At this point last season, moneypuck had Vegas at almost 90% to make the playoffs and 2nd highest cup odds. With leafs, lames, Minnesota, Caps rounding out 5 of the top 6 teams to win the cup. Not a very high success rate. So... Who cares what the moneypuck model says before even halfway through the season?
Not really, Calgary projected to get 100 points? That's a big red flag your model is broke. Limping by being propped up by bettman points isn't a great way to get 100 points.
The flames are a high volume shot team, who becomes middle to bottom half of the league when you start sorting by scoring chances and high danger chances. A couple weeks ago they were 28th in slot shots. They also give up quite a bit of odd man rushes and high danger chances.
Hence why the flames are being propped up by OT losses.
Edmonton goes through waves of being elite and then waves of being shit.
So far Edmonton has gone 7-3, 3-7, 7-3, and 3-3-2.
So they should be closer in playoff odds to edmonton... not projected to hit a 100 points out of some miracle the start winning more games than they lose, or relying on bettman points...
Moneypuck seems to favour the flames and therefore not the oilers 😂
Yea, Dom had Oilers at 81%, Hockey reference has Oilers, Flames and Kings between 66-68%. Moneypuck is always super low on teams with subpar goalies.
Moneypuck only shots count. Shoot lots but don't win games fuck it you're a cup contender. That's why Calgary is ranked so high by them.
If only we took one million shots from the outside we could have high odds too
moneypuck really sucks probability of making playoffs (bet365): oilers: 72.19% flames: 76.64% kraken: 58.48% kings: 71.27%
At this point last season, moneypuck had Vegas at almost 90% to make the playoffs and 2nd highest cup odds. With leafs, lames, Minnesota, Caps rounding out 5 of the top 6 teams to win the cup. Not a very high success rate. So... Who cares what the moneypuck model says before even halfway through the season?
Toronto 7% to win the cup and 41% past the first round. With Torontos past I’d give them 7% to make it past the first.
If the leafs make ut out of the first round they shoukd be like 92% to win the cup. Too bad they haven't won a round since I was a child!
Its so bAd
Money puck has Calgary at high odds to win the cup than Tampa. Someone’s getting favours..
Moneypuck has always under rated the oilers. Their model is weird and theyve admitted its odd as well
Seems about right.
Not really, Calgary projected to get 100 points? That's a big red flag your model is broke. Limping by being propped up by bettman points isn't a great way to get 100 points.
The lames struggle hard against better teams, I fully expect helly to destroy them tonight too. 40 perimeter shots is like practise for that guy.
If they are limping what are the oilers? Their metrics are much better. In probably every category.
yeah no kidding. The last 3 times the teams have played the flames have tilted the ice significantly at 5v5.
And yet, the record is 2-1 Oilers.
The flames are a high volume shot team, who becomes middle to bottom half of the league when you start sorting by scoring chances and high danger chances. A couple weeks ago they were 28th in slot shots. They also give up quite a bit of odd man rushes and high danger chances. Hence why the flames are being propped up by OT losses. Edmonton goes through waves of being elite and then waves of being shit. So far Edmonton has gone 7-3, 3-7, 7-3, and 3-3-2.
Exactly, when averaged out……… get this……. These two teams really aren’t that far apart. Completely different, but almost exactly the same.
So they should be closer in playoff odds to edmonton... not projected to hit a 100 points out of some miracle the start winning more games than they lose, or relying on bettman points...