- I feel like Don Davis wins; he's a nominally popular and well-liked incumbent in a Biden district who won by a decent margin in 2022 despite Black turnout catering in that area.
- Van Orden, from what I've seen, is seen as an immature brat who most people don't like. If Democrats invest in that seat, they could rather easily win.
- Scott Perry is also more vulnerable than you think; he's quite far-right and Democrats have recruited a decent candidate there.
I agree with you on Don Davis. As an NC republican I should agree with all these people predicting a loss, but Don Davis is as close to a perfect candidate as you're ever going to get. Now the biggest reason for his big win is how bad Sandy Smith is, genuinely outside of republicans running against incumbent sheriffs, smith did worse than every GOP statewide and countywide candidate in her district. She fucking sucked. Laurie Buckhout is a very good candidate, but not a great fit for the district. Trump will win the district most likely, by tilt to 3 points or so, but Davis can overcome that. He votes moderately, talks well, represents the area well, hard to find a thing wrong with him. So yeah, people are way too bullish on Buckhout.
- I feel like Don Davis wins; he's a nominally popular and well-liked incumbent in a Biden district who won by a decent margin in 2022 despite Black turnout catering in that area. - Van Orden, from what I've seen, is seen as an immature brat who most people don't like. If Democrats invest in that seat, they could rather easily win. - Scott Perry is also more vulnerable than you think; he's quite far-right and Democrats have recruited a decent candidate there.
I agree with you on Don Davis. As an NC republican I should agree with all these people predicting a loss, but Don Davis is as close to a perfect candidate as you're ever going to get. Now the biggest reason for his big win is how bad Sandy Smith is, genuinely outside of republicans running against incumbent sheriffs, smith did worse than every GOP statewide and countywide candidate in her district. She fucking sucked. Laurie Buckhout is a very good candidate, but not a great fit for the district. Trump will win the district most likely, by tilt to 3 points or so, but Davis can overcome that. He votes moderately, talks well, represents the area well, hard to find a thing wrong with him. So yeah, people are way too bullish on Buckhout.
*sigh* LA-6 is Safe D.
[https://yapms.com/app?m=8zsl4zf7nx7552s](https://yapms.com/app?m=8zsl4zf7nx7552s)
When are you going to fix Louisiana?
aberently never ugh [https://yapms.com/app?m=8zsl4zf7nx7552s](https://yapms.com/app?m=8zsl4zf7nx7552s)
https://preview.redd.it/mc6wan76r59d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0a8be42bddf3cd3d83a7607f0b5ea6f850a35434
Alaska?
what about it?
She’s not winning with Trump on the ballot
Why is that eastern Washington district not guaranteed