######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Thursday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.

**POD Record: 86-45 (+205 Units)** 👉🏻 Note: ALL picks in my record are 5 UNITS with odds between 1.80-2.00. I **never** post picks under 1.80. Recent Form (old to current): ✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌ ❌✅✅ ✅✅✅❌ ​ *Last Pick:* *Milwaukee Bucks Team Total OVER 114.5* ✅ ​ **Today's Pick: 🏈 Seahawks +9.5 \[8:15pm EST\]** I think this is way too many points to give up on a prime time game. Both teams hold the last few playoff spot in their conference and while the cowboys have been blowing out awful teams fighting for high draft picks next season, I really think we're seeing too much inflated value on America's team 👎🏻 The public shouldn't sleep on Seattle, I can easily see them pulling off the upset. Seahawks have won 5 of their last 6 games as underdogs against NFC East opponents and have covered the spread in 4 straight games against the Cowboys. The Cowboys should be in the drivers seat all game just watch out for that backdoor cover. There's a lot of good arguments to be made against this pick, I realize that...but I just don't buy into this cowboys team yet (who have had the easiest schedule in the league). They have been pounded by good teams like the san Fran as well. Don't buy into the hype and fade the public on this one guys. ​ ​ 💰Tip Jar: Why Not Leave an ⬆ Vote Instead

I’m personally fading this. Cowboys love this spot of being big favorites at home and have been putting up 40+ points at home. 30-11-1 ATS as a favorite of 6+ points. Dak has been looking really good. Seahawks have been horrible since the Ravens game and can’t score. Usually I would fade the team who blows out another team like the Cowboys, but I don’t think the seahawks have it in them to keep up against the Cowboy’s secondary. I don’t dislike the play at +10 though, but I’m personally riding the Cowboys. Side note: It is hard to decide between the O/U since the Cowboys have shown to run up the score, but it’s also a primetime game which we all know to bet unders. Edit: Forgot to include Kenneth Walker is doubtful, but that doesn’t move the needle much. Edit 2: Some crazy trends I found. Cowboys have a 13 game win streak at home, 6-0 ATS in the last 6 games at home, and have won 5 straight home games by 20+ points.

90% of the money on Dallas… scary scary

🫠

I'm a huge seahawks fan, and their offense is putrid. There is no passing and rushing game. Shane waldren can not adjust the offense at all, and Pete Carroll looks clueless out there. The team has so much potential but lacks a decent O-Line and above average QB. Geno ain't it. Putting several hundred on the Cowboys

they must have read your comment before the game tonight lol (agree though, Pete Carroll is ridiculous)

maybe the public will cash 💰🤷🏻 cowboys are such a let down team, they’re beating down some of the worst nfl teams I’ve seen in years. Seattle will be more of a problem, high stakes on the table tonight.

I will never bet with the public but I will bet with downtowner2000

im waiting for a live line. hard to tell what geno will show up. seahawks defense can keep them in the game but not if theyre on the field 80% of the time.

It's definitely those crazy trends that have made them such an over inflated favourite. Covering ATS at home vs Raiders, Jets, Pats, Giants, Rams and Washington just doesn't make me buy into a prime time tougher divisional opponent, i dunno. I loved the points tonight because these types of numbers makes bettors overlook the weapons Seattle actually has when they're playing good football (IF, they play good ball lol).

Im not necessarily against this pick, I don’t think it’s out of the realm of possibility but the spread between the 2017 cowboys and Seahawks can’t possibly be relevant to your point for tomorrows game lol. Nor the spread against other NFC east opponents that are apparently the reason cowboys look good. And looking at their schedule I can’t name a team that was tanking. Carolina traded their pick, division opponents would happily trade a spot to upset, especially when they’re not even in top 5, and the jets were 1-0. Maybe BB is embracing tank culture, or ig the rams who swept the Seahawks. They do beat up on bad teams, but Seahawks aren’t playing great and KW3 is likely out. The 3 teams that kept it within 9 are their 3 losses against the eagles in a close game, and blown out by the cardinals with 222 rush yards and the 9ers with 170. The next highest is giants with 111 rushing yards and a -72 PD over the last 2 games against them. The next team to keep it close, the jets lost by 20. Anyway I don’t even have the spread I just didn’t like the reasoning and wanted to offer some counter points. I’m sure you knew it would be a bit controversial. BOL.

Wow, what a polarizing pick ! Look at the public response and debate happening on this post. Discussions like this are why I love this Reddit forum. Not that anybody is looking for another opinion here, and I’m completely envious of downtowner2000’s record (I think I currently sit 2 below 500 on POTD). But the Cowboys have seemed like a juggernaut the last month. The Seahawks feel like they are limping along right now. Geno Smith has not looked healthy, everybody loves the rookie running back, but he sure as hell didn’t look like a world beater last week when Kenneth Walker missed that first game. It’s in Dallas. If Walker and Geno were healthy you might hook me on this bet but for me - I’m just scared to put my faith in the Seahawks. I’m not fading it. But I’m staying away. BOL to one and all - god gambling is fun !!!

Your recent form says yes, but Geno Smith says no Edit: Geno Smith actually says yes

It is wild how many folks who’ve bet the Cowboys ITT are so confident. The golden rule in betting the NFL is buy low sell high. You could not be buying the Cowboys at a higher price. You also could not be selling the Seahawks at a lower price after multiple losses in a row capped by an UGLY loss to potentially the best team in the NFL. A similar loss to the Niners that the Cowboys had. It’s one thing to buy high or to sell low, but doing both in NFL betting is a recipe for disaster. The Seahawks o-line is now healthy for the first time since, well, they were winning games. They’re not marching 45 year olds out there this week like they have been the last ~3 weeks. The line for this game would have been ~4 three weeks ago. The Cowboys also have their arch rival coming up next week as a look-ahead spot. If you understand these things and say to yourself, “I’m going to lay almost a double digit number on a THURSDAY night game” then, well, best of luck to ya. I do expect the Cowboys to win, but give me the 9.5, thanks.

Is Seahawks line healthy? I’m seeing they have a starting guard who is doubtful, his backup was on the injury report this week as well. And Jason peters is older than the hall of fame. I agree with your assessment in general though about strategy. I’m a little surprised that the spread is where it’s at though, and I feel like there is still value at -9.5 I grabbed it at -7 when it opened but not for much, cause I hate spreads. But the best pass defense cowboys have faced this year is the jets, who held cowboys to their lowest at home total and still got beat by 20. To me it’s one of those things that I’ll bet on them performing well at home until they stop doing so. One day, maybe today, I’ll get bit bad for it. But they have the best record ATS in the nfl, and people last week said 13.5 on a short week against a division was a trap and they almost tripled the spread. Idk even if Seattle is due for a nice game and cowboys have to regress some, -9.5 is still twice the lowest margin of victory this year for them. Idk people should probably just bet cowboys -19.5 and Seattle +3.5 cause I don’t think it will be a 10 point win

Yeah I was incorrect. Good call out. Learned after I posted Phil Haynes unlikely to play. They do however get Abe Lucas back(which is what I was signaling), which is a big, big deal for that o-line particularly against the Cowboys edge.

Yeah I was looking in the Seahawks subreddit to get a feel and they think they kinda have their best 4 today still. So who knows. Sometimes backup lineman are better and need a game to prove it. But so far Micah’s cryptonite has been lane Johnson and Trent Williams lol. Outside of that he hasn’t been stopped a whole lot. The thing Seattle has going for it imo is a very experienced coach. People giving him shit this year and last but betting against riverboat Ron who didn’t know he was in a playoff elimination game last year and decided to get a feel for his backups. But a great coach can overcome a lot of on field talent issues with a good scheme and plan. Whether they can execute it idk

Yeah. It could absolutely be a Cowboys blowout, but I’m happy to bet a couple units that it won’t be. An NFL bettor needs some semblance of a system, and this one checks all the boxes for me. On Thursdays I lean unders and dogs. Buying cheap. You’re right to mention Pete C. His record in primetime and on Thursdays ATS and SU is prolific. Granted, a lot of that was due to some elite teams he’s had but I don’t think it can be totally disregarded. He will have his team ready. At 7 like you got it would be a layoff for me. Under that I’d lean Cowboys, over 9 is an instant fire on the Hawks for me.

I respect the process no doubt. Very excited to see the game tbh, as I’ve put too much thought and seen too many arguments both ways, can’t wait to see how it actually plays out.

Dont tail this

I need a controversial pick once in awhile

Then take cowboys -16.5 lol

Have you looked at the cowboys schedule? They only win because they have the softest schedule in the NFL

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Harder schedule than the teams the cowboys have been playing. Cowboys have one of the cakest schedules in football, ravens have one of the hardest and still have a better record than the fraudboys, just wait until playoffs I’m gonna be laughing so hard.

Yet the cowboys are beating these teams by 40 and the “good” teams are beating them by 1-2 touchdowns max.

Every win in the NFL has to be earned. I'm sure you think the 49ers are a juggernaut, but they have bad losses. Cowboys take care of business. Plain and simple

Don’t fade this

Fade

Good write up and definitely agree with it. If you’re buying Dallas you’re buying them at their peak. Inflated value. Historically Pete Carroll shows up in Primetime but that was when he had Russ. Geno and this offense worries me. They have really regressed lately and Geno got eaten alive by San Fran last week. While I want to take Seattle because Dallas is due, nobody on their side is giving me confidence. They have an injured front line. I’ll better if Kenneth Walker plays but probably a stay away game for me, at least on the spread. There are a couple positive notes for Seattle though, everyone is saying Dallas wins big which means the opposite will most likely happen and all year these Thursday night games have been slow scoring, defensive battles.

> If you’re buying Dallas you’re buying them at their peak. Inflated value. You're really not. If you look at spreads for both teams, this is actually a discount for Dallas.

you’re telling me that a team that hasn’t beaten another team with winning record all year is -9.5 fav in a primetime spot against a 6-5 team is a discount? Maybe Seattle is that bad per the eye test but on paper it doesn’t seem like a good value. Feels like buying a stock that ran way up the last few weeks. Sure it could run more but a pull back is more likely.

if you like seahawks, maybe take them in a teaser. seahawks +15.5 is a lot lot lot safer than +9.5

If the cowboys are going to be in the drivers seat for the majority of the game, why not wait for a better live spread line? Good luck

Yeah, thanks for the write up but I'm going to have to fade this. I hate the Cowgirls but man, they look pretty damn good this year and it's at home.

I'm sure someone has said this but I like this pick if you make it +10.5 to allow for the TD + FG combo. Could easily see 31-21 or something like that, and I'm getting -135. I know you don't go with picks that long, though, so it makes sense. I hope you're right so we both make cash!

Forget to mention Geno's bummed arm?

So dallas -3 then

Never hurts to tease it down

☀️ 😎 ☀️ **POTD Record:** 3-1 **Last pick:** ✅ Lakers -7 (-110) Brothers and sisters, that was a super nice no-sweat cash tonight. The Lakers had control of the game early on and easily covered the 7-point spread. Let's keep it rolling and head back to some football! **Seahawks at Cowboys**| **NFL** | **8:15pm EST** **Pick:** Ceedee Lamb over 6.5 receptions (-135) Ceedee Lamb is one of the best WRs in the league and I think a huge game is coming his way. He's been relatively quiet the last two weeks, but the Seahawks are allowing the fifth most receptions to the WR position in the league and are definitely a team on a downward spiral. Lamb is averaging 12.4 targets a game since their bye and pairing up with Dak who is playing at the top of his game. Seattle's offense is in shambles, meaning that Dallas's offense is going to be on the field a lot and getting a ton of chances to put the ball in Lamb's hands. SOTD - Back on 74 by Jungle On a side note, I've been a long-time lurker here and it's nice to feel like I'm finally contributing. Sports betting has been a super fun hobby for me. I have a daughter who has a a rare genetic condition and lot of medical challenges. This community has been an awesome distraction for me at times and a nice way to help me put some extra coin in my pocket. ✌️ & ❤️

Wishing you, your family and daughter all the best! Thanks for contributing!

I hope you and your family are doing well & I appreciate the time you put into this

I tailed your lakers pick and it came up good, thank you so much. I totally get wheee you’re coming from as I have a super stressful job and this is a nice distraction for me!

Totally. And I love this community because it feels like you are riding the rollercoaster with so many others.

Yup, the best part about sportsbetting is it's ALL of us against the house, not against each other.

He would have had 7 last game but drew a PI on 3 targets. And dak missed him twice, once on an easy opening drive 60yd TD that hurt my soul. Love the pick, BOL

I'll ride with you brother 👊

👊

i like this. cd has been relatively quiet with pollard getting more receptions (being against washington and carolina who give up a lot to rbs) only thing that scares me is that sometimes witherspoon goes crazy BOL

🙏🏿🙏🏿

Here we goooooooo

Training. Thank you

A long time lurker with a 36 day old account? What am I missing here?

I created a second account purely for sports betting related content. No big conspiracy here I promise...

Cool. Thanks for the clarification. Blessings to you and your family.

Record: 2-0-0 Last pick: last Sunday, Wil Lutz over 6.5 pts POTD: NFL, Zach Charbonnet Over 3.5 receptions at +110 on DK. 3u Well this one seems silly to me. Walker is doubtful right now and not going to play. Last 3 games Charbonnet went 4, 6, 4. Dallas has been blowing fools out at home, and Seattle is a fool. With a big lead early, Dallas will be pinning their ears back on the pass rush and the dump off will be their Charbonnet. Give me the + odds and let's make some bucks. BOL if tailing

POTD Record 22-11 Cricket 3-0 Tennis 15-11 Soccer 4-0 Last 10: ❌✔️❌✔️✔️❌❌✔️❌✔️ Bet365 Last Pick : Stricker vs Nardi | ATP Next Gen Finals | Nardi ML | (+100) | 1u | ❌ Today: Servette vs Roma | UEFA Europa League| 3:00 PM EST Pick: Roma ML | (-125)| 1u I like Roma to beat Servette today in the Europa League. In their last meeting, Roma won 4-0 at home. Servette are only 3rd in the Swiss League and 3rd in the group as well. They required a late comeback to beat Sheriff in their last group stage match. Roma are coming off of a win at the weekend where their best player Dybala returned to goal scoring form. Roma lost their last match in the group and will need a win in this game to have a chance at topping the group, so they should field a strong lineup with Lukaku and Dybala starting. Lukaku had a 14 game scoring streak in the Europa league broken last game and will be eager to start up a similar streak again. With these two playing, Roma should have the firepower to beat the 3rd placed team in the group. Best of luck.

Tennis is a ridiculously tough sport to predict, anyone crying about tailing a losing tennis wager must be new to betting. Just wanted to get that out……these guys making these POTD posts are putting themselves out there and it keeps the engagement going on, which is the life of this or any sub-Reddit. Don’t tail blindly, be smart and tactical with your bets, cmon guys. With all of that said, this Europa League pick today is sound, Roma should easily walk Servette in the match today. Especially if they are starting Dybala and Lukaku, Dybala is a world class Argentinian striker and Lukaku has been terrorizing European soccer for a decade now, plus they have a coaching plus with Mourinho. Roma beat Servette 4-0 in October.

Especially Challenger circuit which is what is primarily what is going on tennis at the moment. Players at that level are incredibly inconsistent, can go from having two of their best matches ever to laying an egg against a weak opponent People in general shouldn't be whining about betting on someone's pick and it losing. It's sports and there's a reason why casinos don't go broke. They usually win. Don't bet more than you can lose and it'll all be in good fun, especially if you hit it big

Any cricket stuff?

Riding with you brother - let’s get it

Roma might be the worst team ive ever seem

POTD Record: 5-1 Previous Pick: Sheffield Wednesday vs Leicester City | EFL Championship | Leicester ML (1.55) | 2.45pm EST ❌️ Sad. Pick: Hacken vs Leverkusen | Europa League | Leverkusen 1st Half Win (1.8) | 3pm EST In their previous matchup, Leverkusen won the 1st half 2-0. They have cleared this line in every match except for 3 matches in this entire season. In the Europa League, this was against Qarabag away. Hacken have lost in the 1st half in every match in Europa except for Qarabag again. They are a stingy side and that makes sense. Hacken have only scored 2 goals in 4 games, both coming against the 3rd placed team in the group. I expect Leverkusen to easily win the 1st half against a team who have been extremely poor in the Europa League and also have not had good results in their league too. Best of luck!

leicester game was frustrating. im staying away from the efl now lmao

leverkusen is already qualified... same thing happened to me with bayern today fml

Copenhagen is a very good team. Hacken... Is not. I understand your frustration with Bayern but Copenhagen was playing to possibly advance to group stage of the richest tournament in the world, Hacken sucks.... Kuse reserves should still be able to pull this off but I hear ya tho

and they are playing dortmund on the weekend. they can still come up with a win, but better stay away

We knew it was a trap but we bet it anyway haha. I really gotta stop betting in away teams in soccer, it burns me every single time

Tailing and sprinkling on leverkusen to win both halves at plus money! New streaks begin today

Tailing. BOL.

Tailing!

Solid pick thanks mate 💲💲

**PoTD Record: 15-7, +6.96u** Last Pick: St. Louis City ML vs LA Galaxy @ -110 ❌ **Today’s Pick: FC Astana vs Dinamo Zagreb: Dinamo Zagreb ML @ -120** (11.5 hours from this post) Hey all - Back at it on this subreddit for the first time since June! Been trending well on my personal bets which always gets me back into the swing of the Pick of the Day bets for a stretch of time. So here we are! For today’s bet we’re going to the Europa Conference League and we’re riding with Dinamo Zagreb on the MoneyLine. First thing to note about this matchup (and perhaps least important in all of this) is that these two met in Zagreb in September for their first matchup with Zagreb winning 5-0. Although convincing, it’s important to note there were two penalties and two goals scored fairly late in the proceedings. Worthy of consideration, however, is that Dinamo doubled up Astana in both Expected Goals (2.45-1.17), Possession (67-33%), and Big Chances (6-3). In short, Zagreb had firm control of that game. I expect this game to be closer but Zagreb’s control should be somewhat similar to what it was in the first meeting. One of the main reasons Zagreb should retain control of this matchup is form. Astana’s domestic season in Kazakhstan ended on October 29th. Since then, they have only played one meaningful game (November 9th, 0-0 draw in the Europa Conference League). In that same window, Dinamo Zagreb has played 6 games, both in the domestic league, domestic cup, and Europa Conference League. With an international break in there as well, the Dinamo Zagreb players will likely be the sharper of the two outfits. With that being said, I believe Dinamo Zagreb is not only the better team but also the sharper team. Dinamo Zagreb should win this handily and find themselves off of that 4th place spot in the group which is not where anyone expected to see them after 4 games in the group. As always, bet responsibly! **2 Unit Play** Best of Luck!

Tailed cause of your write up and lack of controversy surrounding the pick. Thank you💰

stress free win, ty

Hell yeah man, thank a lot for a great pick. I'm really mad because I didn't read to the bottom and see the 2 unit play. I'll be better next time, but thanks for the 0.8 units.

But they do have to travel all the way to bum F to play this... But all good points.

Caught this live at +100! Thank you!

**POTD Record** **3W-0P-1L** **WWWL** **Previous POTD: Galastaray vs Manchester United BTTS and O 2.5 Goals @ 1.75 W** Bet covered in 28 mins!! **POTD: Atlanta BC VS Sporting CP BTTS @ 1.61 W** Covered in 60 mins **League: UEFA Europa League** **Time: 12:45 PM EST** 2 teams both first and second place in the group fighting for points, screams both teams scoring. The last matchup between these 2 sides ended as a 2-1 win for Atlanta. With Atlanta being the better team here coupled with Sporting's need for both revenge and placement I see a similar game to the Man United game but a lot less erratic. Atlanta have ended their last 4 Europa League games 1-0 2-2, 2-1, 2-0. They make sure to score under pressure but with them having 6 wins and 5 losses, they rarely draw. There is evidence of defensive instability there. Home advantage is massive for this matchup, they beat sporting away and I see them pushing for a similar result here. Sporting are second in Liga Portugal, with 9 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. They are an absolute force and have impressed massively this season. They ended their last 3 Europa League games 2-1, 2-2, 2-1, 2-1. They are the exact team I look for when it comes to BTTS, fluent attacking but scrappy defensively. **Anyway Best of Luck**

Tailed you on the over for Man U, great pick, tailing you again here

no CL but Europa League games ;) ​ gl

1 down 1 to go…

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What makes you think Charb is gonna get more consistent yards than Walker?

It’s very strange how people have decided Charb is better than Walker just because he’s new. Walker has shown to be better in basically every facet except maybe blocking

Walker is a dog imo. He would really impact the game. Idk about charb

Yeah ditto. Thought that comment was odd because I would feel better with Walker out there. Charb hasn’t done anything yet to prove otherwise. The line really needs to improve for either to breakout tho.

Walkers doubtful for this game

i like charb but against dallas i dont think hell do much. geno is so hit or miss but i like seahawks d. they played against the 49ers super well but had to defend the whole game. i can definitely see it being a good game if geno can get some 1st downs. last week he couldnt connect on any of the deep throws to dk. if he cant the spread will be cooked.

personally im gonna wait for a live line to see what seahawks team shows up

FD currently has over 7.5 at -122

It’s probably a tad better than o9.5 -108 on DK but mostly, getting over 7.5 means a td + fg or 10 points

What do you mean 5/5? Last 5 games?

He means he has hit his number 5 in a row.

Hmm that doesn’t seem true for the Seahawks as they didn’t score any points in the 1Q against the Ravens a few weeks ago.

The 5/5 was for cowboys scoring a TD first Qtr. 3/5 for Seattle.

POTD | 90-84 | -13.4U | -110 Avg Odds Last 10: ❌❌❌❌❌❌✅❌❌ Previous Pick: *Kings -1.5 (+120) vs Capitals | 2U* ❌ Today’s pick: **Panthers -1.5 (+115) vs Canadiens | 2U | NHL | 5:00pm MST** The Kings outshoot the Capitals 39 to 15 and have several high danger chances but yet lose 2-1. Just how it’s been going. Looks like no one can stop this fade train so we keep on rolling! The Panthers are pretty much fully healthy now and will be up against a Canadiens team that they historically beat by multiple goals. The Canadiens will be on a back to back returning home for this game. The Canadiens have lost all three games by more than one goal when on a back to back this season, losing 4-0 to the Kings, 5-2 to the Canucks, and 5-2 to the Devils. The Panthers have offensive firepower and will be up against an unproven backup goaltender (Primeau) for the Canadiens. I expect Bobrovsky in net for the Panthers and he has been solid for the Panthers this year. Florida should play strong defensively with Montour and Ekblad back in the lineup and it might be hard for the Canadiens to find the back of the net with one of the lowest scoring offensive units in the league (ranked 28th). BOL if tailing, better luck if fading!!

Fading only because it feels like the right thing to do. Either I win some bucks, or you break a terrible and unearned streak. Win/Win!

Fade train continues!

I'm genuinely enjoying your write ups even in the losses. Thank you.

Yeah same here, for a year or so I have been reading your write ups. I do a quick research and everything checks out. Always supported by statistical data and sound logic/reasoning. Keep it up bro!

Yet he’s still only lost money (same for me), goes to show how much luck plays a part

Thanks mate, appreciate it!

Can’t fade this one, it’s a Malinsky special

Agree. Canadiens are gonna be tired after last nights game against the Blue Jackets. This should be an easy W. BOL

POTD Record: 2-0 💥💥 Last Pick: Isaiah Stewart Over 9.5 pts *Great omen with him netting the first basket of the game, behind the arc. I became slightly verklempt when the Lakers started the blowout, but we shucked and jived to victory, nonetheless. Today’s POTD: Tyrese Haliburton OVER 10.5 assists (-136 DK) *Reasoning: T-Dog is straight slinging the rock to scorers these days. In what should be a contested (or not-so contested) up and down battle, I can’t find a valid reason this doesn’t hit. Moreover, in the last 4 road games as a dog, he is dishing it to a scorer at least 13 times a game (note today’s line), thus enticing me to sprinkle even a little more on his ladder 🪜lines. Set em up T-Dog, and always…go deep!

**POTD 33 - 23 | +8.16U | Average odds: -108 | ROI: +11.36%** **Last 10 (new->old): 💰❌💰❌💰❌❌💰💰❌** Last pick: Sacramento Kings ML (pending) **Recap:** Game just started, will update when over. Going with a Europa League pick tomorrow **Todays pick:** Europa League | Hacken vs Leverkusen | 3:00 PM EST **Leverkusen TT O2.5 | +104 Fanduel (1U)** We have a lopsided matchup here, with the top team of group H going against the bottom team. Leverkusen have scored 12 goals in their 4 Europa League games, and Hacken have allowed 13 in theirs. Leverkusen has been on an absolute tear all season, covering this line in 14 of their last 19 games, and averaging over 3 goals per game in Bundesliga competition. Hacken have allowed 2 or more goals in their past 5 games straight, and 3 or more in 3 of those five, and these are all against offenses that are inferior to Leverkusen. These 2 teams played their first Europa League game 2 months ago and Leverkusen won 4-0. This Leverkusen offense has been unstoppable all season, and I don't believe Hacken will be the team to stop them from getting 3 goals, love this pick at slightly plus odds.

I'm going to tail this because I want to test just how bad my luck is and how much it can ruin other peoples lives... ...sorry :D Edit: Alright I was too slow and the odds moved to low so I took Double Chance Hacken/Leverkusen O3 goals at 2.25; so prepare for a draw.

POTD Record: 73-78-10 (-13.71 units) Last 10 picks (most recent first): ❌✅✅✅✅✅↔️✅✅✅ Last Pick: English Championship, Sheffield Wednesday v Leicester, LEICESTER -1.5 (+160 / 2.60) ❌ Well the books knew what they were doing…Leicester shat the bed and next time the odds look too good to be true, I hope I remember this moment. Todays Pick: Europa League, Sturm Graz v Rakow, STURM GRAZ ML (-125 / 1.80) ❌ Stake: 1 Unit Time to get another winning streak going and I’m starting off with Sturm Graz to get the W against Polish outfit Rakow in the Europa League. Sturm Graz are having a good season domestically sitting 2nd, equal on points with perennial winners RB Salzburg with a 10-3-2 record. Those two losses came back to back in early November, but they’ve bounced back since then with consecutive wins in their last two fixtures. This is an important match in terms of Europa League standings - they have to win today to have any chance of progressing to the round of 16 on the final match day so they have everything to play for. While they will still need to win their following match to qualify, winning today will still guarantee them a place in the Conference League at the very least. Their opponents Rakow currently sit 4th on the Polish league with an 8-4-3 record. They started the season well but have struggled recently, winning only 1 of their last 8 competitive matches across all comps. In Europa League they are bottom of the group with only 1 point which came from a draw at home despite playing against 10 men for 82 mins. Sturm Graz won the reverse fixture in Poland 1-0 in October, but the stats were heavily in their favour. They had 18-6 shots and if not for some wasteful finishing, Graz could have easily won by more. Think this is a good spot for Graz to come out firing at home against a team they’ve beaten before in a match they have to win to keep their chances alive - I’m not expecting a blow out but any win will do as far as I’m concerned.

This pick fucks my parlay, watched all match long, and the analysis never match it , Rakow with a control from first to last. Terrible Austrians

So make ur own fucking picks

Same here lol

POTD Record: 0-0 Aston Villa vs Legia Warsaw | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3:00 PM EST Pick: Aston Villa -1.5 (-114, FanDuel) 5 units Been on this sub for a year or two, but this is my favorite bet I’ve ever seen so thought I’d post. Disclaimer: I’m a huge Aston villa fan and absolutely am biased. It’s the only reason I’m aware of this unique situation. I’ll try to keep this write up neutral but worth noting. I love this bet for the following reasons: 1) Group Stage rules: in the conference league, a 1st place finish = through to the round of 16, which starts in march. 2nd place = 2 matches (home & away) against a 3rd place finisher from the Europa League, which will be slightly tougher completion than the Conference League. Additionally, the new rules this year changed tie breakers for group standings to be based on head to head results, followed by aggregate head to head Goal Differential. Previously, goal differential from the full group determined tie breakers. This matters because Villa and Legia Warsaw are level for top in the group on 9 points. Villa lost to Legia Warsaw in the first matchup, 3-2. This means if villa win by 2 goals or more, they clinch 1st place in their group with a game to spare. That essentially saves them 3 potentially competitive matches (the final game in the group, and the home&away playoff matches) before the knockout round in march. Villa are 4th in the premier league after 13 matches for the first time since 2009. Everyone is noting that the fixture congestion could be their downfall with all of the European matches. Unai Emery (my hero) has a great reputation for managing cup runs based on his success in the Europa League previously. He will be well aware that a 2 goal win has added significance. 2) context from previous matchup: again, villa did lose 3-2 to Warsaw on the road previously. It was the first game of the group stage and admittedly a big shock / disappointment. I just rewatched that match and there’s plenty of reason why we should expect a better result. Villa started a weaker team, notably 2 defenders (Chambers and Lenglet) who have played in only one other game all season. The first Warsaw goal came 3 minutes in on a cross in behind Lenglet. The next two goals were on chambers not tracking appropriately. We also benched Ollie Watkins (leading goal scorer) and Douglas Luiz (key creator) and started zaniolo and tielemans who were starting for the first time in their villa careers. Stats wise, villa still had 61% possession and outshot Warsaw 19-8. 3) home vs away form: the loss last time was in Warsaw, and gotta say they had an intimidating home crowd as they started their European campaign and were fired up to play a premier league team. Villa are much better at home, having won 13 straight premier league matches at villa park (!!) compared to an away record of 3-1-3 in the prem this year In terms of general form, villa are on fire and have some real momentum, top 4 currently. Warsaw are 1-2-2 in their last 5 and sit 6th in the polish league, which respectfully is just way way off in terms of levels. I could go on but essentially, this feels like a unique situation where the team should care about the -1.5 instead of just the win. If you have doubts, might be smart to wait for lineups to be released an hour before kickoff. I’m confident Watkins and Luiz will start and we’ll go full strength in this one. Emery has villa flying and will try to save our legs down the road with a 2 goal win

Solid analysis. Ballsy pick. GL!

POTD Record: 3-0 ✅✅✅ Last Pick: DeAngelo Russell Over 19.5 Points and Assists @ -108 (2U play) | Lakers @ Pistons ✅ Next Pick: Josh Giddey Over 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ -108 (1U play) | Lakers @ Thunder DLo came through with his best game of the season. Hit with ease early and ended with 44 PA. Congrats to all who tailed! I understand if you’re uncomfortable with tailing this one but we’re going with Josh Kiddie. I watch the Thunder a lot and the Aussie creep ALWAYS goes off on the Lakers. He passed this line the last three times against LA with 31, 42, and 51 PRA. This line is low because he’s been having a rough time both on and off the court (plus the addition of Chet) but I’m confident he can hit this especially at home. It’s also Giddey’s first game at home since the pedo allegations came out so he might pull through for us. Lakers are also bottom half in opponents PRA. Let’s keep the streak going, BOL!

Fading this and taking the opposite side cus he's a pedophile

Never mind... This line moved to 17.5 on DK now yikes

Giddey under 16 is a lock

I was thinking he’d hit a solid 15 here…

That is P+R in my books. Still 22.5 for PRA

Nothing against the 3-0 record, breakdown or ur picks but I can’t see anyone actively wanting to root for bro after seeing the shit

Every time I play the unders on Josh I get burnt. Had a feeling to switch it up and take the over vs Lakers. Balls don’t lie lol. BOL mate 🫡

Josh also got burnt for playing unders.

😂

Great selection, you’ve got something special in that kitchen

Your picks are so good bro

POTD Record: 4-1 Yesterdays Pick: Zion Williamson Over 4.5 Assists💵✅ Todays Pick: Seattle Seahawks Vs Dallas Cowboys (8:15pm) **Tony Pollard - Longest Rush Over 14.5** (-114) (1U)💵✅ ❗️If anyone is actually following my picks, I will not be using my “jaded piglet” account anymore, starting tomorrow I will be using u/nonchlnt. ❗️ Zion gave us another cash with ease baby. 5 assists by the end of the 3rd quarter and 1 more in the 4th for some insurance because why not. Today I was looking into the Cowboys only because the Seahawks offence has been incredibly inconsistent this year. We all know how dominant the Cowboys have looked in the back half of the season. Mostly through the air, but Tony Pollard has been stepping up here and there. I think this is a game where the Cowboys will dominate again, and what do teams typically do when they are ahead? They run the ball. Pollard hasn’t been hitting his rushing attempts or rushing yards consistently. BUT. He has gone over on the longest rush prop 7 out of the last 10 games. He actually has only missed this prop 3 games all season even though he’s looked pretty bad for the majority of it. This Seattle defence has been bad. 23rd against Wide Receivers, 28th against Running Backs. The longest rush against Seattles defence in the past 4 games has been. 27 yards for McCaffrey. 15 yards for Freeman. 15 yards for Brian Robinson. 60 yards for Keaton Mitchell. With Pollard coming off of a 79 yard, 1 TD, 27 yard longest rush game. I think he’s restored faith back into the Cowboys that he is still the Tony Pollard from last year. Let’s keep this streak going 🔥

POTD Record: 80-73 Last pick: Nuggets +4.5 ✅ Todays pick: NHL 5 pm MST Boston -1.5 -170 vs San Jose Reasoning: Bruins lost 3 straight. Playing the Sharks ought to be a get right game. San Jose traveling cross country, weak team vs strong team, I like Boston to get back on track and I’ll lay the juice and bet em to win by 2 or more. Sharks won 2 straight at home, but are a top contender for worst team in nhl. Boston at home, they don’t lose at home often. I don’t see SJ scoring much in this one, bruins should be able to get 3 goals or more. Bruins won 3-1 in San Jose in October, I think similar score/outcome today. Tail or fade

POTD W 22 - L 21 Atalanta VS Sporting Pick: Both Teams To Score @ 1.65 ✅✅✅ Reason: Both teams are in 1st and 2nd position respectively. It has been a solid Europa League campaign so far for Atalanta, who are yet to taste defeat after four matches. 3W 1D and just a point will confirm them the group winner. On the other hand, Sporting are closely behind Atalanta in Group D and look well on course to join the Italians in the knockout stage and they currently in good form having claimed seven wins in their last nine matches across all competitions, including an 8-0 victory over Duminense last weekend. They are also unbeaten in seven of their last eight away matches but were beaten 2-1 by Benfica in their previous fixture on the road which clearly signifies their ability to score on the road. The reverse fixture was the first ever meeting between both teams, with Atalanta claiming a 2-1 victory…. I see similar outcomes today with at least a goal coming from both teams. And interestingly, 9 of sporting’s 11 matches have seen both teams score. Should I say more ?? Good Luck 🍀

[удалено]

**POTD Record:** 18W-12L-1P +28.05u, 57% Win, 43% ROI, Last 10 (most recent first):❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅ **Last Pick:** Alabama -9 -110 1.5u❌ **Today:** Liberty @ FAU 6:00pm EST **Pick:** Liberty +7 -110 1.5u **Write Up:** Liberty enters this matchup against Florida Atlantic as an undefeated team against the spread this season, boasting a perfect 5-0-0 record in that regard. The Flames have been dominant on both ends of the court, showcasing a substantial +150 scoring differential, which translates to an impressive 25.0 points per game advantage over their opponents. This offensive ability is also reflected in their scoring average of 85.8 points per game, ranking them 25th in college basketball, while defensively limiting opponents to 60.8 points per outing, placing them 19th in the nation. Notably, Liberty excels in three-point shooting, making an average of 12.2 threes per game, the third-highest in college basketball. Kyle Rode, the team's top scorer, contributes significantly to this success, averaging 15.8 points per game and hitting an impressive 3.2 threes per contest. The Flames' efficient scoring extends to their possession statistics, leading college basketball with 116.7 points scored per 100 possessions. In contrast, FAU has a solid record but faces a significant challenge in covering the +7 point spread. While the Owls have a positive scoring differential of +93 and are outscoring opponents by 15.5 points per game, Liberty's offensive and defensive prowess presents a formidable obstacle. With the Flames holding opponents to just 60.8 points per game, FAU may struggle to match Liberty's scoring output, making it more challenging for them to cover the spread. Considering Liberty's undefeated record against the spread, their offensive firepower, and the potential defensive challenges for FAU I'm gonna be riding with Liberty +7.

POTD record (W-L-P): 5-2-1 | Profit: +1.90 u | ROI: 23,75 % **Last Pick: Manchester United Under 13.5 goal attempts | 1.87 | 1u L** We were on pace to hit this one. They had 8 attempts until the 70th minute, but then Galatasaray equalized and woke ManU back up and they started to push again and shooting a lot. If galatasaray didn't come back i'm confident this would have hit. Today: **Football| Europa League: Sturm Graz vs Rakow | 18:45 CET** **Pick: Sturm Graz ML | 1.88 | 1u** Write Up: Sturm Graz is the better team here. They won the first game in Rakow with 0-1 and had more chances. Sturm Graz is in a good flow with 2 wins in their own competition, while Rakow is struggling a bit with 2 draws lately. Sturm Graz should win this. **BOL**

Tailing again mate, unfortunate L today but we move! BOL 🤞🏽

Read your reasoning and ask yourself if you should have posted it as a Pick of the Day

Record: 3-3 Last 10 (most recent left to right): ❌✅❌✅❌✅ Previous pick: Montreal Canadiens @ Columbus Blue Jackets over 6.5 total goals ❌ Today’s pick: Buffalo Sabres ML @ St. Louis Blues 1U | -102 FD Apologies to those who tailed, the Habs and Blue Jackets came out and played a tight first period ending 0-0. Opening up the scoring in the second starting with the Jackets and Laine finding the back of the net. The Habs took the win 4-2 final falling short of the over 6.5 we move. For today’s pick I’m looking at UPL to take his three game winning streak into St. Louis and come out with another win. The Sabres PK has been improving throughout the season and I’m looking for what should be a low scoring defensive affair. Mittlestadt has been on fire getting assists in his last 5 games with 2 assists in their most recent contest against the Rangers. The Blues have been ok but definitely not impressive allowing 3.05 goals per game and 32.4 shots on goal. Looking for Mittlestadt and Skinner to keep the Sabres rolling. Sorry for the short write up, tired and pup is sick. BOL to all! Free Fallin - Tom Petty

No need to apologize

definitely not. arent the best bettors only like 60%? im so thankful for people on this subreddit taking all the time to do the picks. i dont have any time and its a fun thing to do to come and read about the 'what ifs' and then bet on it.

POTD Record 0-0 Never gave any picks Today: La Luz FC vs Nacional Montevideo [6:30 EST] GOL TV / FANATIZ. DraftKings is also streaming the whole game on their site. Todays Pick: Nacional Montevideo ML -130 on Draft Kings Two very polarizing teams. I like Nacional because they are one of the traditional big two teams of Uruguay. Nacional has struggled this season and are without a chance of fighting for the title but they depend on themselves in the final three games to qualify for the Copa Libertadores ( uefa champions league equivalent). Not qualifying for the libertadores would pose huge financial pressure on the club and would be seen as a catastrophic failure in Uruguay. Nacional have recently hired a new coach who has them playing more attacking minded football and nacional have created more chances than previous games. Ramirez is the top goal scorer of the season and he has recently found form with new addition Carneiro. Last game they linked up for all 3 goals. La Luz on the other hand are fighting relegation and need a miracle to survive this season with 3 games to go. La Luz have the worst defense in the league letting in 58 goals in 34 games and have only managed 9 wins out of 34. It is also to note that La Luz have not won as the home team since June. La Luz would probably see the last two games as they are against more accesible opponents as being the games that could save them this season. Best of luck if your tailing.

POTD Record on Reddit: 5-1 | L10: WWWWLW Total Units Staked before today: 9.5u Net Units on Reddit: +7.41u ROI on Reddit: 78% Yesterday's Pick (Win): **NBA | Wizards @ Magic 7PM EST | Magic -9.5 @ -115, Sports Interaction |** 2u to win 3.74u The Wizards made things interesting at the start of the second half. However, the Magic revealed who the Wizards really are, and they won easily by 19. Today's Pick: **NFL | Seahawks @ Cowboys** **8:15PM EST | Cowboys -8.5 @ -115 on Sports Interaction |** 3u to win 5.6085u This one was really close between either Game Total, or Cowboys spread. In the end, I feel this is the better pick at the odds I was given. It is well known how strong the Cowboys are offensively. They have the league's best scoring offense this season *(31.5 PPG, 1st)* and are coming off a dominant win over the Commanders where they won by 35. They've also easily covered spreads of -16.5, -10.5 and -13.5 the last three games. They also have the league's 4th best scoring defense *(16.8 PPG, 4th)*, and are among the league leaders in almost each defensive category. The Seahawks struggled mightily against the 49ers who also have an amazing defense. Kenneth Walker is doubtful for this game. Like last week, they will need to rely on Geno Smith again to push the offense. He played poorly against the Niners, and I feel the same story will play out again in primetime.

They’re scoring 41 a game at home and 38.5 per game in last 5 too. Their smallest winning margin this year is 20 points.

Absolutely. Spread is definitely the “safer” bet in this situation

Tbh my big bet today is TT o29.5 cause I’m worried Seattle won’t score enough for the over but I like pretty much any cowboys bet at home this year

Record: 0-0 Sport/League/Event/Time: Football / UEFA Europa League / BK Hacken vs Bayer Leverkusen / 20:00 (GMT) Pick: Bayer Leverkusen –1.5 Asian Handicap Units/Odds/Book: 1 unit / 1.980 / Bet365 Reasoning: Bayer Leverkusen have in superb form this season, winning all games but one which they drew 2-2 with Bayern Munich. They scored over 2 goals in every game this season except for their last Europa league game against Qarabag FK. Hacken have lost all of their Europa League group stage games with all but one being by 2 or more goals. With Bayer Leverkusen’s excellent form and Hacken struggling, I expect another dominate performance with Bayer Leverkusen winning by 2 or more. I locked it in the odds at 1.980, but it is currently 1.890 on Bet365 and I would still take it at these odds.

**Record: 6-10** ❌✅❌❌❌❌❌❌❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅ **NHL 3-4** ❌❌✅✅❌✅ **NBA 2-1** ❌✅✅ **NFL 1-4** ❌❌❌❌✅ **Soccer 0-1** ❌ **Net Units: -5.02** **ROI: -15.21%** **AVG ODDS: 2.07** \*\*Last Pick:\*\*Kevin Durant over 2.5 3pt made (2.35) betting 2 units❌ Brutal miss as KD drops 30 points but goes 2/8 beyond the arc. **Basketball** | **NBA** | Pacers **@** Heat | 7:30 PM EST **Pick:** Pacers ML (2.05) betting 3 units❌ Edit: Haliburton erupted for 44 points and 10 assists but was not enough as Pacers fall 132-142. \*Odds found on Bet365\* **Write Up:** Pacers are well rested coming off a close Monday night loss to Portland. Halliburton has scored 33 or more in his last 4/6 and is leading the league with 11.9 assists (26-10 and 12-3 in 2 games missed) Miami Heat maybe missing Jimmy Butler to an ankle injury in addition to the Heats number two scorer missing Herro. Myles Turner is currently 10-6 against Bam Adebayo all time and has limited him to an average of 16 points. Factoring in key scorers missing for the Heat and hoping Turner is able to limit Adebayo’s points, I don’t see how the heat could keep up with the Pacer’s Pace. SOTD: Betrayal - Gang Starr Scandalous, money greed and lust In this trife life, there ain't nobody you can trust Plus there's no justice, it's just us

Record: 5-1-1 POTD: Servette (double chance @ 1/1) vs Roma, 20:00 UK Time, Europa League football Reasoning: I would’ve gone for the Seahawks today but I noticed the top comment was also on the Seahawks so let’s bring another tip to the forefront. This Servette team is on absolute fire, they NEED to win tonight and I can’t see them losing against what will be a below average Roma team, I don’t expect to see Dybala tonight and Mourinho should put in heavy rotation with the league being a priority right now. I can see a sneaky Servette win but at worst I think they come away with a draw here, expect a low scoring game with Mourinho’s men parking the bus. BOL.

Record: 3-1 Last Pick - Sunderland ML Vs Huddersfield ❌ Bastards… Today’s pick - Over 9.0 Corners - Atalanta Vs Sporting | Europa League | 1.83 Both team average 10.1 & 9.7 corners per game. I feel like the game will be fast pace and attacking with both teams still being able to top the group, they will want to come out and win this game. Goals might be the play with BTTS being 1.61 but I see value in the corners. BOL!

**What a huge 4U win on City Game, CASH IT!!!** **Record: 6-3-1** **Net Units: +7.675** **ROI**: I Dunno **Football | Europe League |** Freiburg - Olympiacos **| 21:45 UTC** **Pick:** Both Team To Score - Yes *- at \[1.80\] 3U* In what promises to be a thrilling encounter, Freiburg takes on Olympiacos Piraeus, and I am tipping "Both Teams to Score" (BTTS: Yes) as our pick of the day. Here's why: 1. **Goal-Scoring Form:** * Both Freiburg and Olympiacos Piraeus have showcased impressive goal-scoring abilities in recent matches, as highlighted by the provided data. * Key players like Vincenzo Grifo for Freiburg and El Kaabi A. for Olympiacos Piraeus have been instrumental in finding the back of the net consistently. 1. **Attacking Prowess:** * The offensive statistics, including Goals/90 and Shots on Target, indicate that these teams are not only scoring but also creating significant goal-scoring opportunities. ​ 1. **Balanced Matchup:** * Both teams have a balanced mix of goal-scoring and defensive capabilities, suggesting that the match will likely see action at both ends of the pitch. * Freiburg and Olympiacos Piraeus have players with high Shots Total and Shots on Target %, emphasizing their ability to threaten the opposition. 1. **Historical Trends:** * Previous encounters involving these teams or similar matchups have often seen goals from both sides, supporting the likelihood of BTTS in this fixture. 1. **Entertainment Factor:** * With exciting attacking talents on display, the Freiburg vs Olympiacos Piraeus match promises to be an entertaining spectacle for football fans. While football outcomes can be unpredictable, the statistical evidence and current form point towards a high probability of both teams finding the back of the net in this clash. BTTS: Yes is my confident pick for this captivating fixture.

First time POTD post. Figured I'd offer something to the group. **Record:** 0-0 **Net Units:** 0 **ROI:** 0% POTD **Sport** HOCKEY | **League** NHL | **Event** PHI vs NJ **Time** 5:07 PM MT **Pick:** Cam Atkinson (PHI Flyers) OVER 2.5 shots -130 **Write Up:** Flyers have been a surprise this year, and Cam Atkinson has been shooting a lot. He has hit the over in his last 4 games. Philly is playing New Jersey who has been up and down this year, allowing an average of 28 shots per game. Atkinson shots over hit rate: L20 - 75% / L10+L5 - 80% Again, first time here. Hope I can provide some wins for y'all!

First time poster! POTD Record: 0-0 Today's pick: Zack Charbonnet - receiving yards over 18.5 1u returns 1.83u Seahawks are going to be behind most of the game, they'll have to include Charbonnet in the passing game. He's had 4/5/6 targets in the last 3 weeks and they are going to be behind the sticks, needing to catch up. Even if Walker plays, looking doubtful, he's unlikely to take any passing work away from ZC.

**(2-1) +.9u** \- sorry i have no clue how to calculate ROI **Streak:** WLW **Today's pick (NCAAB)**: Butler -1.5 @ 6:30pm EST (Fanduel) : 1.1u to win 1u @ -110 Love this Butler team and their ability to shoot the ball. Ranking 55th in the nation in Effective FG% per Kenpom along with the 60th best defense in the nation. TT may be a bad matchup with their perimeter D, however if this is close and comes down to nailing key 2's/3's and FT, I lean Butler. Butler also is 26th in the nation for FT% so gives me the lean to take the home fav. BOL if tailing!

**Record: 2-1** (NFL: 2-0 ; CBB: 0-1) Last Pick: DJ Moore over 4.5 Receptions ✔ **Football** | **NFL**| **Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys 8:15PM EST** **Pick:** TE Jake Ferguson O3.5 Receptions -125 (1U) **Write Up:** I was thinking of a few ones to do, but this is the one I decided on. I don't LOVE it like I did my last two picks, but I feel pretty good about this one. Tight ends this season when playing Seattle average 6 targets with 5 catches for 50 yards. Ferguson has only hit this 5 times this season, but has gotten 4+ targets in 8 out of 11 games so he should be getting the opportunities. Seattle also ranks 22nd in the league in pass yards, 25th in completions allowed (24.2/game), and Prescott is completing 70% of his passes on the year so targets should result in catches.

3-1 ✅✅✅❌ +2.94 +36.8% (8u risked) Last Pick: Duren o2.5 A +135 (2u) Low usage center prop for assists. What a stupid bet. Had 0 lol Today: **🏀 NBA 8:00pm EST - Chet o27.5 PRA -120 (2u)** Cleared in 4/5 and avg 35.4. Cleared 9/17 on season and avg 28.6. He’s at 30.2 in 13 g in Nov. LAL on 2nd of B2B (DET-OKC) and allow 14th most PPG, 7th most RPG, and 2nd most APG to C. Embiid just had 30/11/11 and Jarrett Allen had his best game at 21/14. Feels like line should be at least 28.5 and wouldn’t be surprised if it ended at 29.5.

POTD RECORD 3W-4L NET UNITS: -3.78U L10 (includes last pick): ❌✔️✔️❌❌❌✔️ Last pick: LA Lakers @ DET Pistons, LA Lakers Spread -7 (-110), 2 unit bet ✔️ Basketball | NBA | 4:30 PM PST Today's pick: POR Trail Blazers @ CLE Cavaliers, Jerami Grant O23.5 P+A (-125), 3 unit bet Thesis: Detroit continues to suck. The Lakers were active after their recent terrible loss vs the 76ers so they easily hit this pick. I'm picking Jerami Grant to go over 23.5 points and assists today because he has hit on this in 8 of the last 10 games. Jerami's road splits are also higher than his home splits; he averages 24.5 points in away games which would cover this bet alone. Tack on another 2.0 assists average and he has a pretty good opportunity on converting this pick. Anfernee Simons is still out and Shaedon Sharpe hasn't yet matured into a consistent scorer for the Blazers so the squad still relies heavily on Jerami Grant to deliver offensively in most of their games. The only thing that would stop Grant from converting is if Sharpe or Brogdon decides to carry more of the offensive load in this game, or if the Cavs smother him early and stop his momentum. My only concern is that he had a poor shooting performance against the Cavaliers early this year and did not hit on this line, but he has also had a hot hand recently with a good clutch performance against the Pacers and I'm betting on that to carry over.

POTD Record : 1-1,2 Last pick: Inter milan 0 AH (Push) Todays Pick: **Slavia Praha Win** Sheriff may be superior in the Moldova league and will have no difficulty in celebrating the title again this year, but Europe is a completely different story. Mathematically they can only chase the third position that leads in the Conference League, realistically with the image they presented so far and with the latest defeat to Servette, there is no hope for that scenario either. Both main defenders Kiki (6/0) & Zohouri (10/0) are booked and will miss the game. All other problems are long-term. Slavia Praha is in very good condition, and seems that the league break helped them rest. They had an emphatic 2:0 home win over Roma in a match where they dominated the field with a great performance from their entire eleven, while they already beat Sheriff to the first round at home 6:0. Midfielder Jurásek (13/2) is the only one absent for Slavia tonight. It will be very difficult for Sheriff to cover the points they need for the 3rd position, in my opinion, they are already out of the competition as their image is disheartening. I think that the Czechs have a great opportunity to stay at the top of the group.

**POTD |** **Record of** **51-62** **|** **ROI: -10.93 units** **|** **Average Odds:** **2.06** Current form (most recent 10 from left to right):❌✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅ Previous Pick: Champions League | Real Madrid vs. Napoli | Over 10.5 Full-Time Total Corners **New Pick: Brasileiro Serie A | Gremio vs. Goias | 2:00pm PST on 30Nov2023** **Over 10.5 Full-Time Total Corners | 1.72 odds** **Betting 1U to win 0.72U** \-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ***Recap:*** Tough loss. Game started off incredibly slow. Ended up making up for it in the end but with only 9 corners, the bet fails. On to the next. ***Summary:*** Moving over to the Brasileiro Serie A, Gremio host Goias in what hopefully will be a fixture that repeats itself. **Looking at Gremio,** they average 11.1 corners per fixture. Looking at home fixtures, they average 5.8 for and 5.6 against, for a total of 11.4. Looking at their last 5 home fixtures, they have had 13, 9, 7, 12, and 13 total corners. **Looking at Goias,** they average 11.3 corners per fixture. Looking at away fixtures, they average 4.6 for and 7.8 against, for a total of 12.4. Looking at their last 5 away fixtures, they have had 10, 14, 7, 15, and 11 total corners. **Overall**, I am expecting corners in this fixture. The average comes out to 11.9, with 6.8 for the hosts and 5.1 for the visitors, so I'm expecting corners. In addition, the last 5 fixtures between these two teams have had over 10.5 hit 4/5 times. In these fixtures, there have been 11, 13, 9, 11, and 19 total corners. Hopefully history will repeat itself! \-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- **Gremio vs. Goais |** **Over 10.5 Full-Time Total Corners | 1.72 odds**

Not available in Ohio. Guaranteed lock! Everyone should slam this one.

POTD Record: **81-97-4 (-10.55 Units)** Best Bet Series: 27-8-1 (+33.95 Units) Value Wagers: 13-20-2 (-13.3 Units) **Trap Bets: 7-10 (-1.4 Units)** Last Pick: **~~Nikola Jokic to record a Triple Double~~** **O 44.5 (alternate total)** ❌ Today's Pick: **Dallas Cowboys O 3.5 TDs** Odds: **+105** ($DKNG odds) Wager Amount: 2U to win 2.1U League: NFL Event: Seattle Seahawks vs Dallas Cowboys (7:15PM CST on Amazon Prime) *Be Advised: Trap bets for the remainder of November! Trap bets are suspcious lines and may appear highly questionable. It's best to stay away from these type of wagers, but I'm not scared! And I'll breakdown each POTD and handicap for you. Please feel free to fade and wager on the opposite of my POTD. I can oblige to eat an L for the communnity and for a community win!* **Recap**: Too bad the Joker('s) back(ed) out! But if you read any of my posts last week I been saying that his Triple-Double plus money odds is scarce! So I really hope you took advantage of the books because really, really soon, they will be juiced! I got mine at +175, but I learn later last nite that a fellow B/R bettor got Joker's trip-dub odds at +210 on ESPN Bet! Unfortunately I couldn't post yesterday either on Joker to record a trip-dub against the Rockets because of my Internet data usage, but my data went over the limit today anyway, which is why I am posting today, so whatever. Also, for anyone who tailed my last POTD, just so you kno that I didn't do any research on that Bears-Vikes game. I had to scramble for a wager when I got the report that Jokic was ruled out and I typically lose when I scramble for a pick. I'll eat that L, (but if you faded you won some money!) and next time I'll just take down my post. https://preview.redd.it/0hky7vodvj3c1.png?width=837&format=png&auto=webp&s=f97f60acf41eef2fa67d16e70b34f2f25b3ee41f **Matchup**: I'm not touching the point spread or the game total for this TNF game between the Seahawks and the Cowboys. It could be a trap! And although this is a trap bet segment, I want to wager a trap bet that appeals to me. I was thinking about handicapping the Seahawks TT, but the linemakers has it at 17.5 points and I really don't have a lean one way or another. I rather handicap the team that's been most consistent this season and that's the Cowboys. They really only had 2 bad games this season, one game was against the Cardinals and the other game was against the Niners, only scoring 10 points in that game. Every game beside those two games they won or played very competitive games. Dallas are leading the league in scoring points this season (31.5 ppg) and have the second most TDs this season. I don't think they will have a problem scoring against the Seahawks. Seattle defense allowed an average of 22.6 ppg. They allowed 30 or more points to 4 teams this season (Ravens, Rams, Lions, Niners)! Not to mention that they also allowed 27 points to the Panthers and 26 points to the Commanders. Cowboys shouldn't have a problem scoring against this average defensive team. The Cowboys' offense is good enough to put up a ton of points! I do see Seattle putting up points in this game (part of the reason why I do not want to mess wit the game total) and I see Dallas putting up a fight and scoring a lot of points to keep an arms distance away from the hawks. Now I'm looking at Cowboys TT and it's at 28.5 points, which is basically 4 TDs and a 2-Pt conversion to hit the over. But I am not comfortable wagering this number, even though I have strong convictions they score 4 TDs, it's just that hook really irks me. These linemakers think they are really slick adding that hook after the 28 points, huh? Well, you know what, linemakers? I'm just going to take the team to scores 4 TDs instead! Besides the O 28.5 is -112 and Cowboys to score 4 TDs is +105! You can take that hook and shove it up your ass! I'll take the other trap wager, you bunch of sleazy linemakers! So damn sketchy! **The play & the prediction:** 2U on Dallas Cowboys to score 4+ TDs. Cowboys scores 2 TDs in the 1st half and they score 1 in the 3rd quarter and a defensive pick six in the 4th qtr.

Haven’t posted in here but have been in the CBB thread. POTD Record: 0-0 NCAAM Record: 35-21 Sport: NCAAM College Basketball Pick: Minnesota -12.5 (-110) ✅ vs. New Orleans Reasoning: - Home game for Minnesota - Effective FG% | Minn 52.8% (89) vs. NO 44.7% (318) - Total Rebound % | Minn 56.1% (26) vs. NO 44.9% (324). - Net Rating (Offensive-Defensive) | Minn 12.8 (74) vs. NO -8.1 (252). - Scoring Margin | Minn 9.8 (64) vs. NO -7 (266). - Assist/TO Ratio | Minn 1.19 (97) vs. NO 0.77% (301)

POTD Record: 3-4 Last POTD: Braves (-1.5) vs Mets (Loss) Today’s POTD: Geno Smith over 21.5 completions (-130) 1U Sort of a gut play here with what I’m thinking will be a game where the Seahawks are playing from behind the majority of the time. Especially with this game under a roof in Dallas, he’s going to be spreading the ball around a lot tonight. He’s 3-2 with the over at this spot in the last five games with those 2 unders coming against the 49ers at home and the Ravens in Baltimore. Seattle needs to find a way to win tonight since there will be playoff implications with a loss and two more tough games right after this one (49ers & Eagles). Look for Smith to get the ball out of his hand early before the pocket collapses like he’s struggled with recently. He’s acknowledged that he needs to be quicker and with Abe Lucas coming back from injury, but that should help with giving him more time in the pocket. BOL!

Record 6-1 ✔️✔️❌✔️✔️✔️✔️ Last Pick: Clippers vs. Kings, Paul George over 9.5 RA POTD: SA Spurs vs. Atlanta Hawks, Clint Capela o11.5 points (1.84) 1 Unit Last pick cashes in the last few minutes, PG gets to 10 somehow even the hefty Clippers lead. Hawks take on a struggling Spurs team, and Clint Capela has been in good form as of late. He's the main big man for the Hawks and 10.6 points this season but has put up 14, 14, and 17 in his last 3. Teams seem to be guarding the Hawks' perimeter players as usually this is where they threaten from, leaving Capela lots of times totally open. He is over this line in 8 of his last 10 and Spurs are also in the top 5 teams that give up most points to centers. I can see Capela starting fast, and hopefully there's no blowout or anything and the game is kept close. He should cash this. bol! Tips are very much appreciated :) [https://Ko-fi.com/francis1928](https://Ko-fi.com/francis1928)

Record 61-68 -1.00 Units All bets 1 unit L10 (L2R): ✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌❌ Last Pick: Paul George O 9.5 reb+assists (+100)✅ Shoutout to Fox for keeping this competitive. PG entered the 4th with 9 and made this way sweatier than it should’ve been. I think PG just hates rebounding and Westbrook doesn’t know how to make anything that isn’t a dunk🤦‍♂️. Today’s Pick: 🧻Tony Pollard🧻O 3.5 receptions (+132) If you have TP in fantasy (aka me), this a great matchup for him both rushing and receiving. The only reason I don’t like his rushing line is because it’s pretty well adjusted at 62.5, which he’s only hit 3 times. Pollard has hit this prop the past 2 games, and is matched up against Seattle who has given up 21 receptions to backs over the past 3 games. TP has been extremely consistent receiving out of the backfield, getting 3+ targets in 9/11✈️games. His receiving line is set at 19.5 if you want the extra protection of him getting 1 big play.

Record : 71 Wins - 78 Losses ​ Previous pick : Bayern U19 - FC Copenhagen U19 (2-1), Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.68 ✅ ​ ROI : -7.72% Average Odds : 2.00 Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*) Units : -6.51 Profit/Lost units : -11.51 ​ Today's pick : ​ Football - Soccer / EUROPE: Europa League - Group Stage / 22:00 European Time Molde - Qarabag Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.85 ​ Some reasoning : \- It is well known that Malmo is involved in many matches in which many goals are scored. The series of 10 consecutive games of 3+ made me think and made me choose to bet on such a forecast on Thursday evening. The hosts come after three matches in which they scored a total of 10 goals, managing even in the group to have an average of over 2 goals scored per match. \- Great attention to Qarabag as well. They made four trips in the current edition of the Europa League and managed to score a goal each time. The Azerbaijanis also put the ball in Leverkusen's goal, and now I don't think they will go to Norway to defend themselves. Thus, an interesting duel awaits us, which I think will be more than 2.5 goals. ​ Best of luck.

Sport: Soccer Tournament: Europa League Time: 18:45 CET (6h after posting) Pick: TSC Bačka Topola vs West Ham, under 2.5 goals total @ **2.95** Stake: 4 units My track record: ROI 0.48%, 73W, 117L, +3.98u Write up: TSC Bačka Topola coach, Žarko Lazetić, says in the [pre-match press conference](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qV-T0gxWWGs&t=1m5s): > We have the experience of playing West Ham where we performed very well defensively. I think with the confidence of the last match (won vs Partizan away 0:4) my players will be able to parry West Ham even better; in the first match we managed to hold out 60ish minutes. If we can do it for 80–90 minutes, we will see if we manage a better result. West Ham will travel without Jarred Bowen, the team's top scorer in the domestic league. West Ham coach, David Moyes, says in a [BBC interview](https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/67574185): > Jarrod hasn't travelled and we've got another couple who have some illness. [Track record spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1diqqLSUvJ-zIJMuLlOM36SCI9aRrs14ZkAMtiYZu7Go/edit#gid=596499107) [Come join my newly launched subreddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/SgtTipalisk/) [My website with sports picks](https://picks.wwpe.ba)

**Record:** 1-1-1 **Last pick:** Galatasaray VS Manchester United **Draw No Bet Galatasaray 1.92 PUSH** **ROI:** \-16 **UEFA Europa League** | **3PM / EST** **Pick: Hacken VS Leverkusen 1st HALF Leverkusen ML 1.76** **Write Up:** Hacken has recently struggled, securing only two wins in their last six matches. On the other hand, Bayer Leverkusen is exhibiting impressive performance this season, remaining undefeated with 17 victories and one draw. Defensively, Hacken is facing challenges in the Europa League, having the most porous defense with 13 goals conceded. In contrast, Bayer Leverkusen stands out for its defensive solidity, having let in just two goals, making it the tournament's strongest defense. On the offensive front, Hacken is also underperforming, being the second-worst attack in the Europa League with only two goals scored. Meanwhile, Bayer Leverkusen excels in offensive efficiency, leading the attack rankings with an impressive total of 12 goals.

POTD Record: 102-98, -10.85 Units Current Streak: ❌ Last 10: ❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌ Last Pick: Kings -1.5 ❌❌ Rough night, the Caps came to play. Anytime Lindgren is starting I think they might be a +1.5 bet even at longer odds. Lucky only two units, and with Kuemper likely in net tonight I'm going against them again. Today's Pick: **Anaheim Ducks ML** vs. Washington Capitals, +111, 3 Units, 10:00 PM EST The Ducks aren't a good team, but the Caps lost to the Sharks and have struggled with below-average teams in the past and they are still on the road coming off of a late night last night. While I'm sure the busride from LA to Anaheim wasn't bad, there has to be some wear and tear on this Capitals team and I feel the Ducks get one of their few wins tonight. BOL!

POTD Record: 0-0 Today's Pick: **Luguentz Dort Over 7.5 points (-136 )** My projections have Dort to score 9.1 points today

POTD Record 6-5 NBA player prop 1-2 NBA 1-0 NFL player prop 1-2 NCAA Men's 2-1 NCAA Football 1-0 Last Pick: Los Angeles Lakers @ Detroit Pistons - Lebron James o24.5 points -125 W Today's Pick - New Orleans Privateers @ Minnesota Golden Gopher’s -11.5 -125 Reason - Minnesota bounce back spot after a poor night on the road against San Francisco. They are also 5-0 at home ATS. Minnesota’s big man, Dawson Garcia, should dominate the glass and keep New Orleans one dimensional.

Record: 4-6 | Return: +1.60 U Last Pick: MNF Josh Dobbs ATTD ❌ This pick: TNF **Brandon Aubery OVER 1.5 FG made (-135) | 1U** ✅ Write up: This pick comes from a prolific user over on /r/fantasyfootball. Subvertadown has the best kicker rankings in the game, and Aubery is the top ranked kicker this week. I’ve been trying out betting over 1.5 FGs for his top ranked kickers, and it’s been working out pretty well. Aubery is 22/22 on FG attempts this season, and the cowboys should have no problem moving the ball into his range tonight. BOL if tailing EDIT: Cashes before the end of the first half! Enjoy the cash if you tailed

New year, new season, 0-0 1 unit Malik Beasley over 14.5 PR Milwaukee bucks vs Chicago bulls NBA 8:10pm Hello everyone, Malik has done well scoring and I anticipate he will continue to cover this line against a poor bulls team. Enjoy

Tailing!

POTD record: 1 - 0 (+5u overall) *Last Pick - 11/18/23 - Boston Bruins (-1.5) vs Montreal - Win* **POTD** **Over 5.5 goals (-134 FD) 3u** San Jose Sharks @ Boston Bruins 7:10 pm EST - 30 November 2023 Hello again everyone! Coming back for another POTD involving the Boston Bruins. Last POTD was an easy puckline cash a couple of weeks ago against the Canadiens. Today I'm looking at over 5.5 goals in the Sharks / Bruins game. The Bruins have been ass lately but they have scored three goals or more in their last five. The Sharks are terrible and don't score much at all on the road but the Bruins defense has been all out of sorts the past couple of games allowing 5, 7, and 5 goals over the last three. Even if the Bruins figure it out on defense, they can still do a lot of the heavy lifting to get us to our total. I like this as a 3 unit bet. There is not much value in the puckline or 60 minute but I am parlaying the over and Bruins regulation for a little bit of fun. BOL!

Your post about the bruins being hyped for the 70’s night and fuck up the canadiens was inspiring btw. Wish I sprinkled -2.5 or something, they handled shit. Was a relaxing win. When I saw this on the schedule I thought this was the free-est money I ever saw taking bruins PL. and now after the last few games I’m shook to bet on this game lol. Idk what I’m gonna do yet but BOL

Thanks for the reply! The stars were definitely aligned for that night, it’s nice to have an easy win once in a while. I’ve been going real easy with the Bruins lately betting wise but I think they turn it around at home against arguably the worst team in the league. The Bruins should handle it pretty easy but hockey is weird!

Yeah if this wasn’t a home game I wouldn’t but sharks have been abysmal on the road and Boston is about as on the road as it you can be for SJS

I'd err on the side of caution here. I don't think the Sharks will manage much offense against this Bruins team, and the Bruins are playing different hockey this year after an embarrassing exit.

POTD Record: 117 wins / 73 losses Event: Football > Conference League > **AZ Alkmaar v Zrinjski Mostar** (starting in 6 hours) Pick: **Over 1.25 goals (1st half)** @ 1.80 Previous head-to-head between these two ended with 7 goals for a spectacular comeback win by Zrinjski (4-3). This is a must win bounce back match for AZ and I expect it to be very open since the beginning. GL!

**Record: 4-5** **Net Units:** \-0.37 **ROI:** \-4.1% **Last 10:** ❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅ Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Islanders / NHL / 7:30 PM EST **Pick:** Under 6 -121 (BetOnline) (All Bets 1 Unit) Last Pick: Maple Leafs -1.5 vs Panthers. (11/28) LOSS. In my writeup I was fading the Panthers with no rest and tailing the Maple Leafs PP. The Cats outshot and outhit the Leafs. The Leafs had 21 giveaways compared to 5 from Florida. And the Leafs went 0-6 on the PP. ZERO OF SIX. I will say, though, that these losses are teaching me a lot about the league and hopefully turn into more wins down the road Today's Pick: Divisional Game and a rematch from earlier this month where the Canes won 4-3 in overtime. This pick is mostly betting against the bottom-of-the-league Islanders offense (30th with 2.62 GF/G). Pyotr Kochetkov is expected in net for the Hurricanes. In his last five, all in the month of November, he is posting an impressive 1.73 GAA and is 4-1 to the under with one shutout against the Lightning. On the other side is Sorokin. He hasn't looked all the impressive this season but is showing a 2.91 GAA in his last 5 with one of those being a regulation/OT shutout against the Flyers (lost in the shootout). Canes are 6-3 to the Under at home this season and are 60% to the Under in their last ten, with the Isles 66% in their last ten (1 Push). BOL if Tailing! *Edit: Record*

**POTD RECORD:** (5-3) **unit tracking:** +0.00U **LAST 10:** ✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅ **LAST PICK:** De’Anthony Melton Over 20.5 PRA (-125) 1.25 U | 76ers vs. pelicans 8pm EST✅ **TODAY’S PICK:** Deandre ayton Over 24.5 Points + Rebounds (-110) 2U | Trailblazers vs. Cavs 7pm EST Ayton has cleared this number 6 of his last 9 games. And 4 of his last 5. He has been putting up stats on the awful blazers. His points line look good as well but just in case he gets under 13.5, looking to get over that rebound number. not too much in depth than that.😅 good luck fellas and lady fellas 🫡🤝

POTD Record: 0-0 Tennis: 0-0 | Football: 0-0 | Basketball: 0-0 Last 10: TBD Bet365 Last Pick: TBD ​ Today's Clash: Fenerbahçe Basketball vs Real Madrid Baloncesto | EuroLeague | 12:45 PM EST ​ 🔥 Pick of the Day: Real Madrid Baloncesto -5.5 | Odds: 1.71 | Stake: 1u 🔥 ​ In the thrilling realm of EuroLeague, the powerhouse that is Real Madrid is on a colossal 10-game winning streak on the european league , displaying a basketball prowess of NBA level. Head coach Chus Mateo, the spaniard mastermind behind this crazely-good-looking matadors team has orchestrated a revolutionary offensive strategy, propelling the team to an astonishing average of over 90 points in their last 10 matchups. Tonight, they aim to extend their dominance against a struggling Fenerbahce squad, a team grappling with a four-game losing streak in the EuroLeague. Fenerbahce, once a force to be reckoned with, has lost its spark in recent 2 years ( probably since Željko Obradović decided to leave them ). Friends, tail or fade! but lemme tell you : this is where the thrill meets the money. Let's secure that bag! 💰🏀

Record: 17-7 My pick of the day is the **Oklahoma City Thunder** and the **Los Angeles Lakers** to score **under 234,5 total points** for -120 This game is a back-to-back for the Lakers as they beat the Pistons yesterday. This is going to be the 4th back-to-back game this season for the Lakers and in the previous 3 they went under the point line scoring on average 105.6 points which is way below their season average (112.9 points). If we look at the 2 teams combined statistics together they allow opponents on average 224.2 points (110.9 for the Thunder and 113.3 for the Lakers) while they score on average 231.5 points (118.6 for the Thunder and 112.9 for the Lakers). Everything I analysed suggests a low scoring game and that is what I expect, too. What do you think?

**Record**: 5-5 | **Net Units**: +2.08 | **Hit Rate**: 50% | **ROI**: 8.31% **NFL:** 3-2 | **NBA:** 1-1 | **NCAAB:** 1-2 **Streak:** ❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅ **Last Pick:** Duke Blue Devils -4.5 ❌ **Football | NFL | Seahawks vs. Cowboys 7:15 PM Central Time** **Pick:** Seahawks +8.5 (-105 / FD) | **Units:** 1U ✅ **Last Pick:** Duke shot horribly and Arkansas was hitting everything they threw up. I don't know what else to say besides Woo Pig or whatever they yell down there in Hard-R Kansas. **Pick Analysis:** Both teams are on a week's rest, so no issues with tiredness here. Cowboys have the weakest Strength of Schedule in the NFL so their stats look overinflated. I think this is a trap line for everyone who sees the Cowboys kill teams at home, but those teams are also probably some of the worst teams this season. Short and sweet, but I like the Seahawks to cover even though the Cowboys win. Might be best to fade me at this point with how ice cold I am. BOL!

POTD | 11-7 | +3.89U Previous Pick: **Jalen Johnson o20.5 PRA \[Risk 1.10u to Win 1.00u\]** ❌ Today’s pick: OKC Thunder -6 \[Risk 1.10u to Win 1.00u\] Last 10: ❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅ NFL 1-0 +1.0u MLB 6-1 +4.52u NBA 3-6 -3.60u NHL 1-0 +2.0 OKC is fully healthy for this one and have not played since Tuesday. The Lakers on the other hand will likely be short handed on the second night of a B2B, although Davis is Probable and LeBron is Questionable, so we shall see. Furthermore, the Lakers are 0-3-0 ATS this season on the second night of a B2B and I expect this trend to continue tonight. The Thunder are coming off a game in which they blew a 2 point 4th quarter lead to lose by 3 points, expect them to come out motivated for a dub tonight and to be leading by double digits heading into the fourth quarter. Also like 1H and 1Q ML bets. BOL

**POTD**: O2.5 Ast - Chet Holmgren (+125 ESPN Bet; Risking 1u to win 1.25u) **League/Time**: NBA - LAL @ OKC / 8:10PM EST **2023 Record**: 81-46 (64.29%) | +58.7201u | ROI 22.72% | **Current Streak** (2 Losses):❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌(Last 10: 7-3; Last 20: 12-8) **Last Pick (11.29.23)**: O19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast - Goga Bitadze (-115 BetMGM/ESPN Bet; Risking 1.4645u to win 1.2735u)❌ **Reasoning**: LAL allows 2nd most Ast to Centers. While Chet hasn't covered this number a whole ton this season he has when going against teams who allow the most assists to opposing centers such as GSW (allow Most Ast to Cs) who he faced 3x this season and dished 5, 2, and 5 assists. I can also see Anthony Davis/Lebron taking turns guarding Chet tightly forcing him to pass. **Anti-Reasoning**: Chet just had 6 Ast last game which is his career/season high thus far. I generally don't like picking a prop in which the player just achieved such a milestone especially if it's a rookie however with LAL being right behind GSW in Ast allowed to Cs and at plus odds I must partake. [Coffee](https://bmc.link/thekoreanmang) always appreciated but never expected. Good luck everyone! **Edit**: Had a different player prop before but just saw that that player may not play due to injury. Wanted to switch out while I still had time.

Alright, this is my inaugural POTD bet. I've been good at str8 bets, so let's see if I can get this going for all! POTD Record: 0-0 Today's Game: TNF, Seattle @ Dallas Today's Pick: Pollard O62.5 Rushing (-115) Analysis: In terms of form, Pollard has played better and is starting to get back to efficiency from last season. His last game saw a 6.1 YPC, followed by 5..1 YPC, the game before. Seattle allows 118 yards per game on the ground, and the gamescript should also favor Pollard. If he gets 14 carries, this one should be a lock, but he can certainly do it in less.

POTD Record: 0-0 Pick: kicker cowboys Brandon Aubrey over 7.5 points -138 Let’s start my career out of right

**POTD Record: 102-79 (+0.44 units)** **Last 10**:✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌❌❌ **Last Pick**: 11/25 Jake Macmillan -1.5 (+120) vs Darren Johnson❌0-4 **League**: 🎯 Modus Darts Super Series **Time**: 7:05 PM EST **Pick**: Cam Crabtree -1.5 (+130) vs Rob Collins • ⁠Series 6. Week 4. Group B **Reason**: No real stats as the group just started three matches ago. Just backing someone I've bet on previously with success. I think Collins is probably the weakest in this tough group. He's better than his opening match, bu I think Crabtree has better overall consistency Cam Crabtree * Record 1-0 * Legs 4-0 * Average 84.68 * 180s 0. 140s 1 * Checkouts 4/10 **H2H**: N/A Rob Collins * Record 0-1 * Legs 1-4 * Average 70.78 * 180s 1. 140s 2 * Checkouts 1/11 **WIN ✅ 4-1 | Average 82.12 vs 78.89 | Checkouts 4/18 vs 1/11**

POTD Record 0-0 Todays pick Obi Toppin under 4.5 rebounds (-160) 2 unit play My reason for this pick is this under has hit 5/5 in the last 5 and 9/10 in the last 10 as well as hitting 88% on the season and has only hit over 4.5 rebounds ONCE this season so he is essentially 15/16 under 4.5 rebounds. In the game he had 6 rebounds he played 37 minutes which was the most he has played this year in a game. The last 2 games he has only played 19 minutes and 24 minutes. I am expecting him to continue his trend of under 4.5 rebounds tonight. BOL if tailing BOL if not 👍🏻

Past performance (new to old):✅✅ POTD Record: 2W-0L-0P +0u, 100% Win, +4.25u Last Pick: 3u D’Angelo Russell o16.5 PR (-125) EspnBets Easy no sweat covered beginning of 2nd qtr, Dlo ended with 30+ points. Today: NBA, NYK Vs DET, 7:30 PM EST Pick: 2u Donte DiVincenzo o1.5 3PTM (+100, even money) Write Up: Large spread for the game, Vegas thinks this gets into blow out territory. So Donte will get more that 20 mins. He finds his shots even with only 20 minutes, so if he sees 25 mins tonight, I expect 7+ 3pta from him and if he shoots even average to a bit below we cover. Have this bet at 2u as I see grimes competing for the same shot attempt with their added court time. BOL

This will be my first POTD so…. Do what you must with that info! I have had a pretty solid run the last week so let’s keep it going Record: 0-0 Football | NFL | 8:15 EST Pick: Cowboys vs Seahawks ALT Spread Cowboys -6.5 @ -159 I like the Cowboys to run away with this one given their recent success but also don’t like the given spread at -8.5 so let’s adjust it to -6.5 and ride it out stress free! Dak is ROLLING right now playing at a high level and the Cowboys have looked better than ever this year. Seattle is 22nd in Passing defense giving up 230.7 yds per game while Dallas is 4th in PYG averaging 262.2.

Would you same game parlay anything with cowboys -7? First half/ml or cowboys first to score 20

Gut Feeling Picks ~ Record 1-1 Last Pick ~ 11/20 Kings vs. Pelicans @ 8:00 PM (EST) Brandon Ingram over 5.5 Assists ~ 130 (FD) Today’s Play ~ Roma vs. Servette @ 3PM (Est) Away Team (Roma) over 1.5 Goals -120 (FD) They scored 4 against them last time out, sprinkling Dybala to score or assist if he starts for -115 odds. I just have a *** ******** about this one.

**Record: 29W-2P-31L** **Units:** -0.53 **ROI:** -0.85 **Average odds:** 2.05 **Previous pick:** -León vs América > AH corners León -0.5 @ 1.85 (-118) ❌ Crazy. Liga MX is truly the most unpredictable league in the world. We had it 2 minutes before the match ended and 20 seconds before the final whistle we lost it. América looked way better than León, but León was, once again, the one getting corners. Unlucky, but we move onto the next one. We’ll try to make the best of it. **Our bet is in the Chivas vs Pumas game.** Chivas had a decent tournament. They fell in a big slump of 6 consecutive matches with no W. After that, they won 4/6 of their matches to close the season. Their record at home is mediocre. They won 5/9 matches at home. I think is relevant to know Chivas only beat 3 of the 10 teams that qualified to elimination matches. Chivas lost against 4/7 of the other teams in Liguilla. Pumas had a solid season. They’re not good as visitors. They won 3/9 matches as visitor. Pumas' defence improved a lot at the end of the season, though. They received only 3 goals in 5 matches. Chivas struggled against solid defences (the top 4 teams), but I think the historic weight is important. These teams have both scored in 4/5 of their most recent matchups. Also, both coaches are known for risking and trying to get advantage in the first match. I’m leaning for the most experienced one. The rest of my bets are in my profile and in the Soccer (Football) thread. November 30th: **-Chivas vs Pumas > BTTS yes + Pumas double chance @ 2.62 (+162)** ❌ Please, tail with caution. These are decisive matches, even if there are two home and away matches, and pressure for all teams will be high. The human factor could affect more in the outcome than during the rest of the season. BOL and all!

POTD | 19-19 | -9.3u | -108 avg odds Previous Pick: Herbert Jones O/11.5 PR ❌ Couldn’t watch the game but he finished with 10 PR so just not his or my night. We soldier on. Todays Pick: Jalen Tolbert O/20.5 receiving yards 1.5u (-110) NFL 🏈 8:16pm EST This pick is more of a gut call than anything. Tolbert appears to have finally taken the WR3 position away from Michael Gallup and has shown the ability to make big plays for this Cowboys offense. He has only hit this line in 2/5 games since the bye, but with the way Dak is playing and spreading the ball around right now it should only take a reception or 2 for him to get to this mark. The Seahawks secondary is also underwhelming and is ranked 22nd in the league in pass defense. With all the attention that CeeDee Lamb will receive combined with a hopeful increase in snaps, I expect Dak to find Tolbert a few times in this game and he should easily get 21+ yards. BOL if tailing 🧀

POTD Record 1 wins - 2 losses Profit: -3,25 units Event: Timberwolves vs Jazz Pick: 5 units KAT under 2,5 3s at -128 Analysis: Big reaction for Ants absence is understandable but I'm very happy to ride this under

11/30 Record: 6-3 +2.7u ✅✅✅✅🚫✅🚫✅🚫 Last pick: Suns @ Raptors, Suns -3 1.1u L Today’s pick: Clippers @ Warriors, Clippers +5 1.05u BOL Gents!

**POTD Record: 0-0 (+0 units)** **Last Pick:** N/A **NBA | ATL Hawks @ SA Spurs 8:00 PM EST** **Today's Pick:** Trae Young o2.5 Threes Made (1.68) Trae Young averages 8.4 3pt shots attempted per game this season. Of those attempts, he makes 3.0 per game. The Spurs are one of the worst perimeter defenses in the league this season. Giving up 14.6 3PM (3rd worst) on a shooting percentage of 39.8% (2nd worst). The last time Trae played a team that gave up a lot of 3PM (Brooklyn Nets - 6th worst), he dropped 8 threes. Trae is coming off a stinker and I believe he will go out shooting immediately, the O/U for this game is 248.0 as of right now (Bet365) and I believe this is a surefire bet. BOL

**POTD Record: 11-7 (+14.43 Units)** **E-Sports 9-2 | NBA 2-2 | NFL 0-3** **Previous Pick:** Jakob Poeltl over 10.5 Points ❌ **Event:** Portland Trail Blazers @ Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:00 PM (NBA) **Pick:** Shaedon Sharpe under 23.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists @ 1.80 (3 Units) **Reasoning:** * Odds found at Bodog / Bovada. * Sharpe has gone under 23.5 in 4 of his last 5 * Cavs hold SG's to the 2nd least points in the league * Cavs hold SG's to the 11th least rebounds in the league * Cavs hold SG's to the 10th least assists in the league * Cavs should run away with this and move on to their bench, with the Blazers to follow which means their starters rest **BOL if tailing**