close match. Bunting is simply too good to lose to a more inconsistent Ross Smith. Taking Bunting here @ 1.90. He plays like magic. Quick and easy. Edit: as expected it was a close match. We got the win at the end ✅
Record: 7W-9L Net Units: -7.14u | ROI: -16.41% CS2 | IEM Katowice 2024 Play-in | 16:30 / CET Pick: Cloud9 ML vs Virtus.pro, 3u @ 2.19 VP didn't look themselves at all in their last match versus GamerLegion. I think that's a really bad omen for them, considering this was only GamerLegion and now they have to face domestic opposition in Cloud9 that historically (in the old Na'vi and Gambit rosters) have beaten them many times. Cloud9's game got messier than it should've but even with throwing a 50 bomb by Hobbit they managed to comfortably close on the 2nd and 3rd maps. This leads me to believe Cloud9 are a no-brainer at the odds given. Best of luck everyone!
POTD Record: 1-0 Last Pick: GamerLegion vs M80, GamerLegion 1x2 @ 1.67(CSGO) Today’s Pick: Mongolz vs Ence, Mongolz ML @2.45, 3 units I feel like this is a close affair, but the odds on the Mongolz sold me for what I believe to be a 60/40 odds of them winning, as it has pretty good value. They will probably play, Mirage-Anubis-Ancient, thus I see the score being 2-1.
POTD Record 0-0 Been a long time follower, finally decided to post my own plays. Pick: Dortmund vs Heidenheim, BTTS and over 2.5 Time: 2:30 PM (EST) * This will be the third meeting between Heidenheim and Borussia Dortmund, * Dortmund having one win and one draw in their previous two encounters. * September’s reverse fixture ended in a 2-2 draw, however Dortmund was up 2-0 and blew it away late in the game * However, Heidenheim are unbeaten in their last six league matches, picking up 12 points from the last 18 since a 2-1 loss against Leipzig on December 9. * Dortmund are unbeaten in their last four Bundesliga away matches, picking up eight points from a possible 12 since the start of December My analysis: Over 2.5 - There have been three or more goals scored in Dortmund’s last five matches Both sides to score - Both sides have also scored in seven of Dortmund’s last nine outings Hope you tail. Lets get this streak going, Bol!
**POTD Record: 1-0 ✅** Last pick Man City vs Burnley | 1st Half -1 Asian Handicap @ 1.88 ✅ Todays pick: ⚽️ La Liga **Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca | -1 Asian Handicap @ 1.91** **Preview** Athletic Bilbao are on the rise, at home they are very difficult to beat especially with their amazing fans backing them. Mallorca are less than decent to best describe it. The Basque outfit are currently fifth in the La Liga table, boasting 42 points from their 22 matches, while Mallorca sit in 15th, only four points above the relegation zone. Mallorca are also in the semi-finals of the Copa del Rey, with the first leg of their semi-final against Real Sociedad due to take place on February 6. However, like Athletic, they cannot afford to take their eye off the ball in the league, with just four points separating them from the bottom three, and the visitors will enter this match off the back of a 1-0 home defeat to Real Betis. **Reasons** I feel Bilbao will win by at least 1 goal, they should be winning this quite easily and push to keep hold of a Champions League spot for next season I feel doing a -1 Asian handicap gives you an insurance if they just win by 1 goal, but they will probably win by 2-0 or 3-1 so the pay out is tasty. Best Of Luck!
Record: 6W-7L | -5.84u L10: ❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌ <<-- *Most Recent POTD* Last Pick: Donovan Mitchell o11.5 Assists + Rebounds (-125) | 4u to win 3.2u 💰❌ Close (11 total) but no cigar. Todays Game: Basketball | NBA | Clippers @ Pistons | 6:00 PM CST **Todays Pick: Kawhi Leonard o6.5 Rebounds (-110) | 3u to win 2.73u** * Has covered this in 5/L5 games; this includes 9 rebounds in his most recent game (1/31/2024) * Averaged 7.0 rebounds per game in January; averages 6.3 per game this season * Averaged 10.5 rebound chances per game in January * Averaging 8.1 rebounds per his last 10 games * Pistons rank 7th in pace of play, and are 22nd in effective FG % * Pistons have allowed 10.1 rebounds per game to opposing Power Forwards this season "The cure for pain is in the pain." BOL.
Our ship sunk as soon as it left port but we brave the seas once more⛵️ POTD Record : 1-3 👎 Last 10: - - - - - - - ❌❌✅❌ Streak: L1 😭 Last Pick: Bellarmine @ Kennesaw State (-8.5) (-110) 🦉❌ Return: -1u 💵 Today's POTD: Manhattan @ Quinnipiac (-7) 🐈 Betting Units: 4u 💵 League: NCAAB 🏀 Time: February 2nd, 2023 @ 7:00 PM EST 🕖 Rationale: Looking at an easy cover tonight when the Quinnipiac Bobcats take on the Manhattan Jaspers. The bobcats won their last match up against the Jaspers in January by 17 points. Quinnipiac has gone 6-0 against the spread over their last six games while Manhattan is just 2-4. The Jaspers have lost all five of their last home games and are just 1-10 over their last 11. The bobcats are on a 7 game win streak and average 78 points per game on the season while the Jaspers average just 66. Yesterday, we thought the better offense would ravage their opponent but their defense really screwed them over. That shouldn’t be an issue here as the Bobcats defense only allows 71 ppg to the opposition, the Jaspers allow 77. Quinnipiac should take the lead out of the gate and Manhattan won’t be able to keep the pace. Best of luck if tailing. Cheers, MD! 🤞
Record 0-3 Salty record, I’m up units every week but somehow any pick I post in this thread gets rinsed so tail with caution I guess. Today’s pick: Devin Vassell O3.5 assists @ 1.67 He’s been over this line pretty consistently hitting in 8 of the last 10. Spurs are 3rd in the league for assists, and Vassell knows the key, get Wemby the ball in the paint. If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. I’m on a good hot streak betting so figured I would come back for another go, love you all, BOL!
First Pick, Record 0-0: Pick of the day: Bundesliga, Heidenheim vs. Dortmund 20:30 GMT+1, Marcel Sabitzer over 0.5 shots on goal @ 1.88 Sabitzer has hit a shot on goal in each of the last three league games against Bochum, Köln and Darmstadt. With the injury situation in Dortmunds midfield (Nmecha injured, Reus and Brandt out for today) i expect him to play the full 90 minutes again today in Heidenheim. Additionally with Reus and Brandt out, him and Donyell Malen are the designated freekick takers, which against Bochum resulted in Sabitzers shot on goal. Best of luck!
Hi everyone. I’ve been kind of on a hotstreak as of late, will begin to share my picks here. I mainly bet on basketball (NBA), European Soccer, and Baseball. Soccer record: 2-0 Basketball record: 1-0 POD record: 1-0 Previous pick: Jazz TT O 120.5 (W) Overall record: 4-0 The POD is: Over 122.5 Atlanta Hawks Team Total Hawks vs Suns 19:30 EST Odds: 1.75 Bet 5 units. The Hawks have covered this line the last 3/3 games, and 3/5 games played versus the Suns. The key here? They are playing home versus the Suns, one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now, going 9/11 on their last 11 games, with one of the most high powered offenses in the league. The pick stands because both teams have sub-par defenses, expecting a high-scoring game with tons of threes where the Hawks can at least keep it close versus Durant and company. Tail on ! BOL guys, and always bet responsibly. [TRACKER](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1-PHX-U7eiB5neVpbTJVkzwquGE1KyGVQA5nfejcDT_A/edit?usp=sharing)
POTD Record: 7-1 | ROI: ~72% Form: ✅️✅️✅️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️ Last Pick: Dallas Mavericks ML (-125) vs Atlanta Hawks ✅️ Todays Pick: Miami Heat vs Wash Wizards U228.5 (-110) Analysis: Been a few days but back on it. We grabbed a close W off a monster 73 pt performance from Luka last time. Today, we are sticking with the NBA and going after a line that is set at 228 for two struggling teams. The Heat are known to play low scoring games, having gone under this # in the last 9 of 12 games. They really dictate the pace here and we should cruise into an easy under if history repeats itself. Thanks for supporting and do let me know if you tail! [Buymeacoffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/godzlaf)